customer value customer satisfaction

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    July 17, 2002

    Andrew F. Giffin

    Managing Customer Value for CustomerSatisfaction, New Markets and ProfitEnhancement

    Paper Presentation - International Insurance Society

    Annual Seminar - Singapore

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    What is the value of a customer?

    Consider:

    Profitability from existing business

    Profitability from future businessProbability of salesProbability of retention

    Value is generated by customer

    contributions of distributable earnings

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    The value of all customers equals the value of the

    company

    Embedded Value

    Future Business =

    Customer Value

    contributions to

    distributableearnings

    Adjusted Net Worth

    Company Value

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    What is Expected Customer Value (ECV)?

    For example:ECV = (Probability of response) x (Value of first policy)

    +(Probability of 1st renewal) x (Value of 1st renewal)

    +(Probability of 2nd renewal) x (Value of 2nd renewal)

    +etc.

    +(Probability of cross-sell 1) x (Value of cross-sell 1)

    +etc.

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    Customers segments have different influences and

    behaviors . . .

    CUSTOMER BEHAVIORS

    n Propensity to buy different

    products in different ways

    n Persistency by product

    n Loss experience

    n Propensity to refer

    Socio-economic

    factors

    Demographic

    factors

    Agent

    behavior

    Customer

    management

    effort & expenditure

    INHERENT FACTORS

    INFLUENCES

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    Different characteristics and behaviors producemeasurable differences in customer profitability

    0%

    100%

    200%

    Approximately15% of customers

    contribute 100% ofvalue

    CumulativeValue

    Contribution

    Percentage of Customers0% 20 40 60 80 100%

    40% of

    customerscontribute 190%

    of value

    5% ofcustomers

    destroy 40%of value

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    Pricing elasticity,channel usage,improved underwriting,product design andmulti-tier service levelsreduce customer cross-subsidization andenhance valuedcustomers experience

    Pricing elasticity,channel usage,

    improved underwriting,product design andmulti-tier service levelsreduce customer cross-subsidization andenhance valuedcustomers experience

    Improving customer value

    focuses on four stages of the customer lifecycle

    Customer Relationship Lifecycle

    Predictive modeling ofproduct purchasepropensity, event-driventrigger sales andsegment-of-one offerdesign can enhance your

    share of wallet andrelationship profitability

    Predictive modeling ofproduct purchasepropensity, event-driventrigger sales andsegment-of-one offerdesign can enhance yourshare of wallet andrelationship profitability

    Segmentation, targetoffers and responseanalysis can increaseresponse andacceptance rates, whilemining more profitable

    target groups andestimating potentialvalue can improve youracquisition economics

    Segmentation, targetoffers and responseanalysis can increaseresponse andacceptance rates, whilemining more profitable

    target groups andestimating potentialvalue can improve youracquisition economics

    Behavioral analysis andattrition modeling, loyaltyprogram responseanalysis, targeted callingand customized offerprograms can raiseretention levels

    Behavioral analysis andattrition modeling, loyaltyprogram responseanalysis, targeted callingand customized offerprograms can raiseretention levels

    RetentionCross

    Selling

    Customer Management

    Acquisition

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    Acquisition: CVM helps you target the most attractive

    prospects

    Value targeting: life insurance example

    New BusinessProfit

    150

    200

    100% 80% 60%

    Percentage of customers targeted

    100

    X

    Targeting the best 70% by valueincreasing profit

    by 126%

    Targeting by propensity only increases profit by 30%

    X

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    Advantage of risk classification:

    avoid anti-selection

    Dist. of risk

    portfolio

    Actual Prem.

    Pay too much Pay too little

    Actual cost

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    Refinement of risk classifications provides more

    homogeneous segments

    ,t

    ,1 ,2 ,3

    Without RiskSegmentation

    After RiskSegmentation

    Average

    Premium

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    Customer behavior affects products differently

    Base case

    -5

    5

    15

    25

    35

    45

    SPIA SPDA VUL Term

    9

    43

    28

    -1

    3 x Lapses

    -5

    5

    15

    25

    35

    45

    SPIA SPDA VUL Term

    9

    26

    7

    -1

    Persistency/retention can have a large, but varied impact

    on value

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    Distributor relationships: traditional performancemeasures are misleading

    Economic Contribution of Individual Agencies

    FYC

    Agency Performance

    +0

    Source: Tillinghast analysis

    Agency Channel: CVM analytics can be used to

    understand drivers of channel profitability

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    Making CVM Work

    n

    Data - use whats available; dont overdo itn Simple segmentation

    n Know valuable customers?

    nLeverage value knowledge?

    n Match channels to segment preferences?

    n Do sale reps follow value targeting?

    nDoes service maintain customer relationships?