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Completing Polio Eradication February 2012

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Page 1: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Completing Polio Eradication

February 2012

Page 2: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Context

Page 3: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

I n d i a

Page 4: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5
Page 5: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

5

Routine Immunization

Immunization Days (NIDs)

Surveillance

Mop-ups

Page 6: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Polio

cas

es (t

hous

ands

)

300

200

100

0

400

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Polio-paralyzed Children, 1988-2011

Type 2 polio eradicated

Page 7: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

> 40 countries 2011

Progress: 1988-2011

1988became re-infected

Page 8: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

"WHO has removed

India from the list of

countries with wild

poliovirus"

Rukhsar Khatoon Dr Margaret Chan West Bengal, India Director-General, WHO January 2011 25 February 2012

Page 9: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

World Health Assembly Resolution 65.5

"DECLARES polio eradication a programmatic

emergency for global public health…

…urges the Director-General to rapidly finalize

a polio endgame plan".

25 May 2012

Page 10: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

The Polio Emergency

Page 11: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Response International:

• DG-led Polio Oversight Board

• emergency operations centers & SoPs

• surge of >5000 people to worst areas

National:

• Presidential/PM focal points

• multi-sectoral emergency action plans

• real-time monitoring & accountability

• extensive revision of field operations

Page 12: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Sharing Best Practices from India

Delegations from Nigeria, Pakistan,

Afghanistan

15 Indian polio staff in Nigeria x 2

missions

Page 13: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

microplanning

operational tactics

monitoring & accountability

technical innovations

social mobilization

surge support

+++ +++

+++ +++

+++ +++

+++ +++

- +

+ ++

+ ++

++++++

- ++

+ ++

+ ++

+++ +

- +

++++

+ +

+++ +

+++ +++ + ++ + ++ + ++ +++ +++ + +++ + +++ + ++

Documenting & Applying Best Practices Status prior to WHA Resolution 65.5

Documenting & Applying Best Practices Status at end-2012

India Nigeria Pakistan Afghan

Page 14: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

UN General Assembly Special Event on Polio, September 2012

Afghanistan Pakistan

Bill Gates Nigeria

Rotary WHO

IDB CDC

UNICEF

Page 15: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

The Impact

Dec 2011 Dec 2012

Page 16: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Polio, type 3 cases

All type 3 cases in last 9 months were

in Nigeria

* 2012: Nigeria = 19 cases (most recent 10 Nov); Pakistan = 3 cases (most recent 18 Apr)

Page 17: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Polio-paralyzed children at 31 Dec 2011 vs. 2012

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

Pakistan Afghanistan Nigeria Chad

Cas

es

2011 2012

Page 18: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

New evidence of improvement in key 'reservoirs' Inaccessible children in 13 high-risk

0

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

Jan Jun Jul Sep Oct

districts, Jan-Oct 2012

polio paralyzed children, last 4 months

Page 19: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Risks to the 2013 'low season push'

Pakistan: attacks on health workers

elections

Afghanistan: reduced access in AGE areas cross border transmission

Nigeria: spread into West Africa

Page 20: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Managing new risks:

• Provincial Security Coordination Committees

• Major polio campaign adjustments

• Leveraging broad Islamic community support

• Political all-party issue

Page 21: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

The Polio Eradication &

Endgame Strategic Plan

Page 22: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Goal: to complete the eradication &

containment of all wild, vaccine-related

and Sabin polioviruses.

Page 23: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Last type 2 wild poliovirus: 1999

however…..

Page 24: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

circulating Vaccine-Derived Poliovirus Outbreaks (cVDPVs), 2000-2011

Type 2 (478 cases)

Type 1 (79 cases)

Type 3 (9 cases)

Page 25: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Major Objectives

1. poliovirus detection & interruption

2. RI strengthening & OPV2 withdrawal

3. containment & certification

4. legacy planning

Page 26: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Last wild polio case Last OPV2 use Certification

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Virus detection & interruption

RI strengthening & OPV 2 withdrawal

Introduce IPV

Wild virus interruption

Outbreak response (esp. cVDPVs)

RI strengthening & OPV2 pre-requisites

OPV2 withdrawal

Containment & certification

Finalize long-term containment plans

Complete containment & certification globally

Mainstream polio functions, infrastructure & learnings Consultation Legacy Planning

26

Page 27: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

What's new?

1. addresses all polio disease (wild & vaccine)

2. urgent emphasis on routine immunization

3. introduces new IPV options for longterm risks

4. includes contingencies if delay in endemic areas

5. firm timeline to complete eradication effort

Page 28: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Routine Immunization Coverage Bihar, India

% Full immunization coverage

In 2006-10, Bihar conducted 9-11 OPV campaigns/year

Page 29: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Exploiting the polio infrastructure for routine immunization strengthening, priority focus:

• management

• microplanning

• mobilization

• monitoring

Page 30: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

The new Strategic Plan 2013-18

addresses historical errors & exploits

new technologies in a comprehensive

approach to complete eradication.

Page 31: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Major Risks

Inputs • lack of vaccines

• lack of financing

• inability to recruit human resources

Implementation • insecurity

• accountability gaps

• drop in political or societal support

Risk-specific mitigation measures & contingency plans

Page 32: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

World Health Assembly

Polio Oversight Board

Independent Monitoring Board

(IMB)

Obj 1: Poliovirus Detection & Interruption

Strategic Advisory Group of Experts

(SAGE)

Obj 2: Routine EPI strengthening &

OPV2 withdrawal

Polio Partners Group

Global Certification

Commission (GCC)

Obj 3: Global Containment &

Certification

Page 33: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Financial Requirements

US$ 5.5 billion

Page 34: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Global Commitment for Polio Eradication, 2012 – 2013 Total estimated global funding need: $2.23 billion

Page 35: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Summary

Page 36: Completing Polio Eradication - HHS.gov€¦ · Polio Partners Group. Global Certification Commission (GCC) Obj 3: Global Containment & Certification. Financial Requirements. US$ 5.5

Today, the world has the lowest-ever number of polio

cases & infected countries, and the

best-ever opportunity to stop all transmission.