derivatives 111105022906 phpapp01
TRANSCRIPT
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DERIVATIVES
S.CLEMENT
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Derivatives traders at the Chicago Board of Trade
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Financial RisksFinancial RisksFinancial RisksFinancial RisksMarket risk isMarket risk is
exposure to theexposure to the
uncertainuncertain marketmarket
valuevalue of a portfolio. Aof a portfolio. A
trader holds atrader holds aportfolio ofportfolio of
commoditycommodityforwardsforwards..
She knows what itsShe knows what its
market value is today,market value is today,
but she is uncertainbut she is uncertain
as to its market valueas to its market value
a week from today.a week from today.
She faces marketShe faces market
risk.risk.
Market risk isMarket risk is
exposure to theexposure to the
uncertainuncertain marketmarket
valuevalue of a portfolio. Aof a portfolio. A
trader holds atrader holds aportfolio ofportfolio of
commoditycommodityforwardsforwards..
She knows what itsShe knows what its
market value is today,market value is today,
but she is uncertainbut she is uncertain
as to its market valueas to its market value
a week from today.a week from today.
She faces marketShe faces market
risk.risk.
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Steps to manageSteps to manageSteps to manageSteps to manage
Avoidance
Loss control
Diversification
Transfer
Avoidance
Loss control
Diversification
Transfer
Identification ofrisk
Quantification ofrisks
Framing Risk Appetite
Implementation and control
Identification ofrisk
Quantification ofrisks
Framing Risk Appetite
Implementation and control
Strategies to deal withStrategies to deal withStrategies to deal withStrategies to deal with
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Hedging
Establishing a position in the derivatives
market that is equalandopposite to the
risky position in
the physical market..
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HEDGING TOOL
S
Take out finance
Securitisation
Derivatives
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TAKE OUT FINANCE
Project bridge over Narmada river at Bharuchin Gujarat
Type : toll road
Sponsor: L & TConcession period 20 years
Project cost Rs 144 cr
Loans RS 96 cr
Lenders IDFC,IDBI &SBI
IDFC to take over(unconditional) RS 21 cr fromSBI after 5 years
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DERIVATIVES MEANS Derivative are financial instruments whose value
depends upon the value of underlying assetFeatures are:
It has no independent value. Its value depends onthe value of an asset.
Under lying asset could be Int. rates, commodities,
stocks, index , currency,etc Pre determined life
It is independent of underlying contract
It is a hedging tool.
DerivativeDerivative meansmeans aa forward,forward, future,future, optionoption oror anyany otherother
hybridhybrid contractcontract ofof prepre determineddetermined fixedfixed duration,duration, linkedlinked forforthethe purposepurpose ofof contractcontract fulfillmentfulfillment toto thethe valuevalue ofof aa specifiedspecifiedrealreal oror financialfinancial assetasset oror toto anan indexindex ofof securitiessecurities..
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Features of derivatives
Bench mark rates
Strikeprice
Contractperiod Viewof contracting partiees
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Fourmost common examples ofFourmost common examples of
derivative instruments are:derivative instruments are:
Fourmost common examples ofFourmost common examples of
derivative instruments are:derivative instruments are:
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Genesis It is not new wine in the new bottle. Itis nothing but old wine In new bottle
It is 2000 years old . Olive farmers inGreece used forward contract fordelivery on a specified date betweenseller & buyer
Bombay traders used to have FC withfarmers in Gujarat & Maharashtra forsupplying cotton even in 17 th century
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TYPES OF DERIVATIVES
Over the
counter(OTC)
Forward contract
Forward rate
agreements
Swaps
Options Credit
EXCHANGE
RELATED
Futures
Stock options
Commodity futures
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OTC COTRACTS Bilateral contract
Customized contract
No quotes in the market
Settlement by delivery
Reversal/ cancellation with counter party
E.g.. FC Forex transactions & Commodity
Problems- No standardization & counter party risk
(OTC) derivatives are contracts that are traded (andprivately negotiated) directly between two parties,without going through an exchange or otherintermediary. Products such as swaps, forward rateagreements and exotic options are almost alwaystraded in this way.
The OTC derivatives market is huge. According to theBank for International Settlements, the totaloutstanding notional amount is USD 516 trillion (as ofJune 2007)
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ExchangeTraded Contracts
Theworld's largest derivatives exchanges (bynumberoftransactions) aretheKorea Exchange(which lists KOSPIIndex Futures & Options),
Eurex (which lists a widerangeofEuropean
products such as interestrate & indexproducts),and
CME Group (madeupofthe 2007 mergeroftheChicagoMercantileExchange and theChicago
Board ofTrade and the 2008 acquisition oftheNewYork MercantileExchange).
According toBIS, the combined turnover in theworld's derivatives exchanges totalled USD 344trillion during Q4 2005.
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Some common examples of these derivatives are:
UNDERL
YING
CONTRACT TYPE
Exchange-
traded futures
Exchange-traded
options
OTC swap OTC forward OTC option
Equity
Index
DJIA Index
future
NASDAQ Index
future
Option on DJIA Index
future
Option on NASDAQ
Index future
Equity swap Back-to-back n/a
Money
market
Eurodollar future
Euribor future
Option on Eurodollar
future
Option on Euribor
future
Interest rate
swap
Forward rate
agreement
Interest rate cap
and floor
Swaption
Basis swap
Bonds Bond future Option on Bond future n/a Repurchase
agreement
Bond option
Single
Stocks
Single-stock
future
Single-share option Equity swap Repurchase
agreement
Stock option
Warrant
Turbo warrant
Credit n/a n/a Credit
default swap
n/a Credit default
option
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FC commodity (OTC)
Kissan co wants to procure 500 kg oftomatoes after 3 months. Prevailing 1 kg@Rs 6.
View of the company Expected to go up toRs 8 per kg.
View of the farmer- Price @ Rs 5.50.
So FC between Company & Farmer.Agreed
price @ Rs 6.50 . Delivery after 3 months. Situation after 3 moths Price may be same
I.e @ Rs 6 or more or less than strike price
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Hedging CaseStudy
ABCLtd having order in hand to supply copperwire
worth 500 MTof copperto be delivered 2 months fromnow
CaseI Priceof copper is fixed at current spotprice
CaseII
Thepriceof copperwould be fixed based on flexibility:
on any dates atthe hands ofthe buyerafterone monthoftheorderor
On any dates in the delivery month
What should your hedging strategy be?
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Hedging
Hedging Options evaluation
Option I
Buy in the spot market at current price
Buying in the spot market blocks the working capital
Increased inventory carrying cost
Copper available in the spot market priced at last months averageprice
which is higher than landed spot price
Option II
Lock in the price on the futures market at one month forward
This gives flexibility in terms of pricing spot market purchases
Increases negotiation capacity with the supplier Option III
Leave the position un-hedged and buy copper when actually
required for production leaving to vagaries of volatile copper
price risk Risk Management
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CURRENCY -FORWARD
CONTRACTS (OTC)
Exporttransaction
Export forUSD 10,000/- expected date3months later.SpotrateRs 46
View Dollarwill depreciate by Re 1.
FC (sale by exporter) for USD 10,000 @45.75 for3 months.
Situation I After3 months rate@ 46 Situation II After3 months rate @ 45
It is a notional loss butexportermanaged
pricerisk.
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FORDWARD RATE
AGREE
ME
NTS
It is a financial contract between two partiesto exchange steam of interest payments onnotional principal amount on settlement date
Features-n Bilateral contract Notional principal amount
Exchange of cash flows on settlement dateor periodically reset dates
Between the strike price & market price Object- Hedging to IRR
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FC- INT.RATES (FRA) Object- Hedging against INT.RATERISK
ABC co ltd borrowed Rs 50 lacs for 1 year @11% (floating) from SBI
View INT.rate will go up FRA with CITI bank for 1 year. Strike price @
11%
Situation- After 1 year INT @ 13% . CITI will
pay 2%(13-11) to ABC who will in turn pay13% to lender SBI.
Situation II-- If INT at 10% ,ABC will pay 1% toCITI.
For ABC -- interest cost stays at 11%
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Interest Rate Swaps
A swap a transaction is one where two
or more parties agree to receive or pay
on a notional principal for an agreed
period of time
Swap may be for interest,
currency,Commodity etc
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FUTURES(Exchangerelated)
Agreement between two parties at an agreedprice on a specified date . It may relate tocommodities, Index, share etc.
Feature- Bilateral contract
Designated future date at a price agreed today It is traded in the exchange
Standardized- Quantity,price,period etc
No counter party risk as SE itself counter
party Transparent functioning
Price discovery
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FUTURES (Equity) E.G. X wants to buy 100 shares ofXYZ CO
after 3 months @ Rs 250 per share. Hencefutures contract
Situation I After 3 moths if the price is Rs300, then X will get Rs 5000(300-250*100).There is no exchange of shares butonly the difference agreed price and marketprice.
Situation II If the price is RS 200, X will pay Rs5000 (250-200 * 50)
In both situations, X is able to manage price
risk
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Index futures Futures contract on a stock or financial index. For each index there
may be a different multiple for determining the price of the futurescontract.
For example, the S&P 500 Index is one of the most widelytraded index futures contracts in the U.S. Stock portfolio managerswho want to hedge risk over a certain period of time often useS&P500 futures to do so.
By shorting these contracts, stock portfolio managers can protectthemselves from the downside price risk of the broader market.
However, by using this hedging strategy, if perfectly done, themanager's portfolio will not participate in any gains on the index;instead, the portfolio will lock in gains equivalent to the risk-freerate of interest.
Alternatively, stock portfolio managers can use index futures toincrease their exposure to movements in a particular index,essentially leveraging their portfolios.
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Index Futures
Portfoliovalue Re 4,00,000
Beta factor 1.5 (i.e. if index drops by 10%,porfoliovaluewill drop by 15%).Portfoliovaluewill drop by toRe 3,40,000
(4000 X 10 X 1.5)
To hedgetheportfolio, index futures to beused by going in
forbuying contracts on index. Formula (4000 X1.5) / (4000 X 50 ) =
6,00,000/ 2,00,000 = 3 contracts to sold.
Situation A if index drops by 10% i.e.to 3600,
Profiton futures contract = 10% ofRe 2.00 lac for3contracts will beRe 60,000.Cash market loss will beoff set
by gain in derivative segment.
Long Hedge foracquiring shares at a future date.
ShortHedge forselling the shares at a future date.
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commodity futures
Commitmentto makeortake delivery of a
specific commodity ofSpecific quantity&quality
At a pre determined price and placeIn future
with all terms of contracts standardized
It is to hedgepricerisk on accountof demand &
supply, govt.policy,natural calamities etc
Hedging tool fortraders/exporters Price discovery
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Agri.commodity- Sugar,cotton,coffee, Soyabean, Mustard seed, Mustard oil Crude palm oil ,Pepperetc
Metallurgical precious (Gold , Silver etc) & basemetals
Energy crude oil ,gasoline etc
Objective manage price risk.
Major exchanges National Commodity &Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX)& Multicommodity Exchange of India.
Regulator Forwards Markets Commission
(FMC)
commodity futurescommodity futures
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Howt is useful forhedging ?
An exporterexporting Agroproducts (E.g.
Basmati rice).Price fluctuations betweendateofreceiving theorderand execution
oforder i.e dateofexports
An importer importing gold forselling in
theratail marketormaking jewellery for
exports.
commodity futurescommodity futures
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At present , MCX ( Multi commodity
Exchange of India) offers futures on 60
commodities.It recently entered in to
strategic alliance with Malaysian commodityexchange for offering futures on Crude
Palm Oil(CPO )
CPO traded in Malaysian exchange will be
offered by MCX to Indian traders who areimporting CPO form South East Asia.
It will help to hedge the price risk.
FUTURES commodityFUTURES commodity
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OPTIONS It is a bilateral contract where by the buyer
has the right perform or not to perform anobligation. It maybe a call (buy) or a put (sell)
option. In short. the buyer has the option tobuy or sell
American option An option exercisable atany time before due date
E
uropean option- Option exercisable only ondue date
SEBI issued guidelines for trading inderivative I.e. stock option
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Why buy options?Why buy options?Why buy options?Why buy options?
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OPTION TERMINOLOGIES
Call/Put
Volatility
Strike Price American/European
In the money
Out of money At the money
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Open interest
Open interest (also known as open contracts oropen commitments) denotes thetotal numberof
derivative contracts, like futures and options, that
are currently activeon a specific underlying
security, having specific terms. Open Interest is thetotal numberofoutstanding
contracts that are held by marketparticipants atthe
end ofthe day.
It can also be defined as thetotal numberof futurescontracts oroption contracts that have not yet been
exercised (squared off), expired, or fulfilled by
delivery
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Open Interest Foroption traders, open interest is an indication of how intensetrading
theoptions in an underlying security may be.
Forinstance, ifopen interest increases suddenly from one day tothenext, it is likely that new information abouttheunderlying security hasbeen revealed, which may indicate a near-term rise in theunderlyingsecurity's volatility.
In theory there's nothing which can be said on the future direction oftheunderlying, becausethere are as many contracts bought as sold
Increasing open interest means that new money is flowing intothemarketplace.Theresultwill bethatthepresenttrend ( up, down orsideways) will continue.
Declining open interest means thatthe market is liquidating and impliesthattheprevailing pricetrend is coming to an end.
A knowledgeofopen interest can proveuseful toward theend of major
market moves.
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SWAPTIONS
A swaption is a contract by which aparty acquires an option to enter into aswap
It is to used to hedge uncertainties incash flows
E.g..A company bids for a tender . It is
not sure whether tender will beawarded. So a swaption is entered sayfor interest on borrowing.
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OPTIONS ( CONTD) STOCK OPTION
Share price of ABC co Rs 386.X wants tobuy 1200 share on after one month as heexpects cash flow on that day. He buys calloption with a broker @ Rs 395 per share by
paying a premium ofR
s 15 per share Situation I
After 1 month- MP Rs 350. X will notexercise the option . He will buy from the
market. Cost will be- Rs 350 * 1200 = Rs4.20 lacs + premium
18000=Rs 4.38 lacs.cost of exercising optionis rs 4.92 (395*1200+0.18)
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OPTIONS (CONTD) Situation II
After 1 month M.P. Rs 420 * 1200=
5,04,000+18000=5.22 lacs
X
will exercise the option. Then cost willbe Rs 395*1200+ Rs 18000 = Rs4,92,000.
Profit X will be Rs 5.22 4.92= Rs
30,000. So depending upon market condition, X
will decide to exercise the option or not.
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OPTION PAY OFFA sells a European call option on a share of XYZ COMAPNYat a premium ofRs. 3 per share on March 01, 2009. The strike price is Rs.65 and the contractmatures on June 30, 2009.. It is clear from the graph that the upsidepotential is limited to a maximum of Rs.3 per share, which has been receivedas option premium. However, the downside risk is unlimited and the investormay experience huge losses, if the market does not move according to hisexpectations.
S Xt C Payoff Net Profit
62 65 3 0 3
63 65 3 0 3
64 65 3 0 3
65 65 3 0 3
66 65 3 -1 267 65 3 -2 1
68 65 3 -3 0
69 65 3 -4 -1
70 65 3 -5 -2
71 65 3 -6 -3
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straddles and strangles
strangle is an investment strategy involving thepurchaseorsaleofparticularoption derivatives
that allows the holdertoprofit based on how
much thepriceoftheunderlying security moves,
with relatively minimal exposuretothedirectionofprice movement.
Thepurchaseofparticularoption derivatives is
known as a long strangle, whilethe saleofthe
option derivatives is known as a short strangle.Itis related to a similaroption strategy known as a
straddle.
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Long strangle
Thelong strangle involves going long (buying) both acall option and a putoption ofthe sameunderlyingsecurity.
Like a long straddle, theoptions expire atthe sametime,butunlike a straddle, theoptions have different strike
prices.Theownerof a long strangle makes a profit iftheunderlying price moves farenough way from the currentprice, eitheraboveorbelow.
Thus, an investormay take a long strangleposition if hethinks theunderlying security is highly volatile, but does
not knowwhich direction it is going to move. This position is a limited risk, sincethe most a purchaser
may lose is the costof both options.Atthe sametime,there is unlimited profitpotential.
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Short strangle
Theshort strangle is the converseofthe
long strangle.
The call and putoptions arewritten (sold)instead of bought.
The investor loses iftheunderlying
security increases ordecreases enough;
but ifthe stock priceremains stablethen
theoptions expire and the investorgets to
keepthepremiums
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straddle
The difference between a straddle and a
strangle is the strikepriceoftheoptions.
In a straddle, theoptions are boughtwith
the same strikeprice.
In a strangle, theoptions are boughtwith
different strikeprices.
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Option strategies
Calls increase in value as theunderlying stock increasesin value.
Likewiseputs increase in value as theunderlying stockdecreases in value.Buying both a calland aputmeansthat iftheunderlying stock moves upthe call increasesin value and likewise iftheunderlying stock moves downtheput increases in value.
The combined position can increase in value ifthe stockmoves significantly in eitherdirection. (Theposition losesmoney ifthe stock stays atthe samepriceorwithin a
rangeofthepricewhen theposition was established.)This strategy is called a straddle.
It is oneof many options strategies that investors canemploy.
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straddles and strangles
With Infosys Results coming in tomorrow, themarket is expected to be highly volatile.Howeverwith rightuseof stock options,investors can actually profit from this volatility.
There areoption strategies likestraddles andstrangles which let investors profit from hugeoneway movements
So in cases where you knowthe stock prices will
move heavily oneway, eitherupordown, butyou dont knowwhich way this huge movementis going totakeplace, stradles and strangles canbeused to make decentprofit.
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When touse straddle and strangles
Straddle when there is no clue abouthe
direction in the market.
S
trangle when youtake a definiteviewaboutthe direction in the market i.e.upor
down.
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Regulatory framework S/E
Securities contracts (regulation) Act 1956
SEBIAct 1992
The forwards Contract (regulations) Act1952
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REGULATORS- INDIA
RBI - OTC
SEBI - Exchange related ( Stockmarket)
Forward Markets Commission Commodity Futures
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DERIVATIVES IN INDIA 1998 L.C. GUPTACommittee
recommended for introduction of derivatives
SEBIwill grant approval forclearing
corporation and theirbye laws
Trading members toregisterwith SEBI
Margin to be maintained as perSEBIrules
BSE & NSE launched Index future in June
2000 /Index &stock option in July2001/Stock futures in Nov 2001
Commodity futures already exist for
Pepper,Coffeeetc
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DERIVATIVES IN INDIA
commodity futures Commodities traded coffee, pepper,
cotton,soyabean ,petroleum,rubber,Gold etc
Actively traded cotton, coffee ,cotton& castor
oil 23 commodity exchanges- majorexchanges at
Mumbai(cotton &oil seeds), Bangalore
(Coffee),Cochin (pepper), Kolkata (Jute) etc
CurrentTurnoverof all 23 exchanges increased
toRe 20 lakh crore from 6 lakh crore (2004-05)
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Current Issues
Threeregulators- SEBI forSE , RBI for
OTC contacts & Forward Markets
Commission Commodity Futures
Documentation
Stamp duty
Poorresponse from GOVT. banks
Accounting standards
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Derivatives a doubleedged sword
Derivatives areoften subjecttothe followingcriticisms:
Theuseof derivatives can result in large lossesduetotheuseof leverage.Derivatives allow
investors toearn largereturns from smallmovements in theunderlying asset's price.
However, investors could lose large amounts ifthepriceoftheunderlying moves againstthem
significantly
. There have been several instances of massive
losses in derivative markets, including: The Nick Leesonaffair in 1994.
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THANK YOU