corporate and investment...
TRANSCRIPT
Corporate and Investment Banking
Lecture 4.1 – M&A Tactics
1
M&A Tactics
Art or Science?
Hostile
Shareholder Activism
2
M&A Tactics
Hostile M&A
3
Hostile M&A
Hostile M&A is really only possible in public M&A situations
As a bidder in a private sale process, there are opportunities to exert pressure on a seller, but
truly hostile bid tactics are the preserve of public M&A
Hostile M&A comes in many forms, but at its core involves making an offer to public
shareholders (formally or informally) that bypasses the target’s management or board
Exerting pressure through publicity has become an increasingly common tactic in recent years
4
‘01 – ‘16 YTD EMEA M&A Volume Friendly vs. Hostile Transactions ($bn)
98.5% 98.3% 98.4%
91.2%
98.4% 98.1%
94.7%
99.6% 99.7% 100.0% 99.8% 100.0% 99.7% 99.1% 99.9% 98.5%
1.5% 1.7% 1.6%
8.8%
1.6% 1.9% 5.3%
0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 0.1% 1.5%
651 566 556
778
1,062 1,482 1,607 1,056
499
694
770 776 705 959
1,146
728
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016YTD
Friendly Hostile Total Volume
Source: Thomson Reuters and Mergermarket as of 27 September 2016.
Hostile Pros and Cons
Hostile
Advantages
Can acquire a target against the management’s wishes
Seizes PR initiative
Greater control over timing of announcements and
offer timetable
Disadvantages
Possible reputational damage to offeror
Higher risk / uncertainty
target incentivised to seek alternative solutions (i.e. white
knights)
No due diligence access or co-operation with respect to
regulatory issues
Greater costs
Higher premium likely
Unwanted press attention
Unlikely to close early in 60 day timetable
Institutional shareholders can be averse to hostile bids
Cannot implement via a scheme of arrangement
Friendly
Advantages
Friendly and recommended by the board
Board support may reduce likelihood of counter bid
Greater level of due diligence possible
Ongoing co-operation from management
Traditionally lower premium
Likely to run to shorter bid timetable
Board irrevocables
Possible to implement via a scheme of arrangement
Possible to address any regulatory / anti-trust issues with
co-operation of the Offeree
Disadvantages
Risk of leak
‘Cost’ of board recommendation and support
Management control of enlarged group may
be compromised
5
Usually initiated by a
call to the Chairman
(or CEO)
Followed by an offer
letter
Can be helpful to
have meeting with
the potential bidder
(may be through
advisers) to get
clarity on offer
terms
Value and
assumptions
Deal structure
Diligence
requirements
Confidentiality
Financing
Intentions for the
business
Financial adviser to
assist with
evaluation of offer
terms and provide
advice on
recommendation
Private
Approach Made
to Target Board
Meet to Clarify
Terms
Announce
Offer
Reject
Bidder
Options
Target
options
Board to Consider
Terms
Accept Key
Terms
Due
Diligence
Walk Away
Go Public – Bear Hug
Hostile Bid
Improve Terms
Reject – ‘Just Say No’
Seek White Knight
Other Defence Options
Seek Improved Terms
1
2
3
Typically a potential bidder will seek to engage with the target board in private in order to secure a
recommendation before considering other tactical options
Approach Tactics: Key Steps and Options
6
Private Approach
Seek Board
Recommendation
Public Statement and Engagement with Shareholders – ‘Bear Hug’
Short Announcement
of Interest / Rejection
Fuller
Announcement of
Intentions e.g. Price
Full Announcement
Subject to
pre Conditions
Majority of bids initiated
via a private approach
1
Go Hostile
Launch
Unrecommended
Offer
Launch Hostile Offer
3
May be triggered by
a leak
/
/
/ /
/
/
/
Decision to go public
2
Approach Tactics: Spectrum of Potential Approach
Strategies
7
/
Strategies to Avoid Being Targeted
Peer and Sector Review
Declining valuation metrics, “missing the numbers” or other signs of financial weakness (particularly as compared to peer) should prompt immediate focus on rectifying financial performance
Focus on short and long term shareholder value
Waiting for the sector or economic conditions to improve is unlikely to be sufficient
Review of Investor Base and Trends
Monitor investor base
Monitor actively trading volumes and ownership trends
Keep track of equity, debt and convertible securities holders
Maintain a proactive and constant dialogue with all investors/classes of investor
Tailor presentation and messages to hedge funds
Engage in dialogue with equity advisory services (when appropriate)
Keep credit rating agencies informed
Actively build-up supportive shareholder base
Capital Structure and Distribution Review
Optimize capital structure and cost of capital
Historically, share repurchases and increased dividend
Now, focus on financial stability and size
8
Strategies to Avoid Being Targeted (Cont’d)
Portfolio Optimization
Evaluate regularly whether mix of businesses and activities is optimized
Focus on core competencies
Monetize low growth assets
Highlight value of high growth assets
Review Takeover Defenses
Review the strategic and financial alternatives on a regular basis
Review Business Plan, operating performance and competitive positioning
Have up-to-date structural defenses available, where allowed
Maintain an open shareholder dialogue
Ensure Supervisory Board / Non Executive Support
Supervisory board/non-executive support is important
A supervisory board that is used to be involved in the company’s affairs is more likely to support
management in a crisis than a pure “ceremonial board”
9
Defense Tactics
10
Preemptive Reactive
Anti-takeover Amendments (Shark repellents)
Charter changes that aim at limiting a Bidder’s ability to get the
control of the Target, e.g.:
Staggered boards
Fair price provision
Super-majority provision
Dual class recapitalization
Restructuring
Divestures and break up transactions: sale of “crown
jewels”
Acquisition of undesirable assets
Share repurchase or leveraged recapitalization to increase
the leverage of the Target to intolerable levels for the
Bidder
Golden Parachutes
Provisions that generously compensate the top managers in
case they are fired after a change in control
Greenmail
The Target repurchases its shares from the Bidder at premium,
in exchange for the Bidder’s agreement not to make an hostile
bid over a given time span
Labor Agreements
Union representatives might be part of the board of directors.
Since hostile takeovers typically result in downsizing the Target,
labor representatives are likely to oppose an attack
White Knight
Friendly Bidder to contrast the hostile bid
White Squire
Company purchasing a block, without gaining control
Poison Pills
Issuance of securities to make costly and difficult to gain
control of the Target
Pac-Man
The Target launching a counter bid on the Bidder
Poison Puts
Covenants that grant bondholders the right to sell Target
bonds at par (or even above par) in case of a change in control
Litigation
Case Studies
Olivetti Takeover of Telecom Italia (1999)
Defense plan not approved at shareholder meeting. The Italian Government didn’t use its “golden” share
with veto power
White knight (Deutsche Telekom) not successful
Olivetti ultimately purchased 52% of Telecom Italia’s voting shares at a cost of €31bn
Vodafone Takeover of Mannesmann (2000)
It was an hostile takeover but the merger was backed in a private deal. The Mannesmann board agreed
to an increased offer of £112bn, then the largest corporate merger ever
Never before in Germany had a large company been acquired by a foreign owner
Total Takeover of Elf Aquitaine (2000)
Elf Aquitaine counterbid (Pac-Man defense strategy) – but institutional investors strongly preferred
Total’s deal
11 Source:Kruse, T., 2005. Ownership, Control and Shareholder Value in Italy: Olivetti's Hostile Takeover of Telecom Italia. ECGI - Finance Working Paper
No. 83/2005 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=728284; http://www.nytimes.com/1999/09/21/business/a-french-concoction-totalfina-s-
acquisition-of-elf-may-be-only-a-prelude.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm; http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/445868.stm
M&A Tactics
Shareholder Activism
12
Hostile - Shareholder Activism
Shareholder Activism: a way in
which shareholders can assert their
power as owners of the company
to influence its behavior
Source of monitoring of managers
and/or blockholders (principal-agent
relationship)
Shareholder Activist: a
shareholder who attempts to use
his or her rights as a shareholder of
a publicly-traded corporation to
bring about social change
13
Who are the Activists?
Types of Shareholders
Large Shareholders
Individual Shareholders
Institutional Shareholders: banks, insurance companies, retirement or pension
funds, investment advisors
The Old: Defensive Activism (ex-post): the investor disagrees with managers’
decisions and reacts to protect or enhance the value of pre-existing holdings (i.e.:
Reluctant Activist)
Traditional Institutional Investors as mutual and pension funds (e.g.: CalPERS,
CalSTRS)
The New: Offensive Activism (ex-ante): specialized activists, lacking a sizeable
stake in the target, build up one “offensively” with the intention of actively prompt
changes to maximize their investment return
Specialist Activists and Activist Hedge Funds (e.g.: Knight Vinke Asset
Management, Hermes Fund Managers TCI, Cevian, Icahn Partners)
14
Can activism deliver over the long-term?
Total Return S&P 500 Index vs. S&P US Activist Interest Index(1)
US companies targeted from activists have consistently outperformed the market
15 Source: Bloomberg as of 27 September 2016. Notes: (1) The S&P U.S. Activist Interest Index is designed to measure the performance of companies
within the S&P U.S. BMI that have been targeted by an activist investor within the last 24 months.
(1)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Sep 2006 Mar 2008 Aug 2009 Jan 2011 Jun 2012 Nov 2013 Apr 2015 Sep 2016
Ind
ex
Re
bas
ed
to
10
0
S&P 500 Index S&P US Activist Index
`
Range of Activist Shareholder Objectives
TUI (Wyser-Pratte)
Curanum (Wyser-Pratte)
Cadbury Schweppes
(Nelson Peltz)
Valora Holding (Golden
Peaks Capital, Pictet-Fund,
3V Asset Management)
Minerva (Kifin)
HSBC (Knight-Vinke)
TUI (Wyser-Pratte)
Freenet (Various)
Sainsbury (Tchenguiz)
Lagadere (Wyser-Pratte)
Techem (Various)
Cumerio / Norddeutsche
Affinerie (A-Tec)
ABN Amro (TCI)
Wyevale (Laxey)
Philips (Jana Partners, D.E.
Shaw Group)
Deutsche Borse (TCI,
Atticus)
Deutsche Borse (TCI,
Atticus)
BA-CA (Various)
HVB (Various)
Dis Deutscher Industrie
Service (Various)
Wella (Various)
Monetise
other Assets
Frustrate M&A
Capital
Measures/
Integration
Influence
Takeover
Outcome
Fair Takeover
Compensation Sell Company
Change
Management
Team
Break-up
Old Mutual (Cevian)
ENI (Knight-Vinke)
Elan (Cabtree)
Mitchells & Butlers
(Piedmont)
16
Increase
Capital
Distribution
Influence
Decision Making
Process
Stages of Shareholder Activism
Private Correspondence
with Board
Activist funds typically have team of ‘analysts’ reviewing undervalued companies
Many will take significant time to get to know business and perceived opportunity
Initial Acquisition
PR Campaign
Requisition EGM
Litigation
Identification of Target
Activist investor takes initial position in target – typically 5% - 15%
May choose to build over time or buy in one block
Share price may react strongly to presence of investor on the register
Investor seeks meetings with key management / board figures to discuss perspectives on business
Frequently also send ‘formal’ letter to board setting out perceived short-comings in current
strategy and suggested improvements
Starts with mere presence on the register, particularly for the well-known funds
Will be ratcheted up depending on progress with the Board
Leaks / press briefings or ‘open letter’
Likely to be coordinated with approaches to other key shareholders
Rights to requisition EGM common to most markets
Typically seeks to place representation on the Board (or remove
existing board) rather than requiring specific action
Typically dependent on gaining support of majority of
shareholders who vote
Much less common in European situations than in
the US
Lack of poison pulls, no-jury trials, potential
for award of costs
17
Shareholder Activism in Europe is Here to Stay
18
Background
Traditionally, activism has been seen as a US Phenomenon, with European Investors tending not to intervene in the running of their portfolio companies
While EU legislation is creating a common base of applicable laws and regulations, historically some jurisdictions have had very different starting places to the US in
terms of
Board structure
Availability of, and appetite for, litigation
Shareholder based (including cross-holding structures)
Political and market environments
Primacy of shareholder value
However, the activist model is taking root in Europe and institutions such as ISS are becoming increasingly important in determining the outcome of shareholder
campaigns
The market in Europe has evolved, with shareholder activism now recognised as a legitimate economic activity which can, in some cases, be beneficial for companies
and shareholders as a whole
A shareholder prepared to challenged an incumbent board of a European company will find a range of tools at its disposal and increasing support and engagement of
‘vanilla’ investors
Some Recent Examples
Shareholder activism has been a common phenomena in the US for some time. US funds are
now looking to Europe – as demonstrated by Elliott with Actelion (as well as Danisco and
National Express).
Minority Rights
19
UK Germany France Italy Spain
Disclosure
Threshold
3%
But in practice 212
notices out investor
earlier
3% 5%
Specific company by-
laws, often 1% or even
below
2% 3%
Power to
call EGM
10%
Board has to fund
circular to all
shareholders
5%
AoA may provide for a
lower threshold
10% 10% 5%
Blocking
Thresholds
25% for special
resolution (changes to
articles, schemes,
share capital)
50% for ordinary
25% for special
resolution
50% ordinary
resolutions provided
that AoA do not
provide for different
majority
33% for special
resolutions
50% for ordinary
>1/3 of votes in EGM
50% for ordinary
33% for special
resolutions
50% for ordinary
Marketing
Bid Level
30%
Bid price equal to or
greater than highest
price paid in past 6
months
30%
Bid price equal to or
greater than weighted
average price over
past 3 months
30% (new regulation
being implemented)
Bid price equal to or
greater than highest
price paid in past 12
months
30%
Bid price equal to or
greater than highest
price paid in the past
12 months
30%
Bid price equal to or
greater than highest
price paid in the past
12 months
Election/
De-selection
of Board
50% Supervisory Board is
elected by the general
assembly with > 50%
Members of
Supervisory Board
may be dismissed by
general assembly with
> 75%
Simple majority (i.e.
50%) but by-laws often
introduce specific
procedures
50% Simple majority (i.e.
50%) but by-laws often
introduce specific
procedures
Corporate and Investment Banking
Lesson 4.2 – Contract Negotiation
20
Contract Negotiation
Sales and Purchase Agreement
Due Diligence Process
21
Contract Negotiation
Sales and Purchase Agreement
22
Sales and Purchase Agreement
Legally binding contract between the acquiring and selling parties. It is subject to
conditions such as shareholder approval
The contract can take the form of a stock purchase agreement, asset purchase
agreement, tender offer document, or merger agreement
The SPA is a risk management device focused on the completion of the transaction
Therefore it may not include further details such as synergies, plans for
integration, governance and organization, etc.
23 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 29
Key Sections in Purchase and Sale Agreements
Section Highlights
Execution
Provisions
Details the structure and mechanics of the transaction
Specifies purchase consideration amount and form (e.g. cash, stock, or mix)
Purchase Price Adjustments clauses
Representation
s and
Warranties
Details exactly what is being bought and sold, and its condition
Seller represents that it has clean title to (i.e. ownership of) the property being sold
Outlines each parties' ability to act
Covenants
Agreements to take (or not to take) certain actions between signing and closing
For example, covenants define who must seek regulatory approval
Requires the seller to operate the business as normal and not impair the business by firing employees, for
example
Conditions to
Closing
Conditions that must be met before closing can take place, such as regulatory approval, shareholder
approval
Termination
Provision
Conditions upon which the transaction may be terminated, such as a higher bid received by the seller or
the buyer's inability to secure financing
Break-Up Fees Specifies the amount that must be paid by the seller (buyer) to the buyer (seller) if the seller (buyer)
terminates the transaction
24 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 29
Purchase Price Adjustments
Type Comments
Working Capital
Adjustments
Most important for financial buyers who are trying to arrange financing and where working capital may
impact the credit statistics
Detailed adjustments are often made in working capital-intensive and/or seasonal industries, such as
retailing
Negotiation of working capital adjustment clauses centers on establishing the appropriate target level
of working capital
Net Debt
Adjustments
When net debt is to be assumed by the buyer, it is important to define how net debt is calculated and
determine how much debt is expected to be on the balance sheet at closing
Define whether the price is defined in terms of enterprise value or equity value
Define whether cash flows of the business between signing and closing are allocated to the buyer or,
more typically, the seller (important in businesses that are cash flow negative)
Operating Metric
Adjustments
Occurs where an acquirer insists on an adjustment to reflect business performance between signing
and closing - Especially true in situations where there is uncertainty as to the underlying business
performance or the financial estimates in use
E.g.: If an acquisition and the related financing is made on the basis of an EBITDA multiple, the
buyer may want to be able to adjust the purchase price to reflect any deterioration of the
business
25 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 29
Covenant Categories
Category Comments
Operation of
Business
(handcuffs)
Regulate the operation of the business for the purpose of ensuring that the buyer gets the business in the form and
condition it expects
Adjustments for capex and management of cash flows are generally tied to the purchase price adjustments in the
execution provisions
In general, the seller agrees to operate the business in the "ordinary course", limiting the target's ability to make
acquisitions or dispose of assets between signing and closing
In general, the seller agrees to refrain from undertaking certain actions specified in the contract, e.g.: terminating
employees
"Efforts"
The seller and buyer agree to use certain "efforts" to complete the transaction: this can range from "best efforts" to
"reasonable efforts"
There is often a specific regulatory efforts covenant which commits the buyer and seller to jointly work towards
obtaining the necessary regulatory approvals
Financing
If the buyer needs financing, the agreement may contain a specific covenant for the buyer to take certain efforts to
obtain the financing
Together with the "efforts" clause, this clause may determine the specific level of the commitment required of the
financing (e.g. fully committed, best efforts)
26 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 29
Contract Negotiation
Due Diligence Process
27
Due Diligence Definition & Principles
Definition
An investigation or audit of a potential investment. Due diligence serves to confirm all material
facts in regards to a sale
Generally, due diligence refers to the care a reasonable person should take before entering into
an agreement or a transaction with another party
Principles
Avoid a compliance mentality and adopt an investor mentality (look at the risk-return trade-off )
Due diligence is a risk management device
Narrow- vs. Broader-scope due diligence: risk bearing is always costly
Broader-scope Due Diligence: Yields the basis for thinking like an investor. Focus mainly on wise
acquiring rather than on legal issues. (Higher cost of the due diligence, but lower risk surprise
now)
Narrow Scope Due Diligence: Focus mainly on the legal and accounting issues to get the deal
done. Should be bundled with other risk management devices. (Lower cost of the due diligence,
but higher risk surprise later)
28 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 8
What to Look for in a Due Diligence
Legal Issues Accounting
Issues Tax Issues
Information Technology
Risk and Insurance
issues
Environmental issues
Market Presence and Sales issues
Operations Real and Personal
Property issues
Intellectual and Intangible
Assets Finance
Cross-Border issues
Organization and Human Resources
Culture Ethics
29 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 8
Due Diligence Process: Timing
Due Diligence over the Life Cycle of a Deal
30 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 8
Focused on public
data. Very small
team. Due diligence
oriented toward
strategic or financial
benefits of a
combination
Focused on public
and some target
private data. Team
grows to include
important outside
advisers and some
integration
managers. Aims to
advise LOI
negotiators, and plan
detailed due
diligence
Focused on target
private documents as
requested by buyer.
Target provides data
room. Aim is to
support negotiators
in their preparation
of price,
representation and
warranties and other
final terms.
Focused on target
documents, field
visits, interviews,
consultants’ reports.
Very large team. Aim
is to test
representations and
warranties in
advance of closing,
and prepare for
post-merger
integration
First Proposal Letter of Intent Deal Contract Signed Closing
Due Diligence Process: Team
Attorney, general corporate review
Attorney, tax specialist
Attorney, regulation specialist
Attorney, risk management specialist
Attorney, environment specialist
Attorney, intellectual property specialist (e.g.: patents)
Attorney, pension and benefits specialist
Accountant, general audit
Accountant, tax specialist
Accountant, internal reporting
Consultant, information technology specialist
Buyer employee, information technology specialist
Actuary
Buyer employee(s), human resources, compensation, pension, benefits, and training
Consultant, human resources, compensation, pension, benefits, and training
Buyer employee, risk management specialist
Consultant, environment risk assessment specialist
Buyer employee, environment risk assessment specialist
Buyer employee(s), marketing and sales
Buyer employee(s), operations
Buyer employee(s), post-merger integration specialist
Buyer employee, cash management
Buyer employee, finance and valuation
Consultant, solvency analysis and credit analysis
Consultant, business forecast and operations
Consultant, real and personal property appraisal
Consultant, valuation specialist
Hypothetical Due Diligence Review Team
31 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 8
Due Diligence Process: Outputs
Primary work papers and other resources
These are the raw material of the diligence effort (i.e.: list of records checked, work papers
and notes from the checking process, transcripts and audiotapes from interviews,
videotapes from field visits and inspections, photographs, etc.)
Summaries by specialists
In each of the areas of focus a specialist should be tasked with preparing a summary of
findings
Diligence synthesis
Technical overview of the entire due diligence effort usually written for the benefit of
negotiators, and to combine the specialists’ findings for possible future reference
Integration recommendations
Recommendations for integration planners, that begin their work after the signing of the
definitive agreement and draw on the findings from the diligence review
Executive summaries
Summaries suitable to informing and guiding executives along the way
32 Source: Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapter 8
References
Bruner, 2004. Applied Mergers and Acquisitions. Wiley Finance: chapters 8, 29, 30, 32-34
Fleuriet, 2008. Investment banking explained, McGraw-Hill: chapter 14
Iannotta, G., 2010. Investment Banking, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg: chapter 9
Kruse, T., 2005. Ownership, Control and Shareholder Value in Italy: Olivetti's Hostile Takeover
of Telecom Italia. ECGI - Finance Working Paper No. 83/2005
Miller, E.L.J., 2008. Mergers and Acquisitions: A Step-by-Step Legal and Practical Guide. Wiley:
chapter 2
33