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@TexasDemography Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal Auditors, Austin Chapter January 23, 2018 Austin, Texas

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Page 1: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

@TexasDemography

Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas

Institute of Internal Auditors, Austin Chapter

January 23, 2018

Austin, Texas

Page 2: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Growing States, 2010‐2017

2010 CensusPopulation 2017 Population

NumericChange

2010-2017

PercentChange

2010-2017

United States 308,745,538  325,719,178  16,973,640  5.5%

Texas 25,145,561  28,304,596  3,159,035  12.6%

California 37,253,956  39,536,653  2,282,697  6.1%

Florida 18,801,310  20,984,400  2,183,090  11.6%

Georgia 9,687,653  10,429,379  741,726  7.7%

North Carolina 9,535,483  10,273,419  737,936  7.7%

Washington 6,724,540  7,405,743  681,203  10.1%

Arizona 6,392,017  7,016,270  624,253  9.8%

Colorado 5,029,196  5,607,154  577,958  11.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

Page 3: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Estimates of percent components of population change, Texas, 2011‐2017

53.2% 48.4% 51.6% 45.2% 43.0% 47.1% 52.5%

17.6%17.8%

20.7%20.3% 22.1%

24.9%27.7%

29.3% 33.7% 27.7% 34.5% 34.9%28.0%

19.8%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Net DomesticMigration

Net InternationalMigration

Natural Increase

3Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage population estimates

Page 4: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Population change, Texas, Florida, and California, 2011‐2017

4

402,77

433,90

400,95

2  475,15

500,44

449,98

399,73

250,90

243,95

243,60

0  312,82

0  370,82

388,02

327,81

344,96

346,35

328,37

353,89

331,16

264,03

240,17

 ‐

 100,000

 200,000

 300,000

 400,000

 500,000

 600,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

Page 5: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Natural increase, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017

5

213,65

208,96

205,79

213,54

214,38

212,02

209,69

38,710

 

40,265

 

31,345

 

37,268

 

30,762

 

25,592

 

22,019

 

271,33

257,87

251,86

254,91

246,77

217,86

213,93

 ‐

 50,000

 100,000

 150,000

 200,000

 250,000

 300,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

Page 6: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

International net‐migration, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017

6Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

70,535

 

76,954

 

82,449

 

95,661

  110,15

111,98

110,41

105,21

110,75

112,23

2  128,94

141,02

145,32

144,16

130,36

132,14

131,82

5  148,28

167,97

168,35

164,86

 ‐

 20,000

 40,000

 60,000

 80,000

 100,000

 120,000

 140,000

 160,000

 180,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Page 7: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Domestic net‐migration, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017

7

117,61

145,51

110,61

163,16

174,20

125,80

79,163

 

105,69

91,745

 

99,228

  144,01

196,56

216,95

160,85

(54,62

6)

(40,75

6)

(53,07

6)

(46,33

0)

(80,85

9)

(122

,123

)

(138

,195

)

 (200,000)

 (150,000)

 (100,000)

 (50,000)

 ‐

 50,000

 100,000

 150,000

 200,000

 250,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

Page 8: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

86%

113 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 500,000

500,001 - 4,589,928

Page 9: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016

9Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

96 counties lost population over the 6 year period.

-2,010 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 20,000

20,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 497,469

Page 10: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016

10Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

-4.8% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 18.1%

Page 11: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

CountyU.S. Rank Population Change

Population Change

Percent of Change from 

Natural Increase

Percent Changefrom Domestic  

Migration

Percent Change from 

International Migration

Harris 2 56,587  79.9% ‐27.9% 48.1%Tarrant 5 35,462  44.4% 37.7% 17.9%Bexar 7 33,198  44.6% 39.3% 16.1%Dallas 9 29,209  79.9% ‐20.9% 41.0%Denton 11 27,689  23.9% 67.1% 9.0%

Fort Bend 13 27,388  24.8% 59.4% 15.8%Collin 14 26,506  25.8% 58.7% 15.5%Travis 17 24,505  44.2% 33.3% 22.5%

Williamson 22 20,659  20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Montgomery 24 19,769  18.5% 73.5% 8.0%Hidalgo* 54 10,529  113.5% ‐33.4% 19.9%

Hidalgo County had negative net migration (‐13.5% of total population growth).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016

Page 12: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016

County U.S. Rank

2015‐2016Percent 

Population Change

Percent Change from Domestic Migration

Percent Change from InternationalMigration 

Kendall 2 5.2% 95.9% 4.0%Hays 3 5.1% 82.2% 1.8%Comal 6 4.4% 88.5% 2.0%

Williamson 14 4.1% 74.1% 5.6%Fort Bend 18 3.8% 59.4% 15.8%

Montgomery 24 3.7% 73.5% 8.0%Rockwall 25 3.6% 82.2% 2.5%Denton 28 3.6% 67.1% 9.0%Kaufman 36 3.4% 81.3% 2.2%Bastrop 42 3.1% 83.5% 0.7%Ellis 50 3.1% 78.1% 2.6%

*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Page 13: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Persons per Square Mile

0 – 10

11 – 50

51 – 500 

501 – 4,000

4,001 – 56,000

1970 1980 1990

2000 2010

Density by Census Tract, Austin/San Antonio Corridor, 1970‐2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses. Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database Tract Data from 1970-2010

Page 14: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

-4.4% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 35.4%

Estimated Percent Population Change, Texas Places, 2015‐2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Page 15: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000, 2010, and 2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2015 Population Estimates 11

NH White, 53%

NH Black, 11%

NH Asian, 3%

NH Other, 1%

Hispanic, 32%

2000

NH White, 43%

NH Black, 12%

NH Asian, 5%NH Other, 2%

Hispanic, 39%

2015

NH White, 45%

NH Black, 12%

NH Asian, 4%

NH Other, 2%

Hispanic, 38%

2010

Page 16: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Racial and Ethnic Composition of Texas and Top 10 Most Populous Counties, 2015

NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian NH OtherTEXAS 43.0% 11.8% 38.8% 4.6% 1.8%Denton County 60.9% 9.3% 19.2% 8.0% 2.6%

Collin County 59.4% 9.4% 15.2% 13.4% 2.7%

Travis County 49.5% 8.0% 33.9% 6.4% 2.1%

Tarrant County 48.6% 15.6% 28.2% 5.3% 2.4%

Fort Bend County 34.6% 20.1% 24.1% 19.2% 1.9%

Harris County 31.0% 18.5% 42.0% 7.0% 1.6%

Dallas County 30.6% 22.3% 39.5% 6.0% 1.6%

Bexar County 28.7% 7.3% 59.5% 2.7% 1.7%

El Paso County 13.1% 3.2% 81.3% 1.2% 1.2%

Hidalgo County 7.0% 0.5% 91.3% 1.0% 0.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates 12

Page 17: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

17

Annual Shares of Recent Non‐Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005‐2015 

69.4%

66.8%

61.0%

57.0%

59.0%

50.6%

57.4%

50.9%

42.9%

48.6%

44.1%

17.3%

19.9%

22.4%

28.2%

26.8%

33.0%

25.5%

34.3%

40.4%

33.6%

35.8%

7.8%

5.7%

6.2%

7.8%

7.7%

7.3%

9.9%

7.1%

9.0%

8.3%

7.1%

5.5%

7.6%

10.4%

7.0%

6.5%

9.1%

7.2%

7.8%

7.8%

9.5%

13.1%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Latin America Asia Europe Africa and Other

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

Page 18: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Unauthorized and Mexican Immigration, 2014

18

Page 19: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

19

Page 20: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

20

Page 21: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Texas White (non‐Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2014

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Popu

latio

n

Age

White (non‐Hispanic)

Hispanic

21Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Page 22: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic

22

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014

Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates

Page 23: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Male Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic Female, Hispanic

23

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014

Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates

Page 24: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Male Hispanic

Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic Female, Hispanic

24

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014

Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates

Page 25: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of the population with income below poverty, Texas counties, 2011‐2015

25Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample

1.4% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 40.3%Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

Page 26: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Median Household Income, Texas counties, 2011‐2015

DallasHoward

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

26

$22,741.00 - $35,000.00

$35,000.01 - $45,000.00

$45,000.01 - $55,000.00

$55,000.01 - $65,000.00

$65,000.01 - $89,152.00

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample

Page 27: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of the population aged 25 and older with a bachelor’s degree or  higher, 2011‐2015

DallasHoward

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

27

5.1% - 15%

15.1% - 20%

20.1% - 25%

25.1% - 30%

30.1% - 49.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample

Page 28: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Median Age by Change in Median Age in Texas Counties, 2000‐2014

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000, 2010 Decennial Censuses and 2014 Population EstimatesNote: Old=Median Age>30 years; no data available for counties in gray.

30

Page 29: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of Population 65 Years Plus, Texas Counties, 2011‐2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 30

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

8% - 10%

11% - 15%

16% - 20%

21% - 25%

26% - 34%

Page 30: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Millions

Zero Net Migration

Half 2000 ‐2010

2000 ‐2010

2010 ‐2015

Estimates

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2050

30Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

Page 31: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000 TravisWilliamsonTravis .5Williamson .5Travis Est.

31

Population Estimates and Projections, Travis and Williamson Counties, Texas, 2010‐2050

Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau Estimates 2014

Travis

Williamson

Page 32: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010‐2050

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

NH‐WhiteNH‐BlackHispanicNH‐Other

32Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario

Page 33: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Projected Population of Persons Aged 0‐18 Years by Race and Ethnicity, Texas 2010‐2050

2,463,178 2,467,812 2,469,546 2,461,588 2,438,935 2,366,195 2,310,523 2,278,393 2,258,900

860,281 879,934 901,617 924,721 955,451 984,840 1,007,739 1,026,601 1,045,760

3,487,625 3,843,101 4,219,839 4,649,1815,233,508

5,935,7996,625,020

7,297,8638,015,797

434,758525,369

619,809708,095

802,726

969,709

1,186,342

1,442,153

1,713,960

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

NH Other

Hispanic

NH Black

NH  White

33Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2016 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

Page 34: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Projected Percent of Population of Persons Aged 0‐18 Years by Race and Ethnicity, Texas 2010‐2050

34% 32% 30% 28% 26% 23% 21% 19% 17%

12% 11% 11% 11%10%

10%9% 9% 8%

48% 50% 51% 53% 55% 58% 60% 61% 61%

6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 11% 12% 13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

NH Other

Hispanic

NH Black

NH  White

34Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2016 Population Projections, 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

Page 35: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Job Growth, U.S. and Texas, 2008 to 2017

35

Page 36: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Housing Affordability in Select Texas Metros, 2007‐2016

36

Page 37: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of Housing Units Build Before1960, Census Tracts, Williamson County Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

0% - 25%

25.1% - 45%

45.1% - 65%

65.1% - 80%

80.1% - 100%

Milam

TravisLee

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

Page 38: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of Housing Units Build Between 1960 and 2000, Census Tracts, Williamson County Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

0% - 25%

25.1% - 45%

45.1% - 65%

65.1% - 80%

80.1% - 100%

Bell

Milam

TravisLee

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

anco

Page 39: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of Housing Units Build After 1999, Census Tracts, Williamson County Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

0% - 25%

25.1% - 45%

45.1% - 65%

65.1% - 80%

80.1% - 100%

Bell

Milam

TravisLee

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

nco

Page 40: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

Percent of the Population that was Born in Texas, Census Tracts, Williamson County Area, Texas,

2009-2013

0% - 20%

20.1% - 50%

50.1% - 60%

60.1% - 75%

75.1% - 100%

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis

Fayett

Lee

Williamson

Bastrop

Blanco

Page 41: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Percent of population that is of Hispanic descent, Census Tracts, Williamson County Area, Texas,

2009-2013

0% - 20%

20.1% - 35%

35.1% - 50%

50.1% - 80%

80.1% - 100%

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis Lee

Williamson

Bastrop

Blanco

Page 42: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

Percent of population speaking a language other than English at home and speak English less than very well, Census Tracts,

Williamson County Area, Texas, 2009-2013

0% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

20.1% - 40%

40.1% - 77.9%

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis Lee

Williamson

Bastrop

anco

Page 43: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent High School Graduate or higher, Central Texas, 2011‐2015

43Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

Travis

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

Milam

Lee

Comal

Caldwell

Guadalupe

Fayette

Blanco

19% - 50%

51% - 60%

61% - 75%

76% - 90%

91% - 100%

Page 44: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent Bachelor’s Degree or higher, Central Texas, 2011‐2015

44Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

0% - 20%

21% - 35%

36% - 50%

51% - 65%

66% - 94%

Travis

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

Milam

Lee

Comal

Caldwell

Guadalupe

Fayette

Blanco

Page 45: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of People living below Poverty, Central Texas, 2011‐2015

45Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

Travis

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

Milam

Lee

Comal

Caldwell

Guadalupe

Fayette

Blanco

1% - 10%

11% - 15%

16% - 30%

31% - 50%

51% - 87%

Page 46: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of population earning $75,000 per year or more, Census Tracts, Williamson County Area, Texas, 2009-2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample

0% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 55.5%

Milam

Hays

Burnet

Travis Lee

Williamson

Bastrop

Blanco

Bell

Page 47: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Median Household Income, Central Texas, 2011‐2015

47Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

Travis

Hays

Burnet

Bastrop

Williamson

Milam

Lee

Comal

Caldwell

Guadalupe

Fayette

Blanco

$7,741.00 - $40,000.00

$40,000.01 - $65,000.00

$65,000.01 - $100,000.00

$100,000.01 - $125,000.00

$125,000.01 - $213,348.00

Page 48: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Unemployment Rate by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2003‐2015

48

4.5

8.1

4.2

6.1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2015201420132012201120102009200820072006200520042003

Percen

t

White Black or African American Asian Hispanic or Latino

Page 49: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Unemployment Rate by Race/Ethnicity, Central Texas, 2010‐2014

49Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2014 5-Year Estimates

Unemployment Rate

NH White Hispanic Black or African American

Asian

Bastrop County 6.1% 11.2% 21.4% 4.1%

Caldwell County 6.5% 7.8% 9.8% 10.5%

Hays County 7.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.9%

Travis County 5.7% 7.8% 10.9% 5.3%

Williamson County 6.1% 8.2% 6.6% 7.6%

Page 50: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

50

Employment Status of the Labor Force by Educational Attainment, Texas

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2001 to 2011 American Community Survey 1-Year PUMS data

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Percen

t employed

Year

Bachelor's Degree and Above

Some College/ AssociateDegree

High School orEquivalent

Less than High School

Page 51: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent distribution of employed persons by industry, Texas, 2005 and 2017

1.7%

5.8%

9.2%

20.3%

2.3%

4.5%

1.8%

5.0%

0.6%

6.2%

1.4%

10.7%

1.0%

8.2%

3.6%

17.5%

2.0%

5.8% 7.1%

19.8%

1.6%

4.4%

1.8%

6.0%

1.0%

6.6%

1.7%

12.0%

1.1%

9.6%

3.6%

15.9%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

2005 2017

51Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Tracer, Employment Estimates. http://www.tracer2.com/cgi/dataanalysis/AreaSelection.asp?tableName=Ces

Page 52: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of Civilian Labor Force by Occupation, Texas, 2008, 2014 and 2014‐2008 Difference

9.3%

4.4% 4.4%

7.7%

3.9%

12.3%

9.9%

4.7%5.3%

6.8%

3.5%

12.0%

0.5% 0.3%0.9%

‐0.9% ‐0.4% ‐0.3%‐2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

2008 2014 Difference 2014‐2008

52Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2008, 2010, 2014`

Page 53: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Educational Attainment, Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2011 and 2015

2011 2015

Percent high school graduate or higher 81.1% 82.4% *

Percent bachelor's degree or higher 26.4% 28.4% *

53U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2011 and 2015* Years significantly different p<.05

Page 54: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent Distribution of Educational Attainment of Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2008, 2011, and 2015

20.4% 18.9% 17.6%

25.4% 25.5% 25.3%

28.8% 29.1% 28.7%

17.1% 17.7% 18.7%

8.3% 8.7% 9.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2011 2015

Percen

t

Year

Graduate orProfessional Degree

Bachelor Degree

Some College orAssociate Degree

High School orEquivelent

Less than High School

42.9%

57.1%

45.8%

54.2%

54Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Samples, 2008‐2015

Page 55: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

11.8% 12.2%6.7%

36.5% 33.6%

29.6%

14.2% 23.9%

27.6%27.5%

36.3%

15.9%

32.2%

22.7%24.0%

22.4%

57.7%

37.2%

13.2% 15.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Black Asian Non‐HispanicWhite

Hispanic All Other

Bachelor, Graduate,Professional Degree

Some College or AssociateDegree

High School or Equivelant

Less than High School

35.9%

69.4%

55

Educational Attainment of Persons Age 25 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2015

Page 56: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25‐64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity –

High School Graduates and Above

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001‐2011

Page 57: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, 

Texas

57

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%

18.1%

24.0%

29.9%

18.7%

9.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Percen

t of the

 Civilian

 Lab

or Force

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Constant 2011 %

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Page 58: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended 

Rates, Texas

58

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%11.4%

20.4%

34.3%

22.1%

11.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Percen

t of the

 Civilian

 Lab

or Force

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Trended (2001‐2011 Trend)

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Page 59: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Teen (ages 15‐19 years) birth rates, the U.S. and select states, 2015

Area Rank Birth Rate Per 1,000 Women

United States                  23.3Arkansas 1 38.0Mississippi 2 34.8Oklahoma 3 34.8New Mexico 4 34.6Texas 5 34.6Louisiana 6 34.1Kentucky 7 32.4West Virginia 8 31.9Tennessee 9 30.5Alabama 10 30.1Alaska 11 29.3Wyoming 12 29.2Nevada 13 27.6South Dakota 14 26.4Arizona 15 26.3

59Source: National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Page 60: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Adult Obesity

60Source: http://stateofobesity.org/files/stateofobesity2015.pdf

Page 61: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040

61Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using 2000-2004 migration scenario population projections

Page 62: Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas · Demographic characteristics and trends in Texas Institute of Internal ... Hays Willacy Johnson Reagan Webb Shackelford Bowie Scurry

Contact 

State DemographerOffice: (210) 458‐6530Email: [email protected]: Demographics.Texas.gov

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.

@TexasDemography

62