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  • 8/12/2019 Crop year 2013-2014_01

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    str

    atgieg

    rain

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    trategie-grains.com

    Durum Report

    2013 Tallage SAS. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, photocopied, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by

    any means, nor otherwise circulated without the prior consent of the publisher. Action will be taken against any person, company or organisation infringing copyright.

    The next issue of Stratgie grains Durum Report will be available on 31st March 2014

    Third year - No 17 / 27 January 2014 - English version

    Durum wheat 2013/14 2014/15

    July-June as of25/11/13

    as of27/01/14

    carry-in stock 0.9 1.0

    production 7.9 7.7

    imports 1.5 1.7

    domestic use 8.7 8.7exports 0.6 0.7

    carry-out stock 1.0 1.1

    surplus / required stock 0.1 0.1

    8,17

    7,94

    7,70

    2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

    SUMMARY

    Canadian 2013/14 ending-stocks

    forecast at a very high level but

    world prices stay quite high be-

    cause of logistical delays Outlook rather heavy for

    2014/15 at the world level

    though European supplies are forecast rather low

    CROPYEAR2013/14DURUMWHEATSUPPLY

    2013 harvest revised down

    PRODUCTION

    We have reduced our estimate for 2013 durum wheat pro-duction in the EU by 160 kt to 7.9 Mt since last month.Durum wheat production in Spain is revised down by 80 kt totake account of the latest official data. It is now estimated at 900kt.

    Production in France is revised down by 70 kt to reflect an ad-justment for planted area. We have also made small adjustmentsfor Slovakia and Romania (-10 kt each).The 2013 durum wheat harvest is now estimated 0.2 Mt be-low the level of 2012. The harvests were considerably smallerthan in 2012 in France (-0.6 Mt) and Italy (-0.3 Mt) but thesefalls were partly offset by better harvests in Spain (+0.5 Mt) andGreece (+0.2 Mt).

    IMPORTSFROMNON-EU COUNTRIES

    Import licence fixations totalled 892 kt between July 2, 2013and January 21, 2014.

    January saw a growth in the volume of licences issued to Italy.In the first 3 weeks of 2014, Italian importers applied for 142kt. This increase should be just sufficient to cover the 1.14 Mt

    that we project Italy will import in 2013/14. We have reducedour estimate for Italian imports from third countries by 150 ktbecause it imported significant volumes of durum wheat fromFrance, Greece and Spain in July-December 2013 (see below).In addition, delays to import shipments from Canada suggestthat some of the imports we originally forecast for 2013/14 willactually arrive in 2014/15.

    We have reduced estimated durum wheat imports fromnon-EU countries in 2013/14 by 120 kt to 1.47 Mt.Smallincreases for Germany (+10 kt), Spain (+10 kt) and Portugal(+10 kt) are insufficient to fully offset the reduction for Italy.

    EU durum wheat imports in 2013/14 are now estimated at thesame level as in 2012/13.

    DEMANDFORDURUMWHEAT

    Durum wheat use in animal feeds

    revised up

    DEMANDFORHUMANCONSUMPTIONANDIN-

    DUSTRIALUSAGE

    G 1: EU (M)

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    I S S U E # 1 7 - 2 7 J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 4

    STRATGIEGRAINS- DURUMREPORT

    kt 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15

    Canada 882 879 932 1125

    USA 285 254 201 255

    Australia 341 172 160 160

    Mexico 55 148 145 120

    Turkey 0 0 0 0

    Others 146 32 29 37

    Total 1709 1485 1467 1697

    area (Mha) yield (t/ha) production (Mt)11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15

    Spain 0.38 0.41 0.34 0.33 2.38 1.08 2.64 2.30 0.90 0.44 0.90 0.75

    France 0.42 0.44 0.33 0.34 4.85 5.44 5.26 5.21 2.02 2.38 1.75 1.75

    Greece 0.48 0.45 0.49 0.47 1.70 1.43 1.71 1.75 0.81 0.65 0.83 0.82

    Italy 1.16 1.26 1.18 1.22 3.17 3.37 3.33 3.20 3.67 4.24 3.93 3.89Others 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 4.55 3.77 4.51 4.40 0.59 0.46 0.52 0.50

    EU 28 2.56 2.68 2.46 2.46 3.12 3.05 3.23 3.13 7.99 8.17 7.94 7.70

    7,68

    7,737,75

    2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

    We estimate demand for durum wheat forhuman consumption and industrial usage in2013/14 up by 50 kt since last month to 7.7Mt.This increase relates to Germany and corre-sponds to an update to supply and demand in

    previous years to reflect the latest official statis-tics. Durum wheat use for human consump-tion in 2013/14 is revised up by 30 kt.Total human/industrial demand for durum

    wheat is estimated virtually stable comparedwith 2012/13 (+40 kt).

    DURUMWHEATUSEINANIMAL

    FEEDS

    Durum wheat use in animal feeds in 2013/14is revised up by 120 kt this month to 0.4 Mt.

    This level is still extremely low but is neverthe-less higher than in 2012/13. This is becausethe quality of 2013-crop durum wheat, nota-bly in Spain and Greece, was not as good as in

    previous years. Hence this wheat is less easilyexportable to non-EU countries, which leavesgreater availability for use in animal feeds. Wehave also sharply reduced estimated Italian ex-

    ports (see below), which hasallowed for a reduction in es-timated imports and has alsoliberated availability for usein animal feeds. Until now,

    we estimated durum wheatuse in Italian animal feeds ata very low level for 2013/14,

    but it is now forecast more inline with demand in previousyears, although still quite low.We have increased durumwheat use in animal feeds by 50 kt in Spain, 60kt in Italy and 20 kt in Greece.

    We have also increased estimated durumwheat use in animal feeds in Belgium and the

    Netherlands. These countries have been im-porting low quality durum wheat for use inanimal feeds.

    DURUMWHEATTRADE

    Intra-EU trade again revised up exports to non-EU countries revised down

    INTRA-EU TRADE

    Estimated intra-EU durum wheat trade in2013/14 is revised up 0.2 Mt this month to2.2 Mt(+60 kt compared with 2012/13).The trade trends we highlighted in the previ-ous report have been confirmed. The outletsof European exporters are mainly other EUcountries. 2013-crop durum wheat fromGreece, France and Spain is not very attractive

    for importers in North Africa this year becauseEuropean quality is not as good as last year. Bycontrast, Italy is able to use this grade of durum

    wheat in mixes with other EU wheat for itspasta production and hence does not need toimport durum wheat from Canada.

    We have increased estimated Italian durumwheat imports from other EU countries by130 kt this month. We now forecast that Italy

    will import around 0.2 Mt more durum wheatfrom EU partners than in 2012/13.

    We have also slightly increased our importsforecasts for Belgium (+30 kt), Netherlands(+30 kt), Slovakia (+30 kt) and Poland (+30kt) to reflect the latest customs statistics.

    These increases mainly relate to shipmentsfrom Greece (+100 kt compared with ourDecember estimate), although we also revisedup projected French exports (+40 kt). Spanishexports to Italy are expected higher than in2012/13 and recorded exports so far are in line

    with our latest forecast.We have also increased projected Slovakian ex-ports (+30 kt) and Austrian exports (+20 kt)to reflect the latest customs statistics.

    WORLDDURUMWHEAT

    MARKET

    Production: new increase forCanadian harvests estimate

    We have adopted that latestofficial Statcan estimate fordurum wheat production inCanada of 6.5 Mt (+0.5 Mtcompared with our December

    estimate). Yield for this yearsdurum wheat crop is truly ex-ceptional: it constitutes a +37% increase on the trend yield.

    In the past 20 years, the trend yield was onlyever exceeded by +18 %. However, grain quali-ty is not as good as in previous years. Due to theextremely high yields, protein content is lower.Rainfall in the last weeks of harvest also nega-tively impacted grain quality (low protein con-tent associated with increased moisture favoursloss of vitreousness). Wheat type CWAD2normally attains around 80 % of fully vitreousgrains; this year the rate will be around 60 %.

    G 2: EU (M)

    T 2: EU ()

    T 1: , EU28

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    I S S U E # 1 7 - 2 7 J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 4

    STRATGIEGRAINS- DURUMREPORT

    origins destinations 2013/14

    Ger. B/L Den. Spn. Fra. Gre. Irl. Ita. NL Por. U.K. Aust. Fin. Swe. Pol.Hun. Cze. Slk. Est. Lat. Lit. Sln. Cyp. Mal. Ro. Bul. Cro. EUGer. 17 4 0 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30

    B/L 128 0 0 29 0 0 14 58 0 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 234

    Den. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Spn. 15 10 0 19 0 0 106 2 107 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 272

    Fra. 114 176 3 47 8 5 406 53 2 54 0 0 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 892

    Gre. 1 0 0 -0 0 0 214 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 216

    Irl. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

    Ita. 1 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 18

    Neth. 31 26 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 63

    Por. 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5

    U.K. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

    Aust. 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 6 12 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 55Fin. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Swed. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Pol. 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8

    Hun. 13 0 0 0 0 10 0 4 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 1 21 1 0 0 6 7 0 10 4 1 93

    Cz.R. 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 13 0 0 26 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 56

    Slk. 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 1 0 0 24 0 0 24 2 10 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 82

    Est. 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

    Lat. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Lit. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Sln. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

    Cyp. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Mal. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Rom. 8 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32Bul. 0 0 0 33 0 27 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 0 126

    Cro. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    EU 331 235 9 85 51 49 5 831 128 109 77 54 1 7 64 16 18 46 1 0 0 9 21 0 33 5 1 2188

    CROPYEAR2014/15DURUMWHEATSUPPLY

    EU durum wheat production in 2014 estimated at 7.7 Mt

    PRODUCTION

    Based on the trend yields, we estimate EUdurum wheat production in 2014 at 7.7 Mt,down 0.3 Mt compared with the 2013 har-

    vest. The reduction will mostly relate to Spain(-0.2 Mt) and France (-0.1 Mt). We estimatethat the total area sowed in the EU was equalto last year at 2.46 Mha. The area is estimateddown in Spain and Greece (-20 kha each), butit stays stable in France and increases slightly inItaly (+40 kha) compared with last year.Production in Greece is expected at almostthe same level as last year: 820 kt (-10 kt com-

    pared with 2013). Germination and plantemergence took place in ideal conditions this

    year in Greece, with good soil humidity.We forecast that durum wheat yields inSpainwill be lower than in 2013. We currently es-timate Spanish durum wheat production at

    750 kt (-170 kt compared with 2013). Rainsin mid-December allowed a small improve-ment in soil humidity. More rain is neededso that underground water reserves can bereplenished.Production in Franceis estimated at 1.75 Mt,down by 70 kt compared with 2013. The

    weather has so far been mild although someareas have seen flooding. Nevertheless, withthe most of the durum wheat plants at thetiller emergence phase, they should not suf-

    fer too greatly as a result of excess water andwe do not think that yield potential has beenpenalised.Farmers in southern Italy finished sowingtheir durum wheat at the end of Decemberand the crops are in good condition. We esti-mate Italian production at 3.9 Mt, down 40 ktcompared with 2013.

    IMPORTSFROMTHIRDCOUNTRIES

    We estimate durum wheat imports in

    2014/15 at 1.7 Mt, up 0.2 Mt compared with

    2013/14.

    There are two reasons for this growth in im-

    ports compared with 2013/14:

    Reduced durum wheat availabilities

    in the EU due to a smaller harvest;

    Large scale import carry-through

    from Canada at the start of

    2014/15 as a result of the delays to

    shipments incurred in 2013/14.

    The growth in imports is divided between the

    following importing countries in the EU: +60

    kt for Belgium, +20 kt for Germany, +30 kt

    for Spain, +60 kt for Italy and +50 kt for the

    Netherlands.

    T 3: -EU 2013/14 ()

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    I S S U E # 1 7 - 2 7 J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 4

    STRATGIEGRAINS- DURUMREPORT

    origins destinations 2014/15

    Ger. B/L Den. Spn. Fra. Gre. Irl. Ita. NL Por. U.K. Aust. Fin. Swe. Pol.Hun. Cze. Slk. Est. Lat. Lit. Sln. Cyp. Mal. Ro. Bul. Cro. EU

    Ger. 17 3 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28

    B/L 140 0 0 34 0 0 14 33 0 0 2 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 228

    Den. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

    Spn. 16 7 0 18 0 0 92 3 105 19 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 263

    Fra. 94 100 2 93 10 3 243 27 22 46 0 0 7 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 666Gre. 2 0 0 0 0 0 256 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 259

    Irl. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

    Ita. 2 8 0 3 16 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 39

    Neth. 36 33 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 72

    Por. 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6

    U.K. 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

    Aust. 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 3 0 0 0 0 6 0 3 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 43

    Fin. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Swed. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Pol. 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11

    Hun. 11 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 9 0 0 13 1 17 1 0 0 5 4 0 7 2 1 79

    Cz.R. 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 3 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29

    Slk. 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 18 0 0 14 2 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 56

    Est. 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

    Lat. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Lit. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Sln. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4

    Cyp. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Mal. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Rom. 4 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26

    Bul. 0 0 0 30 0 19 0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 98

    Cro. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    EU 325 165 9 131 70 39 4 668 79 127 74 50 2 8 46 15 13 34 1 0 0 7 17 0 24 3 1 1913

    T 4: -EU 2014/15 ()

    DEMANDFORDURUMWHEAT

    Demand in the EU expected stable

    DEMANDFORHUMANCONSUMP-

    TIONANDINDUSTRIALUSAGE

    We currently estimate that demand for durum

    wheat in the EU will be stable at 7.7 Mt. The

    largest consumer country in the EU, Italy, will

    see a reduction in internal demand due to the

    uncertain economic outlook facing the coun-

    try. Nevertheless, overall demand will still bedriven by exports: Italian pasta remains highly

    sought after worldwide and therefore durumwheat consumption in Italy will remain stable.We estimate that demand in Spainwill in-crease slightly (+10 kt); indeed demand inSpain had already began to grown in 2013/14,according to our sources.Demand in Franceand Germany is forecaststable.

    DURUMWHEATUSEINANIMAL

    FEEDS

    Durum wheat use in animal feeds is esti-

    mated at 0.4 Mt, down 60 kt compared with

    2013/14. We forecast that France and Spain

    will both produce better quality harvests than

    in 2013. Hence given the projected decline in

    availability in both countries, we forecast that

    human consumption will be favoured overdurum wheat use in animal feeds.

    DURUMWHEATTRADE

    Intra-EU trade revised up again exports to third countries revised down

    INTRA-EU TRADE

    We estimate intra-EU trade in 2014/15 at 1.9Mt, down 280 kt compared with 2013/14.Given the expected rise in imports from third

    countries, we think that the main EU import-ing countries will need to import less durum

    wheat from EU partners.Hence we forecast that intra-EU import de-

    mand will fall in Italy (-160 kt), Belgium (-70kt) and the Netherlands (-50 kt).In terms of the exporting countries, the lowerdemand mainly impacts France (-230 kt com-

    pared with 2013/14). We think that Francewill be able to export more durum wheat tothird countries in 2014/15 because grainquality is expected to be better than in 2013,

    which was a very disappointing harvest interms of quality. Given the smaller expectedFrench durum wheat harvest (in quantityterms) we forecast that exports to third coun-

    tries will be increased which will be offset bylower exports to the EU. In addition, Franceexported a high volume of durum wheat toEU countries in 2013/14, especially Italy,

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    I S S U E # 1 7 - 2 7 J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 4

    STRATGIEGRAINS- DURUMREPORT

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    f

    v-10

    a

    vr-10

    jui-10

    ao

    -10

    o

    ct-10

    d

    c-10

    fv-11

    avr-11

    jui-11

    a

    o-11

    oct-11

    d

    c-11

    fv-12

    avr-12

    jui-12

    a

    o-12

    o

    ct-12

    d

    c-12

    f

    v-13

    a

    vr-13

    jui-13

    ao

    -13

    o

    ct-13

    d

    c-13

    prices delivered North

    Italy $/t

    prices delivered La

    Pallice $/t

    kt 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15

    Algeria 516 366 83 190

    Morocco 289 3 0 0

    Tunisia 191 441 204 210

    Egypt 21 28 20 20

    other Africa 156 120 127 121Turkey 1 187 94 110

    Switzerland 19 11 26 21

    other Europe 8 6 8 5

    others 0 7 6 21

    Total 1201 1169 568 698

    2012/13 2013/14 2014/15Carry-in stocks 6.7 5.9 6.3

    Production 21.9 23.2 22.4

    Imports 4.7 5.2 5.0

    Consumption 20.1 20.3 20.4

    Exports 6.6 7.3 6.4

    Carry-out stocks 5.9 6.3 6.3

    Stocks-to-use 29% 31% 31%

    kt 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

    Op.stocks 1026 2204 2987 1996 1725 1343 2088

    Imports 0 2 37 15 15 20 20

    Production 5519 5400 3025 4172 4627 6504 5144

    Use 991 966 916 798 950 1200 1200Exports 3350 3653 3137 3660 4074 4579 4317

    Cl. Stocks 2204 2987 1996 1725 1343 2088 1735

    Stocks/use 51% 65% 49% 39% 27% 36% 31%

    kt 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

    Op.stocks 217 716 986 996 686 656 507

    Imports 2281 2968 2887 1374 2253 1675 2032

    Production 594 506 471 482 482 680 600

    Use 1895 2150 2200 1600 2100 1900 1950

    Exports 481 1054 1148 566 665 604 665

    Cl. Stocks 716 986 996 686 656 507 524Stocks/use 30% 31% 30% 32% 24% 20% 20%

    change in exports change in import requirements11/12 12/13 13/14 11/12 12/13 13/14

    USA 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.1 EU28 1.5 1.5 1.7 0.2

    Canada 4.1 4.6 4.3 -0.3 Algeria 1.5 1.8 1.6 -0.2

    Mexico 0.5 1.2 0.5 -0.7 Morocco 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0

    EU28 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 Tunisia 0.5 0.7 0.5 -0.2Australia 0.2 0.3 0.2 -0.1 Others 2.3 2.8 2.0 -0.7

    Kazakhstan 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total 6.6 7.3 6.4 -0.8

    Total 6.6 7.3 6.4 -0.8

    G 3: F I

    T 5: EU ()

    T 7:

    EU, USA, C, A,M, T, A, M

    (M)

    Source: Stratgie grains

    T 8: C, J-J ()

    T 9: USA, J-J ()

    TABLE6: /

    Source: Stratgie grains

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    I S S U E # 1 7 - 2 7 J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 4

    STRATGIEGRAINS- DURUMREPORT

    July-June

    2013/14

    imports from grains exports to

    others(seeds,waste

    andoverseasusage)

    carry-outstock

    fr

    eestock

    requirement

    carry-instock

    production

    ofwhich:

    ex-farms

    ales

    E

    U2

    8

    n

    on-EU

    su

    pply

    E

    U2

    8

    n

    on-EU

    hum/ind.

    C

    onsumption

    animalfeed

    demand

    surplus/deficit

    Ger. 60 46 46 331 66 503 30 0 420 0 4 454 49 0 50

    Bel/L 19 0 235 201 455 234 19 115 70 0 438 16 0 20

    Den. 0 0 9 0 10 0 0 7 0 0 8 2 0 0

    Spn. 118 904 85 15 1122 272 66 400 150 74 961 161 10 150

    Fra. 255 1754 1714 51 9 2068 892 315 620 0 82 1910 158 40 120

    Gre. 60 830 49 0 939 216 79 410 50 78 834 105 10 100

    Irl. -0 0 5 0 5 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 0

    Ita. 324 3927 831 1141 6222 18 83 5200 110 316 5726 496 0 500

    Neth. 1 0 128 9 138 63 2 35 35 0 135 3 0 0

    Por. 22 7 109 15 153 5 133 8 5 151 1 0 0

    U.K. 0 0 77 1 78 1 76 0 0 77 2 0 0

    Aust. 10 63 62 54 0 128 55 0 60 1 2 118 10 0 10Fin. -0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 2

    Swed. 4 0 7 1 12 0 0 10 0 0 10 2 0 0

    Pol. -0 0 64 5 69 8 59 0 0 67 2 0 0

    Hun. 4 105 16 0 125 92 0 30 0 2 124 1 0 0

    Cz.R. 1 121 18 0 140 56 84 0 0 140 -0 0 0

    Slk. -0 40 46 0 86 82 3 0 0 85 0 0 0

    Est. 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -0 0 0

    Lat. 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0

    Lit. 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Sln. 0 0 9 0 9 1 8 0 0 9 0 0 0

    Cyp. 3 0 21 0 25 0 24 0 0 24 1 0 0

    Mal. 1 0 0 4 5 0 2 0 0 2 3 0 0Rou. 14 8 33 0 56 32 10 0 0 42 14 10 0

    Bul. 20 127 5 0 152 126 4 15 0 0 145 7 0 10

    Cro. 0 4 0 0 4 0 4 0 0 4 0 0 0

    EU 27 918 7932 2187 1466 12502 2187 568 7723 424 563 11465 1038 70 962

    EU 28 918 7936 2187 1466 12507 2187 568 7727 424 563 11469 1038 70 962

    T 10: EU28 J-J 2013/14 ()

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    I S S U E # 1 7 - 2 7 J A N U A R Y 2 0 1 4

    STRATGIEGRAINS- DURUMREPORT

    July-June

    2014/15

    imports from grains exports to

    others(seeds,waste

    andoverseasusage)

    carry-outstock

    fr

    eestock

    requirement

    carry-instock

    production

    ofwhich:

    ex-farms

    ales

    E

    U2

    8

    n

    on-EU

    su

    pply

    E

    U2

    8

    n

    on-EU

    hum/ind.

    C

    onsumption

    animalfeed

    demand

    surplus/deficit

    Ger. 49 45 45 325 86 505 28 420 0 4 452 53 0 50

    Bel/L 16 0 165 260 441 228 10 115 70 0 423 19 0 20

    Den. 2 0 9 0 11 1 8 0 0 9 2 0 0

    Spn. 161 750 131 40 1082 263 95 410 90 74 932 150 0 150

    Fra. 158 1745 1705 70 2 1975 666 422 620 0 86 1794 181 60 120

    Gre. 105 820 39 0 964 259 70 410 50 78 867 97 0 100

    Irl. 3 0 4 0 7 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 0

    Ita. 496 3891 668 1200 6256 39 96 5200 110 316 5761 495 0 500

    Neth. 3 0 79 62 144 72 1 35 35 0 143 1 0 0

    Por. 1 7 127 17 153 6 133 8 5 152 1 0 0

    U.K. 2 0 74 7 83 1 78 0 0 79 4 0 0

    Aust. 10 55 54 50 0 115 43 60 1 2 106 9 0 10Fin. 1 0 2 1 3 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 2

    Swed. 2 0 8 1 11 0 10 0 0 10 1 0 0

    Pol. 2 0 46 6 54 11 40 0 0 51 3 0 0

    Hun. -0 106 15 0 121 79 36 0 2 117 4 0 0

    Cz.R. -0 114 13 0 127 29 94 0 0 123 5 0 0

    Slk. 0 28 34 0 63 56 3 0 0 59 4 0 0

    Est. -0 0 1 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 0

    Lat. 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -0 0 0

    Lit. 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0

    Sln. 0 0 7 6 13 4 8 0 0 12 1 0 0

    Cyp. 1 0 17 0 17 0 17 0 0 17 0 0 0

    Mal. 3 0 0 4 7 0 6 0 0 6 1 0 0Rou. 14 8 24 0 46 26 15 0 0 41 5 10 0

    Bul. 7 125 3 0 134 98 4 21 0 0 123 11 0 10

    Cro. 0 4 1 0 5 0 4 0 0 4 1 0 0

    EU 27 1036 7696 1913 1697 12342 1913 698 7741 364 567 11282 1061 70 962

    EU 28 1036 7701 1913 1697 12347 1913 698 7745 364 567 11286 1061 70 962

    T 11: EU28 J-J 2014/15 ()

  • 8/12/2019 Crop year 2013-2014_01

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