datos seba

8/17/2019 Datos Seba

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Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión

Coefciente de correlación múltiple 0.9990179842Coefciente de determinación R^2 0.9980369328R^2 austado 0.98233239!3

"rror t#pico 0.2897964409$%ser&aciones 10

'()*+,+, -" 'R+'(/'Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados

Reresión 8 42.6970180228Residuos 1 0.0839819772

otal 9 42.781

Coefcientes Error típico

+ntercepción 3.9927411886 6.99743760!!aria%le 1 0.848434!61 0.0913473647aria%le 2 0.308369976! 0.166090891!aria%le 3 0.4899462984 0.18098898!3aria%le 4 3.8699849688 0.284970990!aria%le ! 3.18132!08!1 0.1909412772aria%le 6 1.8821026714 0.41!0069441aria%le 7 0.3471868002 0.0634331429aria%le 8 0.782637!72! 0.077019689

'nlisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

1 !.6377910482 0.03779104822 4.318!311207 0.08146887933 !.240667274! 0.040667274!4 3.2402800!77 0.0!97199423! 0.9493701728 0.0!06298272

6 !.701707!10! 0.098292489!7 !.9807841773 0.18078417738 !.3730936723 0.12690632779 4.2918438923 0.0918438923

10 1.8646714192 0.03!328!808


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Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

!.3371272!29 63.!!0864!12 0.09673046190.0839819772

Estadístico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$

0.!706004703 0.669898877! 92.90361603239.2880026009 0.0682791432 0.3122437!711.8!66338814 0.314!2!6884 1.80201489!62.7070!03627 0.22!272448! 1.8097368043

13.!802769347 0.0467938068 7.490884717416.6612747714 0.03816376!4 0.7!!186124

4.!3!11127!2 0.1381648!! 3.391060!271!.47327129!1 0.11!04!3803 1.1!31813008

10.161!260029 0.0624489367 1.76126!!096

Resultados de datos de pro

Residuos est%ndares Percentil

0.3912164838 !0.8433734978 1!

0.420991448! 2!0.6182264!69 3!

0.!241247313 4!

1.017!330914 !!1.8714947989 6!1.3137462343 7!0.9!0776607 8!0.36!7247892 9!

2 0 2

0.2

0.10

0.1

0.2

Variable X 1 Gráfc

V

Residuos

!.! 6

0.2

0

0.2

Variable X 2

Residuos

1

0.2

0.1

0

0.1

0.2Variabl

Residuos

V

Residu


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Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$ Superior "#&'$

84.9181336!!2 92.9036160323 84.9181336!!22.009112879 0.3122437!71 2.009112879

2.4187!48487 1.80201489!6 2.4187!484872.7896294012 1.8097368043 2.7896294012

0.24908!2202 7.4908847174 0.24908!2202!.6074640461 0.7!!186124 !.60746404617.1!!26!8699 3.391060!271 7.1!!26!86990.4!8807700! 1.1!31813008 0.4!8807700!0.19!9903646 1.76126!!096 0.19!9903646

a%ilidad

Y

11.93.34.24.4

!.2!.!!.6!.8!.8

4 6 8 10

de los residuales

riable X 1.! 7 7.! 8 8.! 9 9.! 10

ráfco de los residuales

Variable X 22 3 4 ! 6 7 8

X 3 Gráfco de los residuales

Variable X 36.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0

0.2

0.1

0

0.1

0.2

riable X 4 Gráfco de los residuales

Variable X 4

s

!.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0

0.2

0.1

0

0.1

0.2

Variable X 5 Gráfco de los residuales

Variable X 5

Residuos

9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.0

0.2

0

0.2


Variable X 6

Residuos

2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

0.2

0

0.2


Variable X 7

Residuos

0.0 !.0 10.0 1!.0

0.2

0

0.2

Variable X 8 Gráfco de los r

Variable X 8

Residuos

2 0 2 4!

0

!

10

Variable X 1 Curva

Variable X

"

!.! 6 6.!!

0

!

10

Variable X

"


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20.0

20.0 2!.0

esiduales

6 8 10

e regresión aus!ada

5

ronóstico para 5

7 7.! 8 8.! 9 9.! 10

Curva de regresión aus!ada

5

ronóstico para 5

Variable X 21 2 3 4 ! 6 7 8!

0!

10

Variable X 3 Curva de regresión aus!ada

5

ronóstico para 5

Variable X 3

"

6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0!

0

!

10

Variable X 4 Curva de regresión aus!ada

5

ronóstico para 5

Variable X 4

"

!.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0!

0

!

10

Variable X 5 Curva de regresión a

5

r

Variable X 5

"

9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 11.0!

0

!

10

Variable X 6 Curva de regresión a

5

r

Variable X 6

"

2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 1!

0

!

10

Variable X 7 Curva de r

Variable X 7

"

0.0 !.0 10.0 1!.0!

0

!

10

Variable X 8 Curva de r

Variable X 8

"

0 10 2!

0

!

10

Gráfc

"


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s!ada

onóstico para 5

s!ada

onóstico para 5

.0 18.0 20.0

gresión aus!ada

5

ronóstico para 5

0.0 2!.0

gresión aus!ada

5

ronóstico para 5

0 30 40 !0 60 70 80 90 100

o de #robabilidad nor$al

%ues!ra #ercen!il


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Resumen


Coefciente de correlación m 0.9990179842Coefciente de determinació 0.9980369328R^2 austado 0.98233239!3

"rror t#pico 0.2897964409$%ser&aciones 10

'()*+,+, -" 'R+'(/'

Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados

Reresión 8 42.6970180228Residuos 1 0.0839819772

otal 9 42.781

Coefcientes Error típico+ntercepción 3.9927411886 6.99743760!!+C 0.848434!61 0.0913473647-esempleo 0.308369976! 0.166090891!olitica onetaria 0.4899462984 0.18098898!3arril 3.8699849688 0.284970990!*i%ra 3.18132!08!1 0.1909412772

C 1.8821026714 0.41!0069441+n&ersión ":tranera 0.3471868002 0.0634331429alan;a Comercial 0.782637!72! 0.077019689

'nlisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico P( $ Residuos

1 !.6377910482 0.03779104822 4.318!311207 0.08146887933 !.240667274! 0.040667274!4 3.2402800!77 0.0!97199423! 0.9493701728 0.0!062982726 !.701707!10! 0.098292489!7 !.9807841773 0.18078417738 !.3730936723 0.12690632779 4.2918438923 0.0918438923

10 1.8646714192 0.03!328!808


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F Valor crítico de F

!.3371272!29 63.!!0864! 0.09673046190.0839819772

Estadístico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$ Superior "#$ n!erior "#&'$0.!706004703 0.66989888 92.9036160323 84.9181336!!2 92.90361603239.2880026009 0.06827914 0.3122437!71 2.009112879 0.3122437!711.8!66338814 0.314!2!69 1.80201489!6 2.4187!48487 1.80201489!62.7070!03627 0.22!2724! 1.8097368043 2.7896294012 1.8097368043

13.!802769347 0.04679381 7.4908847174 0.24908!2202 7.490884717416.6612747714 0.03816377 0.7!!186124 !.6074640461 0.7!!186124

4.!3!11127!2 0.13816486 3.391060!271 7.1!!26!8699 3.391060!271!.47327129!1 0.11!04!38 1.1!31813008 0.4!8807700! 1.1!31813008

10.161!260029 0.06244894 1.76126!!096 0.19!9903646 1.76126!!096

Residuos est%ndares Percentil P( $

0.3912164838 ! 10.8433734978 1! 1.9

0.420991448! 2! 3.30.6182264!69 3! 4.2

0.!241247313 4! 4.41.017!330914 !! !.2

1.8714947989 6! !.!1.3137462343 7! !.60.9!0776607 8! !.8

0.36!7247892 9! !.8

Promedio de loscuadrados

Resultados de datos depro%a%ilidad


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Superior "#&'$84.9181336!!2

2.0091128792.4187!484872.7896294012

0.24908!2202!.60746404617.1!!26!86990.4!8807700!0.19!9903646

2 0 2 4 6

0.2

0

0.2

&'C ( Gráfco de los residu

&'C (

Residuos

!.! 6 6.! 7 7.!

0.2

0.1

0

0.10.2

)ese$#leo ( Gráfco de

)ese$#le

Residuos

1 2 3

0.2

0.1

0

0.1

0.2

'oli!ica %one!aria (

Residuos

6.0

0.2

0.1

0

0.1

0.2

*arril

Residuos

Residu


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14/32

8 10

les

8 8.! 9 9.! 10

los residuales

(

4 ! 6 7 8

Gráfco de los residuales

oli!ica %one!aria (

7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0

Gráfco de los residuales

*arril (

!.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0

0.2

0.1

0

0.1

0.2

+ibra ( Gráfco de los residuales

+ibra (

s

9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.8 1

0.2

0.10

0.1

0.2

,C( Gráfco de los residuales

,C(

Residuos

2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0

0.2

0

0.2

&nversión -.!ranera ( Gráfco de los

&nversión -.!ranera (

Residuos

2 0 2 4!

0

!

10

&'C ( Curva de

&'C

'&* (

!.! 6!

0

!

10

)ese$#leo

'&* (

'oli!i

'&


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.0

18.0 20.0

esiduales

6 8 10

regresión aus!ada

+

ronóstico +

(.! 7 7.! 8 8.! 9 9.! 10

( Curva de regresión aus!ada

+

ronóstico +

)ese$#leo (

1 2 3 4 ! 6 7 8

!

0

!

10

a %one!aria ( Curva de regresión aus!ada

+9

ronóstico +9

'oli!ica %one!aria (

(

6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0!

0

!

10

*arril ( Curva de regresión aus!ada

+

ronóstico +

*arril (

'&* (

!.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0!

0

!

10

+ibra ( Curva de regresión au

+ibra (

'&* (

9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 1!

0

!

10

,C( Curva de regresi

,C(

'&* (

2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 . . .

!

0

!

10

&nversión -.!ranera (

&nversión -

'&* (


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'&*


18/32

s!ada

+

ronóstico +

.6 10.8 11.0

n aus!ada

+

ronóstico +

. 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0

Curva de regresión aus!ada

+9

ronóstico +9

!ranera (

0.0 !.0 10.0 1!.0 20.0 2!.0!

0

!

10

*alan/a Co$ercial ( Curva de regresión a

6+9 7

6ronóstico 6+9 7

*alan/a Co$ercial (

'&* (

Gráfco de #robabilidad nor$al


19/32

0 10 20 30 40 !0 60 70 80 90 100!

0

!

%ues!ra #ercen!il


20/32

0.0 !.0 10.0 1!.0 20.0

0.2

0

0.2

*alan/a Co$ercial ( Gráfco de los resi

*alan/a Co$ercial (

Residuos

us!ada


21/32


22/32

2!.0

uales


23/32


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Resumen


Coefciente de correlación múltiple 0.1!906673!!Coefciente de determinación R^2 0.02!3022263R^2 austado 0.096!3499!4

"rror t#pico 2.2830!01926$%ser&aciones 10

'()*+,+, -" 'R+'(/'Grados de libertad a de cuadra

Reresión 1 1.0824!4!!Residuos 8 41.698!4!!

otal 9 42.781

Coefcientes Error típico

+ntercepción 234.2490909091 !0!.099!01aria%le 1 0.114!4!4!4! 0.2!13!!!!

3.44


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Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

1.0824!4!4!! 0.207672384! 0.6607127872!.2123181818

Estadístico t Probabilidad n!erior "#$ Superior "#$

0.463768209 0.6!!1712348 930.!12446918 1399.010628740.4!!7108!62 0.6607127872 0.6941724006 0.46!081491!


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n!erior "#&'$uperior "#&'$

930.!12447 1399.010630.6941724 0.46!08149


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Columna ) Columna * Columna + Columna , Columna #

Columna 1 4.2781Columna 2 2.06!82 6.201204Columna 3 0.6603 1.07926 1.3!29Columna 4 0.74713 2.39!606 0.93869 2.!02809Columna ! 0.!831137 1.3!96138! 1.7!60711 1.4970!731 3.64323978

Columna 6 1.48116786 0.94214367 1.6!02!722 1.02813083 2.89439097Columna 7 0.190!1643 0.34830302 0.0!!43696 0.!746148! 0.0999421Columna 8 0.822!347! 1.04229!07 3.230!0849 0.87836867 6.14476771Columna 9 0.22217393 1.88888433 3.16084!7 2.1!!!9!36 8.241848!!


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Columna - Columna . Columna / Columna "

4.029687960.31201279 0.31980848!.70431609 0.27103219 16.23772!6

2.0906062! 1.08414191 16.6!26386 38.6961317


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'


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olitica onetaria arril *i%ra C3.4 6.9 !.4 10.9

!.02 8.1 9.9 9.!!.31 8.9 10.! 9.3

7.1 12.2 10.2 9.22 7.6 7.6 9.7

1.43 9.7 11.1 10.74.67 11.7 12.9 10.0!.01 11.! 11.7 10.04.92 12.0 10.7 10.13.7! 11.4 10.1 10.7

arril *i%ra C3.4 11.!6 6.9 47.86960! !.4 29.22!7 10.9 118.4!

!.02 2!.2004 8.1 6!.!!8873 9.9 97.!639 9.! 89.349

!.31 28.1961 8.9 78.!31209 10.! 109.381 9.3 86.1727.1 !0.41 12.2 149.04496 10.2 104.08 9.2 8!.174

2 4 7.6 !7.189378 7.6 !7.4264 9.7 94.7941.43 2.0449 9.7 94.810178 11.1 122.424 10.7 114.024.67 21.8089 11.7 13!.76!7 12.9 167.203 10.0 99.38!!.01 2!.1001 11.! 133.23!13 11.7 136.11 10.0 99.3884.92 24.2064 12.0 144.14714 10.7 11!.466 10.1 102.383.7! 14.062! 11.4 130.28022 10.1 101.417 10.7 114.09

206.!893 1036.4324 1040.3 1003.2

42.61 100 100 100

oliticaonetaria


31/32

+n&ersión ":tranera alan;a Come arril de etroleo *i%ra de Co%re4.3 9.! !6.44 1674.! 19.4 66.0! 30!7.7 20.4 72.29 3239.3 !.1 99.!9 31!7.9 13.0 61.69 234

9.6 13.3 79.43 34214.3 9.3 9!.0! 40017.4 2.0 94.16 36111.8 1.! 97.94 33213.4 6.6 93.11 311

4.3 18.1906769366 9.! 91.0!630491044.! 19.86636171!8 19.4 374.8!977!862

7.7 !8.!894!94349 20.4 414.!7736614669.3 8!.60149976!1 !.1 26.26610123387.9 61.9442689436 13.0 167.961709!16!9.6 92.226908486 13.3 176.29!21!1788

14.3 204.986!!80004 9.3 86.7630!!14!717.4 302.026179!442 2.0 3.874!642!7!11.8 138.403916!412 1.! 2.3!92!!379813.4 180.!414267878 6.6 42.947969438

1162.3772!61!! 1386.9613170692

100 100

+n&ersión":tranera

alan;aComercial


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ipo de Cam%io +n&ersión e:tranera alan;a Comercial!70 6=984 11=30949! 7=298 22=947486 12=!34 24=132484 1!=1!0 6=074!10 12=887 1!=360

!60 1!=72! 1!=736!22 23=444 11=040!22 28=4!7 2=333!30 19=264 1=820!60 22=002 7=767

299.1278836333294.206947!484

398.9894300!77224.1244433796!!.9070636833389.1263397372426.2640877616360.44812334822!2.3799!08213126.9309241297

datos seba

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