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COAL21 Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

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Page 1: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal

Josh CosgraveDirector – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Page 2: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Overview

• The Sustainable Development Goals and Mining• The Sustainable Development Goals and Coal• The Challenge and a solution• COAL21 – a part of the solution

Page 3: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

SDGs and Mining

Page 4: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd
Page 5: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

SDGs and Mining

The Greater Good Business Drivers:• Used to be focused only on

compliance

• Poor performance impacts on future approvals

• Good performance makes companies the miner of choice

• Cements ‘social licence’ and reduces the risk of outrage and a regulatory response.

• There is a link between sustainability and long term company value

Page 6: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

SDGs and Coal

Page 7: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd
Page 8: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Today’s global use of coal71% of global steel 69% of global cement

38% of global electricity ~ 20 million Electric Vehicles by 2020

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Nearly 1 billion people live without access to electricity

About 1 billion people worldwide live without access to electricity

Nearly 2.7 billion rely on traditional fuels for cooking

Page 10: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Urbanisation and industrialisation are transforming developing and emerging economies

Page 11: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Asian thermal coal use rises from 2024Asian thermal coal imports (millions of tonnes)

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019f 2021f 2023f 2025f 2027f 2029f

SE Asia

Other Asia

India

Korea

Taiwan

Japan

China

Source: Commodity Insights, Market Demand Study: Australian Export Thermal Coal , June 2018

Page 12: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Metallurgical coal demand stableCountry Metallurgical Coal Imports (millions of tonnes)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2017 2020f 2025f 2030f

Source: Commodity Insights, Market Demand Study: Australian Export Thermal Coal , June 2018

Brazil

Europe

Taiwan

South Korea

Japan

India

China

Page 13: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd
Page 14: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

The Challenge and a solution

Page 15: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

The Challenge and a solution

Source: International Energy Agency CCS Unit

2 degreesReference

CCUS - 14 % Gt CO2 cumulative reductions

Beyond 2 degrees

(2 degrees)

CCUS – additional 32 %

Page 16: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Messaging on coal and CCUS remains a challenge

Australians want to see that coal has a future based on safe and deployable low emission technologies

Restructuring economies to succeed in a carbon constrained world lies in the deployment of effective low emissions technologies

Well understood economic and employment benefits

9 out of 10 don’t understand coal link to steel and cement production

Climate concern is growing – coal considered for now, not forever.

Little understanding of the importance and global effort to capture carbon.

Fossil fuel v renewable energy focus only one third of the equation.

Transport one fifth and industry more than 6% of emissions.

In 2 degrees scenario CCUS required for 14% of reduction

In below 20 CCUS will be 32% of reductions.

CCUS

Page 17: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

COAL21 – a part of the solution

Page 18: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

What is COAL21?

History

Collaboration

Current Commitment

Future Commitment

A $550m collaboration by the Australian black coal industry focused on lowering emissions from coal to support cost-effective, reliable and cleaner energy both in Australia and globally.

Established in 2007 and funded by a voluntary levy on all black coal production and co-invests with other stakeholders:Government, electricity generators, equipment suppliers and other investors.

Invested over AUS$300 million on projects and aims to leverage a further $550 million from other sources (industry and government).

At least AUS$255 million committed for new projects out to 2027.

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Australian CCUS Projects

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Gorgon ProjectOperating - 3.4 to 4 Mt

South West Hub Project

CarbonNet FlagshipProject Development &

Commercial EstablishmentAppraisal underway

CTSCoFID for Construction 2020

Glencore/Uni of Queensland/ANLEC

Commercial Location Data

CO2CRC Otway PilotPhase 3

CallideOxyfuel demonstration

completed

Precompetitive Exploration

Ongoing, NSW and Qld

Page 20: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

• Since 2007 committed to 14 projects, including:

– Capturing CO2 at Callide Oxy-Fired coal power plant

– Sequestering 80,000 tonnes of CO2 in Otway Basin in Victoria

– Groundwork for a CCUS Hub in the Surat Basin Queensland including CTSCo injection trial, UQSDAAP data acquisition

– Advanced the understanding of how to deploy Ventilation Air Methane (VAM) abatement technology safely, and

– Contributing to the international R&D effort.

20

Oxyfuel demonstration (pictured at left) at the Callide Power Station, Queensland, CSEnergy

Otway project injection, Victoria

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Project portfolio over the next 10 years

COMMITTED A FURTHER AUS$255 MILLION OUT TO 2027

ONGOING PRIORITIES• Post Combustion Capture at a commercial operation in

Queensland• Demonstrated storage in Surat Basin• Abatement of fugitive emissions from coal mines

ONGOING PROJECTS• Queensland Surat Basin CCUS Hub• NSW Storage – Coal Innovation NSW• Ongoing R&D through:

– CO2CRC– ANLEC R&D

21Glencore’s CTSCo well in the Surat Basin

Methane explosions in coal mining studies at Newcastle Institute for Energy and Resources , University of Newcastle, NSW

Page 22: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

We are also exploring new project options• Support the development of prospective emerging capture technologies

– Prospective technologies include:• NOx and SOx tolerant solvents • Allam Cycle

• Carbon capture and utilisation:– Study the possibilities for enhanced oil recovery in Australia– Specific consideration of EOR associated with the Surat Basin Hub– Utilisation and Recycling of Carbon for other purposes

• Other– Black coal to hydrogen with CCUS – cost effective method of producing H2

– Support the development of low emissions technologies using metallurgical coal– Education to increase understanding and awareness of:

• Low emissions coal power technologies and

• Their role in supporting increased renewable electricity supplied into grid electricity.22

Page 23: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

New Deep Storage Carbon Huband Enhanced Oil Recovery Potential

Surat Basin

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Queensland Surat Basin CCUS Hub - Why?

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1. CO2 Sources in the region:• 3 supercritical coal power stations and CCGT

• LNG and ethanol production with CO2 separation

• Potential Coal to Liquids (CTL) production facilities

2. Transport System:• Extensive existing pipeline easements

3. CO2 Users:• Various end of life oil fields – EOR potential

4. Storage Geology:• Has highly prospective geology for CO2 storage,

• Has exploration permits for GHG (EPQ’s 7 – 14),

• Has enabling legislation for CO2 storage – Qld Greenhouse Gas Act 2009,

Page 25: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Strategic context of Capture Demonstration & the Queensland Carbon Hub

Coal Power Carbon Capture Demonstration

National EOR

Enhanced Oil

Recovery

Remove existing

emissions

QLD Carbon

HubNew HELE

Hydrogen

HENE

Page 26: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Enhanced Oil Recovery• COAL21 commissioned a study for potential

enhanced oil recovery in Australia through Geoscience Australia

– Specific consideration of EOR associated with the Surat Basin Queensland Carbon Hub

– Utilisation of CO2 for other purposes (e.g. food and beverage production)

– CO2-EOR can be optimized to store 1t of CO2 per 1.1bbls of oil produced.

– Results in a net negative emission of 0.52t of CO2 per bbl of oil produced through CO2-EOR.

– Increases fuel security, employment, royalties, federal taxes and lowers emissions.

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Page 27: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Queensland Surat Basin CCUS Hub - Why?

27

Contribution of Hub• Emissions solution

• Energy security and grid stability

• Continued value from mining

• Affordable power

• Direct expenditure by project contractors

• Jobs and lifting local skills base

• Government royalties

Page 28: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

USC + CCUS, Hydrogen

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Estimated long run marginal cost of new generation (2017)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

USCblackcoal

Variablewind

USCblack

coal withCCS

CCGT Variablesolar PV

Wind &CCGT

CCGTwithCCS

Solar &CCGT

Wind &CCGTwithCCS

Solar &CCGTwithCCS

OCGT Wind &battery

Solar &battery

A$/M

Wh

Source: Solstice Development Services, Prospects for a HELE USC coal-fired power station, 2017

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Australia’s National Energy Market - Retirements

30

Liddell Power Plant announced as closing in 2022

Gladstone Power Plant 50 years old in 2026

Yallourn Power Plant 50 years old in 2032

Page 31: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Locations for future USC + CCUS

31

Oaklands Basin

Surat Basin

Gunnedah Basin

Latrobe Valley

Surat, 700MW, Air cooled $47-52MWh (LRMC)

Surat + 45% CCUS $70-76/MWh

Surat + 90% CCUS $95-102/MWh

Oaklands 1400MW, Air cooled $60/MWh

Oaklands + 90% CCUS $126/MWh

Gunnedah , 1400MW, Air cooled $66/MWh

Gunnedah + 90% CCUS $134/MWh

Latrobe 1400MW Wet cooled $67/MWh

Latrobe + 90% CCUS $151/MWh

Page 32: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Hydrogen from coal• Passenger vehicles = 10% of Aust emissions, road transport over 15%. • Hydrogen vehicles only emit water, while hydrogen reduces emissions from

electricity generation, heating and chemicals production.• Hydrogen from black coal with CCUS: 3 times cheaper than grid-connected

electricity and 13 times cheaper than renewable energy.• A significant new export opportunity to Japan, China, Korea and EU.

32

Technology Levelised Cost of Hydrogen - $/kg H2

Base Case Polymer Electrolyte Membrane (PEM)

6.08-7.43

Base Case Alkaline Electrolyser 4.78-5.84

Base Case SMR + CCUS 2.27-2.77Base Case Black Coal Gasification + CCUS

2.57-3.14

Best Case Black Coal Gasification + CCUS

2.02-2.47

Best Case Brown Coal Gasification + CCUS

2.14-2.74

Note: Figures sourced from National Hydrogen Roadmap – Pathways to an economically sustainable hydrogen industry in Australia, CSIRO, 2018, pp 78-83

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Research & Development

Australian National Low Emissions Coal (ANLEC) R&DObjective• Broad based applied R&D program

covering key CO2 capture and geological storage technologies in support of demonstration projects

CO2CRCObjective• To develop CCUS as a socially, technically

and commercially viable option

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Page 34: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Pathway and Policy – sustainable developmentMacroMore holistic approach - industry policy approach includes:• Energy• Emissions reduction• Industrial Processes

– Coal, gas, hydrogen , EOR, cement, steel, chemicals…

• Regional and national benefits– Royalties– Continued employment– New industries (eg hydrogen)– New skills base

34

Micro2017 Roadmap recommended: • CO2 storage characterisation • Legal and regulatory capacity • Monitoring international CCUS deployment• Techno-economic assessments • Engagement to achieve public acceptance. 2019 policy advocacy themes• Utilisation – EOR• Alternative uses – eg hydrogen• Technology neutral approach to emissions• Employment

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COAL21 – a small part of reaching SDGs

35

• Industry collaboration model to deliver low emission technology

• Builds on many companies’ knowledge and strengths

• Leverages support from governments• Link between sustainability and long term

company value• Demonstration of technology builds

confidence in industry• Education and awareness from technological

demonstration• Coal seen as a sustainable building block of

society

Page 36: COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal JCosgrave COAL21...COAL21 – Pathway for Lowering Emissions from Coal Josh Cosgrave Director – Government Relations, COAL21 Ltd

Hydrogen from coal• Passenger vehicles = 10% of Aust emissions, road transport over 15%. • Hydrogen vehicles only emit water, while hydrogen reduces emissions

from electricity generation, heating and chemicals production.• Hydrogen from black coal with CCUS: 3 times cheaper than grid-

connected electricity and 13 times cheaper than renewable energy.• A significant new export opportunity to Japan, China, Korea and EU.

36

Note: Figures sourced from National Hydrogen Roadmap – Pathways to an economically sustainable hydrogen industry in Australia, CSIRO, 2018, pp 78-83