climatology and paleoclimatology paleoclimate summary climate issues

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Climatology and Paleoclimatology Paleoclimate Summary Climate Issues

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Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

QUIZ!

Last Updated: April 18, 2023

On a scale of 0 - 10:

The ozone hole and global warming are related.

0No way!

10You Betcha!

5Coward

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

(No way!) 0 - 10 (You Betcha)

NUMBER

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

QUIZ!

Last Updated: April 18, 2023

On a scale of 0 - 10:

We are currently in a cool period of climate.

0How quickly

you forgetsummer.

10COOL!

5Who knows?I’ve got my

air conditioneron!

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Driving Questions

1. How do we know that the composition of the atmosphere has changed in the past?

2. Ignoring greenhouse gas emissions what climate changes might we expect next?

Today’s Issues:

Last Updated: April 18, 2023

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Climate has

changed quite

naturally over time

Today’s Issues:

Last Updated: April 18, 2023

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Methods for

establishing past

temperatures

• Isotopic Geochemical Studies: The study of rock isotopic ratios, ice core bubbles, etc.

• Dendochronology: the study of tree rings

• Pollen Distribution: the study of plant types and prevalence

• Lake Varves: (like dendochronology, but with lake sediments)

• Coral Bed Rings

• Fossils: Studies of geological settings, etc.

• Historical documents, paintings, etc.

Today’s Issues:

Last Updated: April 18, 2023

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Paleoclimatology

“Heavy” oxygen happens…

Isotropic Geochemi

cal Studies

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

PaleoclimatologyDating

Through Oxygen Isotope Ratios

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

PaleoclimatologyDating

Through Oxygen Isotope Ratios

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Paleoclimatology

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Vostok Record18O is well correlated

with temperature!

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Sea Sediments18O in sea

sediments is used to

suggest temperatu

re

Seawater 18O variations over time can be linked to the growth and decay of ice sheets. During the last ice age sea level was ~130m lower than today reflecting about 3% of the ocean's volume. Consequently the 18O of the ocean was ~1.2 permille heavier (higher) than it is today.

Measuring the 18O in foraminifera allows to reconstruct past variations in the size of the ice sheets over millions of years.

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Milankovitch theory of climate change

Eccentricity: 400 ka and 100 ka

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Obliquity: 41 ka

Milankovitch theory of climate change

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Axial Precessio

n: 23 ka

Milankovitch theory of climate change

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Paleoclimatology

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Glacial

Milankovitch theory of climate change

Ice Growth Configuration: Low eccentricityLow TiltLarge Earth-Sun Distance in Summer

Net Effect: Less seasonal contrast

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Inter-Glacial

Milankovitch theory of climate change

Ice Growth Configuration: High eccentricityHigh TiltSmall Earth-Sun Distance in Summer

Net Effect: More seasonal contrast

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Milankovitch theory of climate change

Take-away: Variations in our orbit begin to explain the variation in temperature over scales of >10,000 years.

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Changes in CO2 (0 - 500,000,000 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

Geochemically inferred.

NOW

1500

3000

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7500

Age (Myr BP)

(f)

0

500 400 300 200 100 0

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Changes in CO2 (0 - 25,000,000 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

1500

3000

4500

6000

7500

Age (Myr BP)

(f)

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500 400 300 200 100 0Age (Myr BP)

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(e) NOW

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Age (Myr BP)

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25 20 15 10 5 0

(e)

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Age (kyr BP)

0100200300400

Changes in CO2 (0 - 450,000 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

VostokNOW

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

180

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Age (kyr BP)

0100200300400

Changes in CO2 (0 - 450,000 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

NOW

Vostok

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Lessons from Vostok

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Lessons from Vostok

1. Past changes in climate have often been triggered by changes in orbital characteristics.

2. These initial changes are then amplified by changes in CO2 and CH4 concentrations.

3. The changes in greenhouse gas concentrations then exaggerate the temperature changes over the earth.

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

180

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Age (kyr BP)

0100200300400180

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12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0

Age (yr BP)

Taylor Dome

Changes in CO2 (0 - 12,500 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

NOW

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues RAPIDChanges

in ClimateHappen

Climate

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

RADIATION

TEMPERATURE

ICE VOLUME

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

180

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0100200300400180

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12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0

Age (yr BP)

Taylor Dome

Changes in CO2 (0 - 12,500 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

NOW

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

180

200

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12500 10000 7500 5000 2500 0

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Taylor Dome

Year

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800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Law Dome Adelie Land

Siple

South Pole

Mauna Loa

Changes in CO2 (0 - 800 YBP)

Paleoclimatology

NOW

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Year

180

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Law Dome Adelie Land

Siple

South Pole

Mauna Loa

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CO2 Mauna LoaCO2 South Pole

Year

Paleoclimatology

NOW

Changes in CO2 (0 - 50 YBP)

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

SummaryDriving

Questions1. How do we know that the composition

of the atmosphere has changed in the past?

Keywords:

•Isotope Ratios

•Ice Cores

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

SummaryDriving

Questions2 Ignoring greenhouse gas emissions

what climate changes might we expect next?

Keywords:

•Milankovitch Theory

oEccentricity

oPrecession

oObliquity

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues Abrupt extinction due to climate change

PaleoclimatologyAbrupt climate change (circa 2200 BC)forced the abandonment of rain-fed settlements in agricultural plains of lower Mesopotamia.

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

PaleoclimatologyPeriod of drought between ~800 to 1000 A.D. probably contributed to collapse of Mayan civilization.

Climatology and Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimate

Summary

Climate

Issues

Paleoclimatology