DeKalb Chamber of CommerceFebruary 11, 2013

1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

4 What Can We Do?

Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

Academic Achievement Milestones

School Readiness

Literacy by 3rd Grade

Numeracy by 8th Grade

High School Graduation

Workforce and/or College Ready

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

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Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2010

Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.

20th State61% United

States60%

Georgia64%

NAEP 2011 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

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20

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Georgia & US Average

66%20th State

70%

NAEP 2011 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

0

20

40

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United States72% Georgia

68%

20th State77%

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Wisc

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North

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Texas

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South

Car

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Florida

Alaska

Georg

ia

Nevad

a0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Source: Ed.gov (2012). Regulatory Adjusted 4-year Cohort Graduation Rate, All Students: 2010-11.

20th State82% Georgia

67%

High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings

Georgia High School Graduation Rates

Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards.

YearHigh School

Graduation RateNumber of High

School Non-Grads

2009 58.6%* 62,172

2010 64.0%* 51,503

2011 67.5% 44,661

Total 158,337

* Approximations from Georgia Department of Education

Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates

Education Pays

Source: *U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table A-4. Employment status of the civilian population 25 years and over by educational attainment.

**U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Table 5. Quartiles of usual weekly earnings of full-time wage and salary workers.

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT

Unemployment Rate* January 2013

Median Wkly Earnings** (& approx.

annual)

15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000

3.7 Bachelor’s Degree & Higher $1,168 ($60,736)

7.0 Some college/ Associate Degree $754 ($39,376)

8.1 HS Graduates, No College

$647 ($33,644)

12.0 Less than a High School Diploma

$478 ($24,856)

Unemployment Rates by Education Level

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 2013.

1/07 1/08 1/09 1/10 1/11 1/12 1/130.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

6.9%

12.0%

4.2%

8.1%

3.8%

7.0%

2.1%

3.7%

High School DropoutHigh School Graduate

Some College or Associate’s DegreeBachelor’s Degree or Higher

Unemployment Rates by County: December 2012

Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 8.8% (not seasonally adjusted)

State Service Delivery Regions

Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion

How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?

Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.

Region 1 $2.2 billion

Region 2 $1.2 billion

Region 3 $4.2 billion

Region 4 $1.1 billion

Region 5 $1.1 billion

Region 6 $1.0 billion

Region 7 $1.1 billion

Region 8 $0.9 billion

Region 9 $0.9 billion

Region 10 $2.0 billion

Region 11 $1.0 billion

Region 12 $1.1 billion

TOTAL $18 billion*

Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion

Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.

INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY

Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth

Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity

Higher health care & criminal justice costs

Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood

Higher public services costs

Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age of child in months

Voc

abu

lary

Siz

eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth

Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”

Professional Families 1,116 words

Working Class Families 749 words

Welfare Families 525 words

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

41%

66%

29%

20%

45%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Never on welfare as adult

Graduated HS on time

Earn $2,000+ monthly

No-Program group Program group

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

9th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School

Attended <85% Suspended two or more times Failed Math Course Failed 2 or more courses0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Characteristic

Pe

rce

nt

of

Stu

de

nts

Wh

o D

rop

Ou

t

Source: Balfanz, Robert. (2010) Early Warning Indicator Analysis: Tennessee.

Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States

Higher Standards

Rigorous Curriculum

Clear Accountability System

Statewide Student Information System

Leadership Training

3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards2

00

7

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

All Students Black Hispanic White

2007 2008 2009 2010 201150%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

All Students Black Hispanic White

8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Achievement Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

All Students Asian Black Hispanic White

67%

79%

60% 58%

76%

Graduation Rate - 2011

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

Complete College Georgia100 students enroll in a Georgia public college or university

100

Graduate in 4 years

37

20

4

3

2

9

17

6

1

1

0

2

44

36

11

14

3

28

2

1

0

0

0

0

11 28

2-Year Public College 4-Year Public College

Full-Time Part-Time Full-Time Part-Time

Enroll

Return as sophomores

Graduate on time (100% time)

Additional graduates (150% time)

200% time

Total graduates

Graduate in 8 yearsKey - Measuring time

100% time150% time200% time

Associate2 years3 years4 years

Bachelor’s4 years6 years8 years

Demand for postsecondary education has increased, and will continue to increase during and after the recovery.

Source: Anthony Carnevale’s analysis of March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018, presented in The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.

1973 1992 2007 20180%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

32%

10% 11% 10%

40%

34% 30% 28%

12%

8%10% 12%

9%

19% 21% 23%

7% 10% 11% 10%

19%17%

17%

Master's Degree or Better

Bachelor's Degree

Associate's Degree

Some College, No Degree

High School Graduates

High School Dropouts

Pe

rce

nta

ge

of W

ork

forc

eB

y e

du

catio

na

l le

vel

Job Losers Job Gainers

Structural Changes Through 2018 and Beyond

Source: : Anthony Carneval’s presentation: The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.

What Can We Do?

Profile of Child, Family and Community Wellbeing – DeKalb County*

Indicator Year DeKalb Rate Georgia Rate

Low birth weight 2010 10.2% 9.8%

Child death, ages 1-14 (per 100,000) 2010 30.5 20.5

Teen pregnancies, ages 15-17 (per 1,000) 2010 35.4 28.1

Substantiated incidents of Child Abuse and/or neglect (per 1,000)

2010 4.2 8.0

Incidences of STDs, ages 15-19 (per 1,000) 2010 49.2 30.1

Children absent more than 15 days from school 2010 10.1% 9.7%

Teens not in school and not working, ages 16-19

2010 10.9% 10.8%

Children living with single parent 2010 43.0% 32.7%

Children living in families where no parent in is the labor market

2010 8.5% 8.0%

* Data provided by Georgia Kids Count, Georgia Family Connection Partnership, http://www.gafcp.org

2011 CRCT System Comparisons – 3rd Grade Reading

Source: Georgia School Council Institute, www.georgiaeduction.org

2011 CRCT System Comparisons – 8th Grade Math

Source: Georgia School Council Institute, www.georgiaeduction.org

2011 SAT System Comparisons

Source: Georgia School Council Institute, www.georgiaeduction.org

Aligning Educational Strategies

Aligned Acts of Improvement

Random Acts of Improvement

GOALS

GOALS

How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline?

LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS

Childcare Providers

Afterschool Programs

Academic Supports

Job Training

Civic Opportunities

Early Childhood

K – 12 SystemPost Secondary

Work & Career

ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES

Transportation Health Housing Financial

Source: The Forum for Youth Investment

Help Insulate the Pipeline

Post Secondary

Read to children everyday

Quality Rated: Encourage participation of your early learning centers

Read and mentor students

Volunteer with Junior Achievement

Participate in Friday Night /College Lights and/ or Apply to College Month

Support joint enrollment programs

Provide internships/ apprenticeships

Highlight need for certifications, 2-year degrees, and 4-year degrees

Early Childhood

K – 12 System

Georgia Partnership for Excellence In Education270 Peachtree Street, NW

Suite 2200Atlanta, GA 30303

404.223.2280www.gpee.org