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Completing Polio Eradication
February 2012
Context
I n d i a
5
Routine Immunization
Immunization Days (NIDs)
Surveillance
Mop-ups
Polio
cas
es (t
hous
ands
)
300
200
100
0
400
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Polio-paralyzed Children, 1988-2011
Type 2 polio eradicated
> 40 countries 2011
Progress: 1988-2011
1988became re-infected
"WHO has removed
India from the list of
countries with wild
poliovirus"
Rukhsar Khatoon Dr Margaret Chan West Bengal, India Director-General, WHO January 2011 25 February 2012
World Health Assembly Resolution 65.5
"DECLARES polio eradication a programmatic
emergency for global public health…
…urges the Director-General to rapidly finalize
a polio endgame plan".
25 May 2012
The Polio Emergency
Response International:
• DG-led Polio Oversight Board
• emergency operations centers & SoPs
• surge of >5000 people to worst areas
National:
• Presidential/PM focal points
• multi-sectoral emergency action plans
• real-time monitoring & accountability
• extensive revision of field operations
Sharing Best Practices from India
Delegations from Nigeria, Pakistan,
Afghanistan
15 Indian polio staff in Nigeria x 2
missions
microplanning
operational tactics
monitoring & accountability
technical innovations
social mobilization
surge support
+++ +++
+++ +++
+++ +++
+++ +++
- +
+ ++
+ ++
++++++
- ++
+ ++
+ ++
+++ +
- +
++++
+ +
+++ +
+++ +++ + ++ + ++ + ++ +++ +++ + +++ + +++ + ++
Documenting & Applying Best Practices Status prior to WHA Resolution 65.5
Documenting & Applying Best Practices Status at end-2012
India Nigeria Pakistan Afghan
UN General Assembly Special Event on Polio, September 2012
Afghanistan Pakistan
Bill Gates Nigeria
Rotary WHO
IDB CDC
UNICEF
The Impact
Dec 2011 Dec 2012
Polio, type 3 cases
All type 3 cases in last 9 months were
in Nigeria
* 2012: Nigeria = 19 cases (most recent 10 Nov); Pakistan = 3 cases (most recent 18 Apr)
Polio-paralyzed children at 31 Dec 2011 vs. 2012
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
Pakistan Afghanistan Nigeria Chad
Cas
es
2011 2012
New evidence of improvement in key 'reservoirs' Inaccessible children in 13 high-risk
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
Jan Jun Jul Sep Oct
districts, Jan-Oct 2012
polio paralyzed children, last 4 months
Risks to the 2013 'low season push'
Pakistan: attacks on health workers
elections
Afghanistan: reduced access in AGE areas cross border transmission
Nigeria: spread into West Africa
Managing new risks:
• Provincial Security Coordination Committees
• Major polio campaign adjustments
• Leveraging broad Islamic community support
• Political all-party issue
The Polio Eradication &
Endgame Strategic Plan
Goal: to complete the eradication &
containment of all wild, vaccine-related
and Sabin polioviruses.
Last type 2 wild poliovirus: 1999
however…..
circulating Vaccine-Derived Poliovirus Outbreaks (cVDPVs), 2000-2011
Type 2 (478 cases)
Type 1 (79 cases)
Type 3 (9 cases)
Major Objectives
1. poliovirus detection & interruption
2. RI strengthening & OPV2 withdrawal
3. containment & certification
4. legacy planning
Last wild polio case Last OPV2 use Certification
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Virus detection & interruption
RI strengthening & OPV 2 withdrawal
Introduce IPV
Wild virus interruption
Outbreak response (esp. cVDPVs)
RI strengthening & OPV2 pre-requisites
OPV2 withdrawal
Containment & certification
Finalize long-term containment plans
Complete containment & certification globally
Mainstream polio functions, infrastructure & learnings Consultation Legacy Planning
26
What's new?
1. addresses all polio disease (wild & vaccine)
2. urgent emphasis on routine immunization
3. introduces new IPV options for longterm risks
4. includes contingencies if delay in endemic areas
5. firm timeline to complete eradication effort
Routine Immunization Coverage Bihar, India
% Full immunization coverage
In 2006-10, Bihar conducted 9-11 OPV campaigns/year
Exploiting the polio infrastructure for routine immunization strengthening, priority focus:
• management
• microplanning
• mobilization
• monitoring
The new Strategic Plan 2013-18
addresses historical errors & exploits
new technologies in a comprehensive
approach to complete eradication.
Major Risks
Inputs • lack of vaccines
• lack of financing
• inability to recruit human resources
Implementation • insecurity
• accountability gaps
• drop in political or societal support
Risk-specific mitigation measures & contingency plans
World Health Assembly
Polio Oversight Board
Independent Monitoring Board
(IMB)
Obj 1: Poliovirus Detection & Interruption
Strategic Advisory Group of Experts
(SAGE)
Obj 2: Routine EPI strengthening &
OPV2 withdrawal
Polio Partners Group
Global Certification
Commission (GCC)
Obj 3: Global Containment &
Certification
Financial Requirements
US$ 5.5 billion
Global Commitment for Polio Eradication, 2012 – 2013 Total estimated global funding need: $2.23 billion
Summary
Today, the world has the lowest-ever number of polio
cases & infected countries, and the
best-ever opportunity to stop all transmission.