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- 1. FTTH in Asia Pacific:Leading the way Dr. Bernard LeeVP of APAC FTTH Council
2. Topics 1. Who is FTTH Council APAC? 2. Latest updates on FTTH in the region 3. Key considerations for network design 4. Key Challenges across the region 5. Conclusions 3. Role of the FTTH Council Asia-Pacific About Us: Non-Profit Organization formed in Singapore since March 2005 Mission : To educate, promote and accelerate FTTH and the resulting quality-of-life and economic benefits. Objectives : Supply a consistent and accurate view of FTTH Promote FTTH market development Be recognized by the industry as the FTTH resource (2006 ~ 2011)(2011 ~ present) 4. FTTH Council Global Alliance (FCGA)70 MembersSource: APAC FTTH Council 5. APAC: At a glanceMonique Morrow(President)Bernard LeeYoshihiro Anil Pande Changkun YanKuldeep Xingfu He Ishibashi Goyal Cloud Planning,Technology &Regulation & Market Education & Computing & Comms. & ArchitecturePolicyDevelopmt TrainingGigabitEventsApplicationsCurrently has 60+ membersBoD & 6 working committees 6. Latest market studies 7. Year-end 2011: >200 million wireline broadband subscribers in Asia-Pacific FTTH/B represents over 27% of wireline broadband subscribers in Asia Pacific which is approximately 58million subscribers.9% 18%FTTH 8% FTTB 65%Cable ModemDSLSource: Ovum 8. FTTH in Asia Pacific Overall Figures25,000,000 FTTH/B subsRankCountriesDec 20111Japan 22,045,000 20,000,0002China 21,300,00034 South Korea Taiwan 10,373,975 2,398,00015,000,000 99% Australia is one5Hong Kong 1,070,000 of theTop 106Malaysia255,80010,000,0007Vietnam 250,0008India 175,5009Singapore98,500 5,000,000 10Australia37,000 11Indonesia11,0000 12New Zealand7,500 13Philippines800Source: IDATE for FTTH Council APAC, Dec 20118 9. FTTx is strong for the next 5 years Worldwide, consumer FTTx subscribers accounted for 11% of wireline broadband subscriptions in 2009, and will grow to 29% in 2016 In 2016, 50% of all wireline broadband subscribers in Asia-Pacific will be FTTx, compared to 16% in Europe and 14% in North AmericaSource: Ovum 10. FTTH/B leads the growth in wireline broadband in AP and will reach 140 million subscribers FTTH/B leads with a 21% CAGR compared to -2% for DSLFTTH/B:+21% CAGRDSL:-2% CAGRSource: Ovum 11. China will soon be the largest FTTH Market Asia-Pacific has always dominated consumption of worldwide OLT shipments Chinas share is increasing almost 80% of worldwide ports shipped in 1Q11 were destined for ChinaPON OLT port shipments 1,200,000China OLT port shipmentsTotal Asia-Pacific OLT port shipmentsWorldwide port shipmentsPON OLT port shipments 1,000,000 35% CAGR for Chinas OLT800,000ports. Compared to600,00024% CAGR for AP and worldwide.400,000200,0000 2Q09 3Q09 4Q091Q10 2Q103Q10 4Q10 1Q11 Source: Ovum 12. FTTx market segmentation by country/region Chinas consumer FTTx subscriber base will grow to over 140 million in2016 from under 10 million in 2009 FTTx consumer subscribers by country or region China Japan & Korea Rest of AP Europe NA Rest of World250,000FTTx consumer subscribers (000) Future Growth AreaRemainder represents200,000 (e.g. India, LATAM, etc)31% of FTTx subscribers in 2016150,000Japan and Korea represent 19% of worldwide FTTx subscribers in 2016100,000 China represents 50% of worldwide FTTx 50,000 Growing Marketsubscribers in 2016 0 2009 20102011 2012 2013 2014 20152016Source: OvumYear-end 13. Summary Drivers for FTTH in APAC Demography: a huge market potential India and China are the most populated countries in the world MDUs are dominating in large cities especially in China Asia Pacifics FTTH/B subscriber base will grow to 140 million at year-end 2015. Low competition from other networks As in Eastern Europe, the quality gap between copper and fibre networks is important: end users will need fibre for higher bandwidth Cablecos are less dominating the broadband market than in Europe or in the US but it could change (SARFT in China) A key driver for mass market migration in APAC: NBN programs Incumbents leading rollouts in APAC but also some free room for new entrants Some incumbents are deeply involved in national FTTH/B deployments (Malaysia) New entrants in large countries (India) or in challenging markets (Vietnam) APAC Mobile centric countries will need fibre also: LTE BackhaulSource: iDate & Ovum 14. KeyConsiderations 15. Key Considerations for successful network design Is your network able to support theTechnicalapplications that are to be delivered today and Performancetomorrow?Quality Is your network design common and robust Repeatabilityenough that the same or similar design can be & Reliabilityused throughout your network Are there sufficient security measures in the Accessibilitynetwork but still accessible for maintenance and Securityand testing Scalability How will your network grow?16Source: adapted from Telekom Malaysia 16. Key Challenges 17. Challenges FTTH Deployment & Adoption 5Cs Challenge ImpactManpower need to be Insufficient skilled/competentMatureCompetencycompetent to deploy &manpower will delay deployment maintain the networkthus increasing TCONew guideline and bestDeter new users fromCivil & practices are required tosubscribing to the FTTHConstruction deploy fiber up to services due to extensive civil the customer premiseswork requiredUp to date digital home Customers will fail toCustomerequipment to fully enjoy experience benefits of FTTH Equipmentover DSL benefits of FTTH Customers are unknown of the Customer Customers reluctant to adopt new capabilities and potential AwarenessFTTH services of FTTH Asia Pacific New content is needed toFTTH will struggle to evolve capitalize the additional speed beyond being a just anotherExploratoryContentoffered - Increase ARPU commodity product 18. FTTH price comparable to DSL but at much higherbandwidthUS$11/Mbps (US$) 10MbpsUS$0.4/Mbps 100US$0.5/MbpsFixed Monthly Charge 80 60 DSL FTTH(for detached house )100Mbps 500kbps 100Mbps1Gbps 401.5M 8M12M 24M40M 47M 20US$0.04/Mbps2000 2001 2002 200320042005Source: 19. Value InnovationEfficient Life - Leading a life Eco-friendly Life - Giving back toEntertaining Life - Bringing thewhere technology assist you to the environment to ensure ourbest of high quality utilise your resources (may it future and the future of our nextentertainment to your finger tipsbe time, finances, etc) moregeneration and their next anywhere & any time through efficiently and so that you generation by exploring the use any means possible may it becould start spending qualityof alternative power sources andultra-highspeed fibre networks time with your love ones andalso smarter and more efficientat home or even through ultra-not taking up the time withenergy utilisation both at home mobile wireless connectionsroutine activities at home and& at work when we are on the go.at the work place. 20. How has broadband value add our lives? Matured DevelopingInfancy22 21. Digital Home offering an efficient lifestyle from 22. Verizon offers Energy Monitoring services for $9.99 23. Paving the way for New Business Opportunities Small Medium EnterprisesEnterprisesServiceProviders25 24. Fibre enhances customer experience Interactive Button Interactive Button Interactive Button 25. 27 26. Broadband activities cited as important byusers in terms of percentage (%) 70% 68% Increasing influence of broadband 66% 64% 62%on daily lifestyle 60% 58% 56% 54% 52% 50% Finding out what is Communicating with Contributing toStarting your views Communicating withgoing on in your health care or economic growth inwith others aboutgovernment officials communitymedical provider your community key issuesabout issues % noted as important activity68% 65%62%58% 57% 27. Conclusion: Fibre is not ananswer to our needs,but instead it is theENABLER of a future filled with infinitepossibilities..