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Creating Sustainable Real Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession in the Groundswell/Recession Era Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October 7, 2009

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Page 1: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Creating Sustainable Real Estate Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Consumer Relationships in the

Groundswell/Recession Era Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, PresidentRECON Intelligence Services

October 7, 2009

Page 2: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Thank you for being here Thank you for being here and thank you for and thank you for

participating in a whole new participating in a whole new knowledge services knowledge services

technologytechnology

Page 3: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

These are historic timesThese are historic times

Page 4: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

They are historic by virtue of They are historic by virtue of the fact that the industry the fact that the industry events of the eight years, events of the eight years,

starting in 2002 to be exact, starting in 2002 to be exact, the last time we touched the last time we touched

“normal”“normal”

Page 5: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The path of the past eight yearsThe path of the past eight years

• 2002 - Market goes over 5M for the first time2002 - Market goes over 5M for the first time• 2003 - 2004 450,000 new agents brought in2003 - 2004 450,000 new agents brought in• 2005 - Market goes over 7m units2005 - Market goes over 7m units• 2006 - Sub prime mortgage crisis begins2006 - Sub prime mortgage crisis begins• 2007 - Market goes into a down spiral2007 - Market goes into a down spiral• 2008 - Recession hits2008 - Recession hits• 2009 - Recession ends, recovery begins2009 - Recession ends, recovery begins• 2010 - With luck the new market arrives2010 - With luck the new market arrives

Page 6: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

They are historic by virtue of They are historic by virtue of the cultural and generational the cultural and generational

events of the eight years, 2002 events of the eight years, 2002 to be exact, the last time we to be exact, the last time we

touched “normal”touched “normal”

Page 7: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Following the generational Following the generational pathpath

19951995

20022002 20092009

JAGJAG NCISNCIS

NCIS Los AngelesNCIS Los Angeles

Page 8: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

They are historic because at They are historic because at some point in the next some point in the next

eighteen month we are all eighteen month we are all going on a journey. But we going on a journey. But we

aren’t certain about the timing, aren’t certain about the timing, the destination or the mode of the destination or the mode of

traveltravel

Page 9: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

They are historic because They are historic because each of you, as your firm’s each of you, as your firm’s critical events manager are critical events manager are

about to assume a whole about to assume a whole new role in the business, the new role in the business, the

marketplace and the marketplace and the transactiontransaction

Page 10: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The requirement of a new The requirement of a new business model was made even business model was made even more certain by the events of more certain by the events of the past eight years including the past eight years including

the emergence of a new market, the emergence of a new market, the arrival of a the new the arrival of a the new consumer, informational consumer, informational

technologies and social mediatechnologies and social media

Page 11: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

They are historic because, They are historic because, depending upon your depending upon your

perspective, we are either in perspective, we are either in the last year of the last era the last year of the last era or in the first year of a new or in the first year of a new

one.one.

Page 12: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

In 2002 you were all driving In 2002 you were all driving the full business model but by the full business model but by 2009 you were driving a much 2009 you were driving a much

different business modeldifferent business model

Page 13: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Hunkering down to the slash Hunkering down to the slash modelmodel

2002 2009

Page 14: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Over the 18 months each of Over the 18 months each of you will be involved in the you will be involved in the design, development and design, development and implementation of a new implementation of a new

brokerage business modelbrokerage business model

Page 15: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Unfortunately tens of Unfortunately tens of thousand of brokers are in thousand of brokers are in

denial and are looking denial and are looking forward to going back to the forward to going back to the

2002 market driving their 2002 market driving their 2002 business model.2002 business model.

Page 16: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October
Page 17: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The overwhelming challenge The overwhelming challenge is how to take advantage of is how to take advantage of a level of opportunity that a level of opportunity that

exceeds anything the exceeds anything the industry has experienced industry has experienced

since the post WWII period.since the post WWII period.

Page 18: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The only question is what it The only question is what it is going to look like. How is going to look like. How

will it function. Will it meet will it function. Will it meet the challenges of the day the challenges of the day

and how will it create and how will it create relationships with today’s relationships with today’s

consumer?consumer?

Page 19: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

So what is your challenge So what is your challenge today?today?

To be thinking about a To be thinking about a blueprint that will be used to blueprint that will be used to support your company as it support your company as it engages a whole new real engages a whole new real

estate consumerestate consumer

Page 20: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

What do we know about the What do we know about the real estate industry’s next real estate industry’s next

phase?phase?

Page 21: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Three probable priorities … Three probable priorities …

• ProfitabilityProfitability

• AccountabilityAccountability

• Consumer centricityConsumer centricity

Page 22: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Profitability is the Profitability is the ultimate challengeultimate challenge

Page 23: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

In order to promote In order to promote capitalization and capitalization and

investment the industry investment the industry must evolve a brokerage must evolve a brokerage business model that can business model that can generate market level generate market level

profitabilityprofitability

Page 24: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October
Page 25: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The 1953 brokerage business The 1953 brokerage business configuration was designed to configuration was designed to provide a platform for a bigger provide a platform for a bigger than life super person whose than life super person whose personality controlled all that personality controlled all that

they touched …they touched …

Page 26: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

It was not designed to It was not designed to generate profit …generate profit …

Page 27: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Over the past four years Over the past four years virtually every brokerage virtually every brokerage

has abandoned the has abandoned the traditional business model in traditional business model in favor of a “slash” or survival favor of a “slash” or survival

model. As the market model. As the market returns every brokerage will returns every brokerage will

have to make a decision have to make a decision relative to their new relative to their new

business modelbusiness model

Page 28: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The industry now The industry now understands that all of the understands that all of the rules of business directly rules of business directly

apply to real estate.apply to real estate.

Page 29: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The shotgun merger was a The shotgun merger was a short term solution that may short term solution that may cause more difficulties than cause more difficulties than remedies moving forward …remedies moving forward …

Page 30: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The landing will tell the story The landing will tell the story ……

Page 31: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The elements of profit …The elements of profit …

• Premium service for a premium feePremium service for a premium fee• Value propositionsValue propositions• Consumer experiencesConsumer experiences• Standardized service protocolsStandardized service protocols• Quality monitoringQuality monitoring• Consumer input and ratingConsumer input and rating

Page 32: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

AccountabilityAccountability

Page 33: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

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Page 34: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The New ConsumerThe New Consumer

Page 35: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The industry is in the The industry is in the process of forming two process of forming two camps around vastly camps around vastly

different visions of the different visions of the future of the industry:future of the industry:

Page 36: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Agent centricity vs. Agent centricity vs. consumer centricityconsumer centricity

• What is the relationship?What is the relationship?

• Can a firm go both ways?Can a firm go both ways?

• What is the relationship between agent What is the relationship between agent centricity and profitability?centricity and profitability?

• What is the relationship between What is the relationship between consumer centricity and profitability?consumer centricity and profitability?

Page 37: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

There are major players There are major players lining up to advocate both lining up to advocate both

sides of the debatesides of the debate

Page 38: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #1:Lesson #1:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships

takes commitment. Use your takes commitment. Use your level of commitment to your level of commitment to your

agents as a starting agents as a starting measurementmeasurement

Page 39: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #2:Lesson #2:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships

takes respect. takes respect.

Page 40: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Today’s consumer is Today’s consumer is dominating all that they dominating all that they

experienceexperience

Page 41: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October
Page 42: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #3:Lesson #3:

This is not about building just This is not about building just the agent/consumer the agent/consumer

relationship. It is also about relationship. It is also about building the building the

consumer/brokerage consumer/brokerage relationship relationship

Page 43: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Consumer want relationships withConsumer want relationships with

• The teacher and the schoolThe teacher and the school• The doctor and the hospitalThe doctor and the hospital• The mechanic and the dealershipThe mechanic and the dealership• The clerk and the storeThe clerk and the store• The agent and the brokerageThe agent and the brokerage

Page 44: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #4:Lesson #4:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships takes understanding. takes understanding.

Page 45: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The industry may have been The industry may have been managing consumers for one managing consumers for one

hundred years but they haven’t hundred years but they haven’t been creating sustainable been creating sustainable

relationships with this relationships with this consumerconsumer

Page 46: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The Break UpThe Break Up

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Page 47: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

What we all know …What we all know …

• The consumer wants professional The consumer wants professional assistanceassistance

• The consumer will pay a fair commissionThe consumer will pay a fair commission

• This new consumer wants to have a This new consumer wants to have a ““realreal” relationship” relationship

Page 48: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

What does today’s What does today’s consumer consumer want from their business want from their business and professional and professional experiences?experiences?

Page 49: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

SimplicitySimplicity

Page 50: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

InnovationInnovation

Page 51: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

SpeedSpeed

Page 52: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

RelationshipsRelationships

Page 53: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

EntertainmentEntertainment

Page 54: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

CollaborationCollaboration

Page 55: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

TransparencyTransparency

Page 56: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

IntegrityIntegrity

Page 57: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

ScrutinyScrutiny

Page 58: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

CustomizationCustomization

Page 59: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

FreedomFreedom

Page 60: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Community ServiceCommunity Service

Page 61: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #5:Lesson #5:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships

requires you to appreciate requires you to appreciate what they have gone what they have gone

through in the past two through in the past two years. years.

Page 62: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

What impact did the What impact did the recession have on this new recession have on this new

consumer?consumer?

Page 63: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

The recession was the most The recession was the most traumatic economic event traumatic economic event the United States since the the United States since the Great Depression. It will Great Depression. It will impact the American real impact the American real

estate consumer for the next estate consumer for the next 20 years20 years

Page 64: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

ThriftinessThriftiness

Page 65: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Conspicuous consumptionConspicuous consumption

Page 66: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Conspicuous Environmentalism

Page 67: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Big business and Big business and Big GovernmentBig Government

Page 68: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Day to day ethical behaviorDay to day ethical behavior

Page 69: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Consumer protection Consumer protection through social media …through social media …

Page 70: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #5:Lesson #5:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships

requires an appreciation that requires an appreciation that they are way short of “trust” they are way short of “trust”

right now. right now.

Page 71: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Trust ….Trust ….

Page 72: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #6:Lesson #6:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships

requires an understanding requires an understanding that they have turned to that they have turned to social media for trusting social media for trusting

relationships relationships

Page 73: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Don’t fool yourself. It is Don’t fool yourself. It is bigger than you can ever bigger than you can ever

believe.believe.

Page 74: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Listen to this man at Listen to this man at REALTOR® ExpoREALTOR® Expo

His name is Doug DevitreHis name is Doug Devitre

Page 75: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

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are needed to see this picture.

Page 76: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #7:Lesson #7:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships will consumer relationships will require you to abandon your require you to abandon your

traditional approach to traditional approach to marketing and meet them in marketing and meet them in

social media social media

Page 77: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

QuickTime™ and a decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 78: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Please read this …Please read this …

Trendwatching.comTrendwatching.com

Page 79: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #8:Lesson #8:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships will consumer relationships will

require you to allow that require you to allow that consumer into your world consumer into your world

Page 80: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

This means that encouraging This means that encouraging consumers to rate, rank and consumers to rate, rank and comment on their real estate comment on their real estate

experience will be critical experience will be critical moving forwardmoving forward

Page 81: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Engage with client experience ratingEngage with client experience rating

Page 82: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #9:Lesson #9:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships consumer relationships

requires administration and requires administration and automation automation

Page 83: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Relationship building will not be Relationship building will not be automaticautomatic

• Automate the relationship from Automate the relationship from beginning to end.beginning to end.

• Set standards of practiceSet standards of practice• Ask the consumer “how are we doing?”Ask the consumer “how are we doing?”• Seek frequent input from the consumerSeek frequent input from the consumer• Listen carefully to the answersListen carefully to the answers• Carefully monitor what the consumer is Carefully monitor what the consumer is

saying about you on the Internetsaying about you on the Internet

Page 84: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Lesson #10:Lesson #10:

Building sustainable Building sustainable consumer relationships will consumer relationships will

require a commitment to the require a commitment to the long term. long term.

Page 85: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Long term relationshipsLong term relationships

• Sustainability means quality, utility and durationSustainability means quality, utility and duration

• Through the transactionThrough the transaction

• Through the home ownership cycleThrough the home ownership cycle

• Through the lifestyle cycleThrough the lifestyle cycle

• Through the referral cycleThrough the referral cycle

Page 86: Creating Sustainable Real Estate Consumer Relationships in the Groundswell/Recession Era Jeremy Conaway, President RECON Intelligence Services October

Building sustainable Building sustainable relationships with today’s real relationships with today’s real

estate consumer will be the estate consumer will be the centerpiece of success for your centerpiece of success for your

brokerage moving forwardbrokerage moving forward