February 14, 2018

CREATING A ROADMAP

TO THE FUTURE OF

TRANSPORTATION

Jim Barbaresso

HNTB Fellow and Senior Vice President Intelligent

Transportation Systems

1,000,000will die in traffic crashes

DISRUPTIVE FORCES AT WORK

We’re on the cusp of a

transformation in

transportation, driven by

advances in vehicle

connectivity, automation,

electrification, and sharing.

The changes will be

disruptive.

DISRUPTION POSES

CHALLENGES

TECHNICAL

CHALLENGES

▪ Interoperability and standards

▪ Implementation and support of

specific applications &

technologies

▪ Data management

▪ Data privacy

▪ Communications and network

management

▪ Security management

▪ Local network security

▪ Technical obsolescence

1. Funding. Shortfalls impact the operational

capabilities.

2. Education & workforce considerations.

Lack of staff with necessary technical skills.

3. Business case. Lack of benefit and cost

information to support investment decisions.

4. Data ownership. How to access it, who owns it,

how do they support it?

5. Liability. What’s the risk and how does it get

allocated?

6. Forces outside their control. Changing

technologies and political climate leave public

agencies feeling uncertain.

INSTITUTIONAL

CHALLENGES

▪ Education & workforce considerations.

New skills needed in data analytics, IT, application

support, software and new algorithms

▪ Data management. Big data from connected

vehicles will challenge operational staff – a blessing

in disguise

▪ Keeping up with advances. The operations

environment will continue to evolve at a rapid pace

▪ New partnerships and business models. Public

and private

▪ Giving up control. Greater automation of public

agency functions, greater empowerment of

travelers, and impacts of connected automation

OPERATIONAL

CHALLENGES

DISRUPTION CREATES

OPPORTUNITY

FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION – FOUR ACES

AUTOMATED VEHICLES

Source: General Motors

THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION

▪ Updated USDOT Policy released Sept. 12, 2017

▪ SELF DRIVE Act passed by the House

▪ USDOT AV Proving Ground designations

▪ Industry driving momentum

▪ Dynamic mobility ecosystem

CONNECTED VEHICLES

THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION

▪ Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on

December 12, 2016

▪ Final rule on V2V pending▪ Moving slowly

▪ Spectrum challenge

▪ Privacy and security challenges

▪ Progress on 5G M2M solutions

▪ Automakers mixed

▪ Government stimulus for V2I ▪ Connected vehicle pilot deployment

program

▪ Smart City Challenge

▪ FAST Act fundingSource: Florida DOT

▪ Electrification Infrastructure – a

constraining factor

– Range anxiety and charging

stations

– Need for wireless induction in an

automated vehicle environment

– Grid modernization to support

increase in electric vehicles

ELECTRIC VEHICLES

THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION

▪ Phenomenal growth in TNCs,

sharing economy, app development

▪ Auto companies getting into the

game

– Maven

– Ford Smart Mobility

▪ Buy rides, not cars

▪ Infrastructure to support shared

mobility solutions – mobility hubs

▪ Intermodal information and

integrated payment systems

SHARED USE VEHICLES & THE SHARING ECONOMY

THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION

OPPORTUNITY REQUIRES

PLANNING

▪ Understand the

environment

▪ Engage stakeholders

▪ Assess needs

▪ Collaborate with

industry

▪ Enlist partners

▪ Establish an

organizational

framework

▪ Develop a plan

▪ Execute the plan

▪ Succeed

BUILDING A ROADMAP

• Near Term Implications

• TSM&O is still a “Go”

• Leverage current tools

• Leverage partnerships

• WAZE, INRIX

• All modes, all roads approach

• Regional managed lanes

• ICM and ATM

• Performance-driven processes

• Applying All Your Tools for Greater Safety

and Efficiency

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE

• Lay the Foundation

• Expand communications

infrastructure and establish

partnerships for 5G capabilities

• Strengthen data management

capabilities (collect, transmit,

store, aggregate, analyze,

disseminate, report)

• Strengthen technical capabilities

of staff and workforce

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE

▪ Medium Term Implications

• Identify pilot projects

• Seek funding and investment

• Leverage partnerships to support

new mobility solutions

• Deploy pilot projects

• Leverage lessons from other

programs

• Engage partners

• Create pilot concept

• Implement

• Evaluate

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE

▪ Long Term Implications

– Implement emerging mobility

solutions based on needs

▪ Urban use cases

▪ Highway use cases

▪ Rural use cases

▪ Intermodal solutions

▪ Integrated payment solutions

– Automation of public sector

functions

▪ Video analytics

▪ Artificial intelligence

▪ Predictive analytics

– Greater privatization of operations

functions

▪ Traveler information services

▪ Data management

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE

PLANNING STARTS WITH A

VISION

▪ The Automated Highway

– Integrating automation into

design and operations

– Automated control functions

(signs, signals, lane controls,

barriers)

– Automated payment systems

THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION

Up, down, and all around.

Flying cars, “mobile homes”

and riding in tubes

at the speed of sound

THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION

GAME CH

AN

GE

R▪ This will be a game-changer for transportation

▪ Integration of ACES into the existing transportation

environment will be challenging and disruptive to current

paradigms

▪ Engineering and operational concepts, performance

measures, algorithms, the transportation workforce,

design standards, traffic control systems, and policies will

be transformed

The book must be rewritten.

We need to get in front of it!

EMERGING MOBILITY SOLUTIONS