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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL © Hans Cleijne 27 June 2019 ENERGY Cost of offshore transmission 1

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Page 1: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL ©

Hans Cleijne

27 June 2019

ENERGY

Cost of offshore transmission

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Page 2: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Introduction

▪ Cost of offshore wind energy have significantly decreased

recently

▪ Grid connection cost become a larger fraction of total LCOE

▪ TenneT wishes to benchmark the cost of their standard HVAC

platform and grid connection system to comparable offshore

transmission systems

▪ In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being

transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

and final) are published by Ofgem, and can be used for

comparison.

▪ Denmark has also published final costs that can be used for

comparison.

▪ France investment costs have been provided by RTE

Disclaimer: Note that the tender systems in NL, UK, FR and DK are different in

terms of scope and nature. The comparison presented is meant as a qualitative

indication of the LCOE and CAPEX in these countries.

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Page 3: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Transfer Values available

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▪ In the UK, 6 rounds of offshore transmission systems are

tendered and transferred to Offshore Transmissions

Operators (OFTO)

– Final transfer value (14)

– Indicative transfer value (3)

– Developer’s initial value (7)

▪ Total capital expenditures in Denmark are available for

– Anholt

– Horns Rev 3

▪ Capital expenditures in NL are based on public domain cost

published by TenneT (Borssele, HKZ, HKN)

▪ Capital expenditures in FR have been provided by RTE and

are based on 3 offshore wind farms

Page 4: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

CAPEX Offshore transmission system

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UK, final transfer value

UK, indicative value

UK, initial transfer value

NL, budget value

DK, final value

FR, budget value

Page 5: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

CAPEX Offshore transmission systemnormalized for 50 km offshore cable and 15 km onshore cable

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UK, final transfer value

UK, indicative value

UK, initial transfer value

NL, budget value

DK, final value

FR, budget value

Page 6: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Conclusions CAPEX offshore transmission systems

▪ Comparison shows that UK has higher CAPEX per installed MW than NL, DK and FR, also when adjusted for

cable length

▪ Scope of offshore transmission is comparable (offshore substation, offshore cable, onshore cable, landstation)

▪ Denmark has shorter offshore cable length; UK and NL are comparable (~50 km cable length).

▪ Considerable variation in onshore cable length in the various countries

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Page 7: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Comparison LCOE of Transmission Systems(EUR/MWh) NL – UK – DK – FR

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cables

sub stations

LCOE-values for comparison only. Not intended for comparison with grid tariffs

Page 8: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Assumptions

▪ LCOE = 𝐶𝐴𝑃𝐸𝑋+𝑁𝑃𝑉(σ 𝑂𝑃𝐸𝑋)

𝑁𝑃𝑉(σ 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦)

▪ Assumptions

– AC Offshore transmission system: Offshore substation, offshore cable, onshore cable, land station (extension)

– Nominal CAPEX

– Annual OPEX: 1% of CAPEX

– Wind farm capacity factor: 46% or 4000 Full Load Hours

– Nominal WACC: 4.4%

▪ Note that the presented LCOE are intended for comparison purposes only. Not for comparison with grid tariffs

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Page 9: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Possible cause for cost differences

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0,0%

10,0%

20,0%

30,0%

40,0%

50,0%

Construction start

Wind farm capacity factor

Capacity factor has increased, leading to

better increased grid utilisation

Wind farm size has increased over time,

offering potential cost savings due to

upscaling

Wind op Zee

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Construction start

Wind Farm Power (MW)

Wind op Zee

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0 200 400 600 800

Cab

le le

ngt

h (

km)

Wind farm power

Distance vs Wind Farm Size

There is no relation between power and

cable length

Page 10: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

Comparison topside design key numbers

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Specific weight of NL substation in line with

larger substations in UK

Topside size is low compared to substations

in the UK

Source: 4COffshore, TenneT. Note that these values are estimates with inherent

uncertainty about size definitions

Page 11: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

References

▪ References:

– https://www.ft.dk/samling/20171/almdel/efk/spm/253/svar/1495662/1906403/index.htm

– https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/electricity/transmission-networks/offshore-transmission/offshore-transmission-tenders

– Marktdesign für eine effiziente Netzanbindung von Offshore-Windenergie, DIW ECON, Berlin, Februar 2019

– Communication with RTE, June 2019

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Page 12: Cost of offshore transmission - TenneT · transmission systems In the UK, offshore transmission systems are being transferred to OFTO’s. The Transfer Prices (initial, indicative

DNV GL © 27 June 2019

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