course notes for unit 6 of the udacity course st101 introduction to statistics

Upload: iain-mcculloch

Post on 05-Apr-2018

227 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    1/23

    QZ848 Umgz 9? Re`reqqgcm

    Acmzemzq?Re`reqqgcm

    Acrrelhzgcm

    Fcmzw Nhll Trcblef .Ctzgcmhl'

    Hmqperq

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    2/23

    Re`reqqgcm

    Wcu qnculj refefber ircf zne yerw be`gmmgm` ci zngq acurqe znhz pe ahm nhye jhzh

    qezq pgzn fcre znhm cme jgfemqgcm- Icr e~hftle, zne qge ci h ncuqe relhzgye zc gzq

    trgae?

    Gm zne igrqz umgz pe qhp jgiieremz phwq ci treqemzgm` zne jhzh, lgke qahzzer&tlczq cr bhr

    anhrzq, buz pe jgjmz lcck hz pnhz fg`nz be zncu`nz ci hq zne Nclw @rhgl ci qzhzgqzgaq,

    igzzgm` h lgme zc zne jhzh tcgmzq?

    Bw zne emj ci zngq umgz wcu pgll be hble zc igz h lgme zc jhzh tcgmzq lgke zneqe, hmj wcu

    pgll eyem be hble zc qzhze pnhz zne reqgjuhl errcr gq gm znhz igz- Zngq pgll hllcp wcu mcz

    cmlw zc umjerqzhmj zne jhzh, buz hlqc zc fhke trejgazgcmq hbcuz tcgmzq znhz wcu nhye

    meyer qeem beicre-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    3/23

    Lgmeq

    Ncp jc pe qteagiw h lgme3 Pell, quttcqe pe nhye h ncrgcmzhl h~gq, ~, hmj h yerzgahl

    h~gq, w- H qzrhg`nz lgme gq acffcmlw jeqargbej bw h iumazgcmhl relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~

    hmj w ci zne icrf?

    hb~w

    Acmqgjer zne lgme jeqargbej bw zne iumazgcm w 6 2~-

    Gi ~ 6 4 znem w 6 4- Zngq fehmq znhz zne lgme fuqz c znrcu`n zne crg`gm- Gi ~ 6 2 znem

    w 6 :- Pe mcp nhye zpc tcgmzq hmj pe ahm jrhp cur lgme?

    Tgak zne Lgme Xug

    Pnhz hbcuz zne lgme, w 6 &~ +: g-e- pnere b 6 8 hmj h 6 :- Pngan ci zneqe lgmeq beqz

    fhzaneq zngq iumazgcm3

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    4/23

    Igmj Aceiigagemzq Xug

    Pnhz hre zne aceiigagemzq h hmj b icr zne lgme qncpm belcp?

    hb~w

    Lgmehr Re`reqqgcm

    Gi pe nhye 2&jgfemqgcmhl jhzh, icr e~hftle zne h`e ci h terqcm hmj znhz terqcmq

    gmacfe, lgmehr re`reqqgcm gq h zeanmgxue icr zrwgm` zc igz h lgme znhz beqz jeqargbeq znhz

    jhzh?

    Gm lgmehr re`reqqgcm pe hre `gyem jhzh .nhygm` fcre znhm 8&jgfemqgcm', hmj pe

    hzzeftz zc igmj zne beqz lgme zc igz zne jhzh- Zc tuz zngq jgiieremzlw, pe hre zrwgm` zc

    gjemzgiw zne thrhfezerq h hmj b icr zne iumazgcm?

    hb~w

    Pe hre zrwgm` zc igmj zne lgme znhz gq zne beqz&igz zc cur jhzh, hmj zne pcrj beqz gq

    gmzereqzgm` gm zngq acmze~z- Cbygcuqlw gz gq gftcqqgble zc jrhp h qzrhg`nz lgme znhz

    thqqeq znrcu`n eyerw tcgmz gm zngq jhzh qez?

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    5/23

    Zngq gq pnhz gq kmcpm hq mcm&lgmehr jhzh & zne jhzh tcgmzq `c ut hmj jcpm- Jhzh

    cizem lcckq lgke zngq, eyem pnem zne relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~ hmj w gq lgmehr- Zngq gq

    beahuqe znere gq uquhllw pnhz gq kmcpm hq mcgqe gm zne jhzh- Mcgqe gq h rhmjcf

    elefemz gm zne jhzh znhz pe ahmmcz e~tlhgm-

    Gm zrwgm` zc igmj zne beqz&igz zc zne jhzh, pe hre zrwgm` zc igmj h lgme znhz fgmgfgqeqzne jgiieremaeq bezpeem zne jhzh tcgmzq hmj zne lgme gm zne w&jgreazgcm?

    Zne rehqcm icr zngq gq znhz pe hre hqqufgm` znhz cur jhzh requlzq ircf qcfe umkmcpm

    lgmehr iumazgcm tluq mcgqe?

    mcgqehb~w

    Gi zne mcgqe gq hqqufej zc be @huqqghm, znem fgmgfgqgm` zne xuhjrhzga jeyghzgcm

    bezpeem zne jhzh tcgmzq hmj zne lgme trcygjeq zne acrreaz fhznefhzgahl hmqper- Gm

    trhazgae, pnhz pe hre jcgm` gq hjjgm`, cyer hll jhzh tcgmzq, zne jgiieremae bezpeem cur

    iumazgcm hmj zne w&yhlue ci zne jhzh tcgmz, qxuhrej?

    g~

    ggwhb~

    2

    Zngq gq zne jgqzhmae znhz pe hre fgmgfgqgm`-

    Acmqgjer zne icllcpgm` qg~ jhzh tcgmzq?

    Pnhz gq zne beqz igz lgme icr zngq jhzh3

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    6/23

    Pell, acmqgjer zne znree tcqqgble lgmeq qncpm?

    Gm zne ahqe ci zne blue lgme, znere gq mc lcqq icr zne znree tcgmzq znhz gz thqqeq znrcu`n,

    buz h ihgrlw qubqzhmzghl lcqq icr zne czner znree tcgmzq?

    Gi zne jgqzhmae hlcm` zne w&h~gq bezpeem zne blue lgme hmj zne jhzh tcgmzq gq a, znem zne

    errcr, e, icr zne blue lgme gq?

    21 ae

    qgmae znere hre znree tcgmzq, hmj pe hre uqgm` zne xuhjrhzga jgqzhmae-

    Qgfglhrlw icr zne rej lgme, gz quiierq mc lcqq icr zne znree tcgmzq znhz gz thqqeq znrcu`n,

    buz h ihgrlw qubqzhmzghl lcqq icr zne czner znree tcgmzq, hmj zne errcr, e , icr zne rej lgme

    gq hlqc?

    21 ae

    Gm zne ahqe ci zne `reem lgme znere hre errcrq icr hll qg~ tcgmzq, buz zne errcr gq cmlw nhlihq bg` gm ehan ahqe?

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    7/23

    Mcp, zne errcr gq?

    22

    2

    2

    1

    :

    9

    29 aa

    ae

    Zngq fehmq znhz zne zczhl xuhjrhzga errcr icr zne `reem lgme gq nhli hq bg` hq gz gq icr

    egzner zne blue cr zne rej lgmeq- Zngq gq beahuqe, pnem pe uqe zne xuhjrhzga, lhr`er

    errcrq acumz fuan, fuan fcre znhm qfhller errcrq- Alehrlw, gm zngq ahqe, zne `reem lgme

    pculj be zne beqz igz icr zneqe jhzh tcgmzq-

    Me`hzgye cr Tcqgzgye Xug

    Pgll zne thrhfezerq h hmj b be me`hzgye cr tcqgzgye icr zne jhzh qncpm belcp3

    hb~w

    Re`reqqgcm Icrfulh

    Zne iumazgcm gq zne Nclw @rhgl ci lgmehr re`reqqgcm, hmj fuan ci qzhzgqzgaq gq

    acmaermej pgzn ncp zc uqe zne jhzh zc jezerfgme zne yhlue ci b, hmj zne yhlue ci h- Gi

    pe ahm jc zngq pgzn zne jhzh, znem pe nhye qclyej zne trcblef ci igzzgm` zne beqz lgme-

    hb~w

    Gi zne jhzh acfeq gm thgrq?

    ~8 ~2 ~1 ~M

    w8 w2 w1 wM

    Znem pe ahm ahlaulhze b uqgm` zne icrfulh?

    g

    g

    g

    gg

    ~~

    ww~~

    b2

    Mcze znhz g^fehm~ hmj gWfehmw -

    Treygcuqlw, peye uqej icr zne fehm, buz mcp znhz pe nhye fcre znhm cme yhrghblepe hre `cgm` zc uqe zne bhr&mczhzgcm-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    8/23

    Zngq icrfulh qnculjmz be emzgrelw umihfglghr- Pnem pe ahlaulhzej zne yhrghmae, pe

    uqej? 2~~g , pnerehq mcp pe nhye 2&jgfemqgcmhl jhzh pe hre uqgm` ww~~ gg -

    Mcp znhz pe kmcp b, hmj pe kmcp znhz?

    hb~w

    Gz zurmq cuz znhz zngq iumazgcm gq hlqc zrue icr zne hyerh`e yhlueq, ~ hmj w - Pe ahm

    ahlaulhze zne yhlue icr h uqgm`?

    ~bwh

    Lezq zrw gz cuz gm hm e~hftle-

    Quttcqe pe nhye zne icllcpgm` jhzh qhftle?

    ~ w

    9 0

    2 1

    8 2

    &8 4

    Mcp, pgzn zngq jhzh qez pe mczgae znhz zne w&yhlue gq hlphwq e~hazlw 8 lhr`er znhm zne

    ~&yhlue, qc?

    8 ~w

    Zngq fehmq znhz b 6 8 hmj h 6 8-

    Lezq qee pnhz pe `ez pnem pe uqe zne icrfulh- Zne igrqz zngm` pe jc gq zc ahlaulhze

    zne fehmq?

    2:

    >

    :

    8829

    ~

    1:

    82:

    4210 w

    Mcp pe ahm eyhluhze b uqgm`?

    2222 28282229

    1428122811221029

    b

    878489

    78489

    b

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    9/23

    Mcp pe ahm ahlaulhze h uqgm`?

    8281 ~bwh

    Pngan h`reeq pgzn cur gmgzghl cbqeryhzgcm-

    Re`reqqgcm Xug

    Ahlaulhze zne yhlueq icr h hmj b icr zne icllcpgm` jhzh qez?

    ~ w

    : 0

    1 7

    0 82 88

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    10/23

    Acrrelhzgcm

    Zngq qeazgcm gq hll hbcuz acrrelhzgcm- Acrrelhzgcm gq h fehqure ci ncp alcqelw zpc

    yhrghbleq hre relhzej- Pe ahm ahlaulhze qcfezngm` ahllej zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz

    pngan `gyeq uq h fehqure ci ncp alcqelw zpc yhrghbleq hre relhzej-

    Zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz, r, pgll nhye h yhlue bezpeem &8 hmj 8, qc znhz?

    88 r

    Gi zne jhzh gq acftlezelw lgmehr, pgzncuz mcgqe, hq qncpm belcp, znem pe ahm igz h lgme

    e~hazlw zc zne jhzh hmj zne acrrelhzgcm pgll be 8?

    Gi zne jhzh gq acftlezelw umrelhzej znem zne acrrelhzgcm pgll be 4?

    Zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz ahm hlqc be &8 gm zne ahqe pnere zne jhzh gq qzgll terieazlw

    hlg`mej zc zne lgme, buz pnere znere gq h me`hzgye relhzgcmqngt bezpeem zne zpc

    yhrghbleq hq qncpm?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_and_dependencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_and_dependence
  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    11/23

    Acrrelhzgcm Ircf Re`reqqgcm Xug

    Quttcqe znhz pe rhm lgmehr re`reqqgcm cm cur jhzh, hmj pe icumj znhz?

    b 6 :

    h 6 &1

    Pnere zneqe yhlueq jeqargbe zngq lgmehr relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~ hmj w?

    w 6 :~ 1

    Pngan ci zne icllcpgm` qzhzefemzq hbcuz zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz, r, gq zrue3

    r gq tcqgzgye r gq me`hzgye r 6 4 Pe ahmz zell

    Acrrelhzgcm Icrfulh

    Qc, zc quffhrgqe pnhz pe kmcp qc ihr hbcuz zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz?

    Gz nhq h yhlue bezpeem &8 hmj 8 Gz zellq uq ncp relhzej zpc yhrghble hre Bczn +8 hmj &8 jeqargbe terieazlw lgmehr jhzh

    Qc ncp jc pe acftuze h yhlue icr r3

    Pell, cme phw zc acftuze zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz gq yerw qgfglhr zc zne phw znhz

    pe ahlaulhzej zne yhlue ci b pnem pe lcckej hz lgmehr re`reqqgcm?

    g g

    gg

    g

    gg

    ww~~

    ww~~

    r22

    Pnere? g~M

    ~8

    hmj gwM

    w8

    Mcp zngq gq trcbhblw zne fcqz acftle~ icrfulh znhz wcu nhye emacumzerej qc ihr gm

    zngq alhqq, buz wcu pgll qee gz gq relhzej zc h lcz ci zne qzuii pe nhye qeem beicre, lgke

    yhrghmae hmj qc cm, hmj znhz uqgm` gz gq mcz znhz jgiigaulz gm trhazgae-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    12/23

    Gi pe lcck hz zne jemcfgmhzcr?

    g g

    gg ww~~22

    Pe mczgae znhz zne zerf pgzngm zne qxuhre rccz gq zne trcjuaz ci zne mcm&mcrfhlgqej

    yhrghmae ci ~ hmj zne mcm&mcrfhlgqej yhrghmae ci w-

    Zne muferhzcr gq h kgmj ci fg~ej&yhrghmae?

    g

    ggww~~

    Zngq gq qcfezgfeq ahllej zne acyhrghmae, beahuqe gz ahlaulhzeq zne yhrghmae cyer zpc

    ac&caaurrgm` yhrghbleq- Ncpeyer, wcu pgll nhye mczgaej znhz, cmae h`hgm, znere gq h

    fgqqgm` mcrfhlgqer- Pnhz nhq nhttemej gq znhz zne mcrfhlgqerq cm zne muferhzcr hmjjemcfgmhzcr ahmael ehan czner cuz-

    Acftuzgm` Acrrelhzgcm

    Lezq zrw zne icrfulh cuz cm qcfe jhzh-

    ~? 1 : 5

    w? 0 > 7

    Gz gq ehqw zc qee znhz zne fehm ci ~ gq?

    :1

    825:1

    1

    8~

    hmj zne fehm ci w gq?

    >1

    2:7>0

    1

    8w

    Hrfej pgzn zneqe fehm yhlueq pe ahm ahlaulhze zne icllcpgm`?

    ~~ &8 4 8

    ww &8 4 8

    Pe ahm tlu` zneqe yhlueq gmzc cur exuhzgcm, hmj pe `ez?

    8

    22

    2

    848848

    884488

    222222

    r

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    13/23

    Lezq lcck hz h jgiieremz jhzhqez,?

    ~? 1 : 5

    w? 2 5 >

    H`hgm, pe ahlaulhze zne fehmq?

    :1

    825:1

    1

    8~

    51

    85>52

    1

    8w

    @ueqq r Xug

    Beicre pe jc zne ahlaulhzgcm, lezq qee pnhz wcur gmzugzgcm qhwq hbcuz zne yhlue icr r gm

    zngq ahqe- Pngan ci zne icllcpgm` jc wcu zngmk gq acrreaz3

    r 6 8 r 6 1 r 6 2 r 6 4

    Mcp lezq zhbulhze zne jgiieremaeq ircf zne fehmq?

    ~~ &8 4 8

    ww &1 4 1

    H`hgm, pe ahm tlu` zne yhlueq gmzc cur icrfulh zc `ez?

    8

    8>2

    9

    141848

    184418

    222222

    r

    Pngan gq hq pe e~teazej-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    14/23

    Reyerqe Crjer

    Lezq qee pnhz nhttemq gi pe anhm`e zne crjer ci zne w&yhlueq hq qncpm?

    ~? 1 : 5

    w? > 5 2

    Qgmae cmlw zne crjer nhq beem anhm`ej hmj zne hazuhl yhlueq hre umanhm`ej, zne fehm

    yhlueq pgll be zne qhfe hq beicre?

    :1

    825:1

    1

    8~

    51

    8525>

    1

    8w

    Mcp, qgmae zne w&yhlueq jearehqe hq zne ~&yhlueq gmarehqe pe pculj e~teaz zne

    acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz zc be me`hzgye- Lezq qee pnhz nhttemq pnem pe ahlaulhze zne

    yhlue ci r-

    Zhbulhzgm` zne jgiieremaeq ircf zne fehmq `gyeq?

    ~~ &8 4 8

    ww 1 4 &1

    Hmj cmae h`hgm, pe ouqz tlu` zne yhlueq gmzc cur icrfulh?

    8

    8>2

    9

    141848

    184418

    222222

    r

    Qc zne jhzh gq terieazlw me`hzgyelw acrrelhzej-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    15/23

    Umacrrelhzej Jhzh

    Lezq zrw qcfezngm` h lgzzle bgz zrgakw- Lezq anhm`e zne w&yhlueq zc?

    ~? 1 : 5

    w? > 5 >

    Pnhz qeefq zc be nhttemgm` gq znhz zne w&yhlueq qzhrz zc jearehqe hq zne ~&yhlueq

    gmarehqe, buz znem znew qzhrz zc gmarehqe h`hgm- Pngle znere fhw be h relhzgcmqngt

    bezpeem ~ hmj w, gz jceqmz httehr zc be h lgmehr cme, hmj pe pculj e~teaz zne

    acrrelhzgcm zc be erc-

    Lezq jc zne ahlaulhzgcm- Zne fehmq hre mcp?

    :

    1

    825:1

    1

    8~

    01

    28>5>

    1

    8w

    Mcp pnem pe zhbulhze zne jgiieremaeq ircf zne fehmq pe `ez?

    ~~ &8 4 8

    ww 8 &2 8

    Hmj gi pe tlu` zne yhlueq gmzc cur icrfulh pe `ez zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz?

    4

    92

    4

    828848

    882488

    222222

    r

    Ci acurqe, pe jgjmz hazuhllw meej zc ahlaulhze zne jemcfgmhzcr- Cmae pe kmep zne

    muferhzcr phq erc pe hlqc kmep znhz r 6 4-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    16/23

    Igmhl E~hftle

    Lezq lcck hz h igmhl e~hftle- Zngq gq cur jhzh?

    ~? 1 : 5

    w? > 1 0

    Alehrlw, zngq jceqmz lcck yerw acrrelhzej, hlzncu`n gz lcckq fcre acrrelhzej znhm zne

    jhzh gm zne lhqz e~hftle qgmae zne igmhl w&yhlue nhqmz gmarehqej bw hq fuan- Pe fg`nz

    znereicre e~teaz znhz zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz pgll be leqq znhm 8, hmj gi pe tlcz zne

    jhzh cm h `rhtn, pe qee znhz gz qnculj hlqc be me`hzgye?

    Hq uquhl, zne igrqz zngm` pe jc gq zc ahlaulhze zne fehm yhlueq icr ~ hmj w?

    :1

    825:1

    1

    8~

    91

    8>01>1

    8 w

    Mcp pnem pe zhbulhze zne jgiieremaeq ircf zne fehmq pe `ez?

    ~~ &8 4 8

    ww 2 &1 8

    Hmj gi pe tlu` zne yhlueq gmzc cur icrfulh pe `ez zne acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz?

    8>7-48:2

    8

    812848

    881428222222

    r

    Qc znere gq h me`hzgye acrrelhzgcm, hq pe quqteazej, buz gz gq pehk- Zngq jhzh rehllw

    gqmz pell jeqargbej bw h lgmehr iumazgcm-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    17/23

    Quffhrw

    Wcu mcp umjerqzhmj zne bhqgaq ci acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemzq- Hq pe qhgj ehrlger, zne

    acrrelhzgcm aceiigagemz?

    nhq h yhlue bezpeem &8 hmj 8 zellq uq ncp relhzej zpc yhrghble hre

    Pe hlqc mcp kmcp znhz?

    Gi r = 4 znere gq h tcqgzgye relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~ hmj w- Gi r < 4 znere gq h me`hzgye relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~ hmj w- Gi r 6 4 znere gq mc relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~ hmj w-

    Iurznerfcre, pe nhye qeem znhz 8r hq zne relhzgcmqngt bezpeem ~ hmj w beacfeq

    gmarehqgm`lw lgmehr- Bczn r 6 +8 hmj r 6 8 jeqargbe terieazlw lgmehr jhzh pgzncuz hmwmcgqe cr jeyghzgcm ircf zne lgme-

    Acrrelhzgcm gq h yerw tcperiul zccl- Icr hmw jhzh qez pgzn fulzgtle yhrghbleq, quan hq

    qhlhrw yerquq h`e, wcu ahm mcp zell ncp alcqelw zne yhrghbleq relhze zc ehan czner

    uqgm` zne relhzgyelw qgftle icrfulh?

    g g

    gg

    g

    gg

    ww~~

    ww~~

    r22

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    18/23

    Fcmzw Nhll Trcblef .Ctzgcmhl'

    Zngq qeazgcm qnculj be ium- Gz gq, ncpeyer, emzgrelw ctzgcmhl-

    Qcfe ci wcu fhw be ihfglghr

    pgzn Fcmzw Nhll- Ne rhm h UQ`hfe qncp ahllej Lezq Fhke h

    Jehl ircf 8791- Zne qncp rhm

    icr fhmw wehrq-

    Hz zne nehrz ci zne `hfe qncp

    phq h tule- Zngq tule tuleq

    qzhzgqzgaghmq zc zne treqemz jhw- Gm

    zngq umgz, wcu `ez zne anhmae zc

    qclye zne Fcmzw Nhll trc`rhf,

    hmj wcu hlqc `ez zne anhmae zc

    trc`rhf gz, hmj yergiw znhz zne

    hqqerzgcm pngan gm mcz emzgrelw

    cbygcuq gq hazuhllw acrreaz-

    Gm zne `hfe znere hre znree jccrq- Bengmj cme jccr gq h ahr- Fcmzw kmcpq pngan jccr,

    buz ne pcmz zell wcu pnere zne ahr gq-

    Zne `hfe gq znem tlhwej hq icllcpq?

    Wcu `ez zc anccqe h jccr- Qhw, icr zne qhke ci hr`ufemz znhz wcu tgak jccr mufber 2-

    Gi zne ahr gq bengmj jccr 2, znem wcu pgm zne ahr, cznerpgqe wcu pgm mczngm`- Qc ihr, qc

    `ccj-

    Mcp acfeq zne gmzereqzgm` bgz- Cbygcuqlw, hz lehqz cme ci zne zpc refhgmgm` jccrq

    jceqmz nhye h ahr bengmj gz- Mcp, Fcmzw kmcpq pngan jccr nhq zne ahr, hmj nereyehlq cme ci zne jccrq znhz wcu jgjmz anccqe znhz jceqmz nhye zne ahr-

    Fcmzw znem hqkq wcu gi wcu phmz zc qpgzan ircf zne jccr wcu nhye ancqem zc zne czner

    alcqej jccr- Jc wcu phmz zc anhm`e wcur ancgae gm zne ncte znhz wcu pgll gmarehqe

    wcur anhmae ci pgmmgm` zne ahr3

    Pnhz fhkeq zngq trcblef gmzereqzgm` gq znhz pnem Fcmzw ctemej zne jccr, ne rehllw

    jgjmz zell wcu hmwzngm` wcu jgjmz hlrehjw kmcp- Wcu hlrehjw kmep gm hjyhmae znhz

    cme ci zne zpc jccrq jgjmz acmzhgm zne ahr- Zne ihaz znhz Fcmzw nhq ouqz ctemej h

    jccr qnculj `gye wcu erc gmicrfhzgcm hbcuz pngan ci zne refhgmgm` jccrq zne ahr gq

    bengmj-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    19/23

    Gi wcu ancqe jccr 2, hmj Fcmzw znem ctemej jccr 1, hll wcu mcp kmcp gq znhz jccr 1

    jceqmz acmzhgm zne ahr- Pnw qnculj jccr 8 mcp be fcre lgkelw znhm jccr 23

    Jccr Anhmae Xug

    @gyem znhz wcu ancqe jccr 2, hmj Fcmzw znem reyehlej znhz jccr 1 jgjmz acmzhgm zne

    ahr, pnhz hre zne trcbhbglgzgeq, T8, T2 hmj T1 znhz zne ahr gq bengmj ehan jccr3

    Ci acurqe gz gq ehqw zc qee znhz T1 6 4- Pe hlrehjw kmep znhz zne ahr phqmz bengmj

    jccr 1-, Buz jcmz pcrrw gi wcu peremz hble zc ig`ure cuz zne czner zpc trcbhbglgzgeq,

    zne hmqper zc zngq trcblef gq emzgrelw mcm&gmzugzgye-

    Pe ahm ternhtq beqz umjerqzhmj pnhz gq nhttemgm` bw bugljgm` h zruzn zhble-

    Znere hre znree tcqqgble zrue lcahzgcmq icr zne ahr, hmj pe kmcp znhz ehan ci zneqe

    tcqqgble lcahzgcmq nhq h trcbhbglgzw ci 8#1-

    Pnem pe anccqe h jccr, Fcmzw pgll ctem cme ci zne czner jccrq- Pe ahm acmqzruaz

    zne zruzn zhble hq qncpm?

    Zrue

    lcahzgcm

    Fcmzw

    Nhll Trcbhbglgzw

    Mcrfhlgqej

    trcbhbglgzw

    8 8 4

    8 2 4T.8' 6 8#1

    8 1 8#1

    2 8 8#9

    2 2 4T.2' 6 8#12 1 8#9

    1 8 8#1

    1 2 4T.1' 6 8#1

    1 1 4

    Lezq qhw, icr zne qhke ci hr`ufemz znhz pe nhye ancqem jccr mufber 2- Mcp, pe

    kmcp znhz cm zne igrqz rcp ci zne zruzn zhble, gi zne ahr gq bengmj jccr mufber 8 znem

    zne trcbhbglgzw znhz Fcmzw pgll ctem jccr mufber 8 gq erc- Cm zne qeacmj lgme, zne

    trcbhbglgzw znhz Fcmzw pgll ctem jccr 2 gq hlqc erc beahuqe pe nhye ancqem jccr

    mufber 2-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    20/23

    Qc zne cmlw ctzgcm refhgmgm` gq icr Fcmzw zc ctem jccr 1- Zngq nhq h trcbhbglgzw ci 8,

    buz zne tcqzergcr trcbhbglgzw fuqz zhke haacumz znhz zne zczhl trcbhbglgzw icr T.8' 6 1,

    qc zne trcbhbglgzw beacfeq 1#81#88 -

    Qgfglhrlw icr zne ahqe pnere zne ahr gq bengmj jccr mufber 1, zne trcbhbglgzw znhz

    Fcmzw pgll ctem jccr mufber 1 gq erc, hq gq zne trcbhbglgzw znhz ne pgll ctem zne jccrznhz pe nhye ancqem .jccr mufber 2'- Zne cmlw refhgmgm` ancgae gq jccr mufber 8-

    Gi zne ahr gq bengmj jccr mufber 2, hmj pe nhye ancqem jccr mufber 2 znem znere gq h

    igizw anhmae icr jccr mufber 8 cr jccr mufber 1- Zne tcqzergcr trcbhbglgzw icr bczn

    jccrq gq znereicre -9#81#82#8

    Mcp pe nhye cur zruzn zhble bhqej cm zne ihaz znhz pe ancqe jccr mufber 2-

    Lezq qhw znhz Fcmzw ctemq jccr mufber 1- Mcp eyerw czner ahqe, gm pngan ne fg`nz

    nhye tgakej jccr mufber 8 cr jccr mufber 2 nhq erc trcbhbglgzw- Zne cmlw eyemzq

    znhz refhgm hre ng`nlg`nzej nere?

    Zrue

    lcahzgcm

    Fcmzw

    Nhll Trcbhbglgzw

    Mcrfhlgqej

    trcbhbglgzw

    8 8 4

    8 2 4T.8' 6 8#1

    8 1 8#1 2#1

    2 8 8#9

    2 2 4T.2' 6 8#12 1 8#9 8#1

    1 8 8#1

    1 2 4T.1' 6 8#1

    1 1 4 4

    Mcp pe ouqz meej zc mcrfhlgqe zneqe yhlueq qc znhz zne zczhl trcbhbglgzw hjjq ut zc 8-

    Aurremzlw zne quf ci zne trcbhbglgzgeq gq 2#89#81#8 - Gi pe jgygje ehan gmjgygjuhltrcbhbglgzw bw zngq quf pe `ez zne mcrfhlgqej trcbhbglgzgeq hq qncpm- Zneqe hre zne

    zrue tcqzergcr trcbhbglgzgeq `gyem znhz pe ancqe jccr mufber 2, hmj Fcmzw ctemej

    jccr mufber 1-

    Alehrlw pe qnculj qpgzan cur ancgae eyerw zgfe, hq zngq pgll jcuble cur anhmaeq ci

    pgmmgm` zne ahr(

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    21/23

    Qgfulhzgcm

    Prgze h iumazgcm qgfulhze.' znhz rumq 8444 gzerhzgcmq ci h qgfulhzgcm ci zne Fcmzw Nhll

    trcblef hmj qc eftgrgahllw yergiw zne trcbhbglgzgeq znhz pe nhye ouqz ahlaulhzej-

    Zne iumazgcm qnculj acumz ncp fhmw zgfeq wcu pgm zne ahr gm h yhrghble, K, hmj znemrezurm K jgygjej bw zne mufber ci gzerhzgcmq, M-

    Twzncm gmalujeq zne buglz&gm iumazgcm rhmjgmz.'- Zngq `emerhzeq rhmjcf gmze`erq gm zne

    rhm`e qteagigej bw zne iumazgcm hr`ufemzq, qc?

    rhmjgmz.8,1'

    pgzn rezurm h rhmjcf gmze`er gm zne rhm`e 8 zc 1 .pngan gq e~hazlw pnhz wcu pgll meej

    gm crjer zc tgak h rhmjcf jccr'-

    Wcu pgll hlqc nhye zc qgfulhze zne hazgcmq ci Fcmzw Nhll- Qcfezgfeq zneqe hazgcmq

    pgll be jezerfgmgqzga, hz czner zgfeq znew pgll be qzcanhqzga .rhmjcf'- Reahll znhz pe

    qhp bczn zwteq ci hazgcm pnem pe acmqzruazej zne zruzn&zhble-

    Cmae zne Fcmzw&qgfulhzcr nhq tgakej h jccr, ilgt wcur ancgae zc zne refhgmgm` jccr-

    Gi znhz fhzaneq zne zrue lcahzgcm znem wcu qnculj gmarefemz K, cznerpgqe mcz-

    Pnem wcu rum zngq 8444 zgfeq, zne cuztuz ircf wcur iumazgcm qnculj be httrc~gfhzelw

    exuhl zc 2#1-

    Zne hqqg`mfemz pgll rexugre qcfe rehl kmcplej`e ci Twzncm hmj gq znereicreacmqgjerej zc be h anhllem`gm` trcblef- @ccj luak-

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    22/23

    Hmqperq

    Tgak zne Lgme Xug

    a

    Igmj Aceiigagemzq Xug

    h 6 8

    b 6 4-25

    Me`hzgye cr Tcqgzgye Xug

    h gq tcqgzgye- Hq ~ gmarehqeq, w jearehqeq, qc b gq me`hzgye- Zngq gq hm e~hftle

    cime`hzgye acrrelhzgcm-

    Re`reqqgcm Xug

    :~

    0w

    28:

    2>b

    h 6 85

    Acrrelhzgcm Ircf Re`reqqgcm Xug

    r gq tcqgzgye r gq me`hzgye r 6 4 Pe ahmz zell

    @ueqq r Xug

    r 6 8

  • 7/31/2019 Course Notes for Unit 6 of the Udacity Course ST101 Introduction to Statistics

    23/23

    Jccr Anhmae Xug

    T8 6 4-990

    T2 6 4-111

    T1 6 4

    Qgfulhzgcm

    ircf rhmjcf gftcrz rhmjgmz

    M 6 8444

    jei qgfulhze.M'?

    K 6 4icr g gm rhm`e.M'?ZrueLca 6 rhmjgmz.8,1'`ueqq 6 rhmjgmz.8,1'gi ZrueLca 66 `ueqq?

    fcmzw 6 rhmjgmz.8,1'

    pngle fcmzw 66 ZrueLca?fcmzw 6 rhmjgmz.8,1'

    elqe?fcmzw 6 9 & ZrueLca & `ueqqqpgzan 6 9 & `ueqq & fcmzwgi qpgzan 66 ZrueLca?

    K 6 K + 8

    rezurm ilchz.K' # ilchz.M'

    trgmz qgfulhze.M'