conflicting choices
TRANSCRIPT
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Bangalore27 Feb 10
Conflicting Choices & Decision Making
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Agenda
The Theory1
Way Forward
3
A Practical Introspection2
4
Process Examples
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Conflicting choice 1
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Decision making
• Cognitive process.
• Several alternatives.
• Pruned down to one
choice.
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Style
• Rational
• Intuitive
• Others – (Avoidant, Delayed, Flexible…)
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Rational
DefineDefine(the situation)(the situation)
GenerateGenerate(Alternatives)(Alternatives)
SelectSelect(Choice)(Choice)
ActAct(on selection)(on selection)
Conflicting choice 2
• World War II• Nazi Secret Service
Code Broken• “Germany planned to
bomb Coventry”• 2 Choices
– Clear Coventry of people• Save hundreds of lives• Germans will know that their code is broken.
– Do not Clear Coventry• Hundreds killed but the information will keep flowing. • Possibly save many more lives and help end the war
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Conflicting choice 3
Years after, customers complained life of tires were low.
Higher wear and tear.
What Toyota did? – They send a $500 cheque with a apology letter to each customer – Some of them had changed the cars years back?
Material composition changed to make tires softer & give better ride.
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Style
• Rational
• Intuitive
• Others – (Avoidant, Delayed, Flexible…)
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Style
• Rational
• Intuitive
• Others – (Avoidant, Delayed, Flexible…)
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Intutive
People actually use an intuitive approach 90% of the time
» Psychologist Dr Gary Klein
However– Past Experience– Perceptions– And training can influence this kind of decision
making
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Intuitive decision making
• 0.5 – 0.7 secs – Reaction time• Wet rubber balls• Air conditioners switched off.• Half pitch bowling• Bowling machine
– Settings not known
• "The foundation of success is
achieved when people are not
actually watching. The reason behind
Sachin's resurgence in the last one
year has been the hard work he has
put into his fitness," Harsha Bhogle
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Let’s now make it PERSONAL
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Luciano Pavarotti
Ronald Reagan
Choose one Chair….
Make your own decisions
or someone else will…
..
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Merck
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Merck
• River Blindness
• Oct 21 1987 – MECTIZAN
• MDP
• 16 Million Children, 25 Million Hectares,
• 11 Countries in W Africa
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
However
“God has placed in each of us the creative, entrepreneurial, "impossible" ability to focus on a plurality of areas in life whilst maintaining a single focus also”
That Single Focus – GOD….
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
"In the beginning God...” Genesis 1:1
"The grace of the Lord Jesus Christ...“ Rev 22:21
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How do I find Gods Will
• If you do not love God you will not bother with his will.
• Gods will and Gods Word never Contradict
• God Never states the Obvious
• Rom 12:2 Do not conform any longer.... renewal of Mind…
• Visions , Dreams, Conscience
• Fleece…
• Godly Counsel.
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Never Give Up
Steven Bradbury – Olympics 2002
Medal record
Short track speed skating
Olympic Games
Gold 2002 Salt Lake City 1000 m
Bronze 1994 Lillehammer 5000 m relay
World Championships
Gold 1991 Sydney 5000 m relay
Silver 1994 Guildford 5000 m relay
Bronze 1993 Beijing 5000 m relay
Conflicting Choices & Decision MakingConflicting Choices & Decision Making
Obviously I wasn't the fastest skater. I
don't think I'll take the medal as the
minute-and-a-half of the race I actually
won. I'll take it as the last decade of the
hard slog I put in.