delivering value2016/04/06 · united states or to, or for the account or benefit of any “us...
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DELIVERING VALUEas Australia’s newest coking coal producer
Mines and Money Hong HongApril 2016
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IMPORTANTINFORMATION
This document has been prepared by StanmoreCoal Limited (“Stanmore Coal”) for the purpose ofproviding a company and technical overview tointerested analysts/investors. None of StanmoreCoal, nor any of its related bodies corporate, theirrespective directors, partners, employees oradvisers or any other person (“Relevant Parties”)makes any representations or warranty to, or takesresponsibility for, the accuracy, reliability orcompleteness of the information contained in thisdocument, to the recipient of this document(“Recipient”), and nothing contained in it is, or maybe relied upon as, a promise or representation,whether as to the past or future.The information in this document does not purportto be complete nor does it contain all theinformation that would be required in a disclosurestatement or prospectus prepared in accordancewith the Corporations Act 2001 (Commonwealth). Itshould be read in conjunction with Stanmore’sother periodic and continuous disclosureannouncements lodged with the AustralianSecurities Exchange, which are available atwww.asx.com.au.This document is not a recommendation to acquireStanmore Coal shares and has been preparedwithout taking into account the objectives, financialsituation or needs of individuals. Before making aninvestment decision prospective investors shouldconsider the appropriateness of the informationhaving regard to their own objectives, financialsituation and needs and seek appropriate advice,including financial, legal and taxation adviceappropriate to their jurisdiction. Except to the extentprohibited by law, the Relevant Parties disclaim allliability that may otherwise arise due to any of thisinformation being inaccurate or incomplete. Byobtaining this document, the Recipient releases theRelevant Parties from liability to the Recipient forany loss or damage that it may suffer or incurarising directly or indirectly out of or in connectionwith any use of or reliance on any of thisinformation, whether such liability arises in contract,
tort (including negligence) or otherwise.This document contains certain “forward-lookingstatements”. The words “forecast”, “estimate”,“like”, “anticipate”, “project”, “opinion”, “should”,“could”, “may”, “target” and other similarexpressions are intended to identify forward lookingstatements. Indications of, and guidance on, futureearnings and financial position and performanceare also forward-looking statements. You arecautioned not to place undue reliance on forwardlooking statements.Although due care and attention has been used inthe preparation of forward looking statements, suchstatements, opinions and estimates are based onassumptions and contingencies that are subject tochange without notice, as are statements aboutmarket and industry trends, which are based oninterpretations of current market conditions.Forward looking statements including projections,guidance on future earnings and estimates areprovided as a general guide only and should not berelied upon as an indication or guarantee of futureperformance.Recipients of the document must make their ownindependent investigations, consideration andevaluation. By accepting this document, theRecipient agrees that if it proceeds further with itsinvestigations, consideration or evaluation ofinvesting in the company it will make and rely solelyupon its own investigations and inquiries and willnot in any way rely upon this document.This document is not and should not be consideredto form any offer or an invitation to acquireStanmore Coal shares or any other financialproducts, and neither this document nor any of itscontents will form the basis of any contract orcommitment. In particular, this document does notconstitute any part of any offer to sell, or thesolicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in theUnited States or to, or for the account or benefit ofany “US person” as defined in Regulation S underthe US Securities Act of 1993 (“Securities Act”).
Stanmore Coal shares have not been, and will notbe, registered under the Securities Act or thesecurities laws of any state or other jurisdiction ofthe United States, and may not be offered or sold inthe United States or to any US person withoutbeing so registered or pursuant to an exemptionfrom registration.Marketable Reserves Note – The Range: TheMarketable Coal Reserves of 94Mt is derived froma JORC compliant run of mine (ROM) ProbableCoal Reserve of 117.5Mt based on a 14.8% ashproduct and predicted yield of 80%. The 94Mtmarketable reserve is included in the 287Mt totalJORC Resource (18Mt Measured + 187MtIndicated + 82Mt Inferred Resource).Marketable Reserves Note – Isaac Plains: TheMarketable Coal Reserves of 3.7Mt is derived froma JORC compliant run of mine (ROM) Reserve of5.0Mt based on a predicted yield of 73%. The 3.7MtMarketable Reserve is included in the 48.2Mt totalJORC Resource for Isaac Plains(15.2Mt Measured+ 23.0Mt Indicated + 10.0Mt Inferred Resource).Marketable Reserves Note – Isaac Plains East:The Marketable Coal Reserves of 8.3Mt is derivedfrom a JORC compliant run of mine (ROM)Reserve of 10.3Mt based on a predicted yield of81%. The 8.3Mt Marketable Reserve is included inthe 28.7Mt total JORC Resource for Isaac PlainsEast (18.7Mt Indicated + 10.0Mt InferredResource).Competent Persons Statement:The information in this report relating to explorationresults and coal resources is based on informationcompiled by Mr Troy Turner who is a member ofthe Australian Institute of Mining and Metallurgyand is a full time employee of Xenith Consulting PtyLtd. Mr Turner is a qualified geologist and hassufficient experience which is relevant to the styleof mineralisation and type of deposit underconsideration and to the activity which he isundertaking, to qualify as Competent Person as
defined in the 2012 Edition of the “AustralasianCode for Reporting of Exploration Results, MineralResources and Ore Reserves”. Mr Turnerconsents to the inclusion in the report of thematters based on the information, in the form andcontext in which it appears.The information in this report relating to coalreserves for Isaac Plains and Isaac Plains East isbased on information compiled by Mr Ken Hill whois a full-time employee of Xenith Consulting Pty Ltd.Mr Hill is the Managing Director of XenithConsulting Pty Ltd, is a qualified civil engineer, amember of the Australian Institute of Mining andMetallurgy (AusIMM) and has the relevantexperience (30+ years) in relation to themineralisation being reported to qualify as aCompetent Person as defined in the “AustralasianCode for Reporting of Exploration Results, MineralResources and Ore Reserves (The JORC Code2012 Edition)”. Mr Hill consents to the inclusion inthe report of the matters based on the information,in the form and context in which it appears.The information in this report relating to coalreserves for The Range is based on informationcompiled by Mr Richard Hoskings who is a memberof Minserve Pty Ltd. Mr Hoskings is a miningengineer, a Fellow of the Australian Institute ofMining and Metallurgy (AusIMM) and has therelevant experience (30+ years) in relation to themineralisation being reported to qualify as aCompetent Person as defined in the “AustralasianCode for Reporting of Exploration Results, MineralResources and Ore Reserves (The JORC Code2012 Edition)”. Mr Hoskings consents to theinclusion in the report of the matters based on theinformation, in the form and context in which itappears.
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STANMORE COALDELIVERING VALUE AS AUSTRALIA’S NEWEST COKING COAL PRODUCER
CREATING A LOW COST COKING COAL OPERATION WITH SIGNIFICANT MINE LIFE BYCOMBINING TWO NEIGHBOURING ASSETS
✓Transformationalacquisitionof Isaac Plains (July 2015),established open-cut minewith $350m (replacementcost) of operating assets
On track to deliver first coal inApril 2016 using optimised,low cost mining approach
✓Fully fundedfor production via cash,A$57m vendor paymentsand US$42m interest onlyfacility
✓JORCResources andReservesupgrades1
(April 2016) extend open-cut mine life from three toten+ years
✓Adjacentinvestment(July 2015) of Isaac PlainsEast
Adjacent resource withsubstantial operatingsynergies and minimalcapital requirements
Note 1: Refer Competent Persons Statement and Marketable Reserves Notes, p23
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THE TIGHTLY HELD BOWEN BASINTHE MAJORS DOMINATE OWNERSHIP & PRODUCTION
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Major Unlisted junior & mid-tier ASX listed junior miner
THE TIGHTLY HELD BOWEN BASINSTRATEGIC MET COAL INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES ARE RARE
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BOWEN BASIN MET COAL PEER ANALYSIS – ANNUAL PRODUCTION RATES
Limitedopportunities
for directinvestment incoking coal
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A TRANSFORMATIONAL INVESTMENT
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COAL QUALITY Metallurgical coal – semi-soft,
semi-hard Sold into major steel mills in
Japan, Korea and India
ISAAC PLAINS MINETRANSACTION OVERVIEW & RATIONALE
LOCATION Located near Moranbah in
the heart of the Bowen Basin 172 km from DBCT via
Goonyella rail line
ACQUISITIONPRICE
$1ACQUISITION OF ESTABLISHEDMET COAL MINE Existing open-cut operation
previously in care and maintenance Near term cash flows Rail and port access agreements in
place, exporting through DalrympleBay Coal Terminal (DBCT)
HISTORY Commenced production in 2006
as a truck shovel operation Dragline operations commenced
in 2011 Placed on care and maintenance
late 2014 by previous owners ValeSA and Sumitomo Corp
Maximum historical production2.3Mtpa (product coal)
APPROVED MINING LEASE ANDENVIRONMENTAL AUTHORITY Up to 4.0Mtpa run of mine (ROM)
production approval in placeTRANSACTIONCOMPLETEDNovember2015
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ISAAC PLAINS MINEACQUIRED ASSETS – REPLACEMENT VALUE > $350m
DRAGLINE
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TRAIN LOADOUT
Bucyrus BE1370 High performance machine
Product stockpile, trainloadout, rail loop Conveyor feed to rail
surge/loading bin
COAL HANDLING AND PREP PLANT (CHPP) OFFICE FACILITIES AND WORKSHOPS
500tph feed rate (3.5 Mtpa)constructed in 2006 Belt press filter – no tailings
dams Flexible operating setup to
produce multiple coal products
Established office setupincludes communications andother infrastructure Several maintenance
workshops
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A VALUE-ADDINGADJACENT ACQUISITION
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Acquisition from Peabody Energy inJuly 2015
Coking coal adjacent tenures
Low strip ratio coal starting <6:1(lower than Isaac Plains)
Significant synergies with IP, withminimal capital requirements
3km haul back to Isaac Plainsprocessing and transport infrastructure
Transaction:
– Upfront payment of $2 million
– Contingent payments of:
$2 million upon grant of aMining Lease (ML); and
$3 million payable as a $1royalty per tonne sold
ISAAC PLAINS EASTLOW STRIP RATIO, ADJACENT RESOURCE
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UNTAPPING VALUE:OPTIMISED MINE PLAN &EXTENSIONS
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RIGHT SCALE OF OPERATION Asset re-optimised at 1.5Mtpa ROM
(1.1Mtpa product) to maximise proportionof low cost dragline Open cut mining of lower strip
ratio northern pits only Contractors’ rates are significantly lower
than recent boom period Reduction in take-or-pay contracts from
2.8 Mtpa to 1.1 Mtpa match optimisedproduction level
ISAAC PLAINS OPTIMISEDA LOW COST APPROACH
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1. Wood Mackenzie and Stanmore Coal analysis
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• Cost curve is not margin adjusted for product mix• AUD:USD 0.75
CREATING A LOW COST OPERATIONISAAC PLAINS COSTS REDUCED BY 35%1
Global seaborne coking coal cost curve – 2016
Source: Stanmore Coal analysis and Wood Mackenzie13
US$
/t
200
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300
150
100
50
0
Million tonnes
nTotal Cash Cost
Isaac Plains Eastestimated cost
per tonne (LOM)
Isaac Plainsestimated cost
per tonne (LOM)*
ISAAC PLAINS MINE – OPTIMISED Right sized production for dragline and
mine Competitive mining costs locked in via
three year contract Low overheads Renegotiated other contracts where
possible
ISAAC PLAINS EAST – LOW COSTEXTENSION Significant additional cost reductions due to
lower strip ratio Enhanced quality improves yield and
product spec
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MAJOR UPGRADE TO PROJECT SCALEDETAILED EXPLORATION & STUDIES RECENTLY COMPLETED BY STANMORE
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PREVIOUS UPDATE APRIL 2016 % INCREASE
IP IPE TOTAL IP IPE TOTAL
JORC RESOURCES1
Measured 10.0 0.0 10.0 15.2 0.0 15.2 52%
Indicated 9.1 0.0 9.1 23.0 18.7 41.7 358%
Inferred 11.0 0.0 11.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 82%
Total Resources 30.1 0.0 30.1 48.2 28.7 76.9 155%
JORC RESERVES1
Proved 3.7 0.0 3.7 3.7 0.0 3.7
Probable 1.3 0.0 1.3% 1.3 10.3 11.6 792%
Total Reserves 5.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 10.3 15.3 206%
JORCUPDATEAPRIL20161
DoubledJORC Resources
to 76.9MtTripledJORC Reserves
to 15.7Mt
Note 1: Refer Competent Person Statement and Marketable Reserve Notes, p2
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Growth opportunities to utilise IP infrastructure including underutilised CHPP and rail loop
UNDERGROUND RESOURCE EXTENSIONS Over 20Mt JORC Measured & Indicated
within underground Resources at Isaac Plains Potential for highwall mining accessed from
the disused southern pits Investigating underground extraction methods
for 7.5Mt ROM using a Bord and Pillartechnique
Potential additional annual production 0.8 -1.3 Mtpa
ISAAC PLAINS EAST – OPEN CUT EXTENSION Extends open cut mine life to over 10 years
at 1.5mtpa ROM production rate Materially lower strip ratio than IP
CURRENT ISAAC PLAINS OPEN CUT 3 years at 1.5mtpa ROM production rate
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH OPTIONSSYNERGIES & LIFE-OF-MINE EXTENSIONS
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Parameter1 Isaac Plains Isaac PlainsEast
(Indicative)
Coking Thermal Coking
Product split (%) 80% 20% +90%
Inherent Moisture (%) 2.5 3.1 2.3
Ash (%) 9.4 14.0 9.5
Volatile matter (%) 25.4 24.2 24.4
Fixed Carbon (%) 62.3 58.7 63.7
Total Sulphur (%) 0.36 0.37 0.40
Phosphorous (%) 0.100 0.161 0.070
CSN2 4 4+
HGI3 65
Calorific Value (kcal/kg) 7,434 6,600 7,380
HIGH QUALITY COKING COALPRE-SOLD TO MAJOR ASIAN STEEL MAKERS
HIGHLIGHTS
JPY 2017 contracts signed / terms agreed with top tierJapanese and Korean steel mills on annual benchmarkcontracts for 900,000t of coking coal
Current marketing plan sees Isaac Plains producing 80%semi-soft coking coal and 20% thermal, total productyield 73%
Indicative coal quality shows improvement in IsaacPlains East:
Total product yield of 81% with higher proportionof coking coal
Ability to enhance coking properties by splittingseam and optimising washing yield
Notes:1. Air dried basis unless stated otherwise2. Crucible swell number3. Hardgrove grindability index 16
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Two strategic transactions completedto present multiple pathways toenhance shareholder value
Delivered without dilutionto existing shareholders
TRANSACTIONSUMMARY
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0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16
Shar
e pr
ice
($)
Price (LHS)
DELIVERING ON KEY MILESTONESCURRENT MARKET CAP: A$50M
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AcquireIsaacPlainsEast
Extension
Optimise IPmine plan to
reduceproduction
cost by 35% –award mining
contract
Sign Offtakefor coking coal
with leadingAsian
Steelmakers
AdditionalJORC
Resources&
Reservesannounced
AcquireIsaacPlainsfor $1
UPCOMINGMILESTONES
✓ First shipment
✓ Highwall miningfeasibility
✓ Undergroundfeasibility
✓ Lodge expansionapprovals
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Conference
Booth M4 at Hong Kong Mines & Money
Head Office
Level 8, 100 Edward Street, Brisbane QLD 4000GPO Box 2602, Brisbane QLD 4001Phone +61 7 3238 1000Email [email protected]
CONTACT USFOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ASX : SMR
AUSTRALIA’S ONLYASX LISTED JUNIORCOKING COAL PRODUCER
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APPENDICES
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Over 150 years of coal exploration, development and operational experience
Neville SneddonChairmanMining engineer with 40years experience in coal,formerly CEO of AngloCoal Australia, Chairmanof DBCT Port andDirector of PWCS Port.
StephenBizzellExtensive experience incommercialisingresources companies,former executive directorof Arrow Energy andcurrent Chairman ofBizzell Capital Partners.
VivForbesOver 40 years of BowenBasin coal experienceincluding all phases ofcoal mine developmentat Goonyella, SouthBlackwater, Burton, andTahmoor coal mines.Formerly Director ofDBCT Port.
ChrisMcAuliffeCo-founder and MD ofSprint Capital Partners.More than 20 yearsexperience in investmentbanking and privateequity in Asia.
PatrickO’ConnorExperience in a widerange of industriesincluding mining, oil &gas exploration, forestry,biotechnology andgovernment utilities.Former non-executivechairman of TFSCorporation Limited.
Nick JorssManaging Director20 years in engineering, projectmanagement, resourcefinancing and M&A.
Mike McKeeChief Operating OfficerMine manager with over 30years experience, mainly in theBowen Basin. Most recentlyGeneral Manager at Minerva,Yarrabee and Sonoma mines.
Andrew RoachChief Financial Officer10 years of accounting andfinance experience in theresource and financial sectors.
NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTORS
Nigel CliffordSenior Geologist10 years of experienceincluding within Stanmore Coaland Linc Energy.
STRONG BOARDAND MANAGEMENT TEAM
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KEY MANAGEMENT
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OVERVIEWOF STANMORE ASSETS
ISAAC PLAINS – 100% Total Resources 30.1 Mt Total Reserves 5.0 Mt Ramp-up to operations
THE RANGE – 100% Total Resources 287 Mt Total Reserves 112 Mt Development
BELVIEW – 100% Total Resources 330 Mt Pre Feasibility underway
LILYVALE – 85% Exploration
MACKENZIE – 85% Coking Coal Total Resources 143 Mt Exploration
ISAAC PLAINS EAST – 100% Undertaking development
activities
Note*: Assumes full farm-incompleted by JV partner
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BOWEN BASIN – Coking Coal
SURAT BASIN
THE RANGE – 100% Total Resources 287 Mt Total Reserves 112 Mt Development
CLIFFORD – 60%* Total Resources 370 Mt Exploration & studies
SURAT BASIN – Thermal Coal
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FULLY FUNDED FOR PRODUCTIONCASH & ADDITIONAL FINANCING
HIGHLIGHTS
✓A$57m in VenderCompensationPaymentsA$50m to be repaid to thevendors via a production-based royalty once hardcoking coal prices areabove A$160 per tonne(CPI adjusted)
✓Strategy in place torefinance theTaurus facilitieswithin 2 years withlower cost bankdebt
✓Cash balance of$17.6m as at 31March 2016
✓US$42m TaurusMining FinanceFund interest onlyfacility for a termof 2 yearsUS$26m for financialguarantees (downfrom $30m on acquisition)US$12m undrawncontingent working capitalfacility
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GLOBAL COST CURVE SUPPORTMACRO FACTORS SUPPORT A POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR METALLURGICAL COAL
Source: Wood Mackenzie Coal Supply & Coal Market Services
MARKETS CONTINUE TO BE CHALLENGINGFOR PRODUCERS OF METALLURGICALCOAL
Current prices indicate significant tonnagesare losing money
Continued production rationalisation is likely toassist in the short term but it is the lack ofcurrent project development in the face ofongoing steel demand that will drive theupward price trajectory as supply demand isrebalanced
24
GLOBAL HCC US$ MARGINS @US$78 / TONNE
Ope
ratin
gm
argi
nU
S$/t
40
0 40 60 8020 100 120 140 160 180 200
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-100
-80
Million tonnes
nAustralianCanadanUnited StatesnRussianRoW
99Mt or 48%<$5/t margin
For
per
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l use
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GLOBAL COST CURVE SUPPORTMACRO FACTORS SUPPORT A POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR METALLURGICAL COAL
Source: Wood Mackenzie; Stanmore Coal analysis
INCENTIVE PRICE FOR METALLURGICAL COAL PROJECTS(US$/TONNE, 15% IRR)
25Note 1. Platts Daily Assessment, 31 March 2016
THE NEXT WAVE OFMET COAL PROJECTSREQUIRES A SIGNIFICANTINCREASE IN PRICING
Incentive price curveshows almost no newprojects would bedeveloped in current priceenvironment
Ince
ntiv
epr
ice
at15
%IR
R(U
S$/t)
350
0 20 30 4010 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140
300
250
200
150
100
0
50
Million tonnes
nAustralianRest of world50% > US$145/t25% < US$126/t
Marginal projectincentive pricein 2035
Current spot priceUS$831
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