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Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the United Kingdom in an international perspective #cohabUK www.nonmarital.org http://www.cpc.ac.uk/ February 6, 2015

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Page 1: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Cohabitation trends, policies and practices:

Situating the United Kingdom in an

international perspective

#cohabUK

www.nonmarital.org

http://www.cpc.ac.uk/

February 6, 2015

Page 2: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

1. Trends 3. Consequences 2. Explanations

Harmonized Histories: British Household Panel

Survey

Generation and Gender

Surveys

US National Survey of

Family Growth

Official statistics for maps

Focus groups

European Research Council Starting Grant

CHILDCOHAB – Understanding Childbearing in

Cohabitation

Longitudinal surveys BCS 1970

US NLSY

Australia HILDA,

Norway GGS

Sweden LNU

Legal policies on

cohabitation and

marriage

Page 3: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Nonmarital Childbearing Network

Wendy Sigle-Rushton

Mark Lyons-Amos

Trude Lappegard

Betty Thomson

Michaela Kreyenfeld

Andreas Klaerner

Caroline Berghammer Danielle Vignoli

Renske Keizer

Nicole Hiekel

Jean-Marie LeGoff

Laura Bernardi Ann Evans

Kelly Musick

Sharon Sassler

Jim Raymo

Marcy Carlson

Monika Mynarska

Anna Baranowska

CPC - Southampton

Ann Berrington

Nora Sanchez Gassen

Marta Styrc

Paulina Galezewska

Jennifer Holland

Olga Isupova

Page 4: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Cohabitation Trends:

An international perspective

Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the United Kingdom in an international perspective February 6, 2015

Brienna Perelli-Harris

University of Southampton

Page 5: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Austria

Belgium

Bulgaria

Estonia

France

NL

Norway

Poland

Romania

Russia

Spain

UK

Italy Lithuania

USA

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Pre-1940 1940-49 1950-59 1960-69 1970-79

Proportion of women with a first birth in cohabitation

Austria

Belgium

Bulgaria

Estonia

France

Netherlands

Norway

Poland

Romania

Russia

Spain

UK

Italy

Lithuania

USA

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Pre-1940 1940-49 1950-59 1960-69 1970-79

Proportion of women who ever cohabited

Source: Harmonized Histories, see www.nonmarital.org

Birth cohort Birth cohort

Page 6: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

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Nonmarital Fertility in Europe 1960

Kluesener, Sebastian, Brienna Perelli-Harris, and Nora Sánchez Gassen. 2013. “Spatial Aspects of the Rise of Nonmarital Fertility across Europe since 1960: The Role of States and Regions in shaping Patterns of Change.” European Journal of Population.

Page 7: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Nonmarital Fertility in Europe 2007

7 Kluesener, Sebastian, Brienna Perelli-Harris, and Nora Sánchez Gassen. 2013. “Spatial Aspects of the Rise of Nonmarital Fertility across Europe since 1960: The Role of States and Regions in shaping Patterns of Change.” European Journal of Population.

Page 8: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Why is cohabitation increasing?

• Second Demographic Transition (Lesthaeghe et al)

– Changes in ideas and values: increase in individualization, independence, self-actualization, and freedom.

– Rejection of patriarchy/authority/marriage

– Speculation that new behaviors occur first among the most highly educated (little evidence)

– Assumes a progression of stages and convergence towards new behavior

– Marriage disappears?

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Page 9: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Why is cohabitation increasing?

• Pattern of Disadvantage (Perelli-Harris et al 2010)/ Diverging Destinies (McLanahan

2004)

– Social movements and feminism of 1960s/70s changed attitudes

– Globalization and new employment conditions of 1980s/90s led to increasing uncertainty

– Divergence between

• highly educated, who have the skills to cope with the new labor market,

• least educated, whose labor marked conditions are precarious

– Cohabitation at the start of a relationship is increasing for all,

• but highly educated are more likely to have the resources to marry before a birth,

• and least educated are more likely to have uncertain relationships and births within cohabitation

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Page 10: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

Norway UK Russia Netherlands France Austria West Germany Italy

Low

Medium

High

* * **

*** ** *** ** *

Perelli-Harris et al. 2010. “The educational gradient of nonmarital childbearing in Europe.”

Population and Development Review.

Relative risks of first birth 1970-2004: cohabiting vs. married

Negative educational gradient of childbearing in cohabitation

Page 11: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Cohabitation and marriage are (usually) not the same

• Cohabiting relationships are less stable (Galezewska et al 2014)

• U.S. research has shown cohabitors are less satisfied with their situation and more prone to abuse (Brown 2003, Kenney and McLanahan 2006)

• In most countries of Europe, cohabitors have lower levels of subjective well-being (Soons and Kalmijn 2009)

• Second birth rates in cohabitation are lower than in marriage in 14 countries in Europe and the United States (Perelli-Harris 2012)

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Page 12: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Nonetheless…

• There are many reasons for cohabiting

• Cohabitors often have certain characteristics, and are a select group

• Cohabitors often marry or have plans to marry and if they do, they:

– Have second birth rates that are similar to those of people married at the time of first birth (Europe and US: Perelli-Harris 2014)

– Have similar relationship quality and levels of commitment as married people (Norway: Wiik, Bernhardt, and Noack 2009)

– Have similar divorce rates to those who directly married (Australia: Hewitt and De Vaus, 2009, U.S. Reinhold 2010)

• Recent U.S. studies show that marriage is not always more advantageous than cohabitation (e.g. for happiness and self-esteem) (Musick and Bumpass 2012).

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Page 13: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

>40%

30-40%

20-30%

0-10%

10-20%

Percent of all births in

cohabitation

Focus group research on

Cohabitation and Marriage

Perelli-Harris, Brienna, et al. "Towards a deeper understanding of

cohabitation: insights from focus group research across Europe

and Australia." Demographic Research 31.34 (2014)

Note: Only colored countries were included in the focus group research.

Page 14: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Views on cohabitation from Focus Group research

• Poland and Italy: easy to separate, able to leave at any time

• Netherlands: test relationship, fewer financial risks, freedom, response to divorce

• Austria: life-course perspective; cohabitation is for younger ages, while marriage is a more responsible,

mature relationship

• United Kingdom: personal decision whether to marry, but highly educated want to marry before kids,

while cohabitation is the norm for lower educated

• Norway: not many differences between cohabitation and marriage, but marriage is often about

“romance”

• Eastern Germany: Low desire for marriage

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Page 15: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Common themes from Focus Group research

• Marriage still valued (except in Eastern Germany)

• Marriage reflects a higher level of commitment than cohabitation

• However, children and housing can be a larger commitment

• Cohabitation is usually a testing ground to avoid divorce

• Cohabitation also represents freedom, but is not always devoid of commitment

• Cohabitation is heterogeneous, ranging from the newly dating to the long-term, ideological cohabitors, who reject marriage.

• Do people have different needs to demonstrate public commitment?

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Page 16: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Does the increase in cohabitation matter?

• Previous research in US and UK shows that marriage leads to better outcomes (child development, well-being)

• However, sometimes results are due to selection effects, sometimes effects of marriage (US research)

• Already reversal in effect of premarital cohabitation on divorce in US and Australia

• New research is needed to see whether there are differences in long-term cohabiting relationships and long-term marriages

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Page 17: Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating the ... · Olga Isupova . Cohabitation Trends: An international perspective Cohabitation trends, policies and practices: Situating

Does the increase in cohabitation matter?

• Not everyone is going to get married

• The costs and expectations for the wedding have increased, making it harder to marry, or less of a priority for those who have less money

• Hence people in committed cohabiting relationship may be postponing marriage – just not getting around to it

• Acknowledging the diversity of cohabitation, allows policies to target the couples that are in need.

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