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  • 8/3/2019 Countries Fuel GDP Inflation

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    1 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    COUNTRIES PETROLUS$/LT

    GDP - per

    capita(NOMINAL)

    (US$)

    Inflation rate(consumer

    prices) (%)

    VENEZUELA $0.03 $10,049.00 29.80

    KSA $0.20 $16,267.00 5.70

    BAHRAIN $0.21 $20,475.00 3.30

    QATAR $0.24 $74,901.00 1.10

    OMAN $0.26 $19,405.00 4.00

    UWAIT $0.28 $37,009.00 3.80

    EGYPT $0.30 $2,808.00 12.80

    ALGERIA $0.32 $4,366.00 5.00NIGERIA $0.43 $1,298.00 13.90

    UAE $0.49 $57,884.00 2.20

    AZERBAIJAN $0.89 $6,008.00 5.10

    USA $0.91 $46,860.00 1.40

    RUSSIA $1.00 $10,356.00 6.70

    PAKISTAN $1.07 $1,030.00 13.40

    MEXICO $1.15 $9,522.00 4.10

    CANADA $1.21 $46,303.00 1.60

    SRILANKA $1.24 $2,428.00 5.40

    SOUTHAFRICA $1.27 $7,274.00 4.50SINGAPORE $1.29 $43,117.00 2.80

    THAILAND $1.32 $4,992.00 3.30

    AUSTRALIA $1.44 $55,672.00 2.90

    INDIA $1.47 $1,371.00 11.70

    CHINA $1.52 $4,382.00 5.00

    BRAZIL $1.63 $10,816.00 4.90

    JAPAN $1.79 $42,783.00 -0.70

    SPAIN $1.83 $30,639.00 1.30

    AUSTRIA $1.85 $44,988.00 1.90

    SWITZERLAND $1.91 $67,779.00 0.70BELGIUM $1.99 $42,845.00 2.30

    FRANCE $2.04 $40,704.00 1.50

    GERMANY $2.06 $40,274.00 1.10

    UK $2.18 $36,164.00 3.30

    ITALY $2.25 $34,059.00 1.40

    NORWAY $2.46 $84,144.00 2.40

    TABLE-1

    INDIA Petrol Rates As on 05th

    November 2011, Other countries As at Sept 2011 End.

    Inflation and GDP as at January 2011 CIA World Fact Book.

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    2 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-1 GRAPH-2 GRAPH-3

    Indias Petrol / Gasoline is at Mid-range;

    GPD is on far lower end;

    Inflation is on higher side.

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    3 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-4

    GRAPH-5

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    4 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-6

    GRAPH-4 & 5

    Common countries under shaded area:

    Pakistan, Nigeria, India, Srilanka, Egypt, Algeria, China, Thailand, Azerbaijan,

    SouthAfrica, Mexico, Venezuela, Russia and Brazil. KSA is IN/OUT of shaded area

    because of Inflation rate.

    Countries with higher GPD, can afford higher Gasoline rates, but their inflation %tile is among

    the lowest.

    KSAs GDP is proportional to Inflation and Gasoline rate is among the lowest.

    Few oil-producing countries though among higher Inflation %tile but have lower Gasoline rates.

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    5 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-7

    GRAPH-7

    Indias rise in Petrol / Diesel is linked to USD/INR rate and World Crude rates (esp. OPEC); but

    fall in Crude rates does not affect rising Petrol rates in India. China is known to reduce their

    Gasoline rate with fall in World Crude rates.

    Ration proportion wise in terms of Oil-Production/Consumption, Oil-Imports/Exports; India

    and China shares similar graph. Why not the GDP?

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    GRAPH-8

    GRAPH-9

    GRAPH-8/9

    Oil consumption is higher than Oil Production. Though the upward Polynomial trend shows

    India on a slight downward slope, but Graph-11 plots India towards the centre of Polynomial

    trend depicting rise in Petrol rate in future.

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    7 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-10

    GRAPH-11

    GRAPH-10/11

    Oil imports are very high than Oil exports. Why do India need to Export Oil when the

    country is not able to meet local Oil demand? Graph-11 plots India towards the centre of

    Polynomial trend depicting rise in Petrol rate in future.

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    8 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-12

    GRAPH-13

    GRAPH-12/13

    Plots CCY stronger (graph-12) and CCY weaker (graph-13) against USD. There is appreciation

    in both the cases. India would see USD/INR appreciation-(Avg.$1=Rs.50/-). Our foreign

    currency and Gold treasury hold GOOD, among highest in World rating. Debts are highest.

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    9 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M . M u t t a

    GRAPH-14

    GRAPH-14

    Does Indias Oil-Imports and Exports has anything to do with rise in Petrol in India?

    Rise in World Crude Oil Rates.

    Withdrawal of Foreign Funds from Indias Stock Market.

    Weakening of USD/INR.

    Rise of Petrol in India.

    Rise in Inflation

    Rise in Corruption

    Bridge between Richer and Poorer widens.

    Indias GDP projection is not actual, but is still lower! I do not see the impact of GDP

    of USD1371 on Middle-Class / Lower-Middle Class group. Essentials commodities are

    still dearer to majority of Indias population.

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    10 | P a g e C o m p i l e r : M M u t t a

    GRAPH-15

    GRAPH-15

    Compare only India and China. Very similar but Chinas GDP is almost double. Chinas

    open market policy, biggest lender in World; could the reason of Chinas flooding

    Worlds market and Worlds economy is pouring into China.