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Bilanzpressekonferenz zum Geschäftsjahr 2014 Ausblick und Strategie 31. März 2015 Analysts and Investors Conference Fiscal Year 2014 Outlook and Strategy March 31, 2015 1

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  • Bilanzpressekonferenz

    zum Geschftsjahr 2014 Ausblick und Strategie

    31. Mrz 2015

    Analysts and Investors Conference

    Fiscal Year 2014 Outlook and Strategy

    March 31, 2015

    1

  • Organic sales growth (ex scope changes and at constant exchange rates) at 11.2% exceeds target range of 5-7% and tops car markets

    growth of 3%

    Full consolidation of EK Marusan Corporation adds EUR 23.1 mn in sales, (minor earnings contribution before ppa; 0.3% margin dilution)

    Clean EBIT adjusted for one-offs and EUR 3.4 mn ppa increased to EUR 162.3 (149.8 mn) mn Clean EBIT margin 12.2%

    E-Mobility clearly below original expectations: Due to sluggish demand for BEVs negative earnings contribution of EUR 8.1 mn (7.3 mn)

    Brazilian subsidiary EUR 4 mn below budget due to market breakdown

    Sixth consecutive year of dividend increase EUR 0.55 (0.50) per share

    Financial Year 2014: Highlights

    2

  • 13.2%

    5.0%

    3.6%

    0.8%

    0.1%

    -13.0%

    -14.7%

    -20% -10% 0% 10% 20%

    China

    USA

    W. Europe

    Japan

    India

    Russia

    Brazil

    2014: Global car production driven by China, NAFTA and

    European recovery Brazil and Russia down sharply

    Car production 2014 (yoy change)

    3

  • 2014: Effects from assumption of control of ElringKlinger

    Marusan Corporation

    in mn

    FY 2013

    (as originally

    reported)

    FY 2013

    (as restated;

    at equity)

    FY 2014

    (at 100%)

    Sales 25.1 -- 46.2

    2

    EBIT 0.8 -- 1.3

    One-off gain 17.6 17.6 --

    PPA -- -- -2.2

    Control of Marusan Corporation was assumed with effect from Dec. 31,

    2013; due to retrospective application of IFRS 11, Marusan was

    consolidated at equity in 2013 and fully consolidated in 2014

    Margin dilution effect of 0.3 percentage points at Group level

    Marusan sales in 2014 stable at constant exchange rates 4

  • 475 528

    608 6581

    579

    796

    1,0332

    1,127 1,1503

    1,326

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Sales revenues driven by long-term organic growth

    mn

    1 Incl. acquisitions of SEVEX (~ EUR 46mn sales) and Marusan (~EUR 14 mn sales)

    2 Incl. acquisitions of flat gaskets business of Freudenberg (~ EUR 53 mn sales) and Hug Group (~ EUR 29 mn sales)

    3 Marusan excluded with retrospective effect (~ EUR -25 mn sales) due to IFRS 11 5

  • 70.9

    87.6

    114.9

    60.0

    49.4

    94.0

    113.91

    126.6 131.32

    153.1

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    180

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Earnings before taxes

    mn

    1 Excl. one-time gain of EUR 22.7 mn from sale of industrial park

    2 Excl. one-time gain of EUR 17.6 mn resulting from the assumption of control of ElringKlinger Marusan Corporation 6

  • Group Sales by segment 2014 (py)

    OE share up driven by structural growth and new products

    Industrial Parks

    0.3% (0.4%) Services

    0.6% (0.7%)

    OE

    82.2% (80.5%)

    Engineered Plastics

    7.0% (8.0%)

    Aftermarket

    9.9% (10.4%)

    7

  • OE segment by division 2014 (py)

    Strong growth in Exhaust Abatement and Specialty Gaskets

    Specialty Gaskets

    19% (18%)

    Exhaust

    Abatement

    7% (6%) Cylinder-Head Gaskets

    17% (18%)

    Shielding Technology

    31% (32%)

    E-Mobility

    1% (1%)

    Housing Modules

    25% (25%)

    8

  • Group Sales by region 2014 (py)

    Recovery in W. Europe, Asia driven by EKMA consolidation

    South America & Others 4.4% (5.7%)

    Rest of Europe 32.7% (31.2%)

    Germany

    29.3% (31.4%)

    Asia-Pacific 17.0% (14.3%) incl. exports: ~25% of OE sales

    NAFTA 16.6% (17.4%) incl. exports: ~25% of OE sales

    9

  • Employees worldwide 54% outside Germany as of December 31, 2014 (py)

    AG

    2,488 (2,301)

    Domestic subsidiaries

    854 (754)

    International

    subsidiaries

    3,913 (3,661)

    Germany

    3,342 (3,055)

    +9.4%

    Group

    7,255 (6,716)

    +8.0%

    10

  • One-off expenses affecting Q4 performance:

    EUR 2.0 mn of inventory corrections and adjustments at ElringKlinger Korea related to plant relocation to the newly built site at Gumi

    EUR 1.5 mn in warranty-related charges to settle insurance case from 2008 (allowance for receivables);

    EUR 8.5 mn cash proceeds from insurance payments; no longer any

    risks associated with this matter

    EUR 1.4 mn one-time allocation to provisions due to amendments to Management Board contracts of service in respect of long-term variable

    incentive components of compensation (LTI II) related to prior years

    Financial Year 2014: One-offs

    11

  • FY 2014: Sales and EBIT (=operating result)

    in mn

    2014 2013

    (restated)1

    Change

    in %

    Sales 1,325.8 1,150.1 +15.3

    Cost of Sales 967.4 824.5 +17.3

    EBITDA 233.4 221.02 +5.6

    EBIT

    (operating result) 154.0 146.62 +5.0

    Clean EBIT pre PPA 162.33 149.82,4 +8.3

    1 Previous year's figures adjusted due to retroactive application of IFRS 11,

    resulting from at equity consolidation of ElringKlinger Marusan Corporation in 2013

    2 Excl. EUR 17.6 mn one-time gain from assumption of control of Marusan

    3 Excl. EUR 2.0 mn of adjustments at ElringKlinger Korea, EUR 1.5 mn in warranty-related charges, EUR 1.4 mn

    provisions for Mgt. Board compensation relating to prior periods, EUR 3.4 mn PPA

    4 Excl. EUR 1.4 mn one-time gain ElringKlinger Korea, EUR 1.8 mn restruct. charge Nantiat, EUR 1.5 mn one-offs

    Aftermarket, EUR 1.3 mn PPA 12

  • FY 2014 : Financial Result and Net Income

    in mn

    2014 2013

    (restated) 1

    Change

    in %

    Net finance cost -0.9 -15.3 +94.1

    EBT 153.1 131.32 +16.6

    Taxes 42.5 32.82 +29.6

    Net income 110.6 98.52 +12.3

    Profit attrib. to EK

    shareholders 105.7 92.72 +14.0

    EPS (in ) 1.67 1.462 +14.4

    1 Previous year's figures adjusted due to retroactive application of IFRS 11,

    resulting from at equity consolidation of ElringKlinger Marusan Corporation in 2013

    2 Excl. EUR 17.6 mn one-time gain from assumption of control of Marusan 13

  • 286.8 303.3

    294.0 291.1

    324.0 333.5 327.4

    340.9

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2013

    2014

    Sales by quarter

    1 Previous year's figures adjusted due to retroactive application of IFRS 11;

    at equity treatment of ElringKlinger Marusan Corporation in 2013

    281.01 296.11

    287.51 285.51

    mn

    14

  • 32.81

    41.01 38.21

    34.61,2

    42.1 41.5 41.2

    29.2

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2013

    2014

    EBIT by quarter (= operating result)

    1 Previous year's figure adjusted due to retroactive application of IFRS 11; at equity treatment of ElringKlinger Marusan Corporation

    2 excl. EUR 17.6 mn one-time gain

    mn

    15

  • 33.7

    41.2 40.1

    34.81

    43.0 42.3 42.1

    34.9

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    2013

    2014

    Clean EBIT pre PPA

    1 Previous year's figure adjusted due to retroactive application of IFRS 11; at equity treatment of ElringKlinger Marusan Corporation

    mn

    16

  • 925.91

    1,089.7

    233.91 282.2

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    FY 2013 FY 2014 Q4 2013 Q4 2014

    +20.6%

    Q4 2014: OE sales up 20.6 % driven by core

    business, higher tooling sales, EKMA scope change

    1 Previous year's figures adjusted due to retroactive application of IFRS 11; at equity treatment of ElringKlinger Marusan

    Corporation (- EUR 25.1 mn in FY 2013; - EUR 5.6 mn in Q4 2013)

    2 excl. EUR 17.6 mn one-time gain

    mn FY EBIT +5.3%

    111.2 (105.62)

    +17.7%

    17

  • 119.3

    130.7

    26.4 33.4

    0

    30

    60

    90

    120

    150

    FY 2013 FY 2014 Q4 2013 Q4 2014

    +26.5%

    Q4 2014: Aftermarket sales up by 26.5%

    Strong performance in Eastern Europe

    mn FY EBIT +11.6%

    25.1 (22.5)

    +9.6%

    18

  • 92.6 92.9

    22.2 22.1

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    FY 2013 FY 2014 Q4 2013 Q4 2014

    Q4 2014: Sales Engineered Plastics down 0.5%

    mn FY EBIT -4.3%

    15.4 (16.1)

    +0.3%

    -0.5%

    19

  • Project-related and product-mix related business implies higher sales/earnings volatility over the quarters also in 2015

    Hugs EBIT margin (21.2%) to remain above Group average

    Disproportionately high comparison basis in Q1

    2014: Exhaust Gas Purification division

    Good yoy growth but H2 below H1 level

    in mn Hug Group

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY

    14

    FY

    13

    Sales 20.7 19.5 17.1 13.8 71.1 57.6

    EBIT 7.6 4.0 2.0 1.5 15.1 13.6

    PPA 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.3

    20

  • EBIT bridge financial year 2014

    154.0 3.4 2.0 1.5 1.4 162.3

    4.0 5.0

    EBITreported

    PPA Inv. corr.,adj. EKKO

    Chargeswarr. case

    ProvisionsLTI II

    Clean EBITpre ppa

    EBIT dev.Brazil

    Earningsdiff.

    E-Mob

    mn

    21

  • 126.2

    74.5

    112.3 119.0

    149.9

    0

    40

    80

    120

    160

    200

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Net cash from operating activities up 26.0% in 2014

    mn

    22

  • Cash flow bridge 2014

    62.9

    149.9

    52.9

    -163.1

    -32.8

    -1.1 68.7

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Cash atDec 31,

    2013

    Net cashfrom

    operatingactivities

    Investments Dividendspaid

    Change infinancialliabilities

    Others Cash atDec 31,

    2014

    mn

    23

  • 134.3

    121.6 114.3

    125.6

    163.1

    ~110

    82.2

    96.8

    79.4 74.4

    79.2

    0

    40

    80

    120

    160

    200

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Capex rate going forward expected at 7-9% of sales

    mn

    Investments in

    property, plant and

    equipment and

    intangible assets

    Deprecation and

    amortization

    24

    ppe

  • 41.1 40.9

    22.4 22.1

    58.9 59.1

    27.2 28.2

    50.4 49.7

    Dec 31,2013

    Dec 31,2014

    Dec 31,2013

    Dec 31,2014

    Balance sheet structure as at December 31, 2014

    Equity ratio remains solid

    Non-current assets / liabilities

    Current assets / liabilities

    Shareholders equity

    Assets

    in %

    Liabilities and

    shareholders equity in %

    25

  • 0.15 0.20

    0.35 0.401

    0.45 0.50

    0.55

    0.00

    0.20

    0.40

    0.60

    0.80

    1.00

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Consistent dividend policy

    6th consecutive increase of regular dividend

    1 Regular dividend

    26

  • Cutting CO2: Legislation a long-term driver for structural

    growth

    95

    prop. 75-65

    ~178

    102

    ~160

    112

    0

    40

    80

    120

    160

    200

    2020 2025 2015 2025 2015 2025

    EU US China

    2011: 135.7 g/km 2010: 255.6 g/km 2008: 185 g/km

    CO2 limit in g/km

    Source: A.T. Kearney, VDA, EK research

    27

  • Its All About Emissions: Downsizing the combustion engine versus E-Mobility

    Exhaust abatement

    Downsizing/ Lightweight

    E-Mobility

    CORE

    BUSINESS

    HUG: EAT Division

    New business areas

    long-term potential

    28

  • Improving efficiency in combustion engines

    will clearly remain a key driver in the

    foreseeable future

    EK provides key technology enabling

    engine for downsizing/ turbocharging

    EK features a leading market position in

    turbocharger gasketing

    Projected market demand growth CAGR > 10%

    Structural growth: Downsizing and Turbocharging

    Inlet gasket

    Outlet gasket

    Heat shield

    Light-weight

    resonator

    V-ring

    Flap

    29

  • Hug: Sustainable exhaust abatement off-road, on rail and

    on water

    Manifold applications: stationary engines, material handling, oil and mining, natural gas power plants

    Driver: Stricter emission legislation for non-road applications

    US DPF truck retrofit market still solid: Hug market share tops 30%

    Significant sales potential with nauticlean systems (DPF/DeNOx/HC) for ships (IMO Tier 3)

    Following promising tests, installation of first DPF system for bunker oil powered high sea ship engine

    30

  • Growth with HFHT: New lightweight technology ramping

    up in 2015

    Unique process of combining lightweight

    metal with plastics in cooperation with

    premium OE

    First products in high-growth area light-

    weight body/chassis components (carriers)

    Largest contract in company history

    ramping up in 2015 (EUR 130 mn in total)

    SOP in China and North America in HY1

    and HY2 2015 respectively

    Significant follow-up market potential,

    licensing contract terms in negotiation

    31

  • E-Mobility Update: Fuel Cell Technology and Battery

    Components

    Cell contact systems for fully battery electric

    vehicles and plug-in hybrids

    2014 below expectations: sales at EUR 11.0

    (8.4) mn, EBIT EUR -8.0 (-7.2 m) due to

    sluggish demand for EVs

    For the time being low oil and fuel prices

    burden competitive position of BEVs

    Fuel-cell: Bipolar plates and fuel-cell stacks

    SOFC auxiliary power units for trucks, ships, RVs, homes and stationary applications in

    development (new enerday takeover adds

    system expertise)

    First contract for PEM fuel cell stacks for material handling equipment

    32

  • EK expects overall worldwide LV production to grow by 2% in 2015

    NAFTA: continued slight growth

    China: slowing growth at record levels, car sales expected to grow approx. 7%

    Western Europe: Ongoing modest recovery in Western Europe but still way below pre-crisis level (2007); German car market will expand only slightly

    Mixed signals from BRI markets: Brazil: stabilization at low levels

    Russia: another weak year ahead (-20 to -25%)

    India: expected to continue recovery

    Truck sales in Europe recovering (+5%) from low levels; US truck sales increasing moderately following double digit gains in 2014

    Outlook car markets 2015: Another year of moderate

    growth - divergence continues

    33

  • Outperforming market growth by 4-5%

    Strong structural growth across all divisions

    Due to ongoing sluggish demand in BEV/ PHEV market and low fuel prices the E-Mobility division is not likely to see a fundamental improvement in

    earnings performance (originally break-even target)

    Brazil and Russia to remain at depressed levels

    Positive earnings contribution from M&W acquisition but temporarily slight margin dilution

    Currency tailwinds

    Outlook 2015: The Group

    34

  • Outlook 2015: Financial performance

    in mn

    FY 2014 Guidance FY 2015

    Sales 1,325.8 5-7% organic growth

    (plus 30 mn scope change M&W) 2

    Clean EBIT

    pre ppa 162.3 170-180

    Investments1 147.0 approx. 110

    ROCE 12.4% slight increase

    Order intake up 10.5% at EUR 1,418.6 mn (up 8.3% excl. scope changes)

    Order backlog up 15.6% at EUR 688.2 mn

    Capex also dependent on euro exchange rate 35

    1 in plant, (investment) property and equipment

  • Bilanzpressekonferenz

    zum Geschftsjahr 2014 Ausblick und Strategie

    31. Mrz 2015

    36

  • Disclaimer Forward-looking Statements and Predictions

    This presentation contains statements about the future. These statements are based on current

    expectations, market evaluations and predictions by the Management Board, and on information

    that is currently available to them. The statements about the future should not be interpreted as

    guarantees of the future developments and results that they refer to. Whilst the Management

    Board are convinced that the statements that have been made, and the convictions and

    expectations on which they are based, are realistic, they rely on suppositions that may

    conceivably prove to be incorrect; future results and developments are dependant on a

    multitude of factors, they involve various risks and imponderabilities that can affect whether the

    ongoing development deviates from the expectations that have been expressed. These factors

    include, for example, changes to the general economic and business situation, variations of

    exchange rates and interest rates, poor acceptance of new products and services, and changes

    to business strategy.

    37