Photo: By Martyn B, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=9128561

Crossing the digital flow

Gard Titlestad, ICDEIAU 15 General Conference14 November 2016, Bangkok, Thailand

Calling for a fundamental change for Education:

For the sustainable future we wantThe impact of ICT developments on society and its spillover effects on higher education

Gard Titlestad, Secretary GeneralInternational Council for Open and Distance Education

Member of UNESCO IITE Governing Board

14 November 2016, Bangkok, Thailand

Outline• Introduction and three observations• ICDE• Digitalization Higher Education• The big picture: Online, open and flexible

higher education• Trends: online, open and flexible Higher

Education• The SDG Education 2030, where are we now?• Messages

Who opened the box?

By F.S. Church. - http://prb.livejournal.com/35233.htmlhttp://www.mitchellteachers.org/WorldHistory/AncientGreece/DiscoveringReferencestoGreekMythology.htm, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=17344549

By John William Waterhouse - http://www.jwwaterhouse.com/view.cfm?recordid=69, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4843019

Curiosity

From the information age to the connected age

From the knowledge driven to the knowledge intensive economy

The Fourth Industrial Revolution

Add now:Artificial intelligence, cognitive technologies and roboticsNeurotechnologiesUbiquitous presence of linked sensorsNew computing technologiesVirtual and augmented realities

Three observations 1/3

• Digitalization is penetrating and challenging all regions, all countries, all sectors and all production and services, including education.

• It will creep into every corner of the world and cause people raising the question: “Are you relevant, are you relevant for me.”

• This you cannot stop or turn off. • However, remember what we learned from the first break trough

of the internet some 15 years ago: a too narrow technology focus does not help very much – while mastering and orchestrating technologies – focus has to be on people, on the students – on the citizens, helps a lot.

• AI, CT and robotics post gigantic opportunities and challenges.

• However, no reason to praise the voices that claim that the development should be free and company only led.

• No, coul be the other way around. Development should be based on humanism, for the best of humanity and led by humans and organizations, companies included, with high integrity and sound ethical values.

Three observations 2/3

• Knowledge sharing, mutual learning and collaboration for the sake of the good, should be the main methodology inspiring and guiding us through this era of digitalization.

Three observations 3/3

• To be the leading global network for making quality learning accessible throughout the world using online, open, distance and flexible education.

• To connect institutions, organisations and professionals from across the globe so that they can share ideas, resources and best practices, partner on major projects and advocate together.

• To be the official partner of UNESCO, that shares that agency’s key aim inclusive and equitable quality education and lifelong learning for all.

• ICDE believes that in pursuing education as a universal right, the needs of the learner must be central.

• To organize members in all regions of the world – global balance.

SupportFrom

Norway28 years

Why is ICDE here?

UNESCO Partner

>50 years

Platinum open access

ICDE 1938

Supporting future leaders, future quality Activities in all regions

Open, Transparent,Accountable and focus Good Governance

Deputy Vice-Chancellor (Education) and Vice-President, RMIT, Australia

Open, Transparent,Accountable and focus om Good Governance

President:

DigitalizationHigher Education

Trends

Mega trends:• Globalisation• Technology – e.g. artificial

intelligence (AI), genetic engineering, virtual reality, cognitive technologies, robotics

• Demographics – e.g. refugees, migration, emigration, aging……

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8BG3KOexi8

Example: Pepper, Watson

«We think cognitive technologies will fuel the digital transformation as the damp machine fuelled the industrial revolution».

– IBM Norway.

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=cognitive+technologies+and+education&&view=detail&mid=4FDFBA52BEB89D240AE14FDFBA52BEB89D240AE1&FORM=VRDGAR

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/11/this-is-what-artificial-intelligence-will-look-like-in-2030

While investments in AI is rapidly increasing

Top-12 Emerging technologies in need of better governance:1. Artificial intelligence and robotics2. Biotechnologies3. Energy capture, storage and transmission4. Blockchain and distributed ledger5. Geoengineering6. Neurotechnologies7. Ubiquitous presence of linked sensors8. New computing technologies9. Advanced materials and nanomaterials10. Virtual and augmented realities11. Space technologies12. 3D printing

X

XXX

X

X = Direct relevant for education

Margareta Drzeniek Hanouz, • Head of Global

Competitiveness and Risks• Member of the Executive

Committee at the World Economic Forum.

Private investment in ed-tech reached $4.5 billion in 2015 Image: WEF

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/05/5-charts-that-explain-the-future-of-education/

The eLearning market

• 2015: $166.5 billion• 2017 est.: $255 billion

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/09/is-online-learning-the-future-of-education/

Preliminary conclusions

• There is no spill-over effect, Education is a part of it.

• Important values under great pressure, e.g. Education as a public good.

The BIG Picture• Online, Open and Flexible Education is steadily increasing all

over the world

IndiaSweden

Russia

South America

The US

AfricaAustralia

China

And it is NOT the MOOCsbut online, open, flexible and technology enhanced learning

moocs as a part of it

https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2013/01/08/survey-finds-online-enrollments-slow-continue-grow

NB! MOOCs: (mostly) nonformal and informal HE

Giving birth to a new learning landscape

Creative Commons

Trends – as observed by ICDE - 1/2

1. Open and distance learning, is now going mainstream: online, blended, open, flexible and technology enhanced learning.

2. Digital transformation is challenging the relevance of educational institutions all over the world.*

3. New developments as OER and MOOCs are fueling innovation in education.

4. New methodologies; learning analytics**, Big Data, and new online education systems, enable a shift to adapted, personalized learning and assessment.

5. Education is on the brink of a revolution caused by convergence of research. Education, Cognitive Psychology and Neuroscience: powerful advances in optimizing online learning experiences.

2 *

2 *

“Specialist ODL institutions have achieved so much over the past few decades. As demand for higher education surges worldwide, the ODL vision of accessible, low-cost, high-quality provision has never been more relevant. Renewed determination amongst specialist ODL institutions to benchmark student performance and institutional productivity, with fresh inspiration from new competition and delivery models, will take this precious legacy to new heights.”

2 *

Learning analytics

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fUOrlp6AZ8E

“enormous potential to improve the student experience at university” JISC, UK• As a tool for quality assurance and quality improvement• As a tool for boosting retention rates• As a tool for assessing and acting upon differential outcomes

among the student population• As an enabler for the development and introduction of

adaptive learning

https://vimeo.com/105802864

4 **

Student interest in IPAS features

”Integrated Planning and Advising Services (IPAS) ”

www.educause.edu/ecar

4 **

http://www.policyconnect.org.uk/hec/research/report-bricks-clicks-potential-data-and-analytics-higher-education

The Open University, UK, policy

The UK Higher Education Commission 2016

4 **

Do we need a global code of

practice for learning

analytics?

4 **

• 6. Lack of resources or lack of understanding*** of the concept of online, open and flexible education is observed in some parts of the world as a major threat to scalable quality higher education both on a national and institutional level, and therefore also as a threat towards SDG 4.

• 7. Skills and the relation education - employment, is a hot topic in all regions. Life long Learning is becoming more important than ever.

• 8. Quality, quality assurance and accreditation become a top priority issues. ****

Trends – as observed by ICDE - 2/2

Lack of understanding of the concept of online, open and flexible education

http://gem-report-2016.unesco.org/en/home/

6 ***

?

The big quality agenda Led by UNESCO

• The SDGs• SDG 4

• Global and regional conventions

• Quality assurance initative

• 5 direct for education• Education 2030: Towards inclusive and

equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all

• Preparation of a GLobal Convention on the Recognition of Higher Education Qualifications – to be decided 2019 (UNESCO)

• Quality assurance: Achieving sustainable development through a diverse provision of higher education, regional meetings and studies leading up to a global conference issuing guidance 2018 (UNESCO, INQAAHE, ICDE, IAU, COL, The World Bank and more)

8 ****

8 ****

The change

• From focus on– Quality of students

admitted– Qualification of faculty– Design and management

of programmes– Rigour of marking– Course outputs as

intended outcome?

• To focus on– Student engagement and

satisfaction– Data analytics– Reflective assesments by

students– Student-instructor-

student interaction– Assessments for learning– Faculty satisfaction and

engagement

8 ****

• On 25 September 2015, the United Nations General Assembly formally adopted the universal, integrated and transformative 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, along with a set of 17 Sustainable Development Goals and 169 associated targets.

Target 3, point 43.:A well-established, properly-regulated tertiary education system supported by technology, Open Educational Resources (OERs) and distance education modalities can increase access, equity, quality and relevance, and narrow the gap between what is taught at tertiary education institutions and what economies and societies demand. The provision of tertiary education should be progressively free, in line with existing international agreements.

Framework for Action Education 2030:

November 2015

Where are we now?One year after………..

http://gem-report-2016.unesco.org/en/home/

World is not set to achieve key global education commitments until 2084.

PROJECTIONS FOR EDUCATION 2030

2030 2042 2059 2084Universal primary

completion

Universal Upper

secondary completion

Universal Lower

secondary completion

YEAR

Education 2030deadline

Education 2030deadline

2042 2059 2084YEAR Global average

Universal primary

completion

UniversalUpper

secondary completion

Universal Lower

secondary completion

2015

SDGs adopted

20872051 2062

Southern Asia

After 21002080 2089

Sub-Saharan Africa

“Education needs to fundamentally change if we are to reach our global

development goals”Press release 6 September 2016

UNESCO:

By Martyn B, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=9128561

Crossing the digital flow

Calling for a fundamental change for Education:

For the sustainable future we wantThe impact of ICT developments on society and its spillover effects on higher education

Gard Titlestad, Secretary GeneralInternational Council for Open and Distance Education

Member of UNESCO IITE Governing Board

14 November 2016, Bangkok, Thailand

Specific Messages• Quality first: quality campus, off campus,

blended, online, digital, open and flexible education – mainstream quality culture

• Collaboration: On all levels, across all sectors, on content, courses programmes, methodologies, infrastructure, internationalisation….

• Take leadership: Change for the sustainable future we want – lead educational digital transformation

Knowledge sharing, mutual learning and collaboration for the sake of the good, should be the main methodology inspiring and guiding us through this era of digitalization.

”TOWARDS INCLUSIVE AND EQUITABLE QUALITY EDUCATION AND LIFELONG LEARNING FOR ALL”

Sustainable Development Goal 4: Education 2030

THANK YOUtitlestad@icde.org

www.icde.org

Seize digital opportunities, lead education transformation