college access and readiness outcomes of the university of california transcript evaluation service...
TRANSCRIPT
College Access and Readiness Outcomes of the University of California Transcript Evaluation Service
2014 NCES STATS-DC Data ConferenceJuly 31, 2014
TRANSCRIPT EVALUATION SERVICE(NOTE: Stock photo. Release for web use is on
file.)
Agenda
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• Why transcript data matter
• TES overview
• TES outcomes analysis− Characteristics of participating
schools− Comparison to baseline− Comparison to non-participants
(NOTE: Stock photo. Release for web use is on file.)
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Transcript Evaluation Service (TES)
An early and complete sequence of courses matters
• Students who complete 9th grade college preparatory courses begin a clear trajectory that continues through high school
• Students who fall off the college preparatory track early in high school tend to move even further from a complete college preparatory program as they move through high school
• Students who do not get on a college preparatory track never get on
(REL WestEd Policy Brief, 2008)
College Preparation Trajectories3
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“a-g” Subject Area Benchmarks4
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Educational partnership tool used to improve access to college
Provides programs, schools, and districts with an accurate depiction of course completion patterns to facilitate school improvement and course planning efforts
Provides policymakers and researchers with quality information about student achievement measured against college-going benchmarks
TES Overview5
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By providing students, parents, and those who support them with the right data:
• Students (and their counselors) will choose the right courses at the right time, preparing them for college
• High schools will be better able to offer the courses that students need to become college eligible
TES Vision6
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Features
Individualized transcript evaluations
Courses completed and needed to meetcollege preparatory benchmarks for
every student grades 9-12
Courses completed and needed to meetcollege preparatory benchmarks for
every student grades 9-12
Rosters and reports“a-g” course enrollment patterns
for students at every grade level to aid school planning
“a-g” course enrollment patternsfor students at every grade level to
aid school planning
Training and support Help for schools to make the most of TES as an advising tool and to
develop action plans for access
Help for schools to make the most of TES as an advising tool and to
develop action plans for access
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TES Benefits
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For students and families
A plan for life after high school from an accurate, authoritative source
A plan for life after high school from an accurate, authoritative source
For counselors Increased advising efficiency and capacity Increased advising efficiency and capacity
For administrators and policymakers
Optimized school action planning around access and curricular rigor
Optimized school action planning around access and curricular rigor
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TES Process9
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Who participated?• 152 California public high schools• Generally (not exclusively): more disadvantaged (FRL), more ELL, more minority, lower academic performance (API)
TES effect on CSU and UC eligibility?• Eligibility rates improved substantially (up to 30%)• More improvement where better implemented (over 50%)• Some change in total college prep (a-g) courses taken
TES effect on UC applications and admissions?• 10-30% increase over 2-4 years• Possibly more over longer horizons
Outcomes analysis overview10
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TES program data
• Participation: Transcript uploads, which schools & when?
• Evaluation: Courses, GPA (for graduates)
• Dosage: Intensity of TES use; effective TES users
Additional data
• CBEDS: Enrollment and graduates
• API: School decile, FRSL, ELL
• UCOP: applicants and admits from each CA high school
Data used in the outcomes analysis11
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1 2 3 4 5 6 70
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
31
68
50
4045
75 77
TES Cycle
Number of high schools
Number of high schools participating in TES, by submission cycle
2004-05(12/10-9/16)
2005-06 (12/1-11/8)
2006-07(2/6-11/1)
2007-08(4/4-11/3)
2008-09(1/30-5/14)
2009-10(8/24-6/2)
2010-11(9/2-7/20)
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Number and percentage of TES schools that downloaded TES results
1 2 3 4 5 6 70
1020304050607080
31
68
5040
45
75 77
20
55
41 39 41
75 77
Number of Schools ParticipatingNumber Schools Downloaded
TES Cycle
Nu
mb
er
of
Hig
h S
ch
oo
ls
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Percent of TES Schools whose data were downloaded 65% 81% 82% 98% 91% 100% 100%
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1 2 3 4 5 6 70
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
64,731
170,921
122,410
85,763101,601
139,857130,849
TES Cycle
Enrollment
Total enrollment in participating high schools, by TES cycle
Source: CBEDS
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1 2 3 4 5 6 70
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
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4843
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1 2
Number of TES Cycles in Which School Participated
Number of schools
Number of schools participating in TES according to the number of cycles
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
67
27
76
5851
10
56
30
TES (All 7 Cycles) CA Public 2010-11
Percent
Selected student characteristics in participating TES high schools, by cycle
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Year of TES Participation Year 1 to Year 2
1st 2nd 3rd 4th ChangePercen
t Change
Percent of Grads Eligible for CSU 23.8 25.7 1.9 8.0
Percent of Grads Eligible for UC 18.6 20.2 1.6 8.6
Percent of Grads Completing UC Courses
21.9 23.6 1.7 7.8
Mean Number of UC a-g Courses Completed 14.3 14.4 0.1 0.7
Number of Transcripts 28,302 29,576 -- --
Among the 80 TES schools that participated for at least two consecutive cycles…
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Among the 37 TES schools that participated for at least three consecutive cycles…
Year of TES Participation Year 1 to Year 3
1st 2nd 3rd 4th ChangePercen
t Change
Percent of Grads Eligible for CSU 21.6 23.6 26.1 4.5 20.8
Percent of Grads Eligible for UC 16.8 18.4 19.4 2.6 15.5
Percent of Grads Completing UC Courses
19.9 21.7 23.9 4.0 20.1
Mean Number of UC a-g Courses Completed 13.9 14.0 14.2 0.3 2.2
Number of Transcripts 14,902 15,461 15,175 -- --
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Year of TES Participation Year 1 to Year 4
1st 2nd 3rd 4th ChangePercen
t Change
Percent of Grads Eligible for CSU 16.8 14.4 18.0 22.2 5.4 32.1
Percent of Grads Eligible for UC 13.1 12.5 14.0 15.8 2.7 20.6
Percent of Grads Completing UC Courses
15.4 13.8 16.8 20.9 5.5 35.7
Mean Number of UC a-g Courses Completed 12.9 12.6 12.8 13.7 0.8 6.2
Number of Transcripts 3,236 3,664 3,580 3,362 -- --
Among the 10 TES schools that participated for at least four consecutive cycles…
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Year of TES Participation Year 1 to Year 4
1st 2nd 3rd 4th ChangePercen
t Change
Percent of Grads Eligible for CSU 13.0 14.8 20.4 19.4 6.4 49.2
Percent of Grads Eligible for UC 8.4 13.5 15.8 13.9 5.5 65.5
Percent of Grads Completing UC Courses
11.2 14.4 18.7 17.6 6.4 57.1
Mean Number of UC a-g Courses Completed 12.5 12.7 13.9 14.4 1.9 15.2
Number of Transcripts 884 867 702 762 -- --
Among “intensive TES participants” (3 schools) participated for at least four consecutive cycles…
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Year of TES Participation Year 1 to Year 4
1st 2nd 3rd 4th ChangePercen
t Change
Percent of Grads Eligible for CSU 20.8 31.4 37.1 16.3 78.4
Percent of Grads Eligible for UC 16.4 24.0 26.9 10.5 64.0
Percent of Grads Completing UC Courses
19.1 28.8 35.0 15.9 83.2
Mean Number of UC a-g Courses Completed 14.7 15.2 15.7 1.0 6.8
Number of Transcripts 2,635 2,591 2,633 -- --
For “effective implementer” district (6 of 8 schools participating for 3 consecutive years)…
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Summary: Percent of Grads Eligible for CSU
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 410
15
20
25
30
35
40
Two consecutive cycles (80)Three consec-utive cycles (37)Four consecu-tive cycles (10)Intensive partic-ipants (3)Effective im-plementer (6)
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Among the 37 TES schools that participated for at least three consecutive cycles…
Year of TES Participation Year 1 to Year 3
1st 2nd 3rd Change Percent Change
a. History/Social Science 2.13 2.13 2.15 0.02 0.9
b. English 3.21 3.19 3.22 0.01 0.3
c. Math 2.57 2.63 2.70 0.13 5.1
d. Laboratory Science 1.74 1.77 1.78 0.04 2.3
e. Language Other Than English 1.95 1.96 2.02 0.07 3.6
f. Visual and Performing Arts 1.32 1.37 1.36 0.04 3.0
g. College-Preparatory Elective 1.02 0.97 1.00 -0.02 -2.0
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Year of TES Evaluation
2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th
Number of Schools 74 37 10 5 3 2
Number of Graduates 26,371 13,749 3,464 1,816 1,031 697
UC Application Percent for TES Schools, in Participation Year 15.4 16.6 11.7 11.9 12.7 17.4
UC Application Percent for TES Schools, at Baseline (1st Year) 13.9 13.1 8.2 8.3 7.0 6.9
Growth in UC Application Percent for TES Schools (relative to base year) 1.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 5.7 10.5
Growth in UC Application Percent for Non-TES Schools (relative to base year) 1.3 1.6 2.6 3.0 3.7 5.3
Net Growth in UC Application Percent (relative to non-TES Schools) 0.2 1.9 0.9 0.6 2.0 5.2
Net Growth, as Percent of Baseline 1.5 14.2 10.4 6.6 29.1 76.9
Applications to UC:TES vs. Comparable Non-TES Schools
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Net Growth in Applicants, as Percent of Baseline
Year of TES Evaluation
2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th
All Schools 1.5 14.2 10.4 6.6 29.1 76.9
Intensive TES Participants 0.8 22.2 6.8 17.1 40.0 155.7
Effective TES Implementer 25.4 30.2 -- -- -- --
Schools with TES Partners (cycles 5-7) 4.1 20.3 -- -- -- --
Percent of Graduates Applying to UC:Net Growth, TES vs. Comparable Non-TES Schools
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2 3 4 5 6 70
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
All TES Schools
Intensive TES Participants
Effective TES Implementers
Schools with TES Partners
Year of TES Evaluation
Net
Gro
wth
in A
pplica
nts
, as P
erc
ent
of
Baseline
Percent of Graduates Applying to UC:Net Growth, TES vs. Comparable Non-TES Schools
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2 3 4 5 6 7
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
All TES Schools
Intensive TES Participants
Effective TES Implementers
Schools with TES Partners
Year of TES Evaluation
Net
Gro
wth
in A
dm
its,
as P
erc
ent
of
Base-
line
Percent of Graduates Admitted to UC:Net Growth, TES vs. Comparable Non-TES Schools
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TES and CSU/UC eligibility:•Eligibility rates improved substantially (up to 30%)
•More improvement where better implemented (more than 50%)
•Some change on college prep course-taking
TES and UC applications and admits:•10-30% increase over 2-4 years•Possibly more over longer horizons
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• Broader availability: Available to more schools/districts
• Faster data connections: Pulling in data directly from supported Student Information Systems (SIS)
• More user friendly: Redesign of TES results site and reports
• More support: Additional resources for how and when to use TES
• Ripple effects: More information about SIS data quality and opportunities to improve
Transcript Evaluation Service
Redesigned and Redefined
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For more information about…
TESReginald [email protected]
www.transcriptevaluationservice.com
TES Outcomes AnalysisRoger [email protected](Photographs by Elena Zhukova, photographer, 415. 852. 8384,
www.elenazhukova.com)
(NOTE: Stock photo. Release for web use is on file.)
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