corporate - alfa · 2019. 11. 29. · grupo lamosa, s.a.. de .v. • guillermo f. vogel hinojosa...
TRANSCRIPT
CORPORATEPRESENTATIONThird Quarter 2019
Safe Harbor
This presentation contains forward-looking information based on numerous
variables and assumptions that are inherently uncertain. They involve
judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic,
competitive and financial market conditions and future business decisions,
all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately. Accordingly,
results are likely to vary from those set forth in this presentation. Copyright©
2019 ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V. All rights reserved. Reproduction and distribution is
forbidden without the prior written consent of ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V.
3Q19-v1.22
Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Third Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
3
Investment Highlights
1. Global company with operations in 28 countries; 70% of revenues outside Mexico
2. Diversified portfolio of businesses with leading industry positions
3. Value-enhancing initiatives and subsidiary-driven investments/divestments
4. Strong corporate governance and experienced management team
5. Dollar-denominated dividend supported by strong cash generation
6. Solid balance sheet with investment-grade rating
4
ALFA has grown to become a global company
Manuf. Presence(Countries)
SalesOutside Mexico
Employees
2008 16 54% ~50,000
2018 28 70% ~86,000
5
Diversified portfolio of businesses with leading industry positions
8 out of 10Mexican Corporates use Axtel’s
IT and Telecom services
#1 in the production ofPTA, PET and EPSin the Americas
12 Sigma brandssell more than
US $100 Million a year each
1 out every 4 new carssold in the world contains
at least one Nemak product
706 production wellsoperated by Newpek
in U.S. and Mexico
Petrochemicals Food Products Aluminum Autoparts IT + Telecom Oil & Gas
6
Alpek, Sigma and Nemak are ALFA’s three largest businesses
Revenues 2018US $19.1 Billion
EBITDA 2018US $2.9 Billion
37%
33%
25%
4% 1%
36%
24%
25%
14%1%
7
Ownership
Petrochemicals
Food Products
Aluminum Autoparts
IT + Telecom
Oil & Gas
82%
100%
75%
53%
100%
Public company since 2012
Public company since 2015Ford Motor Co. owns 5.4%
Public company since 2005
8
Bottom-up strategy aimed at driving long-term shareholder value
CORPORATE STRATEGY
Bottom-up strategy,driven by subsidiaries
Strategic investmentsand divestments
Enhance operational excellence
Long-term view
Long-standing independent Board of Directors
9
M&A is an important element of our strategy
2010Sigma
Bar-S
2011Alpek
Columbia siteEastman Chemical
2011Alpek
Wellman
2013Sigma
CampofrioFood Group
2016Alestra
Axtel merger
2018Alpek
Petroquímica Suape and Citepe
2007Nemak
Teksid & HydroCasting assets
2005ALFA
DivestedHylsamex
2001Alpek
DAK Americas
10
Strong management team and solid corporate governance
• C - Suite average tenure of 33 years generating cohesion, consistency, trust and alignment
• The average tenure of our top 125 Executives is of 23 years developing decision-making, consistent operations and accountability
• Strong Corporate Governance with 85% of Independent Board of Directors
11
Experienced Management Team
Rolando ZubiránAxtel PresidentTenure 20 years
Rodrigo FernándezSigma PresidentTenure 21 years
Armando TamezNemak PresidentTenure 34 years
José de Jesús ValdezAlpek PresidentTenure 42 years
Paulino RodríguezVP Human CapitalTenure 15 years
Armando GarzaChairman of the BoardTenure 40 years
Álvaro FernándezPresidentTenure 27 years
Eduardo EscalanteCFOTenure 31 years
Carlos JiménezLegal CounselTenure 40 years
12
Board of Directors
• JOSE CALDERON ROJAS (1A)Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officerof Franca Industrias, S.A. de C.V. and Franca Servicios, S.A. de C.V.
• ENRIQUE CASTILLO SANCHEZ MEJORADA (1A)Managing Partner of Ventura Capital Privado, S.A. de C.V.
• FRANCISCO JAVIER FERNANDEZ CARBAJAL (1C)President of Servicios Administrativos Contry, S.A. de C.V.
• ALVARO FERNANDEZ GARZA (C)President of ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V.
• ARMANDO GARZA SADA (C)Chairman of the Board of ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V.
• CLAUDIO X. GONZALEZ LAPORTE (1B)Chairman of the Board of Kimberly-Clark de México, S.A.B. de C.V.
• RICARDO GUAJARDO TOUCHE (1B)Board member since March 2000
• DAVID MARTINEZ GUZMAN (1C)Chairman of the Board and Special Advisor of Fintech Advisory Inc.
• JOSE ANTONIO MEADE KURIBREÑA (1C)Board member since February 2019
• ALEJANDRO RAMIREZ MAGAÑA (1C)President of Cinépolis, S.A. de C.V.
• ADRIAN SADA GONZALEZ (1B)Chairman of the Board of Vitro, S.A.B. de C.V.
• FEDERICO TOUSSAINT ELOSUA (1A)Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer ofGrupo Lamosa, S.A.B. de C.V.
• GUILLERMO F. VOGEL HINOJOSA (1C)Chairman of the Board of Grupo Collado, S.A.B. de C.V., andof Exportaciones IM Promoción, S.A. de C.V.
13Keys: (1) Independent Board Member / (A) Audit Committee (B) Corporate Practices Committee (C) Planning and Finance Committee
ALFA Sustainability Model is based on four pillars
INTERNAL WELL-BEING
COMMUNITY
ECONOMY
ENVIRONMENT
146 ALFA facilities run on clean and renewable energy sources such as wind and geothermal
US $67 Million invested in funding health, safety and employee development programs
19,500 students from 122 schools were benefited from ALFA´s support
More than 86,000 employees across 28 countries in America, Europe and Asia
In 2018, ALFA continued to deploy a broad program of actions in every aspect of its sustainability strategy
17,000 people benefited through support to 168 institutions of social care
Nemak is the main consumer of recycled aluminum in Mexico, 80% of its aluminum usage comes from recycled sources
14
Financial Highlights
15,870 17,223
16,315 15,576
16,804
19,055 19,107
13 14 15 16 17 18 19E
Revenues
1,915 2,040
2,420 2,322
2,018
2,858
2,429
13 14 15 16 17 18 19E
EBITDA
1,556
1,422
1,632
1,492
1,148
1,570
979
13 14 15 16 17 18 19E
Capex
A. Guidance as of February 14, 2019 | B. Includes US $427 Million from extraordinary items | C. Includes US $200 Million from sale of Cogen plants
A B A, C A
Revenues(US $ Million)
EBITDA(US $ Million)
Capex & Acquisitions(US $ Million)
15
Financial Highlights
3,473
5,123 4,785
5,844 6,300
6,543
7,032
13 14 15 16 17 18 3Q19
Net Debt
1.8
2.12.0
2.5
3.1
2.3
2.8
13 14 15 16 17 18 3Q19
Net Debt/EBITDA
6.77.2
7.7
6.6
4.6
5.8 5.8
13 14 15 16 17 18 3Q19
Interest CoverageNet Debt(US $ Million)
Net Debt/EBITDA(Times)
Interest Coverage(Times)
16
US $202 Million cash dividend; +12% CAGR 2010 - 2019
70
97 104 118
154 154 170 169 168
202
10 11 12 13* 14* 15 16 17 18 19
* The 2014 dividend was paid early in 2013. The graph shows the approved amounts for each corresponding year.
21%
Paid Dividends(US $ Million)
17
Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Third Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
18
Revenues(US $ Million)
3Q19 vs 3Q18(US $ Million)
Revenues reflect lower feedstock prices in Alpek and lower volume in Nemak
3Q19 vs 2Q19(US $ Million)
19
4,9504,692
4,479 4,473 4,319
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
Reported EBITDA(US $ Million)
Extraordinary Items Comparable EBITDA(US $ Million)
3Q19 EBITDA in line with expectations; US $1.661 billion accumulated EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
20
666
887
519
595 548
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
3Q19 vs 3Q18: -18%3Q19 vs 2Q19: -8%
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
ALPEK 40 188 (8) (28) (19)
SIGMA 6 3 - - -
NEMAK - - - 8 -
AXTEL 0 112 - 39 -
NEWPEK - 22 - - (4)
TOTAL 46 325 (8) 19 (23)
620562
527576 571
12.5%12.0%
11.8%
12.9%13.2%
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
3Q19 vs 3Q18: -8%3Q19 vs 2Q19: -1%
3Q19 Comparable EBITDA sustained versus 2Q19; supported by Alpek and Sigma
Comparable EBITDA 3Q19 vs 3Q18(US $ Million)
Comparable EBITDA 3Q19 vs 2Q19(US $ Million)
21
-8% -1%
ALFA Net Debt(US $ Million)
Net Debt 3Q19 vs 4Q18(US $ Million)
Leverage Ratio (Net Debt/EBITDA)
ALFA Net Debt down vs. 2Q19 supported by solid operating cash generation
22
6,901 6,543
7,194 7,122 7,032
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
2.7
2.3
2.62.7
2.8
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
3Q19 results supported by better than expected reference margins and slower rate of Px price declines
3Q19 Highlights
• Highest quarterly EBITDA year-to-date in 3Q19
• Paraxylene price disconnection vs. crude oil due to new capacity in China
• Asian reference polyester margins remain above expectations
• Issued 10-yr, US $500 million bond; record-low coupon of 4.25%
• Joined “The Recycling Partnership”, a U.S.-based, non-profit organization dedicated to improve recycling
23
Paraxylene vs Brent Crude Oil Price (Base=100)
60
100
140
dec-18 jan-19 feb-19 mar-19 apr-19 may-19 jun-19 jul-19 ago-19 sept-19
Brent Px
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG (US $ / Ton)
240276 263 284
342
478
377333 323
370304
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
14.6
11.1
8.7
6.9
14.6
13.3
9.2
6.4
Mexico USA LatAm Europe
EBITDA Margin By Region3Q19 Highlights
Y-o-Y EBITDA growth driven by solid margins amid pork price volatility due to African Swine Fever
• Rodrigo Fernandez assumed his new role as President on August 1st
• 3Q19 EBITDA growth year-on-year driven by Mexico, U.S. and LatAm
• Europe posted first sequential EBITDA margin expansion since 4Q18
• New business unit “Global Snacking” to boost protein-based snack category.
• During 2019, launched +200 new products through Sigma´s innovation platform
3Q18
3Q19 1.0
6.53.7
24
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Pork Ham Price
Jan. Mar. May. Jul. Sept. Nov.
2018
U.S. ($/lb)
2019Europe (€/kg)
* Excluding a net extraordinary gain of US $6 million (Reported EBITDA Margin: 7.9)
*
3Q19 Sales and EBITDA reflect anticipated volume headwinds
1.0
6.53.7
25
EBITDA per Equivalent Unit (USD/Equivalent Unit)
3Q19 Highlights Volume 3Q19 vs 3Q18(Million Equivalent Units)• Results in line with expectations
• Volume impacted by:
• Low demand from certain OEM customers
• Less favorable product mix
• Soft macro conditions in certain markets
• Stable EBITDA per Equivalent Unit supported by optimization efforts
• Finalist for the 2019 Automotive News PACETM Award
• Selected to join Dow Jones Sustainability MILA Pacific Alliance Index and FTSE4Good Index Series
15.015.8
13.0
14.515.5
13.1
1Q 2Q 3Q
2018
2019
3Q19 Highlights
3Q19 EBITDA from Continuing operations up 4% Y-o-Y
• Better-than-expected EBITDA driven by operating efficiencies
• Completed Mass Market business sale in 2Q19
• Signed strategic agreement with Equinix in 3Q19
• Functional separation process underway; began presenting results by business unit in 3Q19
52%48%
Service Infrastructure
Continuing EBITDA by Business Unit(Total YTD 2019: US $170 million)
EBITDA (US $ Million)
55 55 56 57 57
14 13 2 1
138
39
3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19
Continuing
Discontinued
Extraordinary
26
Progress on value-enhancing initiatives to further strengthen balance sheet and increase return on invested capital
Petrochemicals IT + Telecom Oil & Gas
27
• Initiated commercial operations of new cogeneration power plant in Altamira, Mexico
• Advanced process to close US $800 million sale of two cogeneration power plants
• Moved forward in the monetization of a portion of its Data Centers through a US $175 million agreement with Equinix
• Implementing its functional separation into two business units: “Infrastructure” and “Service”
• Selective drilling resumed in Eagle Ford, while seeking to monetize U.S. assets
Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Third Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
28
29
Leading Petrochemical company
Leading position across product portfolio:
• #1 PTA-PET producer in America
• #2 PET producer Worldwide
• #1 EPS producer in America
• Only PP producer in Mexico
2018
Revenues
US $7.0 Billion
EBITDA
US $1.1 Billion
30
Business Segments
Polyester chain
2018
Revenues US $5.2 Billion (74%)
EBITDA US $788 Million (74%)
Products
Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA)
Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET)
Polyester fibers
Plastics & chemicals
2018
Revenues US $1.7 Billion (26%)
EBITDA US $276 Million (26%)
Products
Polypropylene (PP)
Expandable Polystyrene (EPS)
Caprolactam (CPL)
Fertilizers and other chemicals
31
Products are widely used for food packaging and consumer end-markets
Beverage
Food
Personal care
Sample end users by industry
Volume 2018 By Industry(4,402 Kta)
Construction4%Textiles
7%
ConsumerGoods
22%
Food and Beverages67%
Sales 2018 Geography(US $6,991 Million)
Asia & others1%
Europe3%
LatAm18%
Mexico30%
U.S. 45%Canada
3%
Textiles
32
Installed capacity amounts to 7.0 Million tons
More than 5,800
employees
27 Production facilities
Source: Alpek estimate| Kta: Thousand tons per year | (1) Includes industrial and specialty chemicals and recycled PET capacities
Installed Capacity Breakdown (Kta)
SITE PTA PET rPET FIBERS PP EPS CPL OTHER
Mexico(3,030 Kta)
Monterrey 160
Altamira 1,000 640 240
Salamanca 85
Ocotlán 10
Cosoleacaque 610 185
Lerma 100
U.S.(2,385 Kta)
Cedar Creek 170 55
Cooper River 170 150
Columbia 640 725
Pearl River 430
Richmond 45
Canada Selenis 144
Argentina(225 Kta)
Zárate 190
Pacheco 15
General Lagos 19
Brazil(1,226 kta)
Guaratingueta 46
Ipojuca 640 450 90
Chile(27 Kta)
Santiago 5
Puerto Montt 2
Concon 20
Total Capacity: 7,036 Kta 2,890 2,464 115 400 640 325 85 117
33
Strategy
Strengthen Core Business
Growth
ProductSustainability
Strengthen Core Business
• Ensure cost competitiveness in existing plants
• Enhance position in the Americas
• Secure competitive feedstock/power supply
Growth
• Deliver returns on recent investments (US $1 Billion)
• Growth into adjacent markets / Vertical integration
• Strategic and opportunistic M&A
ProductSustainability
• Expand PET recycling capacity
• Support growth of circular economy initiatives
34
57
16
PET Other Plastics
37
182 187
GlassPET Aluminum ’00 ’15 ’19E’05 ’10
115
PET
Glass
Aluminum
27
90
#1 Recycling Collection Rate% Worldwide
Carbon Footprint Over Lifecycle1
(gr. CO2 Eq. / 355 mL Bottle)#1 Beverage Packaging MaterialBillion beverages (USA)
PET Fundamental Advantages
Source: Wood Mackenzie, McKinsey Co., PET Resin Association and SBAcci.35(1) Data from EPA and PET Resin Association considering bottle weight of containers. Includes emissions calculation for energy on processing and transportation, and non-energy related emissions; considers that material is
recycled once
36
Multinational food company dedicated to bringing local favorite foods to communities everywhere
• 642,000 points of sale
• 10% of its sales came from innovation
2018
Revenues
US $6.3 Billion
EBITDA
US $684 Million
37
Highly recognized branded foods in Mexico, U.S., Central & South America and Europe
Region % Sales
LatAm8%
U.S.15%
Europe36%
Mexico41%
• Broad geographic footprint: 69 manufacturing facilities and operations in 18 countries
• Offers quality food at a wide range of price points and across diverse categories
Cooked meats 59%
Dairy 18%
Dry meats 18%
Other categories 5%
Categories products
Mexico
United States
Dominican Rep.
El Salvador
Guatemala
Ecuador
Italy
Belgium
Germany
Netherlands
Spain
France
Peru
Honduras
Nicaragua
Costa Rica
Portugal
Romania
38
Diversified and strong brand portfolio in each market
PACKAGED MEATS DAIRY OTHER THIRD PARTY
MEXICO
EUROPE
U.S.
LATAM
39
Broad supply chain network
Reach, service, efficiency and knowledge
• Global processes
• Benchmarks
• Best practice implementation
• Production sharing capabilities
Safety & quality throughout the supply chain
• Sourcing development programs and
certifications
• In-store quality checks
• Customer development programs
• Certified facilities
69 Production
facilities
25 Europe
13 Latam
25 Mexico
6 USA208
Distribution centers
18 Europe
39 Latam
137 Mexico
14 USA+642,000
Points of sale
65,000 Europe
116,000 Latam
378,000 Mexico
83,000 USA
40
Consumer oriented innovation
41
Health & Nutrition
Origin & Tradition
Indulgence
Convenience
Sustainability & Trust
Innovation Platforms
• Based on “Design Thinking”
• Consumer research (260K contacts/year)
• 2 Research & Development Centers (+200 specialists)
• Innovations represent 10% of sales
• +200 new products launchedyear-to-date (3Q19)
Growth strategy
Strengthen Core Business
• Continue consolidating recent acquisitions while implementing best practices
• Reinforce brand equity through innovation and differentiated marketing
• Increase distribution to improve market share
Expand the Core
• Capture greater market share in the foodservice market
• Fully leverage assets through distribution of third-party leading brands
• Achieve fair-share in relevant markets / categories
• M&A in packaged meats and dairy
• Grow exports of heritage products
Invest in the Future
• Explore new categories
• Enter new geographies
• Complement innovation capabilities through open innovation / venture capital
• Continue developing world class talent
42
43
Leading provider of lightweighting solutions for the automotive industry
• Global footprint, cost competitiveness, R&D, skilled labor force
• One out of every four new vehicles sold worldwide has at least one Nemak component
• Sole supplier in ~90% of sales volume
2018
Revenues
US $4.7 Billion
EBITDA
US $734 Million
44
Focused on broad portfolio of highly-engineered solutions
Combustion Engine• Heads
• Blocks
• Transmissions
Electric Vehicles• Battery Housings
• E-Motor Housings
Vehicle Structures• Longitudinal Members
• Sub-Frames
• Pillars & others
45
Diversified customer base
• More than 50 customers worldwide
• Nemak supplies ~650 out of ~1,300 vehicle
platforms worldwide
46
Solid customer relationships; diversified revenue stream
NorthAmerica56%
Europe35%
Others9%
2018Volume distributionBy Customer
2018Revenue distributionBy Region
47
Otros
29%
21%13%
12%
6%
5%
3%3%
3%5%
Global footprint with facilities close to customers
16Countries
Russia
Slovakia
Spain
38Manufacturing facilities• North America (18)
• Europe (14)
• South America (3)
• Asia (3)
48
Combustion Engine Hybrid Pure Electric
US $450 – 500 US $480 – 580 US $550 – 700
Heads, Blocks & Trans Heads & Blocks E-Motor Housings
Structural Components Structural Components Structural Components
Battery Housings Battery Housings
Hybrid Trans Other EV Components
Driving Nemak content per vehicle
Increased value added to sales
49
Sample awarded programs involving electric vehicles and structural components
50
Porsche TaycanVolvo Polestar
BMW X5 Jeep Wrangler Hybrid Mercedes-Benz GLE Hybrid
BMW i8
$2,958 $2,955
$1,950
$2,880
$308 $309$260
$365
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
2007 2008 2009 2010
Revenues
EBITDA
Headcount rightsizing
Optimization of work shifts
Increase equipment output
Volume reallocation
Key InitiativesSales vs. EBITDA
Revenues 2009 vs 2008: -34%EBITDA 2009 vs 2008: -16%
EBITDA Margin 10.4% 10.5% 13.3% 12.7%
Strong track record of agile cost structure adjustments and operating efficiencies to maximize profitability
51
Differentiated approach by business segment
Maximize combustion engine business
• Operational efficiencies
• Cash flow generation
• Capacity utilization & consolidation
• Margin expansion through increased secondary processes (e.g. machining)
Capture growth in structural & EV components
• Greater margins & value added
• New competencies
• Assembly
• Design engineering
52
53
IT and Telecom services for the enterprise and government segments
Main Services
• Information security
• Managed networks
• Consultancy services
• Systems integration
• Cloud services
• Internet
2018
Revenues
US $809 Million
EBITDA
US $422 Million
54
Diversified revenue stream; focused on the enterprise market
16%Government
66%Enterprise
3%Wireless
65%Telecom17%
IT
15%*FTTH
18%Mass Market
*FTTH: Fiber to the home
By Market Segment
Sales Breakdown
By Type of Service
55
Strategic evolution
• Start up local Mass Market «Fixed Wireless»
• Avantel acquisition (´06)• Broad band Mass Market
• Vertical markets• Cloud services• App management• Data center
• Enterprise strategy• Value added services – Data IP
• Start up LD services
ALESTRA CONVERGENCE
• Unified communications• Managed networks• Security
• Large Scale Solutions• Systems integration• Data center
• IPTV (´13)• Cloud services & managed IT
1997
1999
2000
2008
2011
2008
2011
• Value added services Mass Market– Wimax• Enterprise integration Telco / IT• FTH
2015 2015
TELECOMM MARKET OPENED
IP PROTOCOL, INTERNET BUBBLE
VOICE AND DATA NET CONVERGENCE LAN/WAN
TELECOM / IT CONVERGENCE
DATA CENTER CONVERGENCE
MEGER 2016
56
Strategy: Strong Positioning in IT & Telecom
MISSIONEnable organizations to become more productive through digitalization
Provide world-class IT & Telecom managed solutions to enterprise and government customers
Multi-cloud solutions partnering with AWS & Microsoft Azure
Multi-platform Mobility Solution to complementICT services
Strategic Alliance with Global Data Center operator
Maximize value from non-strategic assets: Mass Market segment, alternate network
57
Network
Functional separation into two business units
Benefits:
• Accelerate growth – focusing commercial and investment efforts in each business unit
• Increase profitability – maximizing infrastructure utilization
• Better efficiencies - Transparency
Services (Alestra) Infrastructure
Telecom IT
Enterprise & Government
Wholesale/Operators(including Alestra Services)
58
59
Exploration & Production (E&P) operations in the U.S. and Mexico
• Involvement in the E&P industry began in 2006
• Operating mature fields in Mexico since 2013
2018
Revenues
US $108 Million
EBITDA
US $31 Million
60
Current U.S. Operations – 578 wells
Talent
• Team of experienced people in the U.S.
Technology
• Fracking for horizontal drilling
• Mature fields optimization
• World-class sub-surface analysis
capabilities
Successful transition to operations
• Experienced transition to operations
• Mineral rights on leases over 11,000
net acres
Net production(MBOED)
0.9 1.1 1.0
2.7
4.7
6.4
8.2 8.37.2
4.9 4.4
2.3
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 YTD19
Involvement in the E&P industry began
in 2006
• JV with Ensign Natural Resources (8.6%)
• Development of Eagle Ford Shale -544 wells in production
61
Activities in Mexico – 128 wells
• Service contracts in San Andrés and Tierra Blanca fields with Pemex (CIEPs)
• Producing over 3.2 MBOED
• Optimization of existing wells
• Development of new wells in conventional formation
• In a JV with Verdad Exploration, won contracts to operate two wet gas fields in Tamaulipas, Mexico
• Area of 363 Km2
• Minimum required investment of US $4 Million
62
Strategy
• Divest assets outside of Mexico
• Continue to assess opportunities in Mexico
• Find unique opportunities in current market
• Evaluate infrastructure investments
63
Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Third Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
64
1979Nemak is founded
2008Sigma invest in
Perú
ALFA's heritage goes back to 1890
2018Alpek acquires
PQS (Brazil)
1993 1997
ALFA Invest US $3,200 Million in modernization and expansion
2000Nemak invests in Canada
2005Hylsamex is divested
2005Nemak acquiresRautenbach
2007Nemak acquires Teksid and Hydro assets
2001Alpek expands
to the U.S.
1996Alestra is founded
(Telecom)
2004Sigma expands in cheese
2007Alpek acquires Eastman PET Mexico & Argentina
2010Sigma
acquires Bas-S
2013Sigma
acquires Campofrio
2016Alestra/Axtel
merger
2011Alpek acquires
Eastman Columbia and
Wellman
1890Brewery is founded
1974Grupo Monterrey
Splits
1975First investment in
petrochem
1980ALFA invest
in food
1982Mexican crisis and
financial restructuring
65
ALFA Guidance 2019A
(US $ Millions) Revenues EBITDA CAPEX
2018 2019e 2018 2019e 2018B 2019e
ALFA 19,055 19,107 2,858C 2,429D 1,570 979
Alpek 6,991 7,248 1,063 918 827 310
Sigma 6,336 6,679 684 735 180 194
Nemak 4,704 4,377 734 620 403 320
Axtel 809 641 422 217 117 122
Newpek 108 54 31 (3) 21 29
Assumptions:
• Mexico GDP growth: 1.7%
• U.S. GDP growth: 2.3%
• Eurozone GDP Growth: 1.8%
• Avg. exchange rate Mx Peso to U.S: $20.60
• Avg. exchange rate Euro to US: $1.18
• Avg. oil price (Brent): US $68/barrel
A. Guidance as of February 14, 2019 | B. CAPEX for 2018 includes acquisitions | C. Includes US $427 Million from extraordinary items | D. Includes US $200 Million from sale of Cogen plants 66
ALFA on-track to achieve full year EBITDA Guidance
Net Extraordinary Items YTD
Reported EBITDA YTD
Comparable EBITDA YTD
4Q19 EBITDA (To meet guidance)
Gain from Cogen Power Plants
Sale (Estimate)
2019 EBITDA Guidance
1,661 13
571
555
200 2,429
3Q19
1,674
67
9
13
9
6
12
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
ROIC 2014 - 2018
ROIC = NOPAT / Invested Capital | NOPAT = EBIT – Taxes | Invested Capital = Stockholder’s Equity + Debt68
Breakdown by Region
Mexico
32%
U.S. & Canada
31%
Europe
21%
South & Central America
10%
Asia & Others
6%
Revenues 2018US $19.1 Billion
69
70
Debt Profile and maturities
Rate (%)Currency (%)
Var.
9%
Fix
91%
U.S.
72%
EUR
16%
MXN
10%
Other
2%
Debt maturities(US $ Million)
1,253
426283
405
853
395
2,296
8751,042
63
564
1,011
CASH 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029+
Debt maturities – 3Q19
Cash 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029+
Alfa Holding Alpek Nemak Sigma Axtel Newpek Other
US $ Million Cash 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029+
ALFA Holding 44 - 50 - - - 500 - - - - 500
Alpek 309 15 128 329 710 319 19 265 15 15 15 501
Nemak 285 130 39 32 37 37 611 592 3 3 2 11
Sigma 518 274 33 19 21 23 654 - 999 - 500 -
Axtel 39 7 23 16 82 14 513 17 25 46 46 -
Newpek 5 - - - - - - - - - - -
TOTAL* 1,253 426 283 405 853 395 2,296 875 1,042 63 564 1,011
Total Debt:US $8,213 MillionAvg. Life of Debt 5.6 years
*Includes other entities 71
Outstanding bonds - ALFA
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
9/2
8/2
01
8
10
/12
/20
18
10
/26
/20
18
11
/9/2
01
8
11
/23
/20
18
12
/7/2
01
8
12
/21
/20
18
1/4
/20
19
1/1
8/2
01
9
2/1
/20
19
2/1
5/2
01
9
3/1
/20
19
3/1
5/2
01
9
3/2
9/2
01
9
4/1
2/2
01
9
4/2
6/2
01
9
5/1
0/2
01
9
5/2
4/2
01
9
6/7
/20
19
6/2
1/2
01
9
7/5
/20
19
7/1
9/2
01
9
8/2
/20
19
8/1
6/2
01
9
8/3
0/2
01
9
9/1
3/2
01
9
9/2
7/2
01
9
2044
2024
72
Outstanding bonds – ALFA Subsidiaries
Sigma
Axtel
Alpek
Nemak
Val
ue
Val
ue
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
9/2
8/2
01
8
10
/19
/20
18
11
/9/2
01
8
11
/30
/20
18
12
/21
/20
18
1/1
1/2
01
9
2/1
/20
19
2/2
2/2
01
9
3/1
5/2
01
9
4/5
/20
19
4/2
6/2
01
9
5/1
7/2
01
9
6/7
/20
19
6/2
8/2
01
9
7/1
9/2
01
9
8/9
/20
19
8/3
0/2
01
9
9/2
0/2
01
9
2024
2025
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
9/2
8/2
01
8
10
/19
/20
18
11
/9/2
01
8
11
/30
/20
18
12
/21
/20
18
1/1
1/2
01
9
2/1
/20
19
2/2
2/2
01
9
3/1
5/2
01
9
4/5
/20
19
4/2
6/2
01
9
5/1
7/2
01
9
6/7
/20
19
6/2
8/2
01
9
7/1
9/2
01
9
8/9
/20
19
8/3
0/2
01
9
9/2
0/2
01
9
2024
9092949698
100102104106108110
9/2
8/2
01
8
10
/19
/20
18
11
/9/2
01
8
11
/30
/20
18
12
/21
/20
18
1/1
1/2
01
9
2/1
/20
19
2/2
2/2
01
9
3/1
5/2
01
9
4/5
/20
19
4/2
6/2
01
9
5/1
7/2
01
9
6/7
/20
19
6/2
8/2
01
9
7/1
9/2
01
9
8/9
/20
19
8/3
0/2
01
9
9/2
0/2
01
9
2024
2028
2026
2019
9092949698
100102104106108110
9/2
8/2
01
8
10
/19
/20
18
11
/9/2
01
8
11
/30
/20
18
12
/21
/20
18
1/1
1/2
01
9
2/1
/20
19
2/2
2/2
01
9
3/1
5/2
01
9
4/5
/20
19
4/2
6/2
01
9
5/1
7/2
01
9
6/7
/20
19
6/2
8/2
01
9
7/1
9/2
01
9
8/9
/20
19
8/3
0/2
01
9
9/2
0/2
01
9
2023
2022
2029
73
ALFA & Subsidiaries Outstanding Bonds
CompanyAmount(M US)
RateYTM
(30/Sept/2019)Maturity
Ratings
S&P Fitch Moody’s
Alfa 500 5.250% 3.3% March 25, 2024 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alfa 500 6.875% 5.6% March 25, 2044 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alpek 650 4.500% 3.0% November 20, 2022 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alpek 300 5.375% 3.1% August 08, 2023 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alpek 500 4.25% 4.1% September 18, 2029 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma 250 6.875% 2.7% December 16, 2019 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma €600 2.625% 0.8% February 07, 2024 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma 1,000 4.125% 3.5% May 02, 2026 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma 500 4.875% 3.9% March 27, 2028 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Nemak 500 4.750% 2.3% January 23, 2025 BB+ ; SO BBB- ; SO Ba1 ; SO
Nemak €500 3.25% 4.3% March 15, 2024 BB+ ; SO BBB- ; SO Ba1 ; SO
Axtel 500 6.375% 5.6% November 14, 2024 BB ; SO BB- ; SO Ba3 ; SO
74
US 50%
EUR43%
Other 8%
US100%
MXN 0%
US100%
Debt by Currency
US61%
EUR27%
MXN 9%
US 65%
MXN35%
US $1,047 Million US $2,329 Million US $2,524 Million
US $1,498 Million US $790 Million
*Includes currency hedging
Other 3%
75
Debt by Fixed and Variable Interest Rate
Fix100%
Fix92%
Var8%
Fix85%
Var15%
Fix82%
Var18%
Fix95%
Var 5%
US $1,047 Million US $2,329 Million US $2,524 Million
US $1,498 Million US $790 Million
*Includes currency hedging76
Brent Crude Oil
120
100
80
60
40
202014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Guidance 2019($68/bbl)
US $/Bbl
Brent Crude Oil
99 $/bbl
53 $/bbl
44 $/bbl
54 $/bbl 71 $/bbl
77
201
74 71 69 63 59 71 64 63 60 72 80 81104
133 135 118 110155 140
PET Margin (Asia)
PTA
PET
2011
210
2012 3Q2015
258
2013 2014 1Q
260
4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
478
4Q1Q2Q 3Q 1Q
394
270
2Q
230210
284
212240
276 263
342
377
324333
370
2Q
China
2016 2017 2018 2019
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG (US $/Ton)
250
304
3Q
78
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Pork Ham Price in Europe and U.S.
2018
2019
€/kgPork Ham Price in Europe
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Jan. Mar. May. Jul. Sept. Nov.
US $/lbPork Ham Price in U.S.
Jan. Mar. May. Jul. Sept. Nov.
2018
2019
79
Contact
Hernán F. LozanoV.P. of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications
T. +52 (81) 8748 [email protected]