crowdfunding and online social networks

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CROWDFUNDING & ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS Erik Hekman & Rogier Brussee @ CARPE 2013

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Crowdfunding is gaining popularity as a viable means to raise financial capital for good causes, cultural goods, new products, and ventures. Little empirical research has been done to understand crowdfunding and basic academic knowledge of its dynamics is still lacking. By data mining the crowdfunding platform Kickstarter.com and Facebook we collected a large dataset of crowdfunding projects and the ego networks of the entrepreneurs. We study the relation of the success of the Kickstarter project to his social network and to media activities and find a scaling law that predicts the number of clicks on the project website required for a successful project. Examining the results of the social network analysis we concluded that successful initiators on Kickstarter have more friends but a sparser network. Unsuccessful entrepreneurs on the other hand have a higher average degree suggesting a denser network. Our analyses suggest that sparse, and thus diverse networks are beneficial for the success of a project.

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Page 1: Crowdfunding and online social networks

CROWDFUNDING & ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSErik Hekman & Rogier Brussee @ CARPE 2013

Page 2: Crowdfunding and online social networks

AGENDATHIS IS WHAT WE WILL COVER

ERIK HEKMAN & ROGIER BRUSSEEFaculty of Communication and Journalism, University of Applied Sciences Utrecht, The Netherlands

SHORT INTRODUCTION

CROWDFUNDING & RELATED WORK

PROBLEM DEFINITION

METHODOLOGYDATA COLLECTION & ANALYSIS

RESULTS

CONCLUSION

Page 3: Crowdfunding and online social networks

CROWDFUNDINGMoney makes the world go round

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

• Raising financial capital is an obstacle encountered by many

entrepreneurs starting up a new venture

• Crowdfunding is a novel and increasingly popular alternative

method to raise financial capital

Page 4: Crowdfunding and online social networks

CROWDFUNDINGSuccessful crowdfunded projects such as OUYA

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Crowdfunding is used to raise capital for:

•New venture and products development

•The creation and production of cultural goods

•Good causes such as humanitarian, charity

and local government projects.

Page 5: Crowdfunding and online social networks

CROWDFUNDINGDefining Crowdfunding

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

“an open call, essentially through the Internet, to provide financial

resources either in the form of donation or in exchange for some

form of reward and/or voting rights in order to support initiatives for

specific purposes”

Lambert & Schwienbacher (2010)

Page 6: Crowdfunding and online social networks

RELATED WORKMany anecdotal success stories can be found

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Agrawal et al., Belleflamme et al., Hemer, Lambert &

Schwienbacher and Mollick focus on:

• Geography

• Price discrimination & pre-ordering

• Success determinants

• Motivation

• Network size

Methodologies we could distinct:

• Case studies

• Surveys

• Data mining & analysis

Page 7: Crowdfunding and online social networks

PROBLEM DEFINITIONThe influence of the entrepreneurs social network

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

• Social capital is defined are the resources that can be accessed or

mobilized through ties in the networks • Information, knowledge, finance, skills, advice and social legitimacy

• Social networks are important in business development

• To booststrap, entrepreneurs draw especially on their weak tie

networks (De Carolis et al., 2009)

• What is the influence of social networks on crowdfunding?

Page 8: Crowdfunding and online social networks

DATA COLLECTIONCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

• We retrieved all 8,234 Kickstarter projects started

between 01-01-2013 and ended before 01-06-2013

• For each project we retrieved

• Detailed information from Kickstarter.com

• Detailed information of the Bitly link statistics

• We retrieved the ego network on Facebook of 200

project initiators

Page 9: Crowdfunding and online social networks

DATA ANALYSISCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

• We tested if correlations exist between:

• The number of Facebook friends (size)

• Bitly referrals

• Amount backers/pledged

• Various internal correlations

• Social network analysis

• Undirected graph visualizations

• From each network we calculated various

network metrics

Page 10: Crowdfunding and online social networks

NUMBER OF PROJECTS PER CATEGORYCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Page 11: Crowdfunding and online social networks

DISTRIBUTION OF GOAL AND PLEDGED AMOUNTCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Page 12: Crowdfunding and online social networks

DISTRIBUTION OF PERCENTAGE OF GOAL PLEDGED AND PLEDGED PER BACKER

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Page 13: Crowdfunding and online social networks

PLEDGES PER BACKER VS GOAL, PLEDGES PER BACKER VS CLICKS, BACKERS VS CLICKS

CROWDFUNDING &ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS

CARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Page 14: Crowdfunding and online social networks

SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSISCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

Page 15: Crowdfunding and online social networks

SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSISCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

We calculated:

•Average degree

•Diameter

•Average path length

•Graph density

•Modularity

•Number of communities

•Number of weakly connected components

Page 16: Crowdfunding and online social networks

CONCLUSIONSCROWDFUNDING &

ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKSCARPE 2013 MANCHESTER

• Success is strongly dependent on the number of backers

• External exposure on e.g., Facebook and Twitter is crucial

• The median amount invested is $50

• Enormous variability between projects

• ~8% projects have 1 or few backers, seem to use Kickstarter for publicity 

• Very difficult to raise more than ~1 M$ nearly impossible to raise more than

10M$. 

Examining the results of the social network analysis we could conclude:

•Successful and unsuccessful initiators have mostly the same network metrics

•Unsuccessful initiators have a higher average degree• Suggesting a denser network