courseoutline se(eco00037m) term1 201415

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    DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS AND RELATED

    STUDIES

    COURSE TITLE: Statistics and Econometrics

    COURSE NO.: ECO00037M

    CREDIT VALUE: 20

    CONTACT HOURS: 54 hours

    Term1: 20 lectures, 7 seminars (27 hours)

    Term2: 16 lectures, 5 seminars and 6 practical

    sessions (27 hours)

    Course Outline for Term 1, 2014/15*

    Lecturer: Professor Takashi Yamagata([email protected])

    Room A/EC/018

    Office Hours:

    Monday 9:30 11:30

    *The course outline of term 2 will be provided later

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    Aims To help students to gain an understanding of the basic concepts of probability,

    random variables, point estimation, interval estimation, hypothesis testing,

    analysis of variance, non-parametric test, and OLS estimation of simple linear

    regression models.

    Objectives1. understand concepts relevant to summarizing and interpreting data, and be able to

    carry out relevant calculations;

    2. understand the basic concepts of probability, random variables, and probability

    distributions, and be able to apply basic rules and results in different contexts;

    3. understand the concepts of populations, samples, and sampling distributions;

    4. understand and be able to apply procedures for estimating quantities of interestand testing claims about such quantities;

    5. Understand the concepts of OLS estimation of simple linear regression models.

    Lecturing Schedule (subject to change, check your timetable)LECTURE SEMINARS

    Time Monday Wednesday Tuesday

    12.00-14.00 11.00-13.00 13.00-14.00

    Venue B/B/002 AEW/003 W/222Week 2 Lecture 1 Lecture 2 --

    Week 3 Lecture 3 Lecture 4 Seminar 1

    Week 4 Lecture 5 Lecture 6 Seminar 2

    Week 5 Lecture 7 -- Seminar 3

    Week 6 Lecture 8 -- Seminar 4

    Week 7 Lecture 9 -- Seminar 5

    Week 8 Lecture 10 -- Seminar 6

    Week 9 -- -- Seminar 7

    Week 10 -- -- --

    - There will be 7 exercise sheets. In the scheduled seminars we will discuss each of

    the exercise sheets.

    - Submission of your answer toQ1-3 of the Exercise 3 is required. The submission

    deadline is4pm Wednesday 22 October 2014 (via the post at the reception)

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    AssessmentA link to a pdf file that contains a specimen examination paper for Statistics and

    Econometrics (ECO00037M) will be provided on the module web page later.

    This module was called "Quantitative Analysis (QA)" until year 2010/11. Please

    beware this when you try to find out useful past exam papers.

    Reading and Coverage

    WEEK 2-5A book that is suitable as the main course text for most (but not all) of the material

    is

    P. Newbold, W.L. Carlson and B. Thorne, Statistics for Business and Economics,

    5rd edition, Prentice-Hall, 2002,

    which is denoted byNewboldbelow. Library class mark is SF 1.G NEW. As we

    deal with basic concepts of statistics, the other editions ofNewbold(in the library)

    serve as well as the above edition. Please note that the lecture focuses on a slightly

    higher levelthanNewbolddoes.

    A book which has a similar coverage but gives more mathematical detail (most

    proofs are over the scope of this module) is

    I. Miller and M. Miller,John E. Freunds Mathematical Statistics withApplications, 7th edition, Pearson Prentice Hall, 2004,

    which is denoted byFreundbelow. Library class mark is SF FRE. Again, the

    other editions (in the library) serve as well as the above edition.

    For all topics, references are provided forNewboldandFreund. Concise

    summaries of the topics covered in this lecture are also found in Appendix B & C,

    J.M. Wooldridge,Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach,4th edition,

    Thomson South-Western, 2008, or; Chapter 2, G.S. Maddala, Introduction to

    Econometrics, 3rd edition, 2001. You may also find a useful discussion in some

    on-line textbooks.

    Lecture 1: (Topic 1-3) A review of basic statistical and probability concepts

    NewboldCh.2, 3 and 4; FreundCh.2

    Lecture 2: (Topic 4) Discrete random variables

    NewboldCh.5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.4, 5.6;FreundCh.3.1, 3.2

    Lecture 3: (Topic 5) Continuous random variables

    NewboldCh.6.1, 6.2, 6.3, 6.5;FreundCh.3.3, 3.4

    Lecture 5a: (Topic 6) Joint probability distribution

    NewboldCh.5.7, 6.6;FreundCh.3.5, 3.6(Topic 7) Sampling distributions

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    NewboldCh. 6.4, 7.2;FreundCh.8.1, 8.2, 8.5 (except proofs)

    Lecture 5b: (Topic 8) Point estimation

    NewboldCh. 8.1;FreundCh.10.2,10.3 (except Cramer-Rao

    inequality), 10.4

    (Topic 9) Interval estimation

    NewboldCh. 8.2, 8.3, 8.4, 8.6, 8.7; FreundCh.11.2, 11.3, 11.4, 11.5Lecture 6: (Topic 10) Hypothesis testing

    NewboldCh. 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.6, 9.7; FreundCh.12.1, 13.1, 13.2,

    13.3, 13.5

    Lecture 7: (Topic 11) Analysis of Variance

    NewboldCh. 15.1, 15.2 (except population model for one-way

    analysis of variance, p.591);FreundCh.8.4, 8.5, 8.6, 13.6

    (Topic 14) Nonparametric methods

    NewboldCh. 13.1, 13.2;FreundCh.16.2, 16.3

    WEEK 6-9A book that is suitable as the main course text for most (but not all) of the material is

    Dougherty, C., Introduction to Econometrics, Oxford University Press, 4th Edition,

    2011.

    This textbook is also used in term two, so purchasing this book is strongly

    recommended.

    Lectures of this term will cover chapters 1 and 2.

    Lecture 8: Simple Regression Analysis: Introduction

    Dougherty Ch1

    Lecture 9: Simple Regression Analysis: Further Discussion

    Dougherty Ch1&2

    Lecture 10: Simple Regression Analysis: Inference

    Dougherty Ch2