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Brought to you by: KW Research Commentary 2 The Numbers That Drive Real Estate 3 Special Reports 9 Released: December 7, 2010

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Page 1: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Brought to you by:

KW Research

Commentary 2

The Numbers That Drive Real Estate 3

Special Reports 9

Released:

December 7, 2010

Page 2: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Commentary

Canadian housing market is returning to normal, as evidenced by home

sales activity which now stands halfway between the recessionary low in

December 2008 and the record high in December 2009. New listings are keeping

pace with sales activity, which has helped to maintain a balanced market since

the spring.

Amidst an uncertain economic landscape globally and in the United States, the

outlook of a strong upward momentum for Canada’s economy has been

KW Research 2

outlook of a strong upward momentum for Canada’s economy has been

tempered somewhat. Recent developments are pointing to a slowdown

underway and have not been supportive of monetary tightening.

While suspense is building up about the next rate hike by the central bank, rates

are still at rock-bottom levels and there is still plenty of monetary stimulus. “The

continuation of low interest rates is supporting sales activity, which has been

improving over the past few months in a number of major markets including

Vancouver,” said Georges Pahud, CREA’s President.

Page 3: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Brought to you by:

KW Research

Home Sales 4

Home Price 5

Inventory 7

Mortgage Rates 8

The Numbers That

Drive Real Estate

Page 4: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

44.6 43.4

Home SalesIn Thousands

Resale housing activity rose for the third consecutive month in October. Home

sales climbed 4.6% over September. This monthly rise in activity builds on similar

increases in August and September, pushing home sales 13.3% above July levels.

Three-quarters of local markets posted monthly upward trends, led by Toronto

and Vancouver.

KW Research 4

44.6 43.441.5

31.5

35.7

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

Data released on November 15, 2010

Sources: The Conference Board, CREA, Royal Bank of Canada

October ’09-’10

October ’08-’09

20-Year Average: 31.5

Page 5: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Home PriceIn Thousands

National home prices remained stable as reflected in year-over-year comparisons.

The price of homes sold in October averaged $343,747, up less than 1% compared to

a year ago. Average prices rose or were stable in more than three-fourths of all

markets on a year-over-year basis. Average price trends are expected to further

stabilize in keeping with a balanced market.

KW Research 5Data released on November 15, 2010

Sources: The Conference Board, CREA, Royal Bank of Canada

$341.2$328.7

$345.1

$325.0

$343.7

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

October ’09-’10

October ’08-’09

Page 6: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Home Prices by Province and Territory9 out of 12 provinces and territories experienced an increase in home prices

NT

$353K

YT

$305KPrices Increased

Prices Decreased

Home Price Direction (Year-Over-Year Change)

National Average: $343,747

KW Research 6

BC

$522KAB

$345KSK

$234K

MB

$224K ON

$348K

QC

$257K

NL & LB

$231K

NS $195K

NB $152K

PE $150K

Page 7: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Inventory –Sales-to-New Listings Ratio

Number of Homes Available For Sale

The balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number of

new listings slightly edged up 1.3% but remained 14% below the recent peak

reached in April. Improved home sales continued to shrink the months’ supply to

6.2 months from 6.5 months in September. This bodes well for further stability in

home prices.

Seller’s

Market

20

10

KW Research 7

68% 66% 63% 60% 58% 55% 52% 49% 48% 48% 49% 51% 52%

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

Buyer’s

Market

Balanced

Market

Market

20

09

-20

10

20

08

-20

09

Page 8: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Mortgage RatesAverage for 25-Year Amortization, 5-year Term

35-Year Average: 9.88%

Mortgage rates stayed highly accommodating during November. 5-year fixed rates edged

up to 5.44% in the final week of the month after posting 5.19% in the preceding two

weeks. However, the rates were quickly cut back to 5.19% in the first week of December.

Rock-bottom interest rates and stabilizing home prices continue to keep homes within

reach for many Canadians.

KW Research 8

5.59%

5.39%

5.99%

5.39% 5.44%

Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

Source: Bank of Canada

November ’09-’10

Page 9: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Brought to you by:

KW Research

Special Reports Harmonized Sales Tax

Overview9

Page 10: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Harmonized Sales Tax Overview

A recent Ipsos Reid survey commissioned by the Ontario Real Estate Association suggests that consumers are still

confused about the new Harmonized Sales Tax (HST) and its applications in real estate transactions. This is feeding

the growing concern that misperceptions about the HST is dampening the housing market. Here are the key facts

concerning the HST:

• The HST is a 12% tax applicable to the purchase price of newly constructed homes costing more than $400,000 in

Ontario and those more than $525,000 in British Columbia. The HST tax also applies to fees for services and

commissions associated with any real estate transaction.

• The HST will NOT apply to purchases of resale homes in either province since resale housing was never subject to

the Provincial Sales Tax (PST) or the federal Goods and Services Tax (GST), but does apply to fees for services and

KW Research 10Sources: REMonline.com

the Provincial Sales Tax (PST) or the federal Goods and Services Tax (GST), but does apply to fees for services and

commissions associated with ANY real estate transaction.

• New home buyers in Ontario will receive rebates of 75% of the PST on the first $400,000 on new homes, to a

maximum of $24,000.

• New home buyers in British Columbia may be eligible for a BC New Housing Rebate, if they buy any of the

following as their primary residence: A new home together with land, a new home together with leased land, a

new mobile together with leased land, a new mobile home or float home, a new home purchased through shares

in a housing cooperative, or a home constructed or substantially renovated (more than 90%) by the owner-builder.

−Buyers of new homes priced up to $525,000 will be eligible for a rebate of 71.43% of the provincial portion

(7% of the HST’s 12%) of the HST paid on the new home. Those buying homes priced more than $525,000 will

be eligible for a flat rebate of $26,250.

For more information, contact your real estate agent and a qualified tax professional.

Page 11: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

Although it is important to stay informed about what is going on in the

national economy and housing market, many different factors impact the real

estate market in your own area.

Talk to your KW associate for assistance interpreting the

Your Local Market

KW Research 11

Talk to your KW associate for assistance interpreting the

conditions in your local market.

KW associates are equipped with the knowledge and information to help

navigate through the home-buying or selling process in any market.

Page 12: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

About Keller Williams Realty

Founded in 1983, Keller Williams Realty, Inc. is an international real estate

company with more than 80,000 associates and 686 offices located across

the United States and Canada. The company began franchising in 1991, and

following years of phenomenal growth and success, now stands as one of

North America’s leading real estate companies.

The company has succeeded by treating its associates as partners and shares

its knowledge, policy control, and company profits on a system-wide basis.

KW Research 12

Focusing on helping associates realize their fullest potential, Keller Williams

Realty is known as an industry leader in its family culture, unmatched

education, profit sharing business model, phenomenal coaching program,

and technology offerings.

www.kw.com

Page 13: Commentary 2 Released: December 7, 2010 Special Reports 9images.kw.com/kwca/user_uploads/12_TMIRE_Dec_CA_2010.pdfThe balanced market is firmly on track in Canada. In October the number

KW Research 13

The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and

national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed in This Month in

Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of

opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc. does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information,

and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for

educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own

research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some

degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information

contained in This Month in Real Estate.