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Demographic characteristics and  trends in Texas

Institute of Internal  Auditors, Austin Chapter

January 23, 2018

Austin, Texas

Growing States, 2010‐2017

2010 Census Population 2017 Population

Numeric Change

2010-2017

Percent Change

2010-2017

United States 308,745,538  325,719,178  16,973,640  5.5%

Texas 25,145,561  28,304,596  3,159,035  12.6%

California 37,253,956  39,536,653  2,282,697  6.1%

Florida 18,801,310  20,984,400  2,183,090  11.6%

Georgia 9,687,653  10,429,379  741,726  7.7%

North Carolina 9,535,483  10,273,419  737,936  7.7%

Washington 6,724,540  7,405,743  681,203  10.1%

Arizona 6,392,017  7,016,270  624,253  9.8%

Colorado 5,029,196  5,607,154  577,958  11.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

Estimates of percent components of population change,  Texas, 2011‐2017

53.2% 48.4% 51.6% 45.2% 43.0% 47.1% 52.5%

17.6% 17.8%

20.7% 20.3% 22.1%

24.9% 27.7%

29.3% 33.7% 27.7% 34.5% 34.9% 28.0%

19.8%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Net Domestic Migration

Net International Migration

Natural Increase

3Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage population estimates

Population change, Texas, Florida, and  California, 2011‐2017

4

40 2, 77

6 

43 3, 90

3 

40 0, 95

2  4 75

,1 57

50 0, 44

4 

44 9, 98

2 

39 9, 73

4 

25 0, 90

8 

24 3, 95

8 

24 3, 60

0  3 12

,8 20

37 0, 82

0 

38 8, 02

2 

32 7, 81

1 

34 4, 96

4 

34 6, 35

2 

32 8, 37

7 

35 3, 89

5 

33 1, 16

6 

26 4, 03

2 

24 0, 17

7 

 ‐

 100,000

 200,000

 300,000

 400,000

 500,000

 600,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

Natural increase, Texas, Florida, California,  2011‐2017

5

21 3, 65

1 

20 8, 96

4 

20 5, 79

5 

21 3, 54

1 

21 4, 38

0 

21 2, 02

1 

20 9, 69

0 

38 ,7 10

40 ,2 65

31 ,3 45

37 ,2 68

30 ,7 62

25 ,5 92

22 ,0 19

27 1, 33

6 

25 7, 87

0 

25 1, 86

0 

25 4, 91

2 

24 6, 77

3 

21 7, 86

6 

21 3, 93

9 

 ‐

 50,000

 100,000

 150,000

 200,000

 250,000

 300,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

International net‐migration, Texas, Florida,  California, 2011‐2017

6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

70 ,5 35

76 ,9 54

82 ,4 49

95 ,6 61

  11 0, 15

5 

11 1, 98

3 

11 0, 41

7 

10 5, 21

8 

11 0, 75

6 

11 2, 23

2  12 8, 94

1 

14 1, 02

4 

14 5, 32

7 

14 4, 16

5 

13 0, 36

5 

13 2, 14

1 

13 1, 82

5  14 8, 28

8 

16 7, 97

6 

16 8, 35

1 

16 4, 86

7 

 ‐

 20,000

 40,000

 60,000

 80,000

 100,000

 120,000

 140,000

 160,000

 180,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Domestic net‐migration, Texas, Florida,  California, 2011‐2017

7

11 7, 61

5 

14 5, 51

3 

11 0, 61

4 

16 3, 16

0 

17 4, 20

0 

12 5, 80

0 

79 ,1 63

10 5, 69

6 

91 ,7 45

99 ,2 28

  1 44

,0 17

  1 96

,5 60

21 6, 95

6 

16 0, 85

4 

(5 4, 62

6)

(4 0, 75

6)

(5 3, 07

6)

(4 6, 33

0)

(8 0, 85

9)

(1 22

,1 23

)

(1 38

,1 95

)

 (200,000)

 (150,000)

 (100,000)

 (50,000)

 ‐

 50,000

 100,000

 150,000

 200,000

 250,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

Dallas

Howard

Foard Floyd

Brewster

Franklin Hunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red River

Karnes

Palo Pinto

Glasscock Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

Trinity Reeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill Hartley

Young

Burleson Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim Wells

Delta Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live Oak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

86%

113 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 500,000

500,001 - 4,589,928

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

Presidio Terrell

Culberson Reeves

Val Verde

Cr