copyright 2004 siep b.v. shell exploration & production morocco offshore potential and promises...

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Shell Exploration & Production right 2004 SIEP B.V. Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Page 1: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

Shell Exploration & Production

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Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises

John Crowle

Page 2: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Contents

1. Morocco – the background to deepwater exploration

2. The ingredients for exploration success Commercial Technology Geology

3. What happens next?

Page 3: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Morocco - the background to deepwater exploration

History of offshore exploration without commercial development

Unexplored deepwater acreage

Growing industry success in deepwater developments elsewhere

Improved risk reduction tools based on 3D seismic

Page 4: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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N0 100 200 300 km

MoroccoSHELL INTEREST BLOCKS (OPERATOR)

MOROCCO

NON SHELL BLOCKS

AGADIR

RABAT

RECONNAISANCE LICENCES

SPAIN

SHELL INTEREST BLOCKS ( NON OPERATOR)

Rimella

Cap Draa

Shell EP in MoroccoRimella and Cap Draa

Page 5: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Ingredients for success - Commercial

Straightforward tax/royalty regime

10-year ‘tax holiday’

Clearly defined work programme

Informed, professional and challenging local partnership

Page 6: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Ingredients for success - Technology

Exploration risk reduction

An understanding of the environmental

sensitivities

Environmentally sensitive, safe drilling operations

Deepwater development skills

Page 7: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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40404444108108 8181

101101

AmplitudeAmplitudemeasurementsmeasurementsAmplitudeAmplitudemeasurementsmeasurements

Technology – seismic attributesTechnology – seismic attributes

Page 8: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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600 m

800 m

1000 m

1200 m

1400 m

1600 m

1800 m

2000 m

2200 m

2400 m

Cognac1978

Bullwinkle1988

Conoco(Julliet)1989

Petrobas(Marlim)

1989

Na Kika2003

Petrobras(Roncador)

1999

Mensa1997

Petrobras(Marlim Sul)

1997

Ursa1999

Ram-Powell1997

Mars1996

Auger1993

Technology - deepwater milestones

Page 9: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Technology - Na Kika development concept Gulf of Mexico

Page 10: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Ingredients for success - Geology

A thick sediment pile – up to 10 kilometres

Potential for

Jurassic and Cretaceous source rocks

Cretaceous and Tertiary reservoir rocks

Structural development to create traps – salt

movement

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shallow marine deposits

Channelised fans(West Africa, West of

Shetlands)

Unconfined fans

(North Sea, Brazil)

deep marine sandsdeep marine shales

salt

Confined fans

(Gulf of Mexico)

Geology – reservoir rocks

Page 12: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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5 km

Salt Ridges & Salt Ridges & Mini-Basins Mini-Basins

2 sec

6 sec

4 sec

Inverted Inverted Structures Structures

Inner Diapir TrendInner Diapir Trend

WestWest EastEast

Geology – trapsAgadir - Tarfaya Basin Play Domains

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Geology - Agadir–Tarfaya Basin play domains

Diapirs

Inversion structures

Salt ridges

Toe-Thrust

Unconfined By-Pass Slope

Platform / shelf

Agadir

0 25 50 75 100 km

3D SEISMIC

3D SEISMIC

Page 14: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Geology - play segments

Salt Ridge Play

Middle Miocene Top

Base Miocene

Base Tertiary

Top Albian

Top Jurassic

?

Salt

Sub-Salt

Truncation ?

Sub-Salt

Truncation ?

?

Salt

Sub-Salt

Truncation ?

NW SE

Sub-Salt

Truncation ?

Salt

2 km

Base Tertiary

Top Jurassic

Base Tertiary

Top Jurassic

Top Basement

Salt

2 km

NW SE

Toe Thrust Play

Salt

Base Tertiary

Top Jurassic

2 km

NW SE

Inverted Structures Play

Base Tertiary

Top Jurassic

Salt

2 km

NW SE

Salt Diapir Play

Page 15: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Drill potential hub class prospect

DRY

Evaluate remaining exploration

potential and decide whetheror not another hub class

prospectwill be drilled.

HUB SIZE

Appraise and Develop

Re-evaluate remaining exploration

strategy

Evaluate remaining exploration

potential and select most promising

prospect that is either a hub on it’s

own or can help in justifying a cluster development

TOO SMALLFOR HUB

Exploration and Development Strategy

Page 16: Copyright 2004 SIEP B.V. Shell Exploration & Production Morocco Offshore Potential and Promises John Crowle

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Morocco – offshore potential and promises

The political will is there

The commercial terms are there

The geology has the right

elements

The seismic has been shot and interpreted

Time to drill