cloud university: idc
TRANSCRIPT
The Why and How of Building a Cloud Practice
Darren Bibby, Channels and Alliances Research
@darrenbibby
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The
Marshmallow
Test
Stanford 1970,
Walter Mischel
Repeated around
the world
Studies on Delayed
Gratification with
children (4-6 yrs)
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The Deal:
1 Marshmallow now
Or 2 if you wait
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The Deal:
1 Marshmallow now
Or 2 if you wait
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The Deal:
1 Marshmallow now
Or 2 if you wait
2/3 of kids ate the
Marshmallow
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The Follow-up:
~18 years later
Children who waited had
better life outcomes
SAT Scores
Education
BMI
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So what does this
have to do with
IT Solution Providers?
Agenda
Why You Have To Move to the Cloud
How to Move to the Cloud
Distribution’s Role in the Cloud
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Cloud Resale Economics Example
11
Deal Size
Traditional On-Premise Application Cloud Application
$100,000
Partner
Revenue
Partner
Gross Profit
Note – This is a fictitious example
and does not represent IDC
research data
35% Margin
or $35,000
$100,000
$40,000
Year One
$40,000 Year Two
(Possible)
$40,000 Year 3
(Possible)
35% Referral Fee or
$14,000 Possible Year Two Fee, and
on…
35% Referral Fee or
$14,000 With a referral fee, revenue
and gross profit are the same.
Cloud Resale Economics Example
12
Deal Size
Traditional On-Premise Application Cloud Application
$100,000
Partner
Revenue
Partner
Gross Profit
Note – This is a fictitious example
and does not represent IDC
research data
35% Margin
or $35,000
$100,000
35% Referral Fee or
$14,000 Possible Year Two Fee
35% Referral Fee or
$14,000 With a referral fee, revenue
and gross profit are the same.
How about if the invoice is paid
on a monthly basis?
What does month one look like?
$3,333 Month One
The Cloud Challenge:
The Customer Has Won
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The Cloud Challenge:
You Still Have To Move To The Cloud
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Reality
18
“We would probably make more
money if we could keep
everybody on on-premise.
But that's not going to happen.”
Reality
19
“I think that if we don't partner
with [our vendor] and do this,
then somebody else is going
to take our customers.”
Reality
20
For us to compete in two years,
if we don’t have a few
references and a few case
studies and a few like, ‘yeah,
we’ve done it and here are the
scars,’ we’re going to lose
those deals.”
Cloud Services Momentum
Public cloud services sales will near $70B in 2015
• 5X the growth rate of the IT industry overall
The “greater cloud market” – including public,
private clouds, and enabling IT and services –
will hit $118B
Public cloud services sales will be $127B in 2018
• $200B “greater cloud market”
22
Cloud Services Momentum
Data center growth will accelerate toward Service
Providers
• By 2016, over 50% of compute, 70% of storage
capacity will be installed in hyperscale data centers
23
Cloud Services Momentum
70% of CIOs will embrace a “cloud first”
strategy in 2016
Over 90% of net new commercial apps will be
developed specifically for cloud in 2015
By 2018, it is predicted that nearly 27% of all
software revenue will be subscription based.
24
Cloud Partners Outperform
Revenue Growth %
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7% 8%
16%
14%
<10% Cloud 10% to <20% Cloud 20% to <50% Cloud 50% + Cloud Revenue
Revenue Growth %
Source: Microsoft eBook, IDC 2014, n=670
Cloud Partners Outperform
Gross Profit %
28
24% 26%
33%
42%
<10% Cloud 10% to <20% Cloud 20% to <50% Cloud 50% + Cloud Revenue
Gross Profit %
Source: Microsoft eBook, IDC 2014, n=670
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Cloud Partners Outperform
Cloud is not the only thing causing
these results
IDC believes the best performing
partners are adopting Cloud first, and
faster
Cloud Profitability
30
Revenue
- Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Profit
- SG&A Expenses
Operating Profit
Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Profit
Cloud Profitability Example
Cancom
HQ Munich, Germany
Formed in 1992
~600M € VAR
Transitioning to Recurring
Revenue
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Company Valuations are Higher for
Recurring Revenue
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“And the stock market values companies with
more regular cashflow more highly.
Even if the revenues were the same, the costs the
same, the profits the same, moving from a
variable revenue stream such as upgrades to a
more regular one as in subscriptions should
boost the value of Adobe itself.
Tim Worstall
Contributor
Forbes
June 18, 2013
Company Valuations are Higher for
Recurring Revenue
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Potential
Valuation
Traditional
Revenue
Business
Recurring
Revenue
Business
Revenue Multiple 0.2 to 1.5 times 2 to 6 times
EBITDA Multiple 2 to 2.5 times 5 to 14 times
Source: IDC Partner Valuation Study 2014
“For the average sub $5 million a year VAR, it’s tough to get past
three times EBITDA“ - Brent Twist, Encore Business Solutions
Collecting Successful Cloud
Partner Practices
2013 and 2014 studies with Microsoft
Survey and Interviews
Trying to understand the best practices
of Successful Cloud Partners
39 http://aka.ms/idccloudebook
Planning for Your Cloud Business
Endure Short Term Pain For Long Term Gain • Revenue and cashflow trough
• What will my business be like in 3 or 5 years?
Don’t Wait To Adopt Cloud • You’re probably not behind… yet.
• But you are losing deals to Born in the Cloud and other partners
Is it time for a management offsite?
• Key decisions must come from the top
42
Your Cloud Business Strategy
Use Cloud Internally And Share Your Own Best
Practices
• Gain powerful credibility with customers by using the
products you are selling
You Only Have To Stay One Step Ahead
• Cloud technology is evolving rapidly
• Successful partners stay one or two steps ahead of the
customer and competitors to be a leader
43
Your Cloud Business Strategy
Differentiate With Domain Expertise To Increase Profit
• Cloud can commoditize; You must differentiate
• By business process (e.g. accounting) or by industry vertical (e.g.
retail).
• 80% of IT investments will involve LoB by 2016
Build Your Recurring Revenue – The New Killer Metric
• Offers predictability, cash flow, and positive impact on company
valuation
• Top RR: 1.5X Gross Profit and 1.8X Revenue Growth
44
Recurring Revenue Compounds
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Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Growth dependent on:
Customer churn rate
New customer growth rate
Fixed Costs
Cloud Revenue
Your Cloud Sales Strategy
Understand Why Cloud Sales Are Fundamentally Different
• Past: Get to the sale
• Now: The sale is the beginning
Open Doors With Cloud, Then Up-sell
• Get in the door with Cloud
• Upsell over the long term relationship
47
Your Cloud Sales Strategy
Choose the Right Sales Structure For You
• Separate or Integrated?
• Solve for Internal Conflict or Customer Choice?
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Separate Cloud Group Integrated Group
Your Cloud Sales Strategy
Carefully Architect Your Sales Compensation
• Problem: How to motivate salespeople who were used to selling up
front license + services deals?
• If affordable, pay up front
49
Your Cloud Sales Strategy
Consider Hiring Outside The Box
• Hire Young
• Hire Congruent
• Hire for Value
• Cloud partners have more staff in sales
and marketing vs. other partners
50
Your Cloud Sales Strategy
Create A Lean, Mean Operating Model For Volume
• For a volume play, impetus must be on efficiency
• Lowering cost of making the sale
Consider Telesales To Increase Your Reach
• Telesales can be a cost effective strategy,
• Different skill
• Metrics driven
Consider Selling 1:Many
• Take customers through non-competitive steps together
51
“The top sales people, like Charlie, are making 50 to
100 calls per day. The sales cycle is a few days and
implementation is a matter of weeks. The focus is on
high-volume.” Ben Gower, Managing
Director, Perspicuity
Your Cloud Sales Strategy
Take Customers To The Cloud In Steps
• Many customers are still not ready to fully dive in
• Certain products are good for the first sale, some better to upsell
Speed Up the Sales Cycle by Sidelining Cloud
Objections
• Arm your telesales team with resources to take FUD questions
off-line
• One-page FAQs, videos, web sites, etc.
52
Your Cloud Marketing Strategy
Shift Your Marketing To Digital
• Successful cloud partners are investing in digital marketing
• SEO, pay-per-click, banners, videos, webinars, blogs, social media, iterative web
pages and landing pages, etc.
54
Establish Your Brand With Thought
Leadership
• Get known as a thought leader
• Some partners provide incentives for staff to
publish
Your Cloud Managed Services Strategy
Increase Gross Margin Through Managed Services
• Partners with higher cloud / recurring revenue earn higher gross margin
• Become more efficient at delivering at a fixed monthly price
Create Efficiencies In Your Managed Services
• Remote delivery
• Spread highest paid technical staff across
more clients
• Automation, Methodology
56
Your Cloud Managed Services Strategy
Be Your Customers’ CIO or IT Department
• Some partners play the CIO or IT department role
Add Ongoing Retainer Hours To Your Projects
• Successful cloud partners are turning more offerings into
recurring revenue contracts
• Pre-purchase of monthly discounted hours
• Support, monitoring, but also ad hoc professional
services, custom development, etc.
57
“There’s a bucket of hours bought on a retainer, or use it
or lose it basis, at a discounted rate. They can use it for whatever they require as
the need arises.”
Greg Schlather, General Manager,
Cloud & Managed Services, Catapult Systems
Your Cloud Intellectual Property Strategy
Leverage Cloud To Create Your Own IP
• Cloud services are more stable
• Development effort is easier today
• Distribution of apps is easier today
Manage Using New Key Performance
Indicators (KPIs)
• Different KPIs:
Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR)
Recurring Revenue %
Churn %
Lifetime Customer Value
59
Do We Need IT
Distributors in the
Cloud?
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Distributor Core Functions – Traditional
62
Integration / Configuration
Training and Enablement
Partner Management
Marketing Sales
Tech Support
Logistics
Credit and Financing
Distributor Core Functions – Cloud
63
Integration / Configuration
Training and Enablement
Partner Management
Marketing Sales
Tech Support
Credit and Financing Logistics 2.0?
Aggregation
Order Management / Billing
Essential Guidance
There are many paths to Cloud success. Common elements of success include:
Recurring revenue models are slowly but surely replacing traditional project and transactional based models.
Most partners will have to endure some short term pain in order to achieve long term success, which could include higher margins and a higher company valuation.
Those who master a specific vertical or horizontal domain will be able to speak the language of the new power broker in the enterprise, the Line of Business executive.
The time to act is now. There is a land grab going on for cloud customers and there’s not much time left before you find yourself in the bottom half of cloud partners.
65
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Leverage the Past and Invest
66
Revenue
Today Past Future
On-premise Revenue Cloud Revenue