Navigating Climate Change

Policy Shermaine Perry

Policy Analysis and Program Evaluation11 June 2013

Source: COP16/CMP6 Cancun, Mexico

Policy Problem

Climate change impacts and threatens our daily lives, the environment, and the global economy. Lack of urgency to address climate issuesAn absence of comprehensive climate

legislation

What are you waiting for? I

need your help…

Rising Temperatures Linked to Increased Human Activity

Influence Diagram

Argument Mapping

Stakeholder Analysis

What Should be Done?Enact comprehensive legislation that:(1) puts strong limits on carbon pollution (2) reduces U.S. dependence on oil (3) drives the innovation necessary to create millions of

clean energy jobs(4) ensures our natural resources are healthy and

strong enough to survive the impacts of climate change that we are already seeing today.

That’s easier

said than done.

Prescribing Policies

Source: Georgiev, 2009

Prescribing Policies cont.

Source: Agrawala and Fankhauser (2008)

Policy Outcomes

1. Compliance 2. Inaction 3. Resistance

Valid rebuttals include: 4. Federal budget deficit5. Scientific data refuting climate change6. Policy alternatives (inexpensive)7. Discussion of the many unknown factors affecting

climate change

Executive Summary

Source: Mitchell (2009)

In Conclusion…

Climate change impacts state sovereignty and global security… however, there is hope for increased public awareness, and immediate government action regarding this issue in the near future.

ReferencesBaker, M. L. (2010, September 7). The Coming Conflicts of Climate Change. The Council on Foreign

Relations. Retrieved April 15, 2013, from www.cfr.org/climate-change/coming-conflicts-climate-change/p22886

Basics | Climate Change | US EPA. (2013, April 22). US Environmental Protection Agency. Retrieved May 4, 2013, from http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/basics/

Causes of Climate Change | Climate Change | US EPA. (2013, April 22). US Environmental Protection Agency. Retrieved May 7, 2013, from http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/causes.html

Dunn, W. N. (2012). Public policy analysis: an introduction (Fifth ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson.Dye, T. R. (2011). Understanding public policy (13 ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson Education.Global Warming: Will Our Actions Stop a Grim Future? | Use Celsias.com - reduce global °Celsius. (n.d.).

Use Celsias.com - reduce global °Celsius. Retrieved June 11, 2013, from http://www.celsias.com/article/global-warming-will-our-actions-stop-grim-future/

Hope, C. (2006). ‘The Marginal Impact of CO2 from PAGE2002: An Integrated Assessment Model Incorporating the IPCC’s Five Reasons for Concern.’

IPCC (2001a). The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

IPCC (2001b) Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

References cont.• IPCC (2007). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to

the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

• UNFCCC (2008). Investment and Financial Flows to Address Climate Change. UNFCCC, Bonn.• Levi, M. A. (2008, November 20). A Changed Prognosis for Climate Change Policy. The Council on

Foreign Relations. Retrieved April 15, 2013, from www.cfr.org/climate-change/changed-prognosis-climate-change-policy/p17823

• Levi, M. A. (2009, June 27). Trade and Climate Change. The Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved April 16, 2013, from www.cfr.org/economics/trade-climate-change/p19674

• Public Transportation Benefits. (n.d.). (2013). APTA Homepage. Retrieved April 26, 2013, from http://www.apta.com/mediacenter/ptbenefits/Pages/default.aspx

• Sargent, G. (2013, May 10). Maybe We Should Talk About Climate Change?. The Washington Post. Retrieved May 10, 2013, from http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/05/10/maybe-we-should-talk-about-climate-change/

• Schuetze, C. (2013, April 8). U.S. Moves Toward Teaching Climate Change; Britain Does the Opposite. The New York Times. Retrieved April 20, 2013, from http://rendezvous.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/08/u-s-moves-toward-teaching-climate-change-britain-does-the-opposite/

• Smith, L. (2013, May 20). Overheated Rhetoric on Climate Change Doesn't Make for Good Policies. The Washington Post. Retrieved April 21, 2013, from http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-34672723.html?refid=bibme_hf

• U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Abstract of the United States: 2012. (2012, June 27). Census. Retrieved May 6, 2013, from www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012/tables/12s1058.pdf