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© 2016 Nokia 1 Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod) Sizer Nokia Bell Labs

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Page 1: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia1

Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network

Theodore(Tod) Sizer

Nokia Bell Labs

Page 2: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia2

Human value: Time

Free Wifi

t

t

Page 3: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 20163

We have continuously created tools to augment our physical abilities…and save time

Thinking time….

X 100 X 1000X 500 X 5000

𝑠−1 t

X ??

Page 4: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 20164

We have created tools to increase discovery to save time (and waste time?)

Thinking time….

X 10 - X 1000 ?

D t

Page 5: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 20165

Need to interface digital & physical realms…to decrease distance and waste, and create time

Thinking time….

Page 6: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia6

The Future of All Things and the Creation of Time

Analog Things

Create Time

(by decreasing distance and increasing knowledge

Digital Things

Page 7: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia7 <Change information classification in footer>

Page 8: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia8

Industrial Revolution

Consumer Evolution

The new digital era

Digitization, delivery & sharing of:

Digitization, distribution & optimization of:

Page 9: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia9

The coming revolution

Tech. Revolution Enabling Technology Connectivity

Financial (1600 − 1740) Stocks & Bonds Banking & Stock Market Infrastructure

1st Industrial (1780 − 1840) Steam Engine & Iron Production Rail and Shipping Networks

2nd Industrial (1880 − 1920) Steel & ChemicalsExtended Transportation NetworksElectricity & Telecom Networks

Scientific-Technical (1940 − 1970) Analog & Digital Signal processing Digital Communications Networks

Information (1985 − 2015)The Web, Cloud computing & Mobile devices

Internet & Broadband Access

Automation of Everything (2015 −) Digital interfaces & Data analysis Future X Network

Technological Revolution (def):

Interconnection of new systems and technologies

We arehere

+ capacity to profoundly transform economies & society

Page 10: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 201610

An estimated $3.8T-$11T market in 2025 Future of automated systems, platforms, infrastructure

1660

Cities

930

Human

1590

170

930

Worksites

160

850

Outside

560740

Vehicles

210

Home

350

200

1160

Retail

410

2025 size in $ billion, adjusted to 2015Data source: McKinsey Global Institute,

The Internet of Things: Mapping the Value Beyond the Hype, June 2015.

High estimateLow estimate

Factory

3700

1210

Est

ima

ted

20

25

Ma

rke

t si

ze in

$B

Page 11: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia11

Latency matters … reducing time to save time

0.1 1 10 100

10

100

1000

10000

(km)

RTT(ms)

Light propagation

3 m/s

100 km/h

150 km/h

Speed 100 ms10 ms1 ms

Distance Traveled

3 mm

4.2 cm

2.8 cm

3 cm

42 cm

28 cm

30 cm

4.2 m

2.8 m

Fundamental truth: Low Latency requirement demands Distributed Cloud Architecture

Page 12: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia12

Latency & bandwidth matter … for new digital experiences that save time

Edge CloudCore Cloud

1ms10ms100ms1s10s 100us 10us

1kbps

10kbps

100kbps

1Mbps

10Mbps

100Mbps

1Gbps

10GbpsCloud RAN

360° video (hi-res)

Electric grid control

Cloud-assisted driving

Autonomous vehicles

Comms & Chatbots

4k Video streaming

Sensors

Home Sensors

Haptic VR

Remotetraining

360° video (free viewpoint)

Remote control vehiclesHD Video

streaming

360° video (lo-res)

Ban

dw

idth

Latency

Video VR/AR

People & Things

SystemControl

Virtual RAN

360° VR/AR

We arehere

Page 13: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© 2016 Nokia13

The New Architecture for New Value

ConvergedEdge Cloud

2 Software defined, end-end

Smart Network Fabric3

Universal Adaptive Core

4Access agnosticconverged core

modular, decomposednetwork functions

Common data layer

Programmable Network OS

5Dynamiccustomerservices

Dynamicnetwork optimization

Management &Orchestration

SDN NFV

Multi-operatorfederation

self-optimizedcoverage & capacity

MassiveScale Access

1

Long fibers

AccessRemote

Shortwaves & wires

Digital Value Platforms

7 ANP, CSP, ICP, Vertical apps

External data sources

Open APIs

Augmented Cognition Systems

6 Machine learningAnalytics

Humans& Machines

Dynamic Data Security

8

• New trust framework

• Ecosystem sharing

• Mass edge monitoring

Page 14: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 201614

Providing Ultra Reliable, Low Latency Systems

Future Communication Network for Industrial Applications

other remote factory sites

data analytics

video processing

data aggregation

control

edgecloud

mobile-edge computing

The Internet

network slicing

control center

back-end cloud

mobile robots and controllers

machine-human interaction

URLLC

URLLC + broadband

mMTC

sensors

New Capabilities create new solutions for machine to machine communication.

Page 15: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 201615

No Changes to Industry Standard InterfacesFactory Test Platform

Auxiliary wireless (LTE or WiFi)

BOSCH APAS Robot

Safety HMS Gateway

IoT Proxy Network NUC PC

BOSCH Rexroth Controller

Machine UEIoT Proxy Terminal

Raspberry Pi

Base-Station

Profinet Protocol

Profinet Protocol

Sensor – Alarm Device

Lean IoTProtocol

Lean IoTProtocol

Light Barrier

mMTC and URLLC (Band 7)

2 to 2.5 ms is a typical required delay between the alarm detection and

message delivery to the controller

Page 16: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 201616

Round Trip Time Measurements

5G offers superior low latency connection with high reliability

Page 17: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

© Nokia 201617

Ultra Reliable Low Latency Control and flexible Networks

Industrial Robotics Cooperative Collision Avoidance

Volvo Use case

3D Printing - Construction

TeleoperationCooperative Drone ControlDrone Installation of Nokia LTE FCell

Page 18: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

18 © Nokia 2016

Converged Access

What: Universal remote node fully programmable for converged 5G mobile and fixed access exploiting deep fiber access.

Benefit: Common access node, common site usage, Multi-Access speed increase.

NetControl

(X)G-Fast

< 100 m

“5G-Fast”(mmW)

DOCSIS 3.1XG-Cable

mMIMOLTE 5G L2/L3

L1

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

1990 2000 2010 2020

Capacit

y in M

bps

Year

Convergence @10Gbps

Wireless Cell

DSL Node (small)

DSL Node (large)

Cable Node

Similar architecture Similar throughput

Leverage commonalities to realize truly converged universal remote

Similar signal format

G.fastsignal flow

BaselineLTE

signal flow

DTU FECModMap

VectorPrecoder

iFFT CP in

DTU FEC-1 DemodDe-map

VectorPostcoder

FFT CP out

Packethandling

Errorcorrection

Modulation & Mapping

Cross-talkcancellation

Fast FourierTransform

CyclicPrefix

MAC FECMIMO

PrecoderiFFT CP in

MAC FEC-1 DemodDe-map

MIMOPostcoder

FFT CP out

Retransmission

Retransmission

ModMap

Function benefiting from HW accelerationFunction executed on general purpose processor

Page 19: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

19 © Nokia 2016

Future Broadband Access ArchitectureUniversal Remote Access Node

LT

LT

LT

LT

LT

TOR

LT

Metro

SDN controller

Net OS

Edge Cloud

Fiber

Wireless

Future PON

Universal

Remote

(X)G.fast

Cable

…vANC

vCPE

vCPE

vCPE

vCPE

TOR

vANC

Universal

RemotevBNG

vCDN

vCDN

vRAN

vRAN

TOR

vBNG

OLT

Imagine a converged network at fiber-like access speeds and fully programmable

Page 20: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

20 © Nokia 2016

Is 5G the last “G”? Should this be our ambition?

Nokia Internal Use

Move to Software/Cloud based Solutions

Capabilities of SDR and SDN are now largely sufficient

Software flexibility can allow continuous network adaptation and improvement

Software support for new applications.

Human Needs for Communication are evolving faster than every 10 years

5G initiatives in Korea and the US are moving faster than standardization.

Usage is exploding.

Dependence is Growing.

New uses proliferating.

Myriad new and diverse devices will dominate

Smartphones and variants will continue.

Ubiquitous connection of machines with new requirements.

5G standard must build Phy layer flexibility into the standard.

Software systems together with rapid service introduction will force market acceleration

Page 21: Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Networkicc2017.ieee-icc.org/sites/icc2017.ieee-icc.org/files/u51/20170522... · Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network Theodore(Tod)

21 © Nokia 2016