comprehensive development plan sea-tac international airport 2003-2005 briefing to: mediated role...

Comprehensive Development PlanSea-Tac International Airport

2003-2005

Briefing to:

Mediated Role Determination CommitteeApril 20, 2006


2003-2005

MissionPrepare Sea-Tac Airport to meet the region's air passenger and cargo demands. Identify needs, propose solutions, and help prioritize capital projects and operational strategies that will ensure development of a balanced, integrated, and flexible airport.

VisionTo be a valued and highly sought after provider of information on airport facilities and operations and an industry leader in developing creative, cost-effective, and proactive solutions to airport challenges.

S E A – T A C A V I A T I O N P L A N N I N GS E A – T A C A V I A T I O N P L A N N I N G


2003-2005

P L A N O V E R V I E WP L A N O V E R V I E W

Planning Goals Cost control Balance airfield, terminal, and landside capacity Trigger driven / incremental facility expansion User friendly facilities

Site Constraints

Three-runway airfield limits Airport capacity

Expansion of terminal and landside capacity requires relocation of existing facilities

3


2003-2005

P L A N O V E R V I E WP L A N O V E R V I E W

CDP Planning

Assessed facilities requirements at full build-out

Validated CDP “one-terminal” concept Identified necessary phasing of projects based on interdependencies

4

CDP report can be downloaded at: http://mmm.portseattle.org/seatac/expansion/index.shtml


2003-2005

M O D E L I N GM O D E L I N G

5

Airside – Total Airspace & Airport Modeler (TAAM) Modeling

Developed gated schedule with stakeholder input

Refined airfield capacity estimate

Confirmed function of airside with CDP improvements

Terminal – Spreadsheet Modeling

Determined facility requirements for 52 million annual passengers

Confirmed terminal expansion concept

Landside – Spreadsheet & VisSim® Modeling

Determined facility requirements for 52 million annual passengers

Confirmed single loop concept


2003-2005

F U T U R E A I R P O R T A C I V I T Y A S U M P T I O N SF U T U R E A I R P O R T A C I V I T Y A S U M P T I O N S

6

Gated Schedule Assumptions

Domestic / International split remains constant

Stable fleet mix

Origin & destination passengers 75% of total

Load factors:

Air Carrier Domestic 72%

Air Carrier International 77.2%

Regional Carrier 59%

Total future passengers derived from aircraft operations at airfield capacity with applied load factors


2003-2005

R E C E N T A I R P O R T A C T I V I T YR E C E N T A I R P O R T A C T I V I T Y

7

Mar. 2006 Mar. YTD

Passengers 2,391,622 2.0% 3.0%

Operations 27,164 -5.1% -4.8%

Average Load Factor 80.8% 3.9% 4.5%

Data are preliminary and subject to minor adjustments

% Change v. 2005

Airport Activity HighlightsMarch 2006


2003-2005

R E C E N T A I R P O R T A C T I V I T YR E C E N T A I R P O R T A C T I V I T Y

8

349,380 353,994371,186

398,872 404,542382,588

337,630 330,708 337,464321,788

69.5

70.8

73.272.3

75.0

73.0 72.7

75.1

77.3

81.1

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Pa

ss

en

ge

r A

irc

raft

Op

era

tio

ns

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

74.0

76.0

78.0

80.0

82.0

Do

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c L

oa

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ac

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(%)


2003-2005

C D P F I N D I N G S & A S S U M P T I O N SC D P F I N D I N G S & A S S U M P T I O N S

9

Airline Proportion (2021 - 2023)

60% Alaska Air Group

40% Other

Airfield Capacity (2021 - 2023)

550,000 annual aircraft operations

45 million annual passengers (MAP)

16 minutes average annual delay per aircraft operation

Approximate 3% Annual Growth in Passengers

Increased Gate Utilization

5.5 turns per gate in 2005 (average day peak month)

7.7 turns per gate in 2021 - 2023 (average day peak month)


2003-2005

10

P A S S E N G E R G R O W T H P R O J E C T I O N SP A S S E N G E R G R O W T H P R O J E C T I O N S

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Year

Mil

lio

n A

nn

ual

Passen

gers

Actual Master Plan Update (1997)

CDP(2004)

TAF 2005 (Sept. Draft)


2003-2005

N E X T S T E P SN E X T S T E P S

11

WSDOT Long-term Air Transportation Study 2005 - 2007

Record of Decision following CDP Environmental Review Dec, 2006

Detailed Facility Planning of CDP Projects

On-going Trigger Monitoring Program


2003-2005

Port of Seattle

Michael Cheyne

(206) 431-4994

[email protected]

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