day 1 tim langmead - energy and mines · delivering’on’targets...
TRANSCRIPT
Mining’s energy challenges and strategic options
Forward looking statements
Disclaimer
Important NoticeThe purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about Fortescue Metals Group Limited ("Fortescue"). It is not recommended that any person makes any investment decision in relation to Fortescue based on this presentation. This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements". Such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Fortescue that the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of Fortescue, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or omission therefrom.
Fortescue accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish the person with any further information.
Additional InformationThis presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report at 30 June 2016 together with any announcements made by Fortescue in accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations arising under the Corporations Act 2001.
Any references to reserve and resources estimations should be read in conjunction with Fortescue’s Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources statement for its Hematite and Magnetite projects at 30 June 2016 as released to the Australian Securities Exchange on 19 August 2016, and ASX releases dated 20 May 2014 and 8 January 2015 as they relate to Hematite Mineral Resources Development Properties. Fortescue confirms in the subsequent public report that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the relevant market announcement and, in the case of estimates of mineral resources or ore reserves, that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed.
All amounts within this presentation are stated in United States Dollars consistent with the functional currency of Fortescue Metals Group Limited, unless otherwise stated. Tables contained within this presentation may contain immaterial rounding differences.
Delivering on targets
Focus on safety, productivity and efficiency
ü Safety
ü 165-170mt shipped
ü Productivity + efficiency
ü Lowest cost producer
ü Debt repayments
ü Consistent dividend policy3
China's Iron Ore Supply CFR Costs (including royalties & ocean freight)
Moving down the global cost curve
Source: Metalytics 25
2012
2016
Creating opportunities through training, employment and business development
Building strong communities
5
WA’s natural gas potential
The gas opportunity
Recognise renewables and storage role in future energy solutions
• Gas critical transition fuel and good for our economy
• Switch from imported diesel and enable integrated NWIS
• A grid with gas base load enables Pilbara renewables
7
Sensitivity to energy
Mining is an energy-intensive business
Fortescue's C1 costs
Solomon
Chichesters
Port
Rail
Mining Fleet
Energy
Nameplate Capacity of Existing Domgas Plants
Domestic Gas Production Capacity
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capacity (TJ per day) Red Gully
Xyris
Beharra Springs
Dongara
Wheatstone
Gorgon
Macedon
Devil Creek
Varanus Island
KGP
Source: GSOO 2016, AEMO
Continued development of reserves crucial to post-2021 supply to avoid the cliff
AEMO scenario highlights domgas market risk
Source: GSOO 2016, AEMO
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
TJ per day
Base scenario gas demand Base scenario potential gas supply Remaining gas reserves for the WA domestic market
Concern about what this means for future supply
Drilling rates at historic lows
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Number of wells drilled
Bonaparte Browse Carnarvon Canning Perth
Source: GSOO 2016, AEMO
Significant number of RLs mature ahead of possible domgas cliff
The Retention Lease bulge
Source: NOPTA NEATS data and Fortescue analysis
19871991
19921993
1994
1994 1995 1996
20002001
2003
2003
2004
2006
2006
2006 2007
2011
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Number of RLs due to expire
Year of RL expiry
Retention Lease Expiry Schedule (NOPTA) and Initial Date of Grant
Gas important in transition to renewables
More domestic gas fields need to be developed
• Policy settings to enable transition
• Maintain competitive advantage
• “Use it, or lose it” tension needed
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