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Cradle to Kindergarten: A New Plan to Combat Inequality Ajay Chaudry, Taryn Morrissey, Christina Weiland, and Hirokazu Yoshikawa July 10, 2018 McCormick Foundation, Chicago, Illinois

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Page 1: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Cradle to Kindergarten: A New Plan to Combat InequalityA j a y C h a u d r y, Ta r y n M o r r i s s e y, C h r i s t i n a W e i l a n d , a n d H i r o k a z u Yo s h i k a w a

J u l y 1 0 , 2 0 1 8M c C o r m i c k F o u n d a t i o n , C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s

Page 2: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Take aways

1. Most children in the U.S. are not entering school ready to learn.

2. Large disparities in children’s development and skills begin early & widen quickly.

3. Gaps by family income in children’s access to and the quality of early learning

opportunities are large and growing.

4. The earliest years are the most promising period for brain and skill development, yet

it is when the U.S. invests the least.

5. Greater investments in a cohesive vision of high-quality early childhood interventions

can promote improved, more equitable development and give all children a level

playing field.

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Page 3: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

The educational achievement gap is large, growing, and spans a wide socio-economic gradient.

Source: Reardon (2011)

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Page 4: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Much of the gap measured across primary schooling are present at school-entry.

4

Source: Reardon (2011)

Page 5: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

U.S. workers lack access to paid family leave – especially lower income workers.

5

5%

11%

21%

13%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Wor ker s in the bott om quar ter ofearnings

Wor ker s in the middle two quar tersof earnings

Wor ker s in the top quart er ofearnings

Private sector wor ker s

Source: US DOL Bureau of Labor Statistics Leave benefits: Access, National Compensation Survey, March 2014

Page 6: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Large disparities by family income in use of early learning programs, especially for youngest children.

6

Rates of center-based ECE for children ages 0 to 5, by family income and child age, 2011

Source: Chaudry, Morrissey, Weiland, and Yoshikawa (2017)

7% 8%11%

32%

59%

6%

16%19%

41%

67%

17%

31% 31%

62%

84%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

U nder age one Ag e 1 Ag e 2 Ag e 3 Ag e 4

Lo w -In c om e (0 -2 0 0% F P L) M o de ra te In co m e (2 00 % -40 0 % FP L ) M idd le & Hig he r-In co m e (4 00 % + F PL )

Page 7: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Children from low-income families experience lower quality, as well as less access – at age 2

7

Source: Chaudry, Morrissey, Weiland, Yoshikawa (2017)

- 1. 2

- 1

- 0. 8

- 0. 6

- 0. 4

- 0. 2

0

�Rela tive Ho me -b a se d (F DC RS) �No n -rela tiv e Ho m e (F DC RS ) � Ce n te r (EC E RS)Ef

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ive

to 5

thqu

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)

1s t q uinti le

2n d q uinti le3rd qu in tile

4th qu in tile

Page 8: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Children from low-income families experience lower quality in center-based care at age 4.

8

- 0. 80

- 0. 70

- 0. 60

- 0. 50

- 0. 40

- 0. 30

- 0. 20

- 0. 10

0. 00

E mo tio n al Su p p ort (C L ASS ) In stru ct io n al Qu a li ty (CL ASS ) Ov er al l q u a li ty (EC E R S)

Effe

ct si

ze (r

elat

ive to

5thQu

intil

le)

1st qu in tile2n d quinti le3rd q uinti le4th q uintile

Source: Chaudry, Morrissey, Weiland, Yoshikawa (2017)

Page 9: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Quality matters: Higher-quality instruction leads to bigger gains.

9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

CLA SS E m ot ion al Sup por t CLA SS I nst r uct i onal Su ppor t

Bo sto n p re -k

Tul sa pr e- k

Tul sa CAP H ead St ar t

He ad St ar t

11- s t at e Pr e- k s t ud y

Source: Chaudry, Morrissey, Weiland, Yoshikawa (2017)

Page 10: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Educational investments in the early years have greatest benefit – but we do too little.

10

$4,138 $4,023 $3,723

$1,277

$4,579

$10,430

Ag es 0- 2 Ag es 3- 5 Ag es 6- 17

Source: Edelstein et al. 2013

Federal and State/Local Spending on Children, by age

Fe deral State

$1,350

$12,400

Bef or e K K- 12

Average per child annual public expenditure for education in U.S.

Source: Kena et al. 2016

Page 11: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Average cognitive and achievement skill impact at the end of preschool program treatment.

11

-0.5 0

0.0 0

0.5 0

1.0 0

1.5 0

2.0 0

19 55 19 60 19 65 19 70 19 75 19 80 19 85 19 90 19 95 20 00 20 05 20 10 20 15Aver

age

effe

ct si

ze in

stan

dard

dev

iatio

n un

itsAverage cognitive impact at end of treatment

Perry Preschool

Abecedarian

National Head Start

Boston pre-K

Source: Magnuson & Duncan, 2016, The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences

Page 12: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot.

§ Paid parental leave as social insurance for children and workingparents.§ Reliable guarantee of child care assistance for working families toassure all children can access good, stable early care and learningopportunities.§ Universal early education that starts at age 3.§ Re-imagine Head Start to begin early and provide continuousdevelopment services to the most vulnerable children until schoolentry.

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Page 13: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Paid Parental Leave Current Context Our Proposal

• FMLA provides up to 12 weeks of unpaid leave at the birth of a child. • Only 60% of workers are eligible.• Far fewer can afford to take unpaid time

when also facing added costs of a new baby.• The U.S. is just 1 of 2 among 170 countries with

no guarantee of paid leave.• California and a few other states have

established paid leave programs (New Jersey, Rhode Island, New York, Washington in 2020).

• Paid parental leave to guarantee families with working parents 12 to 16 weeks per family of partially paid, job-protected leave at birth or adoption of a child.

• Families decide how to split weeks of leave with bonus if both parents take some.

• Parents get a progressive percentage of their wages during the weeks each is on leave, up to a maximum benefit.

• Social insurance administered through Social Security system. • Being born and having a child are common

experiences like old-age or disability.

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Page 14: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Affordable High-Quality Care and Education

Current Context Our Proposal • Good child care is expensive and hard to find.

• Families with children under 5 spend 11% of incomes on child care.

• Families with incomes below 200% FPL

spend 22%.

• 15% of eligible families with children receive

subsidies through Federal and State CCDF

funding

• Subsidy programs vary by state and are

complex.

• Child care tax credits provide minimal

benefits (max $600) and are not refundable.

• “Assurance” subsidies to support high-quality

care and education for low- and moderate-

income working families with children birth-5.

• Family incomes below 250% FPL, state option

to go to 400% FPL.

• Family co-payments on sliding scale (3-10% of

income).

• Subsidies adequate to pay for quality and

support stable, professionally compensated

workforce.

• Increased, refundable child care tax credit

• % of paid costs for all types of paid care.

• Maximum benefit increased to $3000 (1 child).

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Page 15: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Universal Early Education Current Context Our Proposal

• Few states and cities have universal programs primarily for 4 year olds, andsome states have none.• Fewer public programs for 3 year olds.• What exists is a piecemeal system.• Variation across many dimensions

(governance, location, hours, workforce, quality assessment) in what exists across states.

• High-quality universal preschool for children aged 3 and 4.• Developmentally focused curricula and

professional development.• Consistent and transparent quality standards

and measurement. • Full school-day and longer school year, with

wrap-around care options to meet family needs.• Mixed auspice (in schools and community

centers).• Alignment with Birth-to-Three and K-3rd

Grade Education.

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Page 16: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Fr ance

Isr ael (c)

Bel giumSpai n

Icel and

Nor way

Ger many

Denmark

It aly

Sweden

Uni ted KingdomKor ea

New Zealand

Est oniaJapan

Net herl andsLatv i a

Hungar y

Sl oveni a

Por tugal

Luxembour g

OECD- 34 aver age

Aust ri a

Czech Republi c

Finl and

Sl ovak Republi cIr eland

Chi leMexi co

Pol and

Uni ted Stat es

Aust ral ia

Gr eece

Swi tzer landTur key

Enro

llmen

t Rat

e

Enrollment Rates of 3- & 4- year olds in pre-primary education, 2014 or latest available

In many countries with advanced economies, nearly all children receive a public education starting at age three.

Source: OECD Social Expenditure Database (Data for Chart PF3.2F)Note: Total expenditures include child care and pre-primary education expenditures

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Page 17: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

A New Head Start Begins at (or before) Birth

Current Context Our Proposal • Beneficial program aimed at most

disadvantaged, but serves fraction of eligible• ~40% in Head Start• ~4% in Early Head Start

• What happens in the context of universal preschool?• Engaging children and families in the most

adverse circumstances and concentrated poverty from earliest point in child development with comprehensive, intensive, and continuous services.

• Target the most vulnerable young children starting before or at birth: • Communities of concentrated poverty.• Poor families and those facing adverse

circumstances (e.g., foster care). • Integrate center-based early learning with home

visiting and other comprehensive services.• Head Start centers as hubs to link with child health

and other service providers (e.g., WIC, Medicaid/CHIP, Special Needs services).• Generate innovations in birth to 3 services and test

program elements to further improve systems.

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Page 18: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Targeting the highest need communities

More than 3 million American children (4%) live in areas of highly concentrated poverty.Majority of children in these communities live in families that often live in deep and persistent poverty, while others live in families with incomes near the poverty line.

900,000 of these children are under the age of five, and more than 150,000 newborns start life in one of these communities each year. Disadvantage is highly concentrated in communities with high poverty:◦ Highly racially/ethnically segregated◦ Low educational attainment◦ Chronic joblessness◦ High teen pregnancy rates◦ High rates of disadvantaged family structure

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Page 19: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

Program Existing Funding & Service Levels

Cradle to Kindergarten Funding & Service Levels

New Investments

Funding (in billions)

Number Served (annually)

Funding (in billions)

Number Served (annually)

Funding (in billions)

Public paid parental leave $0.9 ~330,000 (8% of newborns in US) $19.0

3,400,000 (85% of newborns in

US)$19.0

Child Care Subsidies/Assurance$13.9

~730,000$30.2

2,500,000 $16.3

Child & Dependent Care Tax Credit

State or Local Public Preschool for 3 and 4 year-olds

$6.2 (states)

1,050,000*(13% of 3 & 4 year

olds)$33.0

3,000,000 ̂(38% of 3 & 4 year olds

in US)$26.8

A New Head Start for Infants and Toddlers

$9.0 960,000 (5% of birth to 5 in US) $17.2

1,125,000 (825,000 (7%) childrenunder 3 & 300,000 (4%)

3s & 4s)$8.2

Total New Public Investments (federal and state)

$30.0 2,600,000 $99.4 9,300,000 $70.3 *O f th is num ber 450,000 ch ildren rece ive H ead Start and/or Ch ild Care Subsidy Fund ing in com bination w ith pub lic preschool funds

^O f th is num ber 700,000 ch ildren w ould rece ive H ead Start and/or Ch ild Care Subsidy Fund ing in com bination w ith pub lic preschool funds

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A 10-year investment plan

Page 20: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

U.S. lags nearly all nations with advanced economies in spending on early childhood care and education.

Source: OECD Social Expenditure Database (3.1A)Note: Total expenditures include child care and pre-primary education expenditures

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

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IcelandSweden

Denmar k (d)France

Nor wayFinl and

New Zeal andKorea

Belgi umIsr ael ( f)

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OECD-31 average ( e)

Nether landsMexico

Austr aliaHungary

Ger manyIt aly

Slovenia ( d)Spain

Ir eland ( d)

Austr ia ( d)

Slovak Republi c

Poland ( d)

Czech Republic ( d)Chil e

Estonia (d)

Port ugal ( d)Japan

Unit ed Stat esTurkey

% o

f Gro

ss D

omes

tic P

rodu

ct (G

DP)

Public spending on early childhood care and education as a % of GDP, 2013 and latest available

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Page 21: Cradle to Kindergarten - Illinois.gov · Cradle to Kindergarten: A new plan for early childhood that gives all children a fair shot. § Paid parental leave as social insurance for

National, State & Local Dissemination & Engagement

• Shared federal, state, and local level opportunity to design and implement services

• Helped to inform the development of the Child Care for All Working Families Act introduced by Sen. Patty Murray and Rep. Bobby Scott in September 2017.

• Working directly with states and localities to develop comprehensive early childhood policy frameworks.• Working with State and Local leadership to develop shared vision for services that fit their priorities in District of

Columbia, New York City, San Francisco, Alameda County, Washington, California, Oregon, Michigan

• Strategic planning of coordinated investments to develop early childhood services infrastructure from birth to 5.

• Share the evidence-base on what program elements works to support children’s development

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