communicating in crisis · • trump’s approval matches its lowest point in navigator history,...
TRANSCRIPT
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Communicating in Crisis
Update:Wednesday, July 15
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Key takeaways:• Trump’s approval matches its lowest point in Navigator
history, going back to April 2018.
• A majority of Americans, and parents, oppose reopening schools in the fall because of the risks, and nearly two in three parents say schools should be among the last things to reopen.
• The public – including parents – trusts state and local government over Trump to handle reopening schools and would prefer he stay out of the issue.
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
47 4745 46
44 4446 45
4341 42 43
41 4143
39
4951 52 52
54 5552 53
5557
55 5658 58
56
59
3/23 3/30 4/6 4/13 4/20 4/27 5/4 5/11 5/18 5/25 6/1 6/8 6/15 6/22 6/29 7/6 7/13
Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Approve
About three in five Americans disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president.• Trump’s current job approval (39% approve/59% disapprove) matches the lowest it has ever been in Navigator,
dating back to the beginning of our surveys in April 2018.
Disapprove
Trump’s Job Disapproval Hits Record High
-2 -20
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
As Trump’s approval remains negative, his ratings on his handling of the economy are the worst they have been in our tracking with a majority of Americans disapproving.• Among independents, Trump’s approval on the economy is in the negative by 21 points; on the first day of our
tracking on March 23, he was at +13 among independents on the economy.
Trump Approval Ratings Continue to Decline
Approve Disapprove
Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling…
July 13 May 14 March 23
-20 -14 -2
-21 -14 -2
-25 -15 +10
-8 -1 +10
-27 n/a n/a
39
37
36
45
33
5
3
7
59
58
61
53
60
His job as president
The issue of health care
The coronavirus pandemic
The economy
Responding to the protests that have taken place after the death of George Floyd
Not sureNET Approve
Nationwide survey of 1,608 registered voters; June 4-8, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
The vast majority of Americans (80%) continue to hear at least some negative things about President Trump, which are mostly focused on coronavirus and his push to reopen schools in the fall.
Coronavirus Continuing to Dominate Conversation on Trump, With Discussion Shifting Toward Reopening of Schools
In a few words, what negative things have you seen, read, or heard recently about Donald Trump?
June 15
“Handling of coronavirus, wanting to open up schools.”
“He is trying to force schools to open in areas of rising cases and full to capacity ICUs and threatening to cut funding if they don’t.”
“Also, he wants our children back in schools in less than a month, despite the U.S. cases of COVID-19 consistently rising.”
“About how he is the reason coronavirus is so bad in US.”
June 22
July 13
June 29
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Support for reopening K-12 schools at the end of the summer has declined significantly since June 1, with net support shifting 26 points (from +14 to -12).• Among parents, there has been a 20-point increase in the share who oppose reopening schools at the end of the
summer, from 31% on June 1 to 51% today.
Do you support or oppose allowing K-12 schools in [STATE] to open at the end of the summer?
Majority Oppose Reopening Schools
39
223961
45
3642
10
8
11
11
4
8
11
51
705028
51
5647
Overall
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
*Parents
High Infection States
Rest of Country
Support OpposeNot sureJune 1
Support Oppose49 35
36 46
44 33
67 22
58 31
49 35
49 35
*”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. “High infection states” are those that fall under the NY travel restriction list, based on a “seven day rolling average of positive tests in excess of 10%, or number of positive cases exceeding 10 per 10,000 residents.” “Rest of country” are those that do not fall on this list. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Just 20% of Americans – and only 10% of independents – support fully reopening school buildings in the fall, while most Americans either want to reopen partially or not open at all.• In high infection states, 36% support not reopening school buildings at all, while in the rest of the country, only
26% support no reopening and 45% support a partial reopening.
Which of the following do you support for schools in [STATE]?
Few Support Fully Reopening Schools
30
423216
34
3626
42
4652
34
39
3845
8
66
10
5
78
20
61040
22
1921
Overall
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Parents
High Infection States
Rest of Country
Fully reopening schools – where students attend schools in-person every day
Not reopening schools – where students remote learn everyday
Not sure
Partially reopening schools –where students attend a few
days a week and remote learn a few days a week
”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18.“High infection states” are those that fall under the NY travel restriction list, based on a “seven day rolling average of positive tests in excess of 10%, or number of positive cases exceeding 10 per 10,000 residents.” “Rest of country” are those that do not fall on this list. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nearly two in three parents say schools should be among the last to reopen to keep our kids and communities healthy, and roughly the same say they are on the side of those who are being “more cautious” about reopening schools.As you may know, decisions around how and when to reopen schools this fall are complicated. But generally speaking, which side are you on?
Public is Cautious About Reopening Schools, Think They Should Be Last to Reopen
Nationwide survey of 1,022 registered voters; April 17-22, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
As [STATE] makes decisions about what to open and what to keep closed this fall due to the pandemic, which of the following do you agree with more?
Overall
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
ParentsNationwide survey of 1,608 registered voters; June 4-8, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
61
78
70
39
64
11
9
7
12
8
28
13
23
49
28
I’m generally on the side of those who
are pushing to reopen schools
I'm generally on the side of those who are being more cautious about reopening schools Not sure
68
86
76
44
66
6
4
6
8
6
26
10
18
48
28Nationwide survey of 1,009 registered voters; June 11-15, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Schools should be among the last things to reopen – if we should be cautious about anything, it should be schools because our kids and communities need to stay healthy
Schools should be among the first things to reopen – if we open anything, it should be schools
because our kids need to learn and studies have shown they're less
likely to contract coronavirusNot sure
Nationwide survey of 1,013 registered voters; June 18-22, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nearly three in five disapprove of Trump’s handling of reopening schools this fall, including almost half who “strongly disapprove.”• Republicans who watch Fox News are driving the share who approve of the job Trump is doing handling reopening
schools: 79% approve, while only 50% of Republicans who do not watch Fox News approve.
Thinking now about President Trump and the school reopening issue...Do you approve or disapprove of how President Trump is handling the issue of whether or not to reopen schools this fall?
Just a Third Approve of Trump’s Handling of Reopening Schools
32
61967
35
7950
12
11
15
14
14
8
22
56
836619
51
1328
Overall
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Parents
Fox News Republicans
Non-Fox News Republicans
Approve DisapproveNot sure
”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18.“Republicans who watch Fox News” are Republicans who report watching Fox News at least a few times a month. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
47% strongly disapprove
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nearly three in four trust their state and local government more than the president to decide when and how to reopen schools this fall, and two in three think he should stay out of the issue and leave decisions to communities.
Thinking more specifically, who do you trust more to decide how and whether to reopen schools this fall?
Vast Majority Believe Trump Should Leave Decisions About School Reopenings to Local Leaders
Nationwide survey of 1,022 registered voters; April 17-22, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Generally speaking, which would you prefer?
Overall
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Parents
Nationwide survey of 1,608 registered voters; June 4-8, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
67
82
82
46
61
9
6
13
10
9
24
12
5
44
30
Your state and local government
President Trump and the federal governmentNot sure
72
88
77
52
69
10
9
15
9
11
18
3
8
39
20
Nationwide survey of 1,009 registered voters; June 11-15, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Trump should stay out of the school reopening issue and leave it to local communities to decide how and whether to reopen schools
Trump should get involved with the school reopening issue and use his office to ensure schools
across the country follow his guidelinesDon’t know
Nationwide survey of 1,013 registered voters; June 18-22, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
A majority of Americans trust Democrats in Congress more to handle decisions regarding reopening schools, including more than half of parents.
Please indicate who you would trust more to handle each one: Making decisions about how and when to reopen schools.
Democrats in Congress More Trusted to Handle Reopening Schools than Trump
50
85
42
10
51
18
11
41
19
14
32
4
17
71
35
Overall
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
*Parents
Democrats in Congress President TrumpNot sure
”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Net Democrats
+18
+81
+25
-61
+16
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Less than a third of Americans trust Trump to make decisions about how and whether to reopen schools in the fall, including only two in five parents. More than half do not trust Trump at all on this issue.
Below is a list of public figures and organizations. Please indicate how much you trust each one to make decisions about how and whether to reopen schools this fall.
As Trump Attacks Fauci, Far More Americans Trust Him on Schools than the President
63
33
14
4
23
63
Dr. Anthony Fauci
Donald Trump
Trust Do not trustDon’t know% Trust
Dem Ind GOP Parents
76 68 46 61
6 21 70 38
”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
41% trust a lot
51% do not trust at all
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
As you may know, Trump is pushing to reopen schools. Which of the following are your TWO biggest concerns about Trump's push to reopen schools?
Americans finds a range of Trump’s positions on school reopening concerning – including his calls to reopen without proper safety precautions and threatening to defund schools that disagree with his approach.• Among parents, nearly two in five say that their biggest concern is Trump pushing to reopen schools without
proper safety precautions.
On School Reopening, Top Concerns With Trump are Ignoring Experts to Push Unsafe Reopening, Threatening Cuts
35%
34
31
25
23
18
That he’s pushing to reopen schools without proper safety precautions – he’s said he disagrees with medical experts and doesn't want to follow the CDC guidelines for
opening schools safely
That he’s threatening schools that disagree with his push to reopen – that he's threatened to cut funding from local schools that don't reopen the way he wants
That he's pushing to reopen schools too fast – just like he pushed to reopen the economy too fast, which is now backfiring as cases surge across the country
That he’s pushing to reopen schools just to help his campaign – that he's more concerned about his image and his election than opening schools in a safe way
That he's trying to make decisions about schools that should be left to local communities – that he's trying to insert himself into decisions that should be made at
the local level
None of these
Dem Ind Rep Parents
43 44 22 37
41 24 27 35
41 30 20 34
37 34 8 25
21 25 26 22
3 15 38 15
”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
% Strongly Agree
Dem Ind GOP Parents
79 69 39 61
71 58 36 52
68 62 34 52
15 29 47 28
21 23 39 26
20 16 26 27
Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each statement.
Majority Wants Caution on Reopening SchoolsWhen presented with statements on reopening schools, more agree school reopening can’t be based on politics, that safety precautions must be in place, and that full communities need to be considered in these decisions.
Everyone wants schools to get back to normal, but we shouldn't be making decisions about schools based on politics right now. Instead, we have to listen to the public health experts, and follow their plans for reopening schools safely, letting science and facts guide decisions, not political grandstanding.We all want to get our children back in classrooms, but we have to open up our schools safely with health precautions in place, otherwise it will only lead to the coronavirus spreading further, prolonging the crisis and putting our kids' education at even greater risk.We need to consider the impact of opening schools on the entire community – from children to teachers to older at-risk school workers to at-risk people who live near schools. This is a big decision for our kids, but it's also a big decision for everyone and we need to take the health and livelihood of everyone into account.Keeping children at home instead of school comes at great cost – harming both their education and their development, while keeping parents at home supervising their children instead of working and contributing to our economy. We need our children back in school.Our goal must be having students physically present in school. While it is critically important to also put in place health and safety precautions to reduce the risk of coronavirus spread, in-person learning is just too important as studies show it is necessary for our kids' educational, mental, and physical well-being.We need to keep our communities safe and healthy from coronavirus, but in making decisions about what to open and close, schools should be the first to open and the last to close, because kids need to physically be in school. If that means keeping other things closed downso we can keep schools open, then that is what we should do.
”Parents” are those who self-report having a child/children under the age of 18. Nationwide survey of 1,002 registered voters; July 9-13, 2020.For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
62
56
54
29
28
22
26
30
35
38
38
29
12
15
12
32
34
49
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Disagree
Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted July 9-July 13, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
About the StudyGlobal Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 1,002 registered voters conducted July 9-13, 2020. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from multiple opt-in online panel vendors. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables.
About NavigatorIn a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
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