current trends in the macroeconomic statisticsfim2.uhk.cz/hed/images/sixta.pdf · 2017. 2. 2. ·...
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CZECH STATISTICAL OFFICE | Na padesatem 81, 100 82 Prague 10 | www.czso.cz
CURRENT TRENDS IN THE
MACROECONOMIC STATISTICS
doc. Ing. Jaroslav Sixta, Ph.D.Director of Macroeconomic Statistics Section
Hradec Economic Days
31 January and 1 February 2017
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2
Czech Statistical Office
National Accounts and ESA 2010
Government Deficit and Debt
Challenges in Foreign Trade Statistics (SIMSTAT)
New methods for compilation of Price Statistics
Content
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Headquarters Structure:
president
2 vice-president positions
5 sections with 16 departments
Main tasks:
strategies
methodology
registers
central processing
dissemination
Czech Statistical Office (1)Headquarters in Prague
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14 Regional Offices:
“Large” Regional Office includes:
Information Services Unit
Field Surveys Unit
Processing Units
Registers Administration Unit
“Small” Regional Office
includes:
Information Services Unit
Field Surveys Unit
Czech Statistical Office (2)Departments in the Regions
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Czech Statistical Office (3)
14 regional offices
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News Releases
Statistical Yearbook of the CZ
Regional yearbooks
Popular statistics journal
Scientific statistics journals
Classifications, Nomenclatures
Registers
Information services
Key products
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Average age: 47.5 years
Persons with higher education: 56.2%
Average 2016 salary: EUR 1,241
Share of women: 76.4 %
Human resources (as of December 2016)
1804 1784
15921487
1399 1378 1373 1379 1378 1345 1321
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Number of employees
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Implementation of new standard „finished“ 09/2014
Increase of GDP, 4.6% (2010)
National Accounts and ESA 2010 (1)
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Discussion about implementation not finished
Government institutions x financial institutions
GNI inventory, verification process, missions, 2017 (CZ 2x)
Benchmark revision 2020
Globalisation effects
„Irish case“ and global production
Foreign trade statistics and processing
National Accounts and ESA 2010 (2)
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Gross Domestic Productconstant prices of 2010
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1 000
1 050
1 100
1 150
199
6Q
1
199
6Q
3
199
7Q
1
199
7Q
3
199
8Q
1
199
8Q
3
199
9Q
1
199
9Q
3
200
0Q
1
200
0Q
3
200
1Q
1
200
1Q
3
200
2Q
1
200
2Q
3
200
3Q
1
200
3Q
3
200
4Q
1
200
4Q
3
200
5Q
1
200
5Q
3
200
6Q
1
200
6Q
3
200
7Q
1
200
7Q
3
200
8Q
1
200
8Q
3
200
9Q
1
200
9Q
3
201
0Q
1
201
0Q
3
201
1Q
1
201
1Q
3
201
2Q
1
201
2Q
3
201
3Q
1
201
3Q
3
201
4Q
1
201
4Q
3
201
5Q
1
201
5Q
3
201
6Q
1
201
6Q
3
CZ
K b
il.
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National Accounts and ESA 2010 (3)Dependency on statistical standard
Standard Indicator Value, CZK. mil. ESA 1995 =100
Material Product System National Income (gross) 438 135 69,2
SNA 1968 Gross Domestic Product 603 559 95,4
SNA 1993/ ESA 1995 Gross Domestic Product 632 691 100,0
SNA 2008/ ESA 2010 Gross Domestic Product 672 776 106,3
SNA 2008 incl. capital services Gross Domestic Product 705 005 111,4
Gross product of the Czech Republic, 1990, CZK/CSK mil.
85,0
90,0
95,0
100,0
105,0
110,0
1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015
HDP (ESA 2010)
HDP (ESA 1995)
ND (MPS)
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
CZ
K/C
SK
mil
.
HDP (ESA 2010)
HDP (ESA 1995)
ND (MPS)
GDP (ESA 1995)
National Income (MPS)
GDP (ESA 2010)GDP (ESA 2010)
National Income (MPS)
GDP (ESA 1995)
GDP (ESA 2010)
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Government Debt
0,00
0,05
0,10
0,15
0,20
0,25
0,30
0,35
0,40
0,45
0,50
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
of
GD
P
CZ
K b
il.
Maastrich debt
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Government Deficit
-3,5%
-5,3%
-6,3%-6,4%
-2,7%
-3,1%
-2,3%
-0,7%
-2,1%
-5,5%
-4,4%
-2,7%
-3,9%
-1,2%
-1,9%
-0,6%
-7,0%
-6,0%
-5,0%
-4,0%
-3,0%
-2,0%
-1,0%
0,0%
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CZ
K b
il.
Přebytek/deficit
% z HDP% of GDP
Surplus/deficit
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New challenges
Two concepts of the CZSO since 2014 (2012)
SIMSTAT project
International trade with services
Foreign Trade Statistics (1)
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
199
6Q
1
199
6Q
2
199
6Q
3
199
6Q
4
199
7Q
1
199
7Q
2
199
7Q
3
199
7Q
4
199
8Q
1
199
8Q
2
199
8Q
3
199
8Q
4
199
9Q
1
199
9Q
2
199
9Q
3
199
9Q
4
200
0Q
1
200
0Q
2
200
0Q
3
2000Q
4
2001Q
1
200
1Q
2
200
1Q
3
200
1Q
4
200
2Q
1
200
2Q
2
200
2Q
3
200
2Q
4
200
3Q
1
200
3Q
2
200
3Q
3
200
3Q
4
200
4Q
1
200
4Q
2
200
4Q
3
200
4Q
4
200
5Q
1
200
5Q
2
200
5Q
3
200
5Q
4
200
6Q
1
200
6Q
2
200
6Q
3
200
6Q
4
200
7Q
1
200
7Q
2
200
7Q
3
CZ
K b
il
Trade balance
Cross border concept
National concept
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Intrastat has been recognised as one of the most burdensome statistics. At its
meeting of 17 November 2011, the ESSC concluded that Intrastat should be
simplified while at the same time ensuring a high level of quality and consistency
of international trade statistics.
As a simplification initiative Eurostat launched the SIMSTAT (Single Market
Statistics) project on exchange of micro-data on Intra-EU trade in June 2012.
The aim of the project was to enable the exchange of micro-data (enterprise
level data on intra-EU exports on trade in goods) among Member States.
This additional data source will allow Member States to reuse the Intra-EU
dispatches micro-data for the purpose of checking or even producing their own
figures on Intra-EU arrivals.
Foreign Trade Statistics (2) - SIMSTAT
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New challenges and new data sources
New types of product – increase of internet purchases
Scanner data, EU regulation of availability of data sources
for HICP, priority for 2017
We started our negotiation with SOCR and we have the first
cooperating partner.
Other potential uses then price statistics:
National accounts (quarterly estimates), Household budget survey (details of
consumption), Statistics of services
Price Statistics (1)
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• SD is generated by point-of-sales terminals in shops and provides information at the level of
the barcode (GTIN or EAN)
• SD obtained from retail chains contain data on turnover and quantities per EAN based on
transactions for a given period
• Price statistics can derive unit value prices at EAN level for CPI calculations
• SD is regularly used in NO (since 1995), NL (2002), CH (2008), SE (2012), BE (2016), DK
(2016)
• Covered product groups (COICOP):
• 01, 02 Food, beverages, tobacco – all 6 NSIs
• 05.3-6 Daily household necessities - BE, DK, NL (including drugstores), NO, CH
• 06.1 Medical products – NO
• 07.2.2 Petrol – NL, SE, NO
• 12 Products for personal care – BE, NO, CH
Price Statistics (2)
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CZECH STATISTICAL OFFICE | Na padesatem 81, 100 82 Prague 10 | www.czso.cz
Thank you for attention!