dependency of the injection induced seismicity b-value on ... · dependency on the nss for...

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Discussion & Conclusions Our observations demonstrate clear b-value dependency on the NSS for injection induced seismicity. General understanding of b-value can be translated by considering well-orientated fault as b-value dependency on shear stress. As no significant driving force to increase differential stress is expected in reservoir scale, the events from high NSS fracture causes b- value reduction. We conclude that, on the reservoir scale condition, the reduction of b-value associated with the fluid injection is attributed to the occurrence of events along high shear stress fractures. This is consistent with general understanding of b-value reduction. Acknowledgement We thank Geo Explorers Ltd. for providing the microseismic data sets and for permission to publish the results. We thank R. Abercrombie, C. Dinske, B. Hager, H. Moriya, and N. Watanabe for discussions. This study is supported by Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Overseas Research Fellow (20160228) and ERL, MIT. Dependency of the injection induced seismicity b - value on the stress state of existing fractures Yusuke Mukuhira 1,2 , Michael Fehler 2 , Takatoshi Ito 1 , Hiroshi Asanuma 3 , Markus Häring 4 1 Institute of Fluid Science, Tohoku University (Japan), 2 Earth Resources Laboratory MIT (USA), 3 FREA, AIST (Japan), 4 Geo Explorer Ltd., (Switzerland) Background Magnitude frequency distribution is well characterized with Gutenberg-Richter relationship ( log(N)=a-bM ). b-value is the important parameter to characterize seismic activity The number of the studies on b-value from laboratory scale to plate boundary earthquake have led general understanding that b-value has negative correlation with differential stress In the case of induced seismicity, b- value reduction was observed often at the high pore pressure condition and is used for seismic risk analysis However, the cause of the b-value reductions for injection induced seismicity has remained unclear, since in the reservoir scale, significant increase of stress state is hardly expected Therefore, the question to be addressed here is what is the physical explanation of b-value reduction for injection induced seismicity? (no stress dependency?) Observations The b-values of BG are always lower than those of LG for same NSS For the BGs, b-values systematically decrease with NSS from 0.943 of BG (0.71) to 0.866 of BG (0.87) For the LGs, b-value decrease with NSS from 1.21 of LG (0.87) to LG (0.76). b-values for LG (0.76) and LG (0.71) do not change significantly Field data & Methodology Basel , Switzerland EGS project: [Häring et al., 2008] Hydraulic stimulation to a depth of 5000 m in the injection well of granite session Microseismic monitoring at six downhole seismometers Around 2700 of events were located Fault geometry: [Deichmann and Giardini, 2009; Terakawa et al., 2012]. Well-constrained fault mechanisms for around 100 of the larger events by Swiss seismological service (SED) Focal orientation from multiplet (cluster) analysis for cluster members Stress information: [Valley and Evans, 2009, 2015]. Azimuth of S Hmax = N144°E ± 14° S Hmax = 0.00104z + 115, S hmin = 0.01990z – 17.78, Sv = 0.0249z, and Ph = 0.00981z (z: depth from the surface (m), Ph: hydrostatic pressure [MPa]. Normalized Shear stress Normalized shear stress (NSS) = shear stress/differential stress at the depth/2 (radius of Mohr stress circle) NSS indicates the height of the given fault plane on Mohr stress circle Magnitude frequency distribution Felzer, 2006 b-value high: less large events b-value low: more large events a) Pole distribution of selected fault plane from FPSs estimated by SED. The sizes of the circles are scaled with the magnitude. b) Pole distribution for the multiplet cluster consisted by more than five events. a) Stress magnitude profile as a function of depth. b) Mohr stress circles at selected depth with Coulomb failure criterion line for friction coefficient 0.6 and 1.0 (solid lines). Broken lines correlates pressurized conditions. Stress states (SS: strike slip, NS: normal fault slip) are shown in each panels. a) b) c) Magnitude frequency distribution for the events from shear stress higher than NSS. d) e) f) Magnitude frequency distribution for the events from shear stress lower than NSS. Three criterions correspond to the NSS for well oriented faults for friction coefficient 0.6, 0.85, and 1.0. a) General understanding that b-value dependency on increasing differential stress expressed with bigger diameters of Mohr stress circle. Stress states of the well oriented planes for each differential stresses are shown with black. Coulomb failure line is showing the case of friction coefficient of 0.6. b) Injection induced seismicity case considered in this study. Differential stress is assumed as constant. Shifted Coulomb failure line corresponds the pressurized condition. The events from NSS > 0.87 will be plotted in dark shaded area. b-values from HG is overall decreasing systematically except last two plots. The b- values from HG always shows lower value than averaging b-value b-value from LG is more systematically decreasing and finally converge to averaging b-value Both cases show b-value dependency on the NSS. b-values from HG are significantly lower than those from LG Lower Group LG(0.71) Higher Group HG(0.71) a) b-value dependency on NSS for HG. Purple line corresponds b-value estimated from events having stress state information b) b-value dependency on NSS for LG. Green line corresponds b-value estimated from all events c) Significance of the difference of b-values between HG and LG in the manner of Akaike’s information criterion (AIC). The highly significant line of AIC=5 is shown with black line d) Number of events used to estimate b-values for HG (blue) and LG (red)

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Page 1: Dependency of the injection induced seismicity b-value on ... · dependency on the NSS for injection induced seismicity. ⁃General understanding of b-value can be translated by considering

Discussion & Conclusions⁃ Our observations demonstrate clear b-value

dependency on the NSS for injection induced seismicity.

⁃ General understanding of b-value can be translated by considering well-orientated fault as b-value dependency on shear stress.⁃ As no significant driving force to increase

differential stress is expected in reservoir scale, the events from high NSS fracture causes b-value reduction. ⁃ We conclude that, on the reservoir scale

condition, the reduction of b-value associated with the fluid injection is attributed to the occurrence of events along high shear stress fractures. This is consistent with general understanding of b-value reduction.

AcknowledgementWe thank Geo Explorers Ltd. for providing the microseismic data sets and for permission to publishthe results. We thank R. Abercrombie, C. Dinske, B. Hager, H. Moriya, and N. Watanabe for discussions.This study is supported by Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Overseas Research Fellow (20160228) and ERL, MIT.

Dependency of the injection induced seismicityb-value on the stress state of existing fracturesYusuke Mukuhira1,2, Michael Fehler2, Takatoshi Ito1, Hiroshi Asanuma3, Markus Häring4

1Institute of Fluid Science, Tohoku University (Japan), 2Earth Resources Laboratory MIT (USA), 3FREA, AIST (Japan), 4Geo Explorer Ltd., (Switzerland)

Background⁃ Magnitude frequency distribution is well

characterized with Gutenberg-Richterrelationship ( log(N)=a-bM ). b-value isthe important parameter to characterizeseismic activity⁃ The number of the studies on b-value

from laboratory scale to plate boundaryearthquake have led generalunderstanding that b-value has negativecorrelation with differential stress

⁃ In the case of induced seismicity, b-value reduction was observed often atthe high pore pressure condition and isused for seismic risk analysis

⁃ However, the cause of the b-valuereductions for injection inducedseismicity has remained unclear, since inthe reservoir scale, significant increaseof stress state is hardly expected⁃ Therefore, the question to be

addressed here is what is the physicalexplanation of b-value reduction forinjection induced seismicity? (no stressdependency?)

Observations

⁃ The b-values of BG are always lower than those of LG for same NSS⁃ For the BGs, b-values systematically decrease with NSS from 0.943 of BG (0.71) to 0.866

of BG (0.87)⁃ For the LGs, b-value decrease with NSS from 1.21 of LG (0.87) to LG (0.76). b-values for LG

(0.76) and LG (0.71) do not change significantly

Field data & MethodologyBasel , Switzerland EGS project: [Häring et al., 2008]⁃ Hydraulic stimulation to a depth of 5000 m in the

injection well of granite session⁃ Microseismic monitoring at six downhole

seismometers⁃ Around 2700 of events were located

Fault geometry: [Deichmann and Giardini, 2009; Terakawa et al., 2012].

⁃ Well-constrained fault mechanisms for around 100of the larger events by Swiss seismological service(SED)⁃ Focal orientation from multiplet (cluster) analysis

for cluster members

Stress information: [Valley and Evans, 2009, 2015].

⁃ Azimuth of SHmax = N144°E ± 14°

⁃ SHmax = 0.00104z + 115, Shmin = 0.01990z – 17.78, Sv = 0.0249z, and Ph = 0.00981z (z: depth from the surface (m), Ph: hydrostatic pressure [MPa].

Normalized Shear stress⁃ Normalized shear stress (NSS) = shear

stress/differential stress at the depth/2 (radius ofMohr stress circle)⁃ NSS indicates the height of the given fault plane on

Mohr stress circle

Magnitude frequency distribution

Felzer, 2006

b-value high: less large eventsb-value low: more large events

a) Pole distribution of selected fault plane from FPSsestimated by SED. The sizes of the circles are scaledwith the magnitude.

b) Pole distribution for the multiplet cluster consistedby more than five events.

a) Stress magnitude profile as a function of depth.

b) Mohr stress circles at selected depth with Coulombfailure criterion line for friction coefficient 0.6 and 1.0(solid lines). Broken lines correlates pressurizedconditions. Stress states (SS: strike slip, NS: normal faultslip) are shown in each panels.

a) Correlation betweennormalized shear stress andmoment magnitude.

a) b) c) Magnitude frequencydistribution for the eventsfrom shear stress higher thanNSS.d) e) f) Magnitude frequencydistribution for the eventsfrom shear stress lower thanNSS.Three criterions correspondto the NSS for well orientedfaults for friction coefficient0.6, 0.85, and 1.0.

a) General understanding that b-value dependency onincreasing differential stress expressed with biggerdiameters of Mohr stress circle. Stress states of the welloriented planes for each differential stresses are shownwith black. Coulomb failure line is showing the case offriction coefficient of 0.6.

b) Injection induced seismicity case considered in thisstudy. Differential stress is assumed as constant. ShiftedCoulomb failure line corresponds the pressurizedcondition. The events from NSS > 0.87 will be plotted indark shaded area.

⁃ b-values from HG is overall decreasingsystematically except last two plots. The b-values from HG always shows lower valuethan averaging b-value

⁃ b-value from LG is more systematicallydecreasing and finally converge toaveraging b-value

⁃ Both cases show b-value dependency onthe NSS. b-values from HG are significantlylower than those from LG

Lower GroupLG(0.71)

Higher GroupHG(0.71)

a) b-value dependency on NSS for HG. Purple linecorresponds b-value estimated from eventshaving stress state information

b) b-value dependency on NSS for LG. Green linecorresponds b-value estimated from all events

c) Significance of the difference of b-valuesbetween HG and LG in the manner of Akaike’sinformation criterion (AIC). The highly significantline of AIC=5 is shown with black line

d) Number of events used to estimate b-values forHG (blue) and LG (red)