date: april 30, 2019.… · mutual fund & debt – weekly report 10 year g-sec benchmark movement:...
TRANSCRIPT
-
pg. 1
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Date: April 30, 2019
-
pg. 2
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Weekly Statistics
Key Indices 26-Apr-2019 % Chg
Sensex 39,067 -0.19%
Nifty 50 11,755 0.02%
Dow Jones 26,543 -0.06%
Nasdaq 8,146 1.85%
DAX 12,315 0.76%
Shanghai 3,086 -5.04%
Hang Seng 29,605 -1.20%
Nikkei 22,259 0.76%
Bovespa 96,236 1.75%
Jakarta Composite 6,401 -1.63%
Mutual Fund Categories watch
Category Name 1 Week
Absolute
1 Month
Absolute
3 Month
Absolute
6 Month
Absolute
1 Year
CAGR
3 Year
CAGR
Equity - LARGE -0.30 1.59 7.28 13.24 2.09 11.89
Equity - MID -1.17 0.49 5.33 10.08 -8.17 10.76
Equity – SMALL -1.21 0.85 6.71 10.63 -14.76 10.96
Equity – MULTI -0.52 1.54 6.92 12.22 -0.50 12.48
Equity - Focused -0.37 2.34 8.63 14.27 2.18 13.30
Equity - Banking -0.37 1.81 10.18 21.26 9.08 18.55
Equity - Auto -4.62 1.58 2.51 1.00 -23.69 3.21
Equity – Infra -0.91 0.91 9.16 14.92 -8.86 10.41
Equity – FMCG -1.05 1.31 4.62 11.14 -1.19 14.79
Equity – Infotech 2.28 3.91 5.90 12.68 10.01 13.16
Equity – Pharma 0.46 2.42 3.17 5.97 3.65 -0.21
Equity – ELSS -0.65 1.51 7.14 12.91 -2.73 12.65
Hybrid – Aggressive -0.32 1.23 5.63 10.66 2.16 10.64
Hybrid - Arbitrage 0.14 0.74 1.48 2.70 5.70 5.90
Hybrid – Conservative -0.07 0.79 3.10 6.23 5.80 7.03
Hybrid – Dynamic -0.15 1.05 3.98 7.52 3.80 9.33
Gold ETFs 1.36 -0.63 -1.67 -1.11 0.86 1.50
Debt – Banking -0.03 0.24 2.12 4.81 7.71 7.23
Debt – Corporate -0.04 0.22 1.81 4.71 7.04 6.94
Debt – Dynamic 0.03 0.01 1.84 4.61 7.01 6.76
Debt - Liquid 0.14 0.63 1.75 3.61 6.98 6.84
Debt – Short Duration -0.06 0.31 1.81 4.28 6.93 6.97
Debt – Medium Duration -0.08 0.03 1.35 3.78 5.96 7.13
Debt – Gilt 0.19 0.06 1.94 5.34 8.16 7.07
Note: Returns are as on Apr 26, 2019.
Equity markets
Sensex reported small losses while nifty ended almost flat. Broader market witnessed selloff amid volatile crude oil prices and expiry of April F&O contracts. World equity markets slipped amid global growth worries. In the week ended April 26, the Sensex fell 72.95 points or 0.19% to settle at 39,067.33. The Nifty 50 index rose 1.85 points or 0.02% to settle at 11,754.65. The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 318.58 points or 2.07% to settle at 15,063.99. The BSE Small-Cap index fell 207.82 points or 1.38% to settle at 14,813.38. Shares of oil exploration and production companies rose in tandem with crude oil prices. Higher crude oil prices would result in increase in realisations from crude sales for oil exploration firms. IT stocks also advanced during the week as rupee weakened. On the global front, the Trump administration said it would impose sanctions on countries who were exempted earlier for oil imports from Iran. Asian countries namely China, India, Japan and South Korea are major importers of Iranian Oil. The US economy grew by an annualized 3.2% in the first quarter of 2019, beating market expectations of 2%. Growth was mainly supported by personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, state and local government spending, and non-residential fixed investment. Bank of Japan left its policy rate unchanged and pledged to keep the interest rate lower. Japan’s central bank lower growth and price projections for 2020. Outlook for the current week
Fourth quarter results, macro-economic data, trend in global markets, the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement will dictate trend on the bourses in the near week. Investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and domestic institutional investors (DIIs) will also be monitored. India’s general elections has kicked off and whose results will be announced on May 23. Britannia Industries, Dabur India, Tata Power, HUL will announce their Q4 results. US Federal Reserve officials will meet on May 1 to decide on the interest rates. India’ manufacturing PMI data will be released on May 2. Global markets
U.S. stocks generated modest gains for the week, with the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index and smaller-cap benchmarks outperforming large-cap indexes. The S&P 500 Index hit record highs on Tuesday. Trading volumes continued to be lacklustre despite many major companies reporting quarterly earnings numbers. Technology bellwether Microsoft posted strong quarterly earnings, pushing its market capitalization briefly above $1 trillion and boosting the Nasdaq Composite. The pan-European STOXX Europe 600 Index was slightly higher this week as first-quarter earnings season got into full swing. About 26% of European companies have reported results and have shown to positive earnings surprises. Chinese stocks posted their biggest weekly decline since October 2018 amid fears that Beijing would dial back policy support after China’s economy grew more than expected in the first quarter.
-
pg. 3
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
10 Year G-sec Benchmark movement:
New Benchmark rate (7.26% GS 2029) is taken from March 26
Liquidity:
Debt Securities Benchmarks watch: Debt (%) 26-Apr 18-Apr Change (bps)
Call Rate 6.12 6.08 4
TREP 6.01 5.98 3
Repo 6.00 6.00 -
Reverse Repo 5.75 5.75 -
10 Year G sec 7.41 7.42 -1
LIBOR – UK 0.83 0.82 1
LIBOR – USA 2.58 2.58 -
LIBOR – Europe -0.36 -0.35 -1
G sec Markets
Gsec yields rose on 22nd Apr tracking surge in crude oil prices, which escalated concerns over widening current account deficit. Besides, depreciation in the local currency also weighed down on the bond market sentiment. Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper (7.26% GS 2029) rose 5 bps to 7.47% compared with the previous session’s close of 7.42%. Gsec yields remained unchanged on 23rd Apr as early losses from surge in crude oil prices were compensated by investors’ short covering. However, the overall bond market sentiment is subdued owing to the steep surge in crude prices. Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper (7.26% GS 2029) stood unchanged at 7.47%.
Gsec yields dropped on 24th Apr following the central bank’s announcement of conducting an open market operation in the next month. The RBI declared its plan of purchasing notes worth Rs. 250 billion. Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper (7.26% GS 2029) dropped 5 bps at 7.42%. Gsec yields moved up on 25th Apr with the steep surge in crude oil prices and depreciation in the local currency. Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper (7.26% GS 2029) rose 2 bps at 7.45%.
Gsec yields declined on 26th Apr after sharp fall in crude prices. Yield on the 10-year benchmark paper (7.26% GS 2029) declined 4 bps at 7.41% compared with the previous session’s close of 7.45% after trading in a range of 7.40% to 7.45%. Outlook for the week
We feel that the new 10-year G Sec yields could trade in the 7.35% - 7.55% band for the week.
Liquidity, Call & TREP
RBI infused average gross liquidity via Repo under LAF window worth Rs 19,015 Cr in this week compared to an infusion of Rs 8,631 Cr in previous week. Average infusions via the MSF route stood at Rs 2,652 Cr. The weighted average Call rate ended at 6.12% compared to 6.08%in the previous week. The weighted average TREP ended at 6.01% compared to 5.98% in the previous week close.
T Bill
RBI announced results of the auction of the 91 Day T-bill, 182 Day T-bill and 364 Day T-bill for a notified amount of Rs 9,000cr, Rs 7,000cr and Rs 4,000cr respectively held on 24th April. The cut-off rate for 91 Day T-Bill came in at 6.40%, 182 Day T-Bill at 6.48%, and that of 364 Day T-Bill at 6.50%. RBI announced auctions of 91 Day T-bill, 182 Day T-bill and 364 Day T Bill for a notified amount of Rs 9,000cr, Rs 7,000cr and Rs 4,000cr respectively held on 30th April.
-
pg. 4
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
AAA Corporate Bond Spread over Gsec: Security 26-Apr 18-Apr
1 Year 104 101
3 Year 73 75
5 Year 63 71
10 Year 89 88
Forthcoming Auctions: Security Date of Auction Value (Rs. Crs)
91 D T Bill 30-Apr-2019 9,000
182 D T Bill 30-Apr-2019 7,000
364 D T Bill 30-Apr-2019 4,000
Certificates of Deposits: Maturity 26-Apr 18-Apr
3 Months 7.36 6.95
6 Months 7.50 7.30
1 Year 7.80 7.55
Commercial Papers: Maturity 26-Apr 18-Apr
3 Months 7.30 7.30
6 Months 7.55 7.60
1 Year 8.00 7.90
Commodity Update: 26-Apr 18-Apr % Change
Brent Crude Oil ($/bbl) 71.63 71.97 -0.47
Gold (oz/$) 1289.40 1278.4 0.86
Corporate debts
The 10-year AAA bond was seen trading at 8.43%, as against 8.44% in the previous week.
The 1-year AAA yield was seen trading at 7.75%, as against 7.65% in the previous week.
Currency
The USD appreciated against the Euro by 0.88% for the week ended 26th Apr 2019.
The USD depreciated against the Yen by 0.26% for the week ended 26th Apr 2019.
The USD appreciated against the pound by 0.67% for the week ended 26th Apr 2019.
Gold & Crude oil Gold prices gained as first-quarter US GDP data weighed on Treasury bond yields and the
Dollar. Gold prices closed at US $1289.4 per ounce, as against US $1278.4 in the previous week.
Crude oil prices saw volatile movement during the week. Global oil prices rose in the wake of
President Donald Trump’s decision to impose sanctions on nations that import Iranian oil. Downward pressure in oil prices was seen in later part of the week after U.S. President Donald
Trump openly pressured OPEC and its de-facto leader Saudi Arabia to raise output to meet supply
shortage. Brent crude oil prices closed at US $71.63 per barrel, compared to US $71.97 in the
previous week.
Movements of G sec Benchmark Yields across maturities in the last one month.
-
pg. 5
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Mutual Fund Scheme Analysis:
Reliance ETF Junior BeES
-
pg. 6
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Reliance ETF Junior BeES is an open ended ETF that is benchmarked to Nifty Next 50 Index. The NIFTY Next 50 Index represents 50 companies from NIFTY 100 after excluding the NIFTY 50 companies. NIFTY Next 50 is an index that represents the performance of 50 large cap stocks which come after the top 50 (NIFTY 50) in order of free float market capitalization in NIFTY 100. NIFTY Next 50 thus represents companies which are presently below the NIFTY 50 index constituents in terms of free float market cap and may be potential candidates for inclusion in NIFTY 50 in future, subject to index criteria.
Reliance ETF Junior BeES portfolio is well diversified across 14 sectors with top 5 sectors represents 76% of its portfolio and at stock level where total weight of top 10 stocks is about 35.4%. NIFTY Next 50 index has historically significantly outperformed NIFTY 50 index since its inception for longer investment horizon.Being a passively managed fund, ETFs have lower expense ratio and better transparency in the stocks. ETFs also stays ways from the risk of fund manager’s bias.
The ETF is mainly concentrated in Consumer, Finance and Pharma sector aggregating to ~58%. Tracking error of ETFs following Nifty Next 50 benchmark is almost same across the schemes. Out of the three ETF in this space, Reliance Junior ETF BeES has good volume and large corpus making an ideal safe bet. Though the fund has corrected sharply in the past 6 months, these 50 stocks have good growth potential to become leaders in their respective sectors. Suitable for first time investors and investors looking for relatively stable return with diversification benefit. Investors who want to create long term wealth by having moderate risk profile.
Nifty vs Nifty 50 movement for the past three years:
Reliance Junior Volumes & Price Movement:
-
pg. 7
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Mutual Fund Ready Reckoner:
EQUITY FUNDS
Scheme Name & ISIN NAV (Rs.)
Fund Size
(Rs Cr)
Returns Top Holdings
Crisil
Rank
Value Research
Rating
Morning Star
Rating Riskometer
6 Mos. 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Equity: Multi-cap (min 65% in Equity)
Kotak Standard Multicap
Fund (G) INF174K01336 35.48 21,682 8.43 11.47 17.90 18.77
Reliance Ind, HDFC Bk, ICICI
Bk, L&T, Axis Bank CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Mirae Asset India Equity
Fund (G) INF769K01010 51.17 10,560 7.74 14.14 18.92 18.35
HDFC Bk, Reliance Ind, ICICI
Bk, Axis Bk, SBI CPR 1 5 Star 5 Star
Moderately
High
ICICI Pru Multicap Fund
(G) INF109K01613 295.61 3,167 4.20 9.79 16.00 16.26
ITC, NTPC, ONGC, SBI, Bharti
Airtel CPR 2 4 Star 3 Star
Moderately
High
UTI Equity Fund (G)
INF789F01513 144.06 8,649 6.84 12.07 15.14 15.00
Bajaj Fin, HDFC Bk, Indusind
Bk, Kotakmah Bk, Infosys CPR 1 3 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
HDFC Equity Fund (G)
INF179K01608 681.21 20,465 11.07 15.11 18.74 15.48
SBI, ICICI Bk, Infosys, L&T,
Reliance Ind CPR 2 3 Star NA
Moderately
High
Equity: Large-Cap (min 80% in Large Cap)
AXIS Bluechip Fund (G)
INF846K01164 28.29 4,221 6.59 14.49 16.48 14.36
HDFC Bk, Bajaj Fin,
Kotakmah Bk, TCS, Infosys CPR 1 5 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Reliance Large Cap Fund
(G) INF204K01562 35.45 11,694 9.04 14.23 17.66 16.99
SBI, Axis Bk, HDFC Bk,
Infosys, L&T CPR 1 5 Star 4 Star High
HDFC Top 100 Fund (G)
INF179K01BE2 502.70 15,163 9.70 17.11 18.54 14.72
ICICI Bk, Reliance Ind, SBI,
Infosys, HDFC Bk CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Equity: Large & Mid-Cap (min 35% each in Large & Mid-Cap)
Canara Robeco Emerging
Equities (G)
INF760K01167
94.45 4,190 7.10 4.66 19.44 24.78 ICICI Bk, HDFC Bk, Reliance
Ind, Axis Bk, SBI CPR 2 5 Star 5 Star
Moderately
High
-
pg. 8
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Invesco India Growth
Opport Fund (G)
INF205K01247
34.49 1,115 6.78 8.54 17.17 16.34 HDFC Bk, Reliance Ind, ICICI
Bk, IOC, L&T CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Sundaram Large and
MidCap Fund (G)
INF903J01DT1
34.47 513 7.05 8.64 17.29 17.69 Axis Bk, Reliance Ind, ICICI
Bk, EIH, HDFC Bk CPR 1 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Equity: Mid-Cap (min 65% in Mid-Cap)
L&T Midcap Fund (G)
INF917K01254 135.48 3,733 4.66 -2.52 18.71 22.47
RBL Bk, City Union Bk,
Emami, Ramco Cements,
Cholamandalam Inv and Fin
CPR 2 5 Star 5 Star High
Franklin India Prima Fund
- (G) INF090I01809 974.09 6,491 8.75 1.59 15.25 20.04
HDFC Bk, Kansai Neralac
Paints, Ramco Cements, City
Union Bk, Apollo Tyres
CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star Moderately
High
AXIS Midcap Fund (G)
INF846K01859 36.42 1,891 5.96 9.08 17.62 19.25
City Union Bk, Info Edge
(India), Gruh Fin, Endurance
Tech, Torrent Pharma
CPR 1 4 Star 4 Star Moderately
High
Equity: Small Cap (min 65% in Small Cap)
HDFC Small Cap Fund (G)
INF179KA1RZ8 44.64 6,312 6.79 0.92 21.73 19.81
Balkrishna Ind, Aurobindo
pharma, NIIT Tech, Sonata
softw, Chambal
Fertilizers&chem
CPR 1 5 Star NA Moderately
High
AXIS Small Cap Fund (G) INF846K01K01
27.64 223 7.51 0.73 14.07 19.78
TCNS Clothing, Mas Fiancial Services, Gulf Oil Lubricants, Vinati Organics, Heidelberg
Cement India
NA 4 Star 3 Star Moderately
High
Equity: Dividend Yield (min 65% in equity, dividend paying stocks)
Principal Dividend Yield
Fund (G) INF173K01AC1 52.97 197 1.63 4.63 18.40 14.67
HUL, ITC, Infosys, TCS,
Reliance Ind NA NA NA
Moderately
High
Equity: Value (min 65% in Equity)
L&T India Value Fund (G)
INF677K01023 36.14 7,726 4.32 0.52 15.61 21.17
Reliance Ind, ICICI Bk,
Infosys, Axis Bk, SBI CPR 3 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
-
pg. 9
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
HDFC Capital Builder
Value Fund (G)
INF179K01426
302.61 4,157 5.95 6.34 16.82 16.78 HDFC Bk, ITC, Reliance Ind,
Axis Bk, ICICI Bk CPR 2 3 Star NA
Moderately
High
Equity: Contra (min 65% in Equity)
Invesco India Contra Fund
(G) INF205K01189 48.77 3,252 5.98 8.50 18.86 19.84
HDFC Bk, ICICI Bk, Infosys,
Reliance Ind, Axis Bk CPR 2 5 Star NA
Moderately
High
Equity: Focused (min 65% in Equity & max 30 stocks)
SBI Focused Equity Fund
(G) INF200K01370 140.55 3,580 10.19 7.85 16.65 18.97
HDFC Bk, P&G hygiene, SBI,
Kotakmah Bk, Divi’s Lab CPR 2 4 Star NA
Moderately
High
Franklin India Focused Equity Fund (G) INF090I01981
41.46 7,445 11.16 9.95 15.49 19.29 HDFC Bk, ICICI Bk, SBI, Axis
Bk, IOC CPR 3 3 Star NA
Moderately
High
Equity: Sectorial (min 80% in a particular sector)
Mirae Asset Great
Consumer Fund (G)
INF769K01135 (FMCG)
34.84 646 8.05 9.81 20.31 17.84 HDFC Bk, ITC, Dabur India,
Maruti Suzuki, Nestle India NA NA NA High
ICICI Pru FMCG Fund - (G)
INF109K01415 (FMCG) 239.89 510 2.85 10.59 16.82 14.17
ITC, Nestle India, Marico,
HUL, VST industries NA NA NA High
DSP Nat Resou & New
Energy Fund (G)
INF740K01060 (Energy)
33.07 383 -1.55 -2.43 22.11 19.84 BPCL, ONGC, Coal India,
Petronet LNG, IOC NA NA NA High
ICICI Pru Banking & Fin
Serv (G)INF109K01BU5
(Fin Services)
65.47 2,604 20.39 14.70 27.12 22.30 ICICI Bk, SBI , HDFC Bk, Bajaj
Finserv, BoB NA NA 5 Star High
SBI Banking & Fin Services
Fund (G) INF200KA1473
(Fin Services)
17.99 632 18.77 22.00 26.57 - ICICI Bk, Gruh Fin, HDFC Bk,
Kotakmah, Axis Bk NA 5 Star 5 Star High
Franklin Build India Fund
(G) INF090I01AE7 (Infra) 42.82 1,122 11.47 8.36 16.87 21.89
SBI, ICICI Bk, HDFC Bk, Axis
Bk, IOC CPR 1 5 Star 5 Star High
-
pg. 10
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Reliance Pharma Fund (G) INF204K01968 (Pharma)
151.76 2,664 -4.10 13.48 5.51 11.72
Sun Pharma, Divi’s Lab,
Aurobindo Pharma, Cipla, Dr
Reddy
NA NA NA High
ICICI Pru Technology Fund
(G) INF109K01506
(Technology)
59.56 480 -3.19 17.63 13.08 14.31
Infosys, L&T infotech, Tech
Mahindra, Cognizant Techn
Oracle Fin Sev Software
NA NA NA High
Aditya Birla SL Digital
India (G) INF209K01140
(IT)
53.50 483 0.58 14.79 15.11 15.06 Infosys, Tech Mahindra, TCS,
HCL Tech, MindTree NA NA NA High
Equity: Thematic (min 80% in a particular theme)
UTI MNC Fund (G) INF789F01844 (MNC)
193.78 2,092 -0.07 2.58 10.75 17.70 HUL, Britannia Ind, Maruti
Suzuki, Mphasis, Sanofi India NA NA NA
Moderately
High
Aditya Birla SL MNC Fund - (G) INF209K01322 (MNC)
770.29 3,492 5.79 5.44 11.64 20.52
Honeywell Automation,
Pfizer, Gillette, Bayer
CropScience, KotakMahindra
Bk
NA NA NA Moderately
High
ICICI Pru US Bluechip
Equity Fund (G)
INF109K01E35
(International)
26.41 268 -4.21 16.96 13.11 11.08
Amazon (U.S.), Microchip
Techno (U.S.), Alphabet C,
Mondelez International,
Comcast Corp (U.S.)
NA NA NA High
Tata Ethical Fund - (G)
INF277K01956 (Shariah) 158.74 527 3.88 1.31 9.07 12.34
HUL, Britannia ind, Asian
Paints, Tech Mahindra, Bata
India
NA NA NA High
Equity: ELSS (min 80% in Equity)
Aditya Birla SL Tax Relief
'96 (G) INF209K01108 31.78 7,561 3.18 4.15 15.62 18.53
Reliance Ind, Honeywell
Auto, Gillette, Bayer
CropScience, Pfizer
CPR 2 5 Star 4 Star Moderately
High
AXIS Long Term Equity
Fund (G) INF846K01131 43.76 17,426 4.66 8.50 15.07 18.07
HDFC Bk, TCS, Kotakmah Bk,
Pidilite, Bajaj Fin CPR 1 5 Star NA
Moderately
High
Mirae Asset Tax Saver
Fund (G) INF769K01DK3 17.59 1,381 8.18 12.66 22.66 -
HDFC Bk, Reliance Ind, ICICI
Bk, Axis Bk, L&T CPR 1 5 Star 5 Star
Moderately
High
-
pg. 11
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
HYBRID FUNDS
Scheme Name & ISIN NAV (Rs.)
Fund Size
(Rs Cr)
Returns Top Holdings
Crisil
Rank
Value Research
Rating
Morning Star
Rating Riskometer
6 Mos. 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Hybrid: Aggressive (min 65% in Equity & min 20% in Debt)
Principal Hybrid Equity
Fund (G) INF173K01CL8 78.00 1,638 4.15 5.95 17.36 15.16
HDFC Bk, ICICI Bk, Reliance
Ind, Infosys, ITC
CPR 1 5 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund
(G) INF179K01AS4 54.44 21,404 8.72 7.16 14.27 16.17
HDFC Bk, Infosys, HDFC, ICICI
Bk, ITC CPR 3 4 Star 5 Star
Moderately
High
ICICI Pru Equity & Debt
Fund - (G) INF109K01480 134.44 25,467 5.45 7.63 15.22 15.23
ICICI Bk, NTPC, ONGC, ITC,
Bharti Airtel CPR 3 4 Star 5 Star
Moderately
High
Mirae Asset Hybrid Equity
Fund (G) INF769K01DE6 14.77 1,495 7.72 12.48 15.34 -
HDFC Bk, Reliance Ind, ICICI
Bk, Axis Bk, CD: BoB CPR 1 5 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Hybrid: Arbitrage (min 65% in Equity & min 20% in Debt – making use of Arbitrage opportunities between cash and futures market)
Kotak Equity Arbitrage
Fund (G) INF174K01302 26.38 12,790 2.90 6.10 6.27 6.86
FD: HDFC Bk; Reliance Ind,
HDFC, HUL, Asian Paints CPR 2 5 Star NA Moderately Low
Reliance Arbitrage Fund
(G) INF204K01IY1 18.93 8,956 3.04 6.27 6.35 6.85
FD: HDFC Bk; Reliance Ind,
HDFC, TCS, Infosys CPR 1 4 Star NA Moderately Low
Hybrid: Equity Savings (min 65% Equity and min 10% Debt)
Kotak Equity Savings Fund (G) INF174K01C78
14.20 2,239 3.74 7.55 9.20 -
FD: HDFC Bk; Deb: Kotak
Mahindra Prime; Reliance
Ind, HDFC, Infosys
NA 4 Star NA Moderately
High
HDFC Equity Savings Fund
(G) INF179K01AM7 36.80 5,979 4.22 6.47 12.20 9.76
Reliance Ind, ICICI Bk, HDFC,
Infosys, NTPC NA 5 Star NA
Moderately
High
Hybrid: Conservative (max 25% in Equity and min 75% in Debt)
ICICI Pru Regular Savings
Fund (G) INF109K01902 42.59 1,589 6.25 8.14 10.91 11.41 NCD: Acqua Space
Developers, Nayara Energy, CPR 1 5 Star NA
Moderately
High
-
pg. 12
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
LIC hsg fin, Talwandi Sabo,
Prestige Estates Projects
HDFC Hybrid Debt Fund
(G) INF179K01AE4 45.85 3,119 6.69 6.09 9.26 10.01
GOI 2028, GOI 2024; Deb:
Tata Capital Fin, Reliance Jio,
Reliance Ind
CPR 3 3 Star NA Moderately
High
Hybrid: Dynamic Asset Allocation
Aditya Birla SL Balanced
Advantage Fund (G)
INF084M01AB8
52.98 2,827 5.35 6.50 12.79 12.00 HDFC Bk, ITC, Infosys, ICICI
Bk, Coal India NA 5 Star NA
Moderately
High
ICICI Pru Balanced
Advantage Fund (G)
INF109K01BH2
35.34 28,499 5.75 6.72 11.87 12.06 HDFC Bk, HDFC, Infosys, ITC,
Axis Bk NA 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
High
Hybrid: Multi Asset Allocation
SBI Multi Asset Allocation
Fund (G) INF200K01800 26.67 294 4.45 3.27 7.24 9.41
GOI 2028, Britannia Inds,
Godrej Consumer, Dabur
India, Piramal Enterprises,
Shree Cement
NA NA NA Moderately
High
DEBT FUNDS
Scheme Name & ISIN NAV (Rs.)
Fund Size
(Rs Cr)
Returns Top Holdings
Crisil
Rank
Value Research
Rating
Morning Star
Rating Riskometer
6 Mos. 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Debt: Liquid
Franklin India Liquid Fund
- Super Inst (G)
INF090I01BG0
2787.00 11,909 3.83 7.61 7.25 7.81
CP: LIC Hsg Fin, Reliance
Retail, Edelweiss Asset
Reconstruction, Reliance Jio
CPR 3 5 Star NA Low
AXIS Liquid Fund (G)
INF846K01412 2064.29 28,010 3.74 7.52 7.23 7.76
CP: ONGC, Chennai
Petroleum, NABARD,
Reliance Retail; SDL:
Rajasthan
CPR 2 5 Star NA Low
-
pg. 13
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
L&T Liquid Fund (G)
INF917K01JH1 2552.61 17,014 3.72 7.48 7.21 7.74
CP: Tata Power, Tata Power,
Aditya Birla Fin, JSW Steel,
Reliance Ind
CPR 2 4 Star NA Low
Kotak Liquid - Regular (G)
INF174K01NI9 3771.24 35,086 3.68 7.39 7.16 7.71
RBI CMB; CP: PFC, REC, PNB;
RBI 91 Tbills CPR 1 3 Star NA Low
Debt: Overnight
SBI Overnight Fund (G)
INF200K01LQ9 3065.58 2,882 3.12 6.24 6.18 6.88 Reverse Repo, TREPS NA NA NA Low
Debt: Ultra Short Duration
SBI Magnum Ultra Short
Duration Fund (G)
INF200K01LJ4
4144.94 5,734 4.42 8.35 7.47 7.88
CP: Cholamandalam; Deb:
RMZ Infotech, Novy Mir
lightweighting, LIC Hsg Fin
CPR 2 4 Star NA Low
Aditya Birla SL Savings
Fund - Regular (G)
INF209K01LZ1
368.98 14,018 4.62 7.96 8.09 8.47
NCD: PFC, Vodafone Mobile
Serv, ONGC Petro; CP: L&T
Infra, Piramal Enterprises
CPR 3 3 Star NA Moderately
Low
Debt: Low Duration
ICICI Pru Savings Fund -
Regular (G)
INF109K01746
358.58 17,060 4.49 7.62 7.91 8.31
Deb: Piramal Capital & Hsg
fin, Indiabulls Hsgfin; CP:
HDFC, REC, NABARD
CPR 2 4 Star 5 Star Moderately
Low
IDFC Low Duration Fund
(G) INF194K01FU8 26.49 3,375 4.59 7.60 7.76 8.18
Deb: NABARD, PFC; CD: Axis
Bk; CP: REC CPR 1 3 Star NA
Moderately
Low
Debt: Money Market
Aditya Birla SL Money
Manager Fund (G)
INF209K01RV7
250.28 7,690 4.43 8.37 7.55 7.97
RBI 91 Tbills; CD: PNB, Axis
Bk; CP: L&T, Vedanta, Tata
Power
CPR 2 5 Star NA Low
Franklin India Savings
Fund (G) INF090I01CA1 34.34 777 4.57 7.99 7.76 8.02
Securitised Debt: Axis Bk;
CD: HDFC Bk, NABARD; CP:
REC, L&T Finance
CPR 2 3 Star NA Moderately
Low
Debt: Short Duration
-
pg. 14
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
HDFC Short Term Debt
Fund (G) INF179K01CU6 20.64 7,316 5.12 7.62 7.78 8.36
Deb: ONGC, Tata sons, PFC,
HUDCO, Tata Capital Fin Serv CPR 2 2 Star NA
Moderately
Low
Debt: Dynamic Bond
Kotak Dynamic Bond Fund
- Regular (G)
INF174K01FA2
24.26 558 6.96 8.85 8.81 8.95 Bonds: REC, LIC Hsg Fin, CP:
SIDBI, BoB; SDL: Rajasthan CPR 2 4 Star 5 Star
Moderately
Low
IDFC Dynamic Bond Fund
- Regular (G)
INF194K01QG4
22.33 1,943 7.15 8.21 7.92 8.89 Deb: NABARD, NHAI, IRFC;
SDL: Gujarat, Tamil Nadu CPR 2 3 Star 4 Star Low
Debt: Corporate Bond
Kotak Corporate Bond
Fund-Regular (G)
INF178L01BO1
2469.86 1,139 5.15 8.25 8.10 9.05
Deb: L&T Fin, PNB Hsg Fin,
Reliance retail, SP Jammu
Udhampur Highway
CPR 3 5 Star 5 Star Moderately
Low
HDFC Corporate Bond
Fund (G) INF179K01DC2 20.81 11,793 6.04 7.74 8.18 8.71
Deb: ONGC Petro, Reliance
Ind, LIC Hsg Fin, NHAI, HDFC CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star
Moderately
Low
Debt: Credit Risk
Franklin India Credit Risk
Fund (G) INF090I01ET7 19.58 7,157 5.87 8.49 9.17 9.21
Deb: Dolvi Minerals &
metals, Shriram Tranp Fin,
Vodafone idea, Adani Rail
infra, Renew power
CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star Moderate
Debt: Banking & PSU
Aditya Birla SL Banking &
PSU Debt Fund - (G)
INF209K01LV0
238.02 6,159 5.28 7.45 8.15 9.02
Deb: SBI , NABARD, IDFC
First; SO: ONGC Petro; CD:
Indusind Bk
CPR 3 4 Star 5 Star Moderate
AXIS Banking & PSU Debt
Fund (G) INF846K01CB0 1747.03 3,161 6.84 8.94 8.17 8.33
Deb/Bonds: NABARD, FCI,
Reliance Ind, SIDBI, PFC CPR 1 5 Star 4 Star
Moderately
Low
IDFC Banking & PSU Debt
Fund (G) INF194K01SN6 16.07 3,078 7.33 8.98 7.47 7.93
Deb: NABARD, Axis Bk, ICICI
Bk, HDFC, EXIM CPR 1 3 Star 4 Star
Moderately
Low
Debt: Gilt
-
pg. 15
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
UTI Gilt Fund (G) INF789F01661
40.89 457 5.87 7.27 9.12 10.30 GOI 2028, RBI Cash
Management Bill CPR 2 4 Star 4 Star Moderate
Aditya Birla SL Govt
Securities Fund (G)
INF209K01AC3
52.03 231 6.84 7.73 8.72 10.36 GOI 2028, GOI 2022; RBI
Tbills CPR 3 4 Star 5 Star Moderate
Reliance GSF (G) INF204K01BU4
24.83 929 7.39 8.93 9.18 10.39
GOI 2028, GOI 2023, GOI
2024; SDL: Gujarat State
2023
CPR 1 5 Star 5 Star Moderate
Debt: Floater
Aditya Birla SL Floating
Rate - LTP - (G)
INF209K01MG9
229.61 4,579 4.75 7.97 8.12 8.45
Bonds: PFC, NRSS XXIX
transmission; CP: Tata
Capital Fin, Tata Cleantech
NA NA NA Moderately
Low
OTHER FUNDS
Scheme Name & ISIN NAV (Rs.)
Fund Size
(Rs Cr)
Returns Top Holdings
Crisil
Rank
Value Research
Rating
Morning Star
Rating Riskometer
6 Mos. 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Kotak Gold Fund (G)
INF174K01AT3 (FoF) 13.24 144 4.25 3.16 2.59 0.29 Kotak Gold ETF NA NA NA
Moderately
High
Franklin India Feeder -
Franklin US Opp. (G)
INF090I01EW1 (FoF)
30.27 789 -6.39 18.46 16.02 12.71 Franklin India
FeederFranklinUS NA NA NA High
UTI Nifty Index Fund (G)
INF789F01JN2 (Index) 75.64 1,127 6.70 15.94 16.31 12.61
HDFC Bk, Reliance Ind, HDFC,
Infosys, ITC CPR 3 3 Star NA
Moderately
High
HDFC Index Fund-Sensex
Plan INF179K01LA9
(Index)
341.91 310 6.92 18.08 16.82 12.64 HDFC Bk, Reliance Ind, HDFC,
Infosys, ITC CPR 3 3 Star NA
Moderately
High
ICICI Pru Nifty Next 50
Index Fund (G)
INF109K01IF1 (Index)
25.03 380 3.52 -0.92 15.77 16.29
Britannia Ind, Godrej
Consumer, Dabur India,
Piramal Enterprises
NA 5 Star NA Moderately
High
-
pg. 16
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Note:
Categorisation is as per SEBI classification
NAV value as on March 29, 2019. Portfolio data as on Feb 28, 2019 wherever available.
Returns are trailing and annualized (CAGR).
The notations '5 Star, 5 Star & CPR 1' (used by VR, MS & Crisil respectively) are considered as top in respective rating and ranking scales while NA denotes that the scheme is unrated. CRISIL ratings as on Mar 2018. VR Ratings &
Morningstar Ratings are as on the latest date.
The performance of the funds are rated and classified by Value Research in the following ways: Top 10% funds in each category were classified ‘*****’ funds, the next 22.5% got a ‘****’ star, while the middle 35% got a ‘***’,
while the next 22.5% and bottom 10% got ‘**’ and ‘*’ respectively.
The criteria used in computing the CRISIL Composite Performance Rank are Superior Return Scores, based on NAVs over the Quarter ended Sep 2016. Based on percentile of the number of schemes considered in a category, the
schemes are ranked as follows: CPR 1- Very good performance, CPR 2 - Good performance, CPR 3 - Average performance, CPR 4 - Below average performance and CPR 5 - Relatively weak performance in the category.
Morningstar ranks funds on a monthly basis. The funds are ranked on the basis of Morningstar Risk Adjusted Returns (MRAR). All funds in the category are sorted by three-year MRAR % rank in descending order. Starting with the
highest MRAR % rank, those funds with a rank that meets but does not exceed 10% receive a 5-star rating. Funds with a rank that meets but does not exceed 32.5% receive a 4-star rating. Funds with a rank that meets but does not
exceed 67.5% receive a 3-star rating. Funds with a rank that meets but does not exceed 90% receive a 2-star rating. The remaining funds receive 1 star.
Schemes shortlisted based on the corpus (1% of category corpus or Rs_500cr whichever is lesser), age and those open for fresh lump sum subscription. Final picks arrive from return score (respective weightage given for rolling
returns and trailing returns generated from the last 7 years NAV history for 1m, 3m, 6m, 1yr, 2yr & 3yr) and risk scores.
The Mutual Fund riskometer is a simple representation of the risk a fund carries. It is a level of risk involved in the particular scheme. Following are the level of risk in Mutual Fund schemes i.e. Low - principal at low risk, Moderately
Low - principal at moderately low risk, Moderate - principal at moderate risk, Moderately High -- principal at moderately high risk, High - principal at high risk. Schemes which have stopped accepting lump sum subscriptions have
not been considered.
-
pg. 17
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
al Fund News: Mutual Fund News Indiabulls Mutual Fund has proposed to change the name of the Indiabulls Value Discovery Fund to Indiabulls Value Fund with effect from May 30, 2019. Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund has decided to change the fund manager of the following schemes with effect from May 01, 2019.
Scheme Name Existing Revised
Franklin India Dynamic PE Ratio FoF Anand Radhakrishnan Paul S Parampreet
Franklin India Multi Asset Solution Fund Anand Radhakrishnan Paul S Parampreet
Edelweiss Mutual Fund has decided to change the fund manager of the following schemes with effect from April 30, 2019:
Scheme Name Existing Revised
Edelweiss Long Term Equity Fund (Tax Savings) Harshad Patwardhan Harsh Kothari & Pratik Dharmshi
Edelweiss Tax Advantage Harshad Patwardhan Harsh Kothari & Pratik Dharmshi
Mirae Asset Mutual Fund has decided to change the benchmark of the following funds with effect from April 30, 2019:
Scheme Name Existing Revised
Mirae Asset Tax Saver Fund S&P BSE 200 TRI Nifty 200 TRI
Mirae Asset Great Consumer Fund S&P BSE 200 TRI Nifty Consumption TRI
Quant Mutual Fund has proposed to change the name & benchmark of Quant Ultra Short Duration Fund to Quant Money Market Fund & CRISIL Ultra Short Term Debt Index to CRISIL Money Market Index, respectively with effect from May 31, 2019.
Forthcoming Dividends
Scheme Name Record
Date
Gross (Rs
/Unit) Ex-Div Date
ICICI Pru Equity & Debt Fund - (Div-M) 02-May-19 0.23 03-May-19
Essel 3 In 1 Fund (Div-M) 02-May-19 0.13 03-May-19
ICICI Pru Equity Savings Fund - Reg (Div-M) 02-May-19 0.05 03-May-19
Tata Equity Saving Fund - (Div-M) 03-May-19 0.08 06-May-19
Tata Hybrid Equity Fund - Regular (Div-M) 03-May-19 0.40 06-May-19
-
pg. 18
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
NFO
Scheme name Open Date Close Date Minimum Investments Tenure Structure
Balanced
SBI CPO Fund - Series A (Plan 3) - Regular (G) 02-05-2019 16-05-2019 5000 1441 Days CLOSE
Equity
ITI Multi Cap Fund (D)/ (G) 25-04-2019 09-05-2019 1000 OPEN
Mirae Asset Focused Fund (D)/ (G) 23-04-2019 07-05-2019 5000 OPEN
Principal Small Cap Fund (D)/ (G) 22-04-2019 06-05-2019 5000 OPEN
Fixed Maturity Plans
ICICI Pru FMP - Sr.86-1113Days Plan C-Reg (G) 02-05-2019 09-05-2019 5000 1113 Days CLOSE
ICICI Pru FMP - Sr.86-1113Days Plan C-Reg (Div-Q) 02-05-2019 09-05-2019 5000 1113 Days CLOSE
HDFC FMP-1100Days-Apr2019(1)(XLIV) (D)/ (G) 30-04-2019 07-05-2019 5000 1100 Days CLOSE
HDFC FMP-1100Days-Apr2019(1)(XLIV) (Div-Q) 30-04-2019 07-05-2019 5000 1100 Days CLOSE
UTI-FTI - Series XXXI-XIII(1127Days)-Reg (D)/ (G)/ (Div-A/Q) 22-04-2019 06-05-2019 5000 1127 Days CLOSE
UTI-FTI - Series XXXI-XIII(1127Days)-Reg (Flexi) 22-04-2019 06-05-2019 5000 1127 Days CLOSE
Aditya Birla SL FTP - Series SN (D)/ (G) 26-04-2019 06-05-2019 1000 1099 Days CLOSE
AXIS FTP - Series 106 - 1114Days (D)/ (G) 26-04-2019 06-05-2019 5000 1114 Days CLOSE
AXIS FTP - Series 106 - 1114Days (Div-Q) 26-04-2019 06-05-2019 5000 1114 Days CLOSE
Liquid Funds
Franklin India Overnight Fund - Regular (G)/ (Div-W)/ (Div-D)RI 07-05-2019 08-05-2019 5000 OPEN
Short Term Income Funds
Indiabulls Banking & PSU Debt Fund - Reg (G)/ (Div-M/W) 25-04-2019 09-05-2019 500 OPEN
-
pg. 19
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Global updates: (Source: Websites)
India
• The value of loans in India increased 14.20% in April 12 over the same period in the previous year. • The value of deposits in India increased 10.60% in April 12 over the same period in the previous year. • Foreign Exchange Reserves in India decreased to 414.15 USD Billion in April 19 from 414.90 USD Billion in the previous week
Asia • Japan's core inflation picked up slightly in March from a year earlier, showed a 0.8 percent increase in the nationwide core consumer price index (CPI). • Japan's industrial activity was little changed in February compared to the previous month, the country's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said in a new
report. The seasonally adjusted all industry activity index was just 2% lower in February on a monthly basis and stood at 106.0, compared to January's 106.2. • Japan's jobless rate rose in March while the availability of jobs held steady at a high level. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose to 2.5 percent, against
economists' median forecast for 2.4 percent. • Industrial output in Japan was down a seasonally adjusted 0.9 percent on month in March, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said. On a yearly basis,
industrial production sank 4.6 percent - again missing forecasts for a fall of 3.8 percent following the 1.1 percent drop in the previous month. • Retail sales in Japan were up a seasonally adjusted 0.2 percent on month in March, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said. On a yearly basis, retail sales
climbed 1.0 percent - also beating forecasts for a gain of 0.8 percent and up from 0.6 percent in the previous month.
US
• U.S. home sales fell more than expected in March, pointing to continued weakness in the housing market despite declining mortgage rates and slowing house price gains, existing home sales dropped 4.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.21 million units last month.
• The US economy grew by an annualized 3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2019, easily beating market expectations of 2 percent and following a 2.2 percent expansion in the previous three-month period. Growth was mainly supported by personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, state and local government spending, and nonresidential fixed investment.
• Redbook Index in the United States increased by 6 percent in the week ending April 20 of 2019 over the same week in the previous year UK
• The GfK consumer confidence index for the United Kingdom was unchanged at -13 in March 2019, slightly above market expectations of -14, as a strong labour market offset ongoing Brexit uncertainty and concerns over global growth prospects.
Euro
• Euro zone consumer confidence fell unexpectedly by 0.7 points in April from the March number. The European Commission said a flash estimate showed euro zone consumer morale decreased to -7.9 this month from -7.2 in March. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a rise to -7.0.
• The Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the Euro Area fell to 0.42 in April 2019 from a revised 0.54 in the previous month and below market expectations of 0.49. It was the lowest reading since August 2016, as managers' views of the past production, their production expectations, and their assessments of overall order books and the stocks of finished products declined significantly.
• Euro Area recorded a government debt equivalent to 85.10 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2018
-
pg. 20
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Economic Calendar:
Date Country Event Period Frequency Previous 01-05-2019 US Farm Prices (Farm Prices - y/y % change) Mar, 2019 Yearly -2
01-05-2019 US MBA Mortgage Applications (Purchase Index - W/W Change) wk4/26, 2019 Weekly -4
01-05-2019 US ADP Employment Report (ADP employment) Apr, 2019 Monthly 129000
01-05-2019 US PMI Manufacturing Index (Level) Apr, 2019 Monthly 52.4
01-05-2019 US ISM Mfg Index (ISM Mfg Index - Level) Apr, 2019 Monthly 55.3
01-05-2019 US Construction Spending (Construction Spending - Y/Y change) Mar, 2019 Yearly 1.1
01-05-2019 US EIA Petroleum Status Report (Crude oil inventories [weekly change]) wk4/26, 2019 Weekly 5.5
01-05-2019 US FOMC Meeting Announcement (Federal Funds Rate - Target Level) Monthly 0
02-05-2019 India Reserve Money (change on year) Wk to Apr 26 Weekly 15.01
02-05-2019 India Power generation Apr Monthly 106.99
02-05-2019 US Motor Vehicle Sales (Total Vehicle Sales) Apr, 2019 Monthly 17.5
02-05-2019 India Nikkei India manufacturing PMI Apr Monthly 52.6
02-05-2019 US Challenger Job-Cut Report (Announced Layoffs - Level) Apr, 2019 Monthly 60587
02-05-2019 US Jobless Claims (New Claims - Level) wk4/27, 2019 Weekly 230
02-05-2019 US Productivity and Costs (Nonfarm productivity - Q/Q change - SAAR) Q1:19 Quarterly 1.9
02-05-2019 US Productivity and Costs (Unit labor costs - Q/Q change - SAAR) Q1:19 Quarterly 2
02-05-2019 US Factory Orders (Factory Orders - M/M change) Mar, 2019 Monthly -0.5
02-05-2019 US EIA Natural Gas Report (Weekly Change) wk4/26, 2019 Weekly 92
03-05-2019 US Money Supply (M2 Weekly Change) wk4/22, 2019 Weekly 22.5
03-05-2019 US Fed Balance Sheet (Level) wk5/1, 2019 Weekly 3.93
03-05-2019 US Employment Situation (Manufacturing Payrolls - M/M change) Apr, 2019 Monthly -6000
03-05-2019 US Employment Situation (Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change) Apr, 2019 Monthly 196000
03-05-2019 US Employment Situation (Unemployment Rate - Level) Apr, 2019 Monthly 3.8
03-05-2019 US Employment Situation (Private Payrolls - M/M change) Apr, 2019 Monthly 182000
03-05-2019 US PMI Services Index (PMI Composite Index) Apr, 2019 Monthly 54.6
03-05-2019 India WMA (ways and means advance) - to central govt Wk to Apr 26 Weekly 0
03-05-2019 India WMA (ways and means advance) - to state govts Wk to Apr 26 Weekly 50.37
03-05-2019 India FX reserve (change on wk) Wk to Apr 26 Weekly -739.2
03-05-2019 US Baker-Hughes Rig Count (U.S.) wk5/3, 2019 Weekly 991
06-05-2019 India Nikkei India Services PMI Apr Monthly 52
06-05-2019 India Nikkei India composite PMI Apr Monthly 52.7
06-05-2019 US TD Ameritrade IMX (Level) Apr, 2019 Monthly 4.65
-
pg. 21
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Relationship among Policy Rates and Benchmarks:
MIBOR yields rose during the week in reaction to lack of liquidity in the banking system. 10 yr Gsec yields rose on the back of surge in crude oil prices which cooled off at the end of the week and closed at the same levels as the previous week. Announcement of OMO purchases by RBI eased the yields.
Deposit vs. Advance Growth (YoY) %
Growth in bank loans, a bellwether for economic activities, grew at 14.20% for the fortnight ended Apr 12. Deposit maintained in growth rate at 10.6%. The gap between deposit and credit growth seems to be narrowing but is still wide. The lower deposit growth amid higher credit growth has been a factor contributing to the liquidity constraints in the banking system.
Economic Updates:
US Dollar Vs Indian Rupee
The rupee rebounded against the dollar during the week on the back of sustained foreign fund inflows and heavy buying in domestic equities. The greenback's weakness against key rivals overseas and fall in crude price in the latter part of the week also supported the rupee up-move.
WPI Inflation/CPI Inflation (YoY)
The wholesale price index (WPI) based inflation rose to 3.18% in March compared to 2.93% in Jan. WPI rose on costlier food and fuel prices. Headline inflation measured by CPI also rose to 2.86% in March; as compared to 2.57% in Feb. Food prices which were flat over the past six month moved up. Inflation in food articles hardened with steep rise in prices of vegetables. The cumulative CPI inflation has declined to 3.41% in FY2019 compared with 3.59% in FY2018.
-
pg. 22
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Corporate Bonds Spread Vs Gilt Securities:
Short term corporate yields edged up during the week with 1 year spreads up by 7bps during the week. 3 year and 5 years spreads hardly changed during the week. (New benchmark rates are taken from Apr, hence such sharp fall in the spreads).
Liquidity Support from RBI (bn Rs)
RBI infused average gross liquidity via Repo under LAF window worth Rs 19,015 Cr in this week compared to an infusion of Rs 8,631 Cr in previous week. Average infusions via the MSF route stood at Rs 2,652 Cr. The weighted average Call rate ended at 6.12% compared to 6.08%in the previous week. The weighted average TREP ended at 6.01% compared to 5.98% in the previous week close.
Money Stock (M3) (YoY) (%)
India's Reserve money grew 10.90% year on year during the fortnight ended April 12, 2019.
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Mn USD)
The foreign exchange reserves fell during the week by US$ 739 mn to US$ 414.15 bn. RBI’s USD/IINR swap auction strengthened the forex reserves.
-
pg. 23
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
Certificates of Deposit (%):
Certificate of Deposits rates shot up; with short term (3 months) up by 41bps during the week. The CD rates hovered around 7.80% levels (as per the latest data) (1 year CD).
Commercial Paper (%):
Rates of Commercial papers remained flat rose during the week. The CP rates remained at 8.00% levels same as last week (1 year maturity CP).
MF’s Net Investment in Debt (Rs Cr):
MFs have been net buyers of Rs 84,302cr in the month of March. MFs are net buyers of Debt worth Rs 45,636cr in the month of April so far.
FII’s net investment in Debt (Rs Cr):
In March, FIIs were net buyers of Debt worth Rs 20,358cr. FIIs turned to be net sellers of Debt worth Rs 8,819cr in the month of April so far.
-
pg. 24
RETAIL RESEARCH
MUTUAL FUND & DEBT – WEEKLY REPORT
c
HDFC securities Limited, I Think Techno Campus, Building - B, "Alpha", Office Floor 8, Near Kanjurmarg Station, Opp. Crompton Greaves, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai 400 042 Phone: (022) 3075 3400 Fax: (022) 3075 3450 Compliance Officer: Binkle R. Oza Email: [email protected] Phone: (022) 3045 3600 SEBI Registration No.: INZ000186937 (NSE, BSE, MSEI, MCX) |NSE Trading Member Code: 11094 | BSE Clearing Number: 393 | MSEI Trading Member Code: 30000 | MCX Member Code: 56015 | AMFI Reg No. ARN -13549, PFRDA Reg. No - POP 04102015, IRDA Corporate Agent Licence No.-HDF2806925/HDF C000222657 HDFC Securities Limited (HSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000002475. Disclosure: I, Hemanshu Parmar, CA, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. HSL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Research Analyst or his/her relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its Associate may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Further Research Analyst or his relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. Any holding in stock – No Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by HDFC Securities Ltd and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at, based upon information obtained in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. This document is for information purposes only. Descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and this document is not, and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments. This report is not directed to, or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, reproduction, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or what would subject HSL or its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this report is inadvertently send or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purposes without prior written approval of HSL. Foreign currencies denominated securities, wherever mentioned, are subject to exchange rate fluctuations, which could have an adverse effect on their value or price, or the income derived from them. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, the values of which are influenced by foreign currencies effectively assume currency risk. It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. HSL may from time to time solicit from, or perform broking, or other services for, any company mentioned in this mail and/or its attachments. HSL and its affiliated company(ies), their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions. HSL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. HSL and other group companies, its directors, associates, employees may have various positions in any of the stocks, securities and financial instruments dealt in the report, or may make sell or purchase or other deals in these securities from time to time or may deal in other securities of the companies / organizations described in this report. HSL or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment in the past twelve months. HSL or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from t date of this report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction in the normal course of business. HSL or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither HSL nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. HSL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Research entity has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. Research analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. We have not received any compensation/benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the Research Report. Disclaimer : HDFC securities Ltd is a financial services intermediary and is engaged as a distributor of financial products & services like Corporate FDs & Bonds, Insurance, MF, NPS, Real Estate services, Loans, NCDs & IPOs in strategic distribution partnerships. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Customers need to check products &features before investing since the contours of the product rates may change from time to time. HDFC securities Ltd is not liable for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of investments in these products. Investments in Equity, Currency, Futures & Options are subject to market risk. Clients should read the Risk Disclosure Document issued by SEBI & relevant exchanges & the T&C on www.hdfcsec.com before investing. Equity SIP is not an approved product of Exchange and any dispute related to this will not be dealt at Exchange platform. This report is intended for non-Institutional Clients only. The views and opinions expressed in this report may at times be contrary to or not in consonance with those of Institutional Research or PCG Research teams of HDFC Securities Ltd. and/or may have different time horizons. Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risk. Please read the offer and scheme related documents carefully before investing.
mailto:[email protected]