dandin p 20150707_1700_upmc_jussieu_-_room_307
TRANSCRIPT
Innovation in French climate services thanks to service design Philippe Dandin, David L'Hôte, Lola Corre 7 July 2015, Paris
A classical product
CITIZEN DO NOT FOLLOW?
USERS MAY BE GET LOST?
Various models!
Scenarios!
Observations?
IPCC 2007... 2014... Redo?
Recent achievements to open and ease access to French climate information for adaptation
DRIAS CLIMATE SERVICES
1. Access to regionalised data 2. Interactive indices maps 3. Hot line and education
A collective achievement VALUED BY STAKEHOLDERS
HOWEVER
- Still a scientific tool (models) - Built with skilled / intermediate users - Still a lot to deliver in our labs (more than models only) - Few requests for evolution - A rather complicated material easily released - Far from the local communities, no impact...
Still a need for bridging & improve the value of science
Climate change is only sensible through its effects
at local scale
Models and scenarios are very conceptual, and not sufficient to
move on to the climate issue
HOW COULD WE IMPROVE OUR CONTRIBUTION FOR ADAPTATION?
Service design, to improve the service
→ Users: Natural regional parks (natural assets and economic life: Forestry, pastoralism...)
→ Climate scientists and climatologists: Go out of the lab (and think out of the box)
→ Service designer: Intuitions, on field observations, actions' facilitation Assessment, reformulation Advices & transfer to production
Users have a hyper-local expertise They observe changes and Mention effects of climate change
The Viaduc project
Decision now for long term feedback Multiple competencies from soil to sky
Build their own tools integrating climate among other components
AGRICULTURE
FORESTRY
Sensible projections
Recall
a collective memory
to imagine the future
→ Need for a graphical vocabulary → Adapt climate projections to his/her/its context
Reformulation by the service designer Ease the user's understanding & appropriation
Climate projections are not experiences.
They do not lead to action.
Projections evoke a destabilized climate, in an impersonal chronology and out of the geographical context
From risk zero To a global risk
With such a risk aversion, interest for climate hazards is not obvious
Adapted projections
Progressive complexity
Temporal animations
Enriched by users
Hyper-localized projections
From local
to global
Past Present Future
Param. & source ID
Uncertainties
Readable & normalized projections
A service strategy based on the user
LOCAL CULTURE
History
Geography
In his project's agenda
LIFESTYLES
PERSONAL HISTORY
Chronology
Where he lives With his own
references
Transfer to production?
Representations must concern the user's environment
with sensible marks for the user
Even if they bring him later to a larger scale
Transfer climate information in the user's daily business
DAILY MONITORING & PAST CLIMATOLOGY
Daily monitoring
Records Max
Records min
Average (normal)
Soil
wetn
ess in
de
x (
SW
I)
SOIL WETNESS IN AVEYRON
Jan. Dec.
Professional know such products
Present is real
Past is solid gold
→ Futures should be put in relief
The big concern: Sheep's Roquefort cheese
→ impacts are key → need to consider agricultural impacts, economic sector
Build on present in perspective with their past and the futures
Step by step add the future(s)
Make it gradually more complicated (models, scenarios, uncertainties...)
2050's shifted normal 2080's shifted normal with extremes
2080's – and may be earlier – connected to 1976, 1990, 2011...
Lozère 12 July 2011 (Midi Libre)
Saint-Gilles-du-Gard 12 juillet 1976 (AFP)
And connect climate science with the user's own knowledge
The invitation to think differently, with ideas for the needed deliverables
SUMMER DAYS JJA MONTHS SUMMERS DECADES
Merci ! Thanks!
Thanks to the MEDDE GICC and to the partners and players of the Viaduc project [email protected] - [email protected] - [email protected]