david noble supervisory board director boston 29 th october , 2003
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David Noble Supervisory Board Director Boston 29 th October , 2003. Introduction. 2. 1The Food Retail Market in Russia 2A Brief History of Pyaterochka 3Questions and Answers. Overview. An Overview of the Russian Food Retail Market in 2003. AT Kearney. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
David NobleSupervisory Board Director
Boston 29th October , 2003
Introduction
• 1 The Food Retail Market in Russia
• 2 A Brief History of Pyaterochka
• 3 Questions and Answers
2
An Overview of the Russian Food Retail Market in 2003
Overview
AT Kearney Global Retail Development Index
Source: AT Kearney GRDI 2003-( EDS)
Modern retail area per
inhabitant
Number of international
retailers
Weights: 40% 20% 20% 20% 100%
Russia 51 95 76 87 72
Slovak Republic 59 80 59 100 71
China 67 73 41 86 67
Hungary 71 69 53 69 67
India 48 100 94 34 65
Turkey 44 72 76 86 64
Morocco 55 98 88 18 63
Egypt 52 98 88 24 63
Vietnam 49 99 82 17 59
Tunisia 54 85 88 13 59
South Korea 67 44 59 54 58
Chile 56 73 94 10 58
Legend: Risky 0 Saturated 0 Saturated 0 No urgency 0 Don't go 0Safe 100 Not saturated 100 Not saturated 100 Urgency 100 Go 100
Time pressure
GradeCountries Country risk
Current Market saturation
Go Now
Go
4AT Kearney
Institute of Grocery Distribution’s (UK) Market Index
Country Rank % Score Status
China 1 70%
Priority 1 marketsItaly 1 70%
Russia 1 70%
Japan 4 68%
Priority 2 markets
Hungary 5 66%
India 5 66%
United States 5 66%
Poland 8 65%
Canada 9 62%
France 9 62%
United Kingdom 9 62%
Germany 12 61%
Turkey 13 61%
Top 5 European Grocery Markets (2001)
Source: Institute of Grocery Distribution (IGD)
6
Country Grocery Market (€ bn)
Germany 204
France 176
United Kingdom 162
Italy 134
Russia 99
Poland Czech Republic
Hungary Romania Russia
Carrefour 68 9
Ahold 169 225
Metro 45 9 12 12 4
Tesco 63 18 56
Rewe 37 180 150 11
Intermarché 57
Edeka/AVA 43 1
Tengelmann 127 94 139
Auchan 27 4 3
Casino 115
Delhaize 43 12
Lidl 18 30 20
Population (m) 38.7 10.3 10.0 22.4 145.5
Grocery retail market ($bn) 29.0 9.5 7.5 12.1 89.0
Western food retailers in Eastern Europe 7
Source: IGD, M+M Planet Retail
Food retail spending in Moscow by outlet type
Source: Moscow City Hall
8
Supermarkets and hypermarkets12%
Traditional small shops and kiosks
58%
Outdoor markets30%
Major food retailers in Russia
Source: Company data, UFG
9
Chain / Company
Number of stores Gross turnover, $m
2000 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002
Pyaterochka 38 80 135 75 212 501
Perekrestok 28 38 46 156 252 333
Ramstore 9 9 15 125 250 308
Sedmoy Continent 15 22 31 124 201 301
Kopeika 16 23 27 60 116 182
Dixi 23 28 40 20 70 n/a
Bin n/a 26 32 70 100 120
Paterson 4 10 16 12 40 82
Country Market share (%)
Sweden 95%
Norway 86%
Netherlands 83%
Finland 80%
Switzerland 75%
France 66%
Austria 56%
Germany 53%
UK 52%
Hungary 26%
Czech Republic 26%
Slovakia 19%
Poland 11%
Russia 1.1%
Share of top 3 food retailers
Source: ACNielsen, Company estimate for Russia
10
Why international retailers have not come (Yet!)
• shortage of suitable retail properties• the difficulty of getting access to land and necessary
permits• lack of long-term leases• underdeveloped supply infrastructure• huge distances between major urban centers• shortage of qualified retail staff• BUT IKEA , METRO, AUCHAN, AVA/EDEKA have
taken the plunge
Market Summary
• Russia is among the world’s top 10 grocery markets with over $100 bn turnover in 2002
• Share of open markets and small shops is still high
• Domestic food retail chains enjoy strong growth, but share of top 3 retailers is only 1.1%
• Foreign competition is insubstantial
12
Pyaterochka Overview
Pyaterochka: Introduction
• Pyaterochka is the leading grocery chain in Russia by sales and number of stores 162 own stores and 20+ franchised
• Pyaterochka was formed after 1998 financial crisis from two food wholesale operations
• First store opened in February 1999• Positioned as a soft discounter with 3500
products• Average store size 585 sq m• Mostly located in residential districts• EBRD has been a shareholder since 2001
14
New store openings in 1999-2003E: Rapid Growth 15
1721
27
15 11
15 4041
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003E
Openings in Moscow
Openings in St Petersburg
16
Pyaterochka stores in St. Petersburg and Moscow
Pyaterochka Proposition
OUR CUSTOMER STORE CHARACTERISTICS
Low to middle income group Convenient location
Average basket ~ $4.5 Competitive prices
Frequent shoppers Guaranteed quality of products
Majority do not have cars Well-chosen range of products
Live within 1,5 km Always in stock
17
One of Pyaterochka stores in St. Petersburg 18
Inside the store 19
Pyaterochka Phase One Strategy
• Build Pyaterochka brand as fast as possible• Lease all stores rather than buy or build• Increase range from 600 to 3500 SKU’s• Build reputation for low cost quality branded
goods• Concentrate on supply chain issues• Introduce best practices throughout
organisation
20
Pyaterochka Phase Two Strategy
• Continue aggressive roll out strategy
• Buy well located stores
• Build stores when the opportunity arises
• Introduce a number of own label products
• Leverage buying power to keep prices low
• Build consolidated warehouses
• Introduce best of breed IT solutions across the supply chain
• Develop larger format
21
Pyaterochka Critical Success Factors
• Keep it simple– Limited Promotional Activity– No Internet Home Delivery– No Credit and Loyalty Cards
• Every day low prices– Same price in every store in each region
• Well trained employees– Pyaterochka training school 3 week course
• Source products locally– 2000 50% of all products imported– 2003 95% of all products bought locally
• Always in stock– Very high sales per sq m on a range of 3500 products
22
Pyaterochka as a Proxy for Russia - Positives
• Rapid growth in all forms of organised retail • Stock market up by over 50% av for each of
last three years• Increasing interest from Multi Nationals in
setting up local operations • All big 4 accountants present and very busy
(and expensive)• EBRD and IFC very active• Top Law Firms and Investment Banks returning
since 1998 financial crisis
23
Pyaterochka as a Proxy for Russia - Negatives
• St Petersburg and Moscow reasonably easy places to do business- regions less so
• A bit of a bubble again with high real estate prices. Leases still short 5-6 yrs common
• Infrastructure Road & Rail need investment• Little sale/ lease back activity• No 3rd Party Logistics Operators- Do it all
yourself!• Red tape does mean you need a local partner
24
Pyaterochka Key Challenges
• Finding appropriate locations– 2 teams of people in St Pete & Moscow
• Keeping highly trained employees– Continual learning at training school– Above average compensation
• Keeping costs low– Re-investing supplier discounts into lower prices
for customers• Fight competition
– Outdoor markets, other discounters, Western operators
25
Financials and operating data
2000 2001 2002* 2003F
Number of stores 38 80 135 187
Net sales, $m 67.3 190.6 493.2 750.0
EBITDA, $m 3.0 10.7 38.1 58.0
EBITDA margin, % 4.3 5.6 7.7 7.7
* Audited, IAS
26
Key performance measures in 2002:• Inventory turnover: 11 days• Average purchase bill: $4.5• Average daily number of purchases: 296,228• Sales/sq. metre of selling area: $8.986• Long term debt/equity: 0.05 (as of end 2002)
Benchmarking Analysis: European Comparables 27
EBIT ROCE in 2002
69,9%
15,3%
14,4%
13,8%
12,1%
11,9%
11,8%
11,6%
9,4%
Pyaterochka
Metro
Tesco
Carrefour
Delhaize
Casino
Sainsbury
Ahold
Jeronimo Martins
Source: SSSB, Company data (audited IAS)
Continue rapid organic growth of existing format in Moscow & St. Petersburg
Increase purchasing power with suppliers; enhance gross margins and volume
Increase share of owned and purpose built stores to 50/50
Expand into the regions (through franchising)
Develop larger format
Be well positioned to fight eventual competition from other Russian and foreign retailers
Become a strong candidate for an IPO
28Pyaterochka Plans
Conclusion 29
• Growth in consumer spending in Russia will further boost development of all retail chains
• Food retail industry is very fragmented, but entering stage of fast consolidation
• Suppliers need to set up shop in Russia to do business
• Excellent opportunities for western Suppliers prepared to invest in Russia
• Logistics and IT services companies in short supply but translation issues must be tackled
• Own label manufacturers will have massive demand over next 5 years
Contact details 30
Any questions? E mail
David Noble
Supervisory Board Director
Pyaterochka
e-mail: [email protected]