convergence of traditional & new: the unique optionality of mass (mar/2013…

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The growing consensus is that the traditional media are losing value to newer media. We disagree with this view on two counts: (1) The distinction between the two groups is increasingly vague; (2) the more important difference is between advertising-based & transactional media. With this backdrop, we think there is great value in the large & engaged audience that the traditional media have amassed & we believe this value will start to be recognized as all media sectors evolve. This presentation illustrates some of the historical & anticipated trends described. It is not a comprehensive review of industry activities or a survey of competitors. Nor is it an analysis or set of recommendations for purposes of assessing any investment, public or private.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Convergence of Traditional & New: The Unique Optionality of Mass (Mar/2013…
Page 2: Convergence of Traditional & New: The Unique Optionality of Mass (Mar/2013…

The growing consensus is that the traditional media are losing value to newer media. We disagree with this view on two counts: (1) The distinction between the two groups is increasingly vague; (2) the more important di!erence is between advertising-based & transactional media. With this backdrop, we think there is great value in the large & engaged audience that the traditional media have amassed & we believe this value will start to be recognized as all media sectors evolve.

This presentation illustrates some of the historical & anticipated trends described. It is not a comprehensive review of industry activities or a survey of competitors. Nor is it an analysis or set of recommendations for purposes of assessing any investment, public or private.

CONVERGENCE OF TRADITIONAL & NEW:THE UNIQUE OPTIONALITY OF MASS

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

Page 3: Convergence of Traditional & New: The Unique Optionality of Mass (Mar/2013…

BACKGROUND

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

Page 4: Convergence of Traditional & New: The Unique Optionality of Mass (Mar/2013…

4

IN THE VALUE COMPETITION BETWEEN TRADITIONAL & NEW MEDIA, NEITHER HAS EMERGED A CLEAR WINNER

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

DJUSME = Dow Jones US Media IndexFDN = First Trust DJ Internet Index Fund (ETF)

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WHILE THE DIGITAL TECH LANDSCAPE CONTINUES TO SHIFT & FIND ITS EQUILIBRIUM…

Facebook Google

Amazon Apple

S O C I A LI N F O R M

AT I ON

TR

AN

SA C T I O N A L E N T E R T A I N

ME

NT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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6

S O C I A LI N F O R M

AT I ON

TR

AN

SA C T I O N A L E N T E R T A I N

ME

NT

I N F O R MAT I O

N

Facebook

I N F O R MAT I O

N

AppleAmazon

I N F O R MAT I O

N

Google

Google + FB Graph Search

iBooks & iTunesKindle Fire

FB Credits

AMZN Reviews/Suggestions

Android

Siri Voice Search

Google Shopping

Kindle Silk

FB Apps

iMessage

Retailers & Advertisers

Enterprise

News & Media

Telcos & Devices

Finance

Government

Travel & Leisure

Data

News Organizations

Specialty Networks

Broadcast TV & Radio

Public Relations

Specialty Publications

Government

Retailers & Advertisers

Security

Telcos

Device Manufacturers

Media Conglomerates

Cable & Satellite

Telcos

Gaming Software & Consoles

Broadcast & News

Cable Networks

Entertainment

Retailers

Advertisers & Marketers

Commercial Banks

Credit Cards & Payment Networks

Telcos

Mobile Device Makers

Data

Twitter

Tumblr

LinkedIn

MySpace

Friendster

StockTwits

Yelp Flickr

InstagramSkype

Bing

Wikipedia

Quora Yahoo!

WebMDWeather.com

MapQuest

TechCrunch

GigaOm Business Insider

Aol MSN

Netflix

Hulu

Spotify

Pandora

Turntable.fm

Zynga

YouTubeEBay

Groupon

Gilt

Kayak

Etsy

Priceline

Zillow

Foursquare

Hailo

Square

Uber

Craigslist

PayPal

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

... COMPETITORS ARE REPOSITIONING & ADAPTING TO NEW TRENDS

Pinterest

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7

AS THIS OCCURS, MEDIA’S CORE PRODUCT - ADVERTISING - HAS FRAGMENTED & BECOME INCREASINGLY COMPLEX…

MARKETERS

AGENCIES

$

$$$

BRANDS

$

$

$

$

$

$

$$

$

$ $

$$

$

$

$

$

AD SERVERS

EXCHANGES

NETWORKS

SELL-SIDE PLATFORMSFILTERS

DATA ANALYTICS

PLACEMENT

LEAD GEN

$$

P.R.$$

$

$

$

TRADING DESKS

RETARGETING

SECURITY

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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8

… WHILE DIRECT COMMERCE HAS GAINED MOMENTUM & THRIVED

E-COMMERCE

PAYMENTS

MOBILE COMMERCE

SUBSCRIPTIONS

DATA

CPA-BASED

MERCHANT SOLUTIONS

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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9

A DIVERGENCE BETWEEN MEDIA OPPORTUNITIES HAS THUS BECOME INCREASINGLY APPARENT, WITH TRANSACTIONAL MEDIA OUTPERFORMING

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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IN THIS ENVIRONMENT, THERE IS POTENTIALLY UNTAPPED VALUE IN THE MASSIVE AUDIENCE OF TRADITIONAL MEDIA...

U.S. Magazine Circulation (Top-100): 237 millionSource: Wikepedia (2H2011)

... WHICH WILL NOT NECESSARILY BE TAPPED IN THE TRADITIONAL WAYS

U.S. Radio Listenership: 241 million (93%, 12 or older)Source: Arbitron (1Q2012)

U.S. Newspaper Circulation: 47 millionSource: Newspaper Association of America (2009)

U.S. Traditional Television Viewers: 284 millionSource: Nielsen (4Q2011)

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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OPPORTUNITYNEW PATHS FOR TRADITIONAL MEDIA

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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12

THE VALUE OF TRADITIONAL MEDIA IS IN ITS BRAND, FRANCHISE, PROPRIETARY CONTENT, MERCHANT RELATIONSHIPS & LARGE COMMUNITIES

MERCHANTS MEDIA CONSUMERS

information

informationinformation

information

MAGAZINES

RADIO

FILM

EVENTSDIRECTORIES

TV

BOOKS

OUTDOOR

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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13

THIS CONSTRUCT HAS FOR A LONG TIME BEGUN TO MIGRATE TO NEW WEB-ENABLED & MOBILE DELIVERY PLATFORMS

TRADITIONAL

NEW

WEB

RSS

MOBILE

TWITTER

FACEBOOK

IPADSECOND SCREEN

DIGITAL SIGNAGE

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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14

AS TRADITIONAL MEDIA CONTINUES TO EVOLVE & FIND ITS PLACE WITHIN A FOUR-SPHERE ECOSYSTEM…

Gilt

Wikipedia

Yahoo!

CONTENT

S O C I A LI N F O R M

AT I ON

I N F O R MAT I O

N

TR

AN

S A C T I O N A L E N T E R T A I NM

EN

T

DISTRIBUTION

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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… ITS VALUE PROPOSITION WILL INCREASINGLY STAND OUT & CONTRIBUTE IN ACCRETIVE WAYS...

Gilt

Wikipedia

Yahoo!

TRADITIONALMEDIA

S O C I A LI N F O R M

AT I ON

I N F O R MAT I O

N

TR

AN

S A C T I O N A L E N T E R T A I NM

EN

T

AUDIENCE

COMMUNITY

ACCESS

ENGAGEMENT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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... IN INFORMATION...

Facebook

Amazon Apple

PREMIUM CONTENT

DISCOVERY

FRONT-END TOOLS

RELIABILITY

AUDIENCE

COMMUNITY

ACCESS

ENGAGEMENT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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... IN ENTERTAINMENT...

Facebook Google

Amazon

EDITORIAL

PRODUCTION

TASTE-MAKING

AUDIENCE

COMMUNITY

ACCESS

ENGAGEMENT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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18

... IN SOCIAL MEDIA...

Google

Amazon Apple

INTERACTION

FEEDBACK

COLLABORATION

AUDIENCE

COMMUNITY

ACCESS

ENGAGEMENT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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19

... IN TRANSACTIONAL MEDIA

Facebook Google

AppleMERCHANT/BRAND/MARKETER RELATIONSHIPS

AUDIENCE

COMMUNITY

ACCESS

ENGAGEMENT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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AS NEW SECTORS COMBINEIN THE LONGER TERM

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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21

S O C I A LI N F O R M

AT I ON

TR

AN

SA C T I O N A L E N T E R T A I N

ME

NT

I N F O R MAT I O

NFacebook

I N F O R MAT I O

N

AppleAmazon

I N F O R MAT I O

NGoogle

Google + FB Graph Search

iBooks & iTunesKindle Fire

FB Credits

AMZN Reviews/Suggestions

Android

Siri Voice Search

Google Shopping

Kindle Silk

FB Apps

iMessage

Retailers & Advertisers

Enterprise

News & Media

Telcos & Devices

Finance

Government

Travel & Leisure

Data

News Organizations

Specialty Networks

Broadcast TV & Radio

Public Relations

Specialty Publications

Government

Retailers & Advertisers

Security

Telcos

Device Manufacturers

Media Conglomerates

Cable & Satellite

Telcos

Gaming Software & Consoles

Broadcast & News

Cable Networks

Entertainment

Retailers

Advertisers & Marketers

Commercial Banks

Credit Cards & Payment Networks

Telcos

Mobile Device Makers

Data

Twitter

Tumblr

LinkedIn

MySpace

Friendster

StockTwits

Yelp Flickr

InstagramSkype

Bing

Wikipedia

Quora Yahoo!

WebMDWeather.com

MapQuest

TechCrunch

GigaOm Business Insider

Aol MSN

Netflix

Hulu

Spotify

Pandora

Turntable.fm

Zynga

YouTubeEBay

Groupon

Gilt

Kayak

Etsy

Priceline

Zillow

Foursquare

Hailo

Square

Uber

Craigslist

PayPal

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

AS CONVERGENCE BETWEEN THE FOUR SPHERES OF DIGITAL TECH & MEDIA CONTINUES…

Pinterest

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22

… MEDIA IS ITSELF BEING REDEFINED TO INCLUDE NEW ENTRANTS…

COMMERCE FINANCE

B & N

WALMART

ETSY

SQUARE

ETRADE

SECOND MARKET

PAYPALAMEX

LENDING CLUB BLOOMBERG

EXAMPLES

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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23

COMMERCE MEDIA

… IN FINANCE…

EVENTS

INVESTOR RELATIONS

ANALYTICS

RESEARCH

MARKETS VENDING

TOOLS

FINANCEPLATFORMS

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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24

MEDIA FINANCE

… & IN COMMERCE

BUYERS

MERCHANTS

BROKERS

TRADERS

PAYMENT PROCESSORS

MAKERS

SELLERS

CONSUMERS

INFLUENCERS

ISSUERS

INVESTORSCOMMERCIALCUSTOMERS

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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25

IN THIS ATMOSPHERE OF RESHAPED & OVERLAPPING SEGMENTS & APPLICATIONS…

DATA

SECURITY

FIN TECH

PAYMENTS

E-COMMERCE

ALTERNATIVE MARKETS

LOCAL

NETWORKING

MOBILE COMMERCE

COMMERCE FINANCEMEDIA

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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26

… ACCESS POINTS TO THE LARGEST COMMUNITIES OF USERS, BUSINESSES & TRAFFIC WILL BE HIGHLY PRIZED...

MEDIA

Issuer

Producer

Seller

Borrower

Investor

Buyer

Lender

Consumer

INFORMATION

INFORMATION

INFORMATIONINFORMATION

$ $

$$

INFORMATIONINFORMATION

MAGAZINES

RADIO

FILM

EVENTSDIRECTORIES

TV

BOOKS

OUTDOOR

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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27

MEDIA

Issuer

Producer

Seller

Borrower

Investor

Buyer

Lender

Consumer

INFORMATION

INFORMATION

INFORMATIONINFORMATION

$ $

$$

INFORMATIONINFORMATION

... & THE TRADITIONAL MEDIA WILL BE INCREASINGLY RECOGNIZED FOR THEIR UNIQUE & LASTING VALUE

AUDIENCE

COMMUNITY

ACCESS

ENGAGEMENT

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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28

CONCLUDING NOTE:

FACEBOOK PRICED ONE OF THE LARGEST IPOs & AS OF THIS DATE HAS A MARKET CAP OF MORE THAN $60 BILLION, LARGELY REFLECTING THE OPTION VALUE OF ITS EXPANSIVE USER NETWORK...

... THERE IS ALSO OPTIONALITY IN OTHER LARGE COMMUNITIES

WHEN AN INDUSTRY IS IN VOLATILE TRANSITION

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

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WHERE ARE YOU IN THIS LANDSCAPE?WHERE ARE YOU HEADING?

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE

Page 30: Convergence of Traditional & New: The Unique Optionality of Mass (Mar/2013…

30www.coriseco.com

CoRise Co., LLC535 Fifth Avenue, 4th floorNew York, NY 10036Telephone: (646) 532-6690email: [email protected]

TO DISCUSS FURTHER:

CONTACT INFORMATION

MARCH / 2013 UPDATE