cnbc all-america economic survey, july 8, 2015

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #11530b--page 1 June 2015 CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

1724 Connecticut Avenue, NW Interviews: 800 adults, including Washington, DC 20009 240 who only have a cell phone (202) 234-5570 Dates: June 19-22, 2015 FINAL

Study #11530b CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey June 2015 Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 800 interviews is 3.5% 1a. For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF RESPONDENT REFUSES,

ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to?

18-24 ................................................ 12 [148-149]

25-29 ................................................ 8 30-34 ................................................ 10 35-39 ................................................ 7 40-44 ................................................ 9 45-49 ................................................ 8 50-54 ................................................ 8 55-59 ................................................ 12 60-64 ................................................ 11 65-69 ................................................ 4 70-74 ................................................ 4 75 and over ...................................... 7 Not sure/refused ............................. -

1bc. And to ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a

Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS NO, NOT HISPANIC OR NOT SURE, ASK:) And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your racewhite, black or African American, Asian, or something else?

White ................................................ 69 [150/151]

Black or African American ................ 11 Hispanic ............................................ 11 Asian ................................................. 3 Other ................................................. 5 Not sure/refused ............................. 1

47 Male 53 Female

[109]


2a. How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/14 6/14 3/14 12/13 9/13 6/13 3/13 11/12

Excellent .................... 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 [152]

Good .......................... 22 25 24 16 17 16 14 14 15 13 13 Only fair ...................... 44 42 44 45 48 43 42 40 42 41 41 Poor ........................... 30 29 28 34 33 38 41 44 40 44 44 Not sure ................... 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 1

9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/18,

20-21/08+

1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - -

9 9 10 7 6 8 6 7 6 4 7 36 40 35 30 37 37 39 30 33 25 28 53 49 53 61 55 54 53 62 60 70 65 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - 1 -

9/10- 12/08

6/08 2/08 12/07 10/051 3/051 8/041 3/041 1/031 1/021

1 1 2 4 5 4 4 4 1 1 10 6 14 22 27 37 33 32 18 26 32 29 39 39 46 41 42 38 44 48 56 63 44 33 22 18 21 26 36 24 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 - 1 -

1Comparative data prior to 12/07 comes from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry,

Mermin Associates. + Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.

2b. And over the course of the next year, do you think the state of the economy will get better, stay about the

same, or get worse?

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/14 6/14 3/14 12/13 9/13 6/13

Will get better............................. 24 28 27 23 28 29 26 28 34 [153]

Will stay about the same ........... 44 41 39 42 40 37 40 33 35 Will get worse ............................ 26 25 28 28 28 30 30 35 27 Not sure ................................... 6 6 6 7 4 4 4 4 4 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 32 37 35 33 36 27 30 29 31 23 23 37 31 43 36 30 33 35 25 21 27 26 30 37 4 5 17 9 6 4 4 4

12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/18,

20-21/08+ 9/10- 12/08 6/08 2/08

37 37 43 39 42 28 21 24 37 35 29 30 28 35 27 34 21 26 25 27 23 26 43 34 5 2 3 4 7 11 9 8

+ Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.


Q.2a and Q.2b COMBINED: CURRENT AND FUTURE VIEW OF THE ECONOMY

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/14 6/14 3/14 12/13 9/13 6/13

Optimistic now/optimistic for the future ......... 21 23 23 15 16 15 14 12 15 [152/153]

Optimistic now/pessimistic for the future ...... 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 Pessimistic now/optimistic for the future ....... 15 15 15 16 18 19 16 20 24 Pessimistic now/pessimistic for the future .... 55 53 53 59 59 60 63 61 55 Not sure for now or the future ..................... 7 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 13 13 8 9 10 6 6 7 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 22 26 28 27 28 23 25 25 59 56 45 55 54 65 63 63 5 5 18 9 7 5 5 4

12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/18,

20-21/08* 9/10- 12/08 6/08 2/08

7 7 5 4 6 8 5 13 - 1 1 1 - 2 1 2 32 31 39 37 64 23 18 18 56 59 52 54 23 55 66 58 5 2 3 4 7 12 10 9

* Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.

3ab. Are you currently employed? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "NO, NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are

you a student, a homemaker, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?

Professional/manager ...................... 24 [154/155]

White-collar worker ........................... 14 CONTINUE Blue-collar worker ............................. 16 Farmer/rancher................................. -

Student ............................................. 6 Homemaker ...................................... 6 Retired .............................................. 21 Skip to Q.5a Unemployed, looking for work .......... 6 Volunteer (VOL) ............................. - Disabled (VOL) ............................... 4 Not sure/refused ............................. 3


(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.3a)

4a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that your wages will increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [166]

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.4a)

4b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [167-169]

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.4a)

4c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [170-172]

EMPLOYED ADULTS

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/14 6/14 3/14 12/13 9/13 6/13 3/13 Decrease ........................................... 3 4 4 4 6 6 7 9 7 10 Stay the same.................................... 59 58 56 62 56 61 56 57 52 58 Total increase ..................................... 38 38 40 34 38 33 37 34 41 32

Increase1% to 3% ........................ 14 11 14 10 15 10 11 11 13 11 Increase4% to 10% ...................... 15 15 15 13 14 13 15 12 15 13 Increase11% or more ................... 8 10 9 8 7 8 7 9 11 6 Increasenot sure how much ......... 1 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 2

Mean .................................................... 4.5 4.4 5.3 2.9 3.5 2.2 3.3 3.1 3.9 2.3 Median ................................................. -0.2 -0.2 -0.7 -0.6 -0.2 -0.6 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3

11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 12/10 10/10 Decrease ........................................... 6 8 5 8 7 9 9 7 9 Stay the same.................................... 61 62 65 60 62 62 64 62 66 Total increase ..................................... 33 30 30 32 31 29 27 31 25

Increase1% to 3% ........................ 8 11 10 10 9 10 11 9 7 Increase4% to 10% ...................... 13 11 11 12 13 10 8 11 12 Increase11% or more ................... 9 6 7 7 7 7 6 9 5 Increasenot sure how much ......... 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 1

Mean .................................................... 4.3 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.5 2.0 2.1 1.4 Median ................................................. -0.3 -1.0 -0.6 -0.3 -1.0 -0.7 -1.1 -0.3 -0.4 8/101 12/09 12/08 9/08 6/08 2/08 12/07 10/07 6/07 3/07 Decrease ........................................... 10 11 7 4 6 4 2 4 2 4 Stay the same.................................... 63 61 52 53 56 47 42 43 48 41 Total increase ..................................... 26 28 41 43 38 49 56 53 50 55

Increase1% to 3% ........................ NA 8 11 14 11 13 18 15 12 15 Increase4% to 10% ...................... NA 10 18 19 17 22 25 26 25 21 Increase11% or more ................... NA 8 9 8 7 11 9 11 10 16 Increasenot sure how much ......... NA 2 3 2 3 3 4 1 3 3

Mean .................................................... NA 1.3 3.1 4.0 2.1 5.4 5.3 6.1 5.7 7.3 Median ................................................. NA -0.7 -0.6 -0.3 -0.5 -0.1 1.6 1.2 0 1.6

1Comparative data for August 2010 comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.


5a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that the cost of livingthat is, what you pay for everyday goods

and serviceswill increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [173] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.5a)

5b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you think the price of everyday goods and services will increase in the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [174-176]


5c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you think the price of everyday goods and services will decrease in the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [177-179]

6/15 11-

12/14 3/14 12/13 9/13 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 Decrease ....................................... 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Stay the same ................................ 22 34 23 29 22 18 19 27 21 22 16 27 Total increase ................................. 77 63 76 69 77 81 80 71 77 76 82 71

Increase1% to 3% .................... 27 21 21 18 23 19 23 19 15 19 12 19 Increase4% to 5% .................... 17 15 18 18 18 19 19 18 18 21 19 19 Increase6% to 10% .................. 13 12 18 16 15 18 14 16 20 14 21 13 Increase11% or more ............... 15 10 14 11 15 18 17 11 17 14 21 12 Increasenot sure how much ..... 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 9 8 Mean ................................................ 7.2 5.0 6.5 5.5 7.3 8.2 8.0 6.2 8.5 7.0 9.7 6.0 Median ............................................ 2.8 2.0 3.6 2.8 3.3 4.3 3.8 2.8 4.4 4.0 4.8 2.8

6/11 3/11 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/08 6/08 2/08 12/07 10/07 6/07 Decrease ....................................... 2 1 3 2 6 5 1 2 2 1 1 Stay the same ................................ 18 12 32 27 36 22 8 18 18 20 19 Total increase ................................. 80 87 65 71 58 73 91 80 80 79 80

Increase1% to 3% .................... 16 12 13 15 9 13 9 17 19 20 22 Increase4% to 5% .................... 18 18 16 18 14 18 21 21 21 22 23 Increase6% to 10% .................. 20 23 15 17 13 17 23 18 19 16 17 Increase11% or more ............... 19 28 16 15 14 18 27 17 12 12 10 Increasenot sure how much ..... 7 6 5 6 8 7 11 7 9 9 8 Mean ................................................ 9.0 12.1 7.9 6.9 5.8 7.3 11.4 8.2 6.4 6.9 7.1 Median ............................................ 4.5 6.6 3.0 3.9 2.2 4.2 7.5 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.7


6a. Do you expect the value of your home to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve

months? If you do not own your home, please just say so. [180]

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.6a)

6b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [208-210]


6c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [211-213]

HOMEOWNERS

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/141

6/14 3/14

12/13 9/13 6/13 Own Their Home Decrease .......................................... 8 8 6 9 9 10 10 14 14 Stay the same .................................. 52 60 60 63 55 59 56 54 48 Total increase .................................... 40 32 34 28 36 31 34 32 38

Increase1% to 4% ....................... 13 10 10 7 10 10 6 10 9 Increase5% to 9% ....................... 13 9 10 9 11 8 14 9 11 Increase10% or more ................. 12 10 11 10 11 10 11 9 15 Increasenot sure how much ........ 2 3 3 2 4 3 3 4 3

Mean ..................................................... 2.2 2.4 2.8 1.7 2.2 2.0 2.2 0.8 3.1 Median.................................................. -0.2 -0.3 -0.6 -0.7 -0.3 -0.3 -0.6 -0.3 -0.3

3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 Own Their Home Decrease .......................................... 13 13 19 16 20 20 30 24 Stay the same .................................. 54 63 54 62 58 65 55 58 Total increase .................................... 33 24 27 22 22 15 15 18

Increase1% to 4% ....................... 10 9 7 6 6 4 4 5 Increase5% to 9% ....................... 10 5 7 6 5 3 3 5 Increase10% or more ................. 10 6 10 7 9 5 6 6 Increasenot sure how much ........ 3 4 3 3 2 3 2 2

Mean ..................................................... 1.6 0.1 0.5 0.4 -0.1 -0.5 -1.6 -1.2 Median.................................................. -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.9 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -0.5 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/08 6/08 2/08 12/07 10/07 3/07 Own Their Home Decrease .......................................... 21 20 22 20 23 20 16 11 9 Stay the same .................................. 60 59 61 56 54 54 50 49 43 Total increase .................................... 19 20 17 24 23 26 34 40 48

Increase1% to 4% ....................... 6 4 4 6 5 5 6 8 12 Increase5% to 9% ....................... 4 6 5 7 6 8 9 9 13 Increase10% or more ................. 6 8 5 9 9 9 13 17 19 Increasenot sure how much ........ 3 3 3 2 3 4 6 6 4

Mean ..................................................... -0.6 -0.3 -1.6 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 2.2 3.9 4.0 Median.................................................. -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 -0.5 0 0 0

1Results shown among respondents who own their home, consisting of 74% in 6/15, 71% in 3/15, 83% in 11-12/14, 72% in 9/14, 80% in 6/14, 77% in

3/14, 76% in 12/13,78% in 9/13, 77% in 6/13, 74% in 3/13, 74% in 11/12, 77% in 9/12, 76% in 5/12, 77% in 3/12, 77% in 11/11, 75% in 6/11, 78% in 3/11, 80% in 12/10, 83% in 10/10, 84% in 12/09, 77% in 12/08, 85% in 9/08, 86% in 6/08, 81% in 2/08, 82% in 12/07, 82% in 10/07, and 84% in 3/07.


7ab. Do you have money invested in the stock market and mutual funds, including IRAs and 401(K)s? (IF

RESPONDENT SAYS YES, ASK:) And is the value of these investments above or below fifty thousand dollars?

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/14 6/14 3/14 12/13 9/13 6/13 Yes, Have Money invested 47 49 51 49 49 52 53 51 48

Above $50,000 ................................ 26 26 24 25 28 29 28 28 26 [214/215]

Below $50,000 ................................ 15 17 18 18 16 18 20 17 16 Not sure .......................................... 6 6 9 6 5 5 5 6 6 No, no money invested ..................... 49 49 47 49 49 47 46 47 50 Not sure/refused ............................. 4 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2

3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 12/10 55 51 52 52 49 51 52 46 47

29 25 28 26 24 27 29 25 27

20 21 19 21 19 19 19 21 20 6 5 5 5 6 5 4 NA NA 43 47 46 46 49 47 46 47 45 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 7 8

10/10 12/09 12/08 Less than $10,000 ................................................... 7 8 8 At least $10,000 but less than $50,000 ................... 13 13 14 At least $50,000 but less than $100,000 ................. 11 8 9 At least $100,000 but less than $200,000 ............... 7 8 9 At least $200,000 but less than $300,000 ............... 3 2 4 At least $300,000 but less than $500,000 ............... 2 2 4 At least $500,000 but less than $1,000,000 ............ 1 3 1 $1,000,000 or more ................................................. 1 2 1 No, no money invested in the stock market ............. 44 42 42 Not sure/refused .................................................... 11 12 8


8ab. In your opinion, would you say this is a good time or a bad time to be investing in the stock market? (IF

RESPONDENT SAYS "GOOD TIME OR BAD TIME," ASK:) Would you say it is a very (good time/bad time) or just a somewhat (good time/bad time)?

6/15 3/15 11-

12/14 9/14 6/14 3/14 12/13 9/13

Very good time ............................... 8 9 12 7 9 10 9 8 [216/217]

Just a somewhat good time ........... 31 30 29 24 27 29 29 30 Just a somewhat bad time ............. 25 25 22 29 26 25 27 26 Very bad time ................................. 9 9 8 11 13 14 12 13 Not sure ....................................... 27 27 29 29 25 22 23 23

Total Good Time 39 39 41 31 36 39 38 38 Total Bad Time 34 34 30 40 39 39 39 39

6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11

10 9 7 7 4 7 7

26 31 24 23 26 24 22 23 26 30 30 33 33 31 15 13 17 18 19 16 22 26 21 22 22 18 20 18

Total Good Time 36 40 31 30 30 31 29 Total Bad Time 38 39 47 48 52 49 53

6/11 3/11 12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 10/07

7 8 7 6 12 15 13

24 27 28 31 29 23 36 33 31 31 31 24 22 18 17 15 15 20 24 30 9 19 19 19 12 11 10 24

Total Good Time 31 35 35 37 41 38 49 Total Bad Time 50 46 46 51 48 52 27

9. Which one or two of the following do you think are the best investments right now?

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

6/15* 6/14 3/13 3/12

Real estate .............................................................. 34 29 27 24 [218]

Stocks ...................................................................... 23 27 21 19 >

Gold ......................................................................... 20 21 35 37

Savings accounts and other cash instruments ........ 12 12 12 14

U.S. Treasury government bonds ............................ 7 5 8 8

Corporate bonds ...................................................... 6 5 6 7

Other (VOL) ........................................................... 3 4 3 4

Not sure ................................................................. 16 16 10 10

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).


10. Nationally, gas prices are lower now than they were a year ago. Are you doing any of the following things

specifically because gas prices are lower?


6/15 3/151 11-

12/142

Paying down more debt ............................................................................. 19 25 12 [219]

Driving more ............................................................................................... 13 11 10 >

Spending more on other things .................................................................. 13 17 8

Putting more money into savings ............................................................... 12 15 13

You are not doing any of these things as a result of lower gas prices ...... 49 42 61

Not sure .................................................................................................... 4 2 4

1In March 2015 the question was phrased, Nationally, gas prices are lower now than they were six months ago.

2In November-December 2014 the question was phrased, Nationally, gas prices have decreased recently.

11ab. If you added together the TOTAL income of all the members of your family who live at home, would you say

the people in your household are making more money this year than last year, making less money this year than last year, or making about the same amount of money this year as last year? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS MORE THAN THIS TIME LAST YEAR, ASK:) If you had to give your best estimate, what is the percentage increase in your household income compared with last year? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals.

Total Making More Than Last Year 28 [220-223]

4% or less ....................................... 8

5% to 9% ........................................ 6

10% to 14% .................................... 4 CONTINUE

15% to 19% .................................... 2

20% or more ................................... 6

Not sure .......................................... 2

Making less than last year ................ 17 About the same as last year ............ 52 Skip to Q.12 Not sure ......................................... 3

Mean Among Those Earning More Than Last Year 14.2 Median Among Those Earning More Than Last Year 6.1

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "MORE THAN THIS TIME LAST YEAR" IN Q.11a)

11c. And which of the following is the MAIN way in which you are using the additional money that members of your household are earning this year?


All

Adults

Adults In HHs Earning More

(Q.11ab)

Paying down debt ........................................................... 9 31 [224]

Saving ............................................................................. 7 25

Paying for essentials such as food and housing ............. 6 24

Paying for items or services that you want, not including food and housing ............................................................ 4 14

Other ............................................................................. 1 3

Not sure ........................................................................ 1 3

Making less/Same as last year/Not sure (Q.11ab) .......... 72 NA


On a different topic...

12. Which ONE of the following economic policies do you think is MOST important right now? (IF

RESPONDENT SAYS "ALL" OR MULTIPLE RESPONSES GIVEN, ASK:) Well, if you had to choose just

ONE of these, which do you think is MOST important?


Reducing the cost of healthcare ............................................. 25 [236]

Reducing the federal deficit .................................................... 18

Dealing with the minimum wage............................................. 15

Dealing with taxes paid by corporations ................................. 11

Dealing with government regulation of business .................... 8

Dealing with taxes paid by individuals .................................... 8

Protecting America's interests on trade issues ....................... 6

None/other ........................................................................... 1

Not sure ............................................................................... 8

13a. And when it comes to each one of these issues, which party do you think would do a better jobthe

Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or both about the same? If you think that neither would do a good job, please just say so.

JUNE 2015 ONLY

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY DEMOCRATIC PARTY ADVANTAGE

Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither Good

Not Sure

Dealing with the minimum wage * ............................... D-25 45 20 13 16 6 [240]

Reducing the cost of healthcare ** .............................. D-15 36 21 13 22 8 [244]

Dealing with taxes paid by corporations ** .................. D-11 33 22 14 20 11 [242]

Dealing with taxes paid by individuals * ...................... D-4 31 27 17 19 6 [238]

Dealing with the economy ........................................... - 25 25 21 24 5 [237]

Dealing with government regulation of business ** ..... R-5 25 30 14 21 10 [243]

Reducing the federal deficit * ...................................... R-13 21 34 15 23 7 [241]

Protecting Americas interests on trade issues * ......... R-15 21 36 16 18 9 [239]

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

JUNE 2015 AND TREND

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY DEMOCRATIC PARTY ADVANTAGE

Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither Good

Not Sure

Dealing with the minimum wage [240]

June 2015 * .................................. D-25 45 20 13 16 6

Reducing the cost of healthcare [244]

June 2015 ** ................................. D-15 36 21 13 22 8

Dealing with taxes paid by corporations [242]

June 2015 ** ................................. D-11 33 22 14 20 11

Dealing with taxes paid by individuals [238]

June 2015 * .................................. D-4 31 27 17 19 6

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).


Q.13a (contd) Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither Good

Not Sure

Dealing with the economy [237]

June 2015 ..................................... - 25 25 21 24 5

Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... R-9 30 39 15 16 -

September 2014+ ......................... R-10 26 36 17 18 3

December 2013 ............................ R-10 26 36 17 19 2

September 2013 ........................... R-4 29 33 19 17 2

February 2013 .............................. D-2 32 30 16 20 2

June 2012 ..................................... R-6 31 37 13 16 3

December 2011 ............................ R-3 28 31 18 20 3

April 2011 ..................................... - 29 29 20 20 2

October 14-18, 2010+ .................. R-1 35 36 14 14 1

August 5-9, 2010+ ........................ R-2 32 34 16 17 2

March 2010 .................................. - 31 31 18 18 2

July 2009 ...................................... D-6 35 29 19 14 3

July 2008+ .................................... D-16 41 25 14 14 6

January 2008 ................................ D-18 43 25 21 8 3

July 2007 ...................................... D-12 41 26 17 12 4

October 13-16, 2006+ .................. D-13 43 30 17 7 3

September 2006+ ......................... D-12 40 28 17 10 5

March 2006 .................................. D-12 39 27 20 11 3

November 2005 ............................ D-14 39 25 17 14 5

December 2004 ............................ D-9 39 30 20 7 4

July 2004+ .................................... D-8 40 32 19 7 2

January 2004+.............................. R-2 36 38 15 8 2

December 13, 2003 ...................... R-1 37 38 14 7 5

October 2002+.............................. D-6 36 30 21 9 4

June 2002 ..................................... D-1 32 31 24 9 4

June 2001 ..................................... D-6 37 31 20 6 6

December 1999 ............................ D-3 34 31 24 7 4

March 1999 .................................. D-6 35 29 26 6 4

September 1998 ............................. - 31 31 29 6 3

September 1997 ............................. R-9 25 34 26 9 6

October 1996 .................................. D-4 36 32 15 10 7

May 1996+ ................................... R-4 26 30 27 14 3

December 1995 ............................ R-8 22 30 27 17 4

June 1995 ..................................... R-12 17 29 29 23 2

October 1994 ................................ R-8 22 30 28 16 4

July 1994 ...................................... R-11 18 29 32 17 4

June 1994 ..................................... R-5 21 26 39 12 2

October 1993 ................................ R-5 22 27 20 28 3

March 1993 .................................. D-16 34 18 34 11 3

July 1992+ .................................... D-8 26 18 35 18 3

May 1992 ...................................... D-6 29 23 26 17 5

January 1992+.............................. D-5 28 23 33 12 4

October 1991+.............................. R-1 27 28 26 14 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


Q.13a (contd) Party Advantage

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Both About The Same

Neither Good

Not Sure

Dealing with government regulation of business [243]

June 2015 ** ................................. R-5 25 30 14 21 10

Reducing the federal deficit [241]

June 2015 * .................................. R-13 21 34 15 23 7

September 2014+ ......................... R-18 21 39 13 22 5

September 2013 ........................... R-13 22 35 18 22 3

February 2013 .............................. R-6 25 31 16 26 2

June 2012 ..................................... R-12 25 37 13 23 2

December 2011 ............................ R-11 23 34 18 22 3

April 2011 ..................................... R-12 21 33 19 25 2

October 14-18, 2010+ .................. R-6 28 34 13 21 4

August 5-9, 2010+ ........................ R-9 24 33 15 25 3

March 2010 .................................. R-6 24 30 18 25 3

July 2009 ...................................... R-6 25 31 18 22 4

January 2008 ............................... D-22 42 20 17 15 6

July 2007 ...................................... D-25 43 18 14 21 4

November 2005 ............................ D-19 38 19 15 22 6

January 2004 ................................ D-11 37 26 18 15 4

December 13, 2003 ...................... D-13 38 25 12 16 10

September 1997 ............................. R-8 23 31 22 18 6

October 1996 .................................. R-3 29 32 11 19 9

June 1995 ....................................... R-21 16 37 17 26 4

October 1993 .................................. D-4 27 23 27 18 5

March 1993 ..................................... D-23 39 16 23 18 4

April 1992+ ...................................... D-1 20 19 18 37 6

October 1991+ ................................ R-5 24 29 16 24 7

October 1990+ ........................................... R-2 25 27 19 23 6

Protecting Americas interests on trade issues [239]

June 2015 * .................................. R-15 21 36 16 18 9

November 2005 ............................. D-10 31 21 23 14 11

January 2004 .................................. R-11 25 36 23 10 6

December 13, 2003 ........................ R-5 29 33 19 8 11

December 1995 ................................ R-7 24 31 22 12 11

October 1994 .................................... R-15 22 37 21 11 9

July 1994 ........................................... R-13 22 35 25 11 7

October 1993 .................................... R-19 20 39 13 20 8

July 1992+ ........................................ R-9 23 32 24 15 6

May 1992 .......................................... R-8 24 32 21 12 11

January 1992+ .................................. R-1 25 26 31 9 9

October 1991+ .................................. R-14 22 36 21 10 11

October 1990+ .................................. R-13 22 35 24 9 10

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.


13b. Now I'm going to read you two statements about trade agreements with other countries. Please tell me which one comes closer to your point of view. **

(STATEMENT A:) Trade agreements with other countries have more drawbacks than benefits to the

economy, because they mean that workers in the United States are being replaced by workers in other countries.

(STATEMENT B:) Trade agreements with other countries have more benefits than drawbacks to the

economy, because they mean that products can be made and sold at lower costs to consumers and U.S. jobs are being created by American companies that can sell more of their products overseas.

Statement A/more drawbacks than benefits ........... 50 [245] Statement B/more benefits than drawbacks ........... 42 Not sure ................................................................. 8

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

14. Roughly how much money do you plan to spend on taking a vacation this summerthat is, now through

Labor Day? If you do not plan on taking a vacation this summer, please just say so. 6/15 6/14 6/08 6/07

Not taking a vacation/spending nothing ........ 62 47 51 48 [246-250]

Less than $1,000 .......................................... 9 15 13 15 $1,000 to $1,999 ........................................... 9 11 8 11 $2,000 to $2,999 ........................................... 6 10 7 9 $3,000 or more ............................................. 11 11 7 10 Not sure/refused ......................................... 3 6 14 7

Mean $953.03 $959.54 $683.85 $904.70 Mean Adults who will take a vacation $2,651.32 $1,926.72 $1,722.96 $1,886.20 Median Adults who will take a vacation $1,714.02 $1,212.09 $986.81 $1,116.85 15. How many vacation DAYS do you plan on taking this summer?

Not taking a vacation/zero days ................. 50 [251-253]

1-7 days ..................................................... 27 8-14 days ................................................... 14 15 days or more ......................................... 8 Not sure ................................................... 1

Mean 5.7 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY THEY WILL SPEND SOME AMOUNT OR WHO SAY DON'T KNOW IN Q.14)

16a. For your main vacation this summer, how do you plan to travel to your destination?


June 2015 June 2014

All

Adults

Adults Taking

Vacation All

Adults

Adults Taking

Vacation

Drive ............................................................ 21 56 33 61 [254]

Fly ................................................................ 12 32 14 26

Cruise ship ................................................... 1 3 CONTINUE 1 2

Take a train .................................................. 1 2 - 1

Some other way ......................................... 1 2 1 1

Will not travel/will stay home (VOL) ........... 1 3 Skip to 3 6

Not sure ..................................................... 1 2 FACTUALS 1 3

Not taking vacation/spending zero (Q.14) .... 62 NA 47 NA


(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO GIVE A RESPONSE IN Q.16a)

16b. And which one or two of the following reasons best describe why you will be using that type of transportation?


6/151 6/14

2

It's the most convenient option ............................................... 39 41 [255]

It's the most affordable option ................................................ 24 30 >

It's the fastest way to get to where you're going ..................... 23 20

It's the only option for getting to where you're going ............... 16 16

It's the safest option................................................................ 3 5

Not sure ................................................................................ 4 2

1 Results among 282 respondents.

2 Results among 388 respondents.

FACTUALS: Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

F1. Are you currently registered to vote? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, REGISTERED," ASK:) A lot of

people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the 2012 election for president? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, VOTED," ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else?

VotedBarack Obama ....................... 33 [256-258] VotedMitt Romney ........................... 22 VotedSomeone else ........................ 8 VotedNot sure ................................. 8 No, did not vote ................................. 14 Not registered.................................... 14 Not sure .......................................... 1

F2. What is the last grade that you completed in school?

Grade school ........................................................... 1 [259-260]

Some high school .................................................... 6

High school graduate ............................................... 25

Some college, no degree ......................................... 16

Vocational training/2-year college ............................ 12

4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. 23

Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 3

2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... 11

Doctoral/law degree ................................................. 2

Not sure/refused .................................................... 1


F3. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "SOMETHING ELSE," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the

Democratic Party, do you think of yourself as strictly independent, or do you think of yourself as something else?

Strong Democrat ...................................................................... 17 [261-265]

Not very strong Democrat ......................................................... 13 Independent/something else/closer to Democratic Party .......... 8 Strictly independent .................................................................. 20 Independent/something else/closer to Republican Party .......... 9 Not very strong Republican ...................................................... 10 Strong Republican .................................................................... 12 Something else ......................................................................... 7 Not sure .................................................................................. 4

Total Democratic 38 Total Republican 31

F4. Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or

conservative? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider

yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?

Very liberal ........................................ 9 [276/277]

Somewhat liberal ............................... 14 Moderate ........................................... 34 Somewhat conservative .................... 23 Very conservative .............................. 13 Not sure .......................................... 7

Total Liberal 23 Total Conservative 36

F5. If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,

what would the total be? I'm going to read some income ranges, and please stop me when I reach the range for your familyless than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, between one hundred thousand dollars and two hundred thousand dollars, or more than two hundred thousand dollars?

Less than $10,000 ....................................... 9 [278]

Between $10,000 and $20,000 .................... 8 Between $20,000 and $30,000 .................... 9 Between $30,000 and $40,000 .................... 12 Between $40,000 and $50,000 .................... 8 Between $50,000 and $75,000 .................... 11 Between $75,000 and $100,000 .................. 10 Between $100,000 and $200,000 ................ 15 More than $200,000 ..................................... 4 Not sure/refused ........................................ 14

cnbc all-america economic survey, july 8, 2015

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