contestable market theory

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    Contestable Market Theory

    (An Overview)by

    Robert R. Ebert. Ph.D.

    Professor of Economics

    Baldwin-Wallace College

    Copyright 2003 Robert R. Ebert

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    Contestable Markets The Questions:

    How much rivalry exists in markets?

    Is the number of firms in a market a good measure ofindustry rivalry?

    Contestable Market Theory:

    Suggests that under certain conditions, markets with

    just a few firms can yield results with the sameeconomic welfare effects as perfect competition

    i.e., rivals in the markets can attain both productive and

    allocative efficiency.

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    General Micro Theory

    Assumption Standard models of imperfect competition

    (monopoly, oligopoly, monopolistic

    competition)

    Competition is limited and impeded

    Entry is limited

    Firms are price makers Firms have some degree of market power

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    Perfectly Contestable MarketsA market which achieves an equilibrium

    that protects it from entry of new firms

    Prices must be set at P = MC

    Does not depend on number of firms in the

    industry

    Key factor is firms price in such a way as toward off entry

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    (conditions necessary for)

    Entry is absolutely free and exit is costless Does not mean there is no expense at entry

    Does mean a new entrant suffers no

    disadvantage in terms of productive technique

    or product quality relative to established firm

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    (conditions necessary for, contd.) Potential entrants evaluate profitability

    in terms of established firms pre-entry

    prices Freedom of exit means firms can leave

    without impediment

    In the process of departure, can recoupany costs incurred in the entry process For example, all capital is salable or reusable

    without loss other than costs associated withnormal use and depreciation

    Thus, any risk of entry is eliminated

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    The Critical Feature

    Critical Feature is vulnerability to hit-

    and-run entry

    Even a transient profit would not be

    neglected by a potential entrant

    A new entrant could go in, and beforeprices change, collect gains and then exit

    the market without cost before the climate

    turns hostile

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    (PCM)

    and Economic Welfare

    A PCM never offers more than a normal rate of

    profit Because of hit-and-run entry, economic profits must

    be zero, even if it is an oligopoly or monopoly

    Any positive profit means a transient entrant can set up

    business and undercut the established firms price and stillearn a profit

    There is an absence of inefficiency in a PCM

    Any unnecessary cost constitutes an invitation to

    entry

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    (PCM)

    and Economic Welfare (contd.)

    Predatory pricing not possible i.e. price cannot be below MC

    If P < MC; invites entry

    New entrant sells less but at a lower price

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets (PCM)

    and Economic Welfare

    P > MC (like at PE) not

    possible;

    New entrants compete themarket away

    P < MC irrational

    New entrant lowers price and takes part of market

    Operates at Qz where P' = MR = MC

    Existing firm retaliates and lowers price to below P'

    Price war drives firm out

    AC

    D

    MC

    MR

    PE

    P'

    P < MC

    QE

    QZ

    QY

    . ... D

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    Policy Implications

    Number of firms in the industry is not a good

    measure of either market power or competition Deviations from classical competitive norm need

    not prevent invisible hand from working if hit-

    and-run entry exists

    Absence of entry may be a virtue, not a vice if P = MC (allocative efficiency)

    if productive efficiency achieved

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    Perfectly Contestable Markets

    Policy Implications

    Policy should aim to reduce entry costs to

    stimulate potential competition Government tax incentives/subsidies to bear

    sunk costs Government actually operate certain facilities (ex.

    airports) Rapid depreciation and tax benefits for new

    investment in tooling