copyright © 2006 pearson addison-wesley. all rights reserved. chapter 12 trade theory and...
TRANSCRIPT
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
Chapter 12
Trade Theory and Development Experience
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-2
International Trade and Finance: Some Key Issues
Many LDCs rely heavily on exports (usually primary products)
Many LDCs also rely heavily on imports (typically of machinery, capital goods, intermediate producer goods, and consumer products)
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-3
Table 12.1
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-4
Five Basic Questions about Trade and Development
How does international trade affect economic growth?
How does trade alter the distribution of income? How can trade promote development? Can LDCs determine how much they trade? Is an outward-looking or an inward-looking
trade policy best?
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-5
The Importance of Trade for Development
LDC exports: trends and patterns (see Table 12.2)
Importance of exports to developing nations
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-6
Table 12.2
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-7
The Importance of Trade for Development
LDC exports: trends and patterns Importance of exports to different
developing nations Demand elasticities and export earnings
instability
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-8
The Terms of Trade and the Prebisch-Singer Thesis
Total export earnings depend on:– Total volume of exports sold AND– Price paid for exports
Prebisch and Singer argue that export prices fall over time, so LDCs lose revenue unless they can continually increase export volumes
Prebisch and Singer think LDCs need to avoid a dependence on primary exports
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-9
The Traditional Theory of International Trade
The principle of comparative advantage Relative factor endowments and
international specialization: the Neoclassical model
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-10
Figure 12.1
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-11
The Traditional Theory of International Trade
The principle of comparative advantage Relative factor endowments and
international specialization: the Neoclassical model
Trade theory and development: the traditional arguments
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-12
Some Criticisms of Traditional Free-Trade Theory in the Context of Developing-Country Experience
Six assumptions of the Neoclassical model must be scrutinized:
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-13
The Six Assumptions
The following assumptions of the Neoclassical model must be scrutinized:– Fixed resources, full employment, and
international factor immobility– Fixed, freely available technology and
consumer sovereignty– Internal factor mobility and perfect competition– Governmental non-interference in trade
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-14
The Six Assumptions (cont’d)
– Balanced trade and international price adjustments
– Trade gains accruing to nationals
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-15
Figure 12.2
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-16
Some Conclusions on Trade Theory and Economic Development Strategy
Trade can lead to rapid economic growth under some circumstances
Trade seems to reinforce existing income inequalities
Trade can benefit LDCs if they can extract trade concessions from developed countries
LDCs generally must trade Regional cooperation may help LDCs
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-17
Figure 12.3
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-18
Concepts for Review
Absolute advantage Balanced trade Barter transactions Capital account Collective self-reliance Collusion Commodity terms of
trade
Comparative advantage Current account Enclave economies Export dependence Export earnings
instability Factor endowment
trade theory
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-19
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
Factor mobility Factor-price equalization Foreign-exchange
earnings Free trade Gains from trade Globalization Growth poles
Income elasticity of demand
Income terms of trade Increasing returns Industrial policy Monopolistic market
control
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-20
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
North-south trade models
Oligopolistic market control
Prebisch-Singer thesis Price elasticity of
demand Primary products
Product cycle Product differentiation Quotas Regional trading
blocks Returns to scale Risk Specialization
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-21
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
Subsidies Synthetic substitutes Tariffs Trade deficits
Uncertainty Vent-for-surplus theory
of international trade