debt underwriting by commercial bank- affiliated firms and investment banks: more evidence ivan carl...
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Debt Underwriting by Commercial Bank-Affiliated Firms and Investment
Banks: More Evidence
Ivan Carl Roten
December 8, 2000
Bank Underwriting Regulation
Glass-Steagall Act (1933)
Section 20 Relaxation (1986, 1989, 1990, 1997)
Financial Modernization Act (1999)
Previous Literature
Pre-Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 Ang and Richardson (1994), Krozner and Rajan
(1994), Puri (1994)
Post-Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 Gande, et al (1997), Gande et al (1999)
Miscellaneous Megginson and Weiss (1991), Livingston and
Miller (1998)
Data Sample
SDC - Security Data CorporationLPC – Loan Pricing Corporation
Period – 01/01/1995 to 12/31/1998
Debt underwriting 1,362 issues
Gross spread / Yield spread
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Quarters (1995-98)
Pe
rce
nt
Gross spread Yield spread
Descriptive Statistics
Variables All Section 20 Non-S 20 Number of Issues 1362 321 1041GROSS SPREAD (%) 0.92 0.84 0.94
YIELD SPREAD 130.12 129.28 130.38ISSUE AMOUNT ($ mill) 176.85 113.88 196.27FILE AMOUNT ($ mill) 933.01 727.66 996.34MATURITY (yrs.) 14.4 11.3 15.36MTNs (%) 22.1 38.94 16.91REPUTATION (%) 11.15 5.07 13.03
Models
Dependent Variables:GROSS SPREAD and YIELD SPREAD
Independent Variables:SECTION, LN (SMKT), LN(STAKE), EXCHANGE
LN (ISSUE), REFINANCE, SENIOR, REP, MAT
CREDIT RATING, QUARTER, INDUSTRY
LN(FILE), SHELF, MTN, FRBSHIFT, LN(MAT)
Gross spread results: Parsimonious Model
VariableCONSTANTSECTIONLN(SMKT)LN(STAKE)LN(ISSUE)REPHIMATLOWMATQUARTER
Coeff p-value0.955 0.000 -0.010 0.042 0.021 0.000-0.003 0.009 0.203 0.000-0.202 0.000-0.004 0.042
Coeff p-value 1.016 0.000-0.080 0.011 0.002 0.809 0.019 0.001-0.004 0.001 0.201 0.000-0.204 0.000-0.003 0.080
Coeff p-value 0.993 0.000 -0.016 0.841-0.010 0.042 0.021 0.000-0.003 0.010 0.203 0.000-0.202 0.000-0.003 0.328
Gross spread results: Extended Model
VariableCONSTSECTIONLN(SMKT)LN(STAK)LN(FILE)LN(ISSUE)MTNSHELFREPLN(MAT)FRBSHIFT
Coeff p-value Coeff p-value 0.916 0.000 0.861 0.000-0.082 0.004
-0.007 0.893 0.005 0.365 -0.007 0.172-0.041 0.001 -0.039 0.001 0.006 0.559 0.008 0.421-0.076 0.027 -0.074 0.032-0.206 0.000 -0.208 0.000-0.004 0.001 -0.003 0.011 0.180 0.000 0.181 0.000 0.003 0.846 0.000 0.984
Yield spread results: Parsimonious Model
VariableCONSTSECTIONLN(SMKT)LN(STAK)LN(ISSUE)REPHIMATLOWMATQUARTER
Coeff p-value 0.185 0.993
-0.905 0.396 -1.973 0.126 -0.163 0.495 22.370 0.000-16.299 0.000 1.950 0.000
Coeff p-value -1.483 0.948 2.186 0.691 -1.228 0.295 -1.910 0.140 -0.132 0.61122.428 0.000-16.242 0.000 1.934 0.000
Coeff p-value-78.576 0.027 33.173 0.022 -0.949 0.374 -2.094 0.103 -0.187 0.434 22.344 0.000-16.631 0.000 0.778 0.239
Yield spread results: Extended Model
VariableCONSTSECTIONLN(SMKT)LN(STAK)LN(FILE)LN(ISSUE)SHELFMTNREPLN(MAT)QUARTER
Coeff p-value10.557 0.711 -1.762 0.727
-0.815 0.448 -3.780 0.077 -2.926 0.135-19.987 0.017-17.615 0.001 -0.645 0.010 19.166 0.000
Coeff p-value-3.876 0.893 1.663 0.763 -0.769 0.509-3.091 0.196-3.689 0.099-22.500 0.011 -9.944 0.103 -0.097 0.70815.435 0.000 2.312 0.000
Coeff p-val-84.803 0.020
34.603 0.016 -0.563 0.592 -2.951 0.210 -3.954 0.076-23.290 0.009-10.247 0.091 -0.145 0.545 15.471 0.000 1.102 0.084
Summary
Gross Spread Section 20s - Lower gross spread, especially
non-investment grade issues Reputation - lower gross spread
MTNs - lower gross spread
Policy change – No support
Summary
Yield Spread Section 20s – No Support
Reputation – Lower yield
Policy Change – No support
MTNs - Lower yield