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  • @TexasDemography

    Demographic characteristics and  trends in Texas

    Institute of Internal  Auditors, Austin Chapter

    January 23, 2018

    Austin, Texas

  • Growing States, 2010‐2017

    2010 Census Population 2017 Population

    Numeric Change

    2010-2017

    Percent Change

    2010-2017

    United States 308,745,538  325,719,178  16,973,640  5.5%

    Texas 25,145,561  28,304,596  3,159,035  12.6%

    California 37,253,956  39,536,653  2,282,697  6.1%

    Florida 18,801,310  20,984,400  2,183,090  11.6%

    Georgia 9,687,653  10,429,379  741,726  7.7%

    North Carolina 9,535,483  10,273,419  737,936  7.7%

    Washington 6,724,540  7,405,743  681,203  10.1%

    Arizona 6,392,017  7,016,270  624,253  9.8%

    Colorado 5,029,196  5,607,154  577,958  11.5%

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

  • Estimates of percent components of population change,  Texas, 2011‐2017

    53.2% 48.4% 51.6% 45.2% 43.0% 47.1% 52.5%

    17.6% 17.8%

    20.7% 20.3% 22.1%

    24.9% 27.7%

    29.3% 33.7% 27.7% 34.5% 34.9% 28.0%

    19.8%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0%

    40.0%

    50.0%

    60.0%

    70.0%

    80.0%

    90.0%

    100.0%

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Net Domestic Migration

    Net International Migration

    Natural Increase

    3Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage population estimates

  • Population change, Texas, Florida, and  California, 2011‐2017

    4

    40 2, 77

    43 3, 90

    40 0, 95

    2  4 75

    ,1 57

     

    50 0, 44

    44 9, 98

    39 9, 73

    25 0, 90

    24 3, 95

    24 3, 60

    0  3 12

    ,8 20

     

    37 0, 82

    38 8, 02

    32 7, 81

    34 4, 96

    34 6, 35

    32 8, 37

    35 3, 89

    33 1, 16

    26 4, 03

    24 0, 17

     ‐

     100,000

     200,000

     300,000

     400,000

     500,000

     600,000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Texas Florida California

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

  • Natural increase, Texas, Florida, California,  2011‐2017

    5

    21 3, 65

    20 8, 96

    20 5, 79

    21 3, 54

    21 4, 38

    21 2, 02

    20 9, 69

    38 ,7 10

     

    40 ,2 65

     

    31 ,3 45

     

    37 ,2 68

     

    30 ,7 62

     

    25 ,5 92

     

    22 ,0 19

     

    27 1, 33

    25 7, 87

    25 1, 86

    25 4, 91

    24 6, 77

    21 7, 86

    21 3, 93

     ‐

     50,000

     100,000

     150,000

     200,000

     250,000

     300,000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Texas Florida California

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

  • International net‐migration, Texas, Florida,  California, 2011‐2017

    6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

    70 ,5 35

     

    76 ,9 54

     

    82 ,4 49

     

    95 ,6 61

      11 0, 15

    11 1, 98

    11 0, 41

    10 5, 21

    11 0, 75

    11 2, 23

    2  12 8, 94

    14 1, 02

    14 5, 32

    14 4, 16

    13 0, 36

    13 2, 14

    13 1, 82

    5  14 8, 28

    16 7, 97

    16 8, 35

    16 4, 86

     ‐

     20,000

     40,000

     60,000

     80,000

     100,000

     120,000

     140,000

     160,000

     180,000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Texas Florida California

  • Domestic net‐migration, Texas, Florida,  California, 2011‐2017

    7

    11 7, 61

    14 5, 51

    11 0, 61

    16 3, 16

    17 4, 20

    12 5, 80

    79 ,1 63

     

    10 5, 69

    91 ,7 45

     

    99 ,2 28

      1 44

    ,0 17

      1 96

    ,5 60

     

    21 6, 95

    16 0, 85

    (5 4, 62

    6)

    (4 0, 75

    6)

    (5 3, 07

    6)

    (4 6, 33

    0)

    (8 0, 85

    9)

    (1 22

    ,1 23

    )

    (1 38

    ,1 95

    )

     (200,000)

     (150,000)

     (100,000)

     (50,000)

     ‐

     50,000

     100,000

     150,000

     200,000

     250,000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Texas Florida California

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

  • Dallas

    Howard

    Foard Floyd

    Brewster

    Franklin Hunt

    Newton

    Starr

    Kinney

    Collingsworth

    Tom Green

    Coleman

    Brazoria

    Leon

    Duval

    Lamb

    Morris

    Smith

    Jackson

    Medina

    Wheeler

    Dallam

    Callahan

    Lamar

    Coryell

    Gaines

    Kendall

    Nacogdoches

    Milam

    Hays

    Willacy

    Johnson

    Reagan

    Webb

    Shackelford

    Bowie

    Scurry

    Kenedy

    Somervell

    Oldham

    Taylor

    King

    Borden

    Walker

    Stephens

    Deaf Smith

    Roberts

    Tyler

    Val Verde

    Brown

    Parker

    Harris

    Zapata

    Red River

    Karnes

    Palo Pinto

    Glasscock Shelby

    Wood

    Crosby

    Refugio

    Burnet

    Sterling

    Montgomery

    San Augustine

    Rains

    Nueces

    Jack

    Swisher

    Camp

    Brazos

    Orange

    Colorado

    Pecos

    Cochran

    Parmer

    Freestone Winkler

    Wichita

    Gray

    Schleicher

    Hardeman

    TravisGillespie

    Yoakum

    Fayette

    Uvalde

    Grimes

    Van Zandt

    Throckmorton

    Falls

    Grayson

    Ellis

    Hall

    Dickens

    Trinity Reeves

    Marion

    Terrell

    Lynn

    La Salle

    Jasper

    Jones

    Castro

    Victoria

    Kleberg

    Briscoe

    Clay

    Matagorda

    Brooks

    Runnels

    Carson

    Liberty

    Lee

    Hale

    Bexar

    Garza

    Montague

    Upton Hamilton

    FisherDawson

    Dimmit

    Hutchinson

    Llano

    Presidio

    Eastland

    Sabine

    Wharton

    Rusk

    Tarrant

    Lavaca

    Childress

    Hidalgo

    Kaufman

    Moore

    Menard

    Edwards

    San Patricio

    Terry

    Crockett

    Houston

    Waller

    Coke

    Ward

    Titus

    Lampasas

    Haskell

    Martin

    Atascosa

    Hemphill Hartley

    Young

    Burleson Hardin

    Gonzales

    McMullen

    Erath

    Galveston

    Hopkins

    McLennan

    Madison

    McCulloch

    Donley

    Kent

    Real

    Sutton

    Midland

    Hudspeth

    Zavala

    Harrison

    Comanche

    Mitchell

    Navarro

    Crane

    Lubbock

    Wise

    Washington

    Jeff Davis

    El Paso

    Gregg

    Williamson

    Lipscomb

    Mason

    Henderson

    Hansford

    Chambers

    Hill

    Potter

    Jim Wells

    Delta Stonewall

    Ector

    Cameron

    Maverick

    Collin

    Baylor

    Panola

    Guadalupe

    Bastrop

    Austin

    Andrews

    Anderson

    Blanco

    DeWitt

    Bandera

    Bell

    Aransas

    Archer

    Armstrong

    Bee

    Angelina

    Bailey

    Jefferson

    Frio

    Fannin

    Goliad

    Loving

    Cass

    Fort Bend

    Bosque

    Hockley

    San Saba

    Kerr

    Mills

    Cooke

    Wilbarger

    Irion

    Caldwell

    Jim Hogg

    Culberson

    Upshur

    Cherokee

    Denton

    Concho

    Randall

    Kimble

    Knox

    Polk

    Hood

    San Jacinto

    Robertson

    Wilson

    Nolan

    Cottle

    Calhoun

    Rockwall

    Live Oak

    Motley

    Sherman Ochiltree

    Comal

    Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

    86%

    113 - 10,000

    10,001 - 50,000

    50,001 - 100,000

    100,001 - 500,000

    500,001 - 4,589,928

  • Pecos

    Brewster

    Webb

    Hudspeth

    Presidio Terrell

    Culberson Reeves

    Val Verde

    Cr

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