derivatives report 3rd january 2012

3
 Derivative Report India Research J an 03, 2012 S E B I R egis trati on N o: INB 010 996 539 For Private Circulation Only 1  Comments  The Nifty futures open interest increased by 1.82% while Minifty futures open interest increased by 3.00% as market closed at 4636.75 levels.  The Nifty Jan. future closed at a Premium of 11.35 point against a Premium of 10.10 points. The February Series closed at a Premium of 30.65 points.  The Implied Volatility of at the money options is increased from 25.50% to 26.40%.  T he P CR -O I has being i ncreas ed from 1.06 to 1.07 points.  The total OI of the market is `87,576/-cr . and the stock futures OI are `23,441/-cr .  Stocks were cost of carry is positive are RUCHISOYA, CO R E E DUTE C, 3I INFOTE CH, GVKP IL and DENABANK. Nifty Vs OI OI Gainers SCR IP OI OI CHANGE (% ) PRICE PR IC E CHANGE (% ) S OUTHB ANK 1690000 45.69 20.50 1.99 TV S MO T OR 3448000 39.71 48.30 -7.12 NATIONALUM 936000 23.81 53.30 4.72 GLA XO 9750 23.81 1981.85 1.89 HER OMOTOCO 1039875 21.52 1838.85 -3.48 Put-Call Ratio S CRIP P CR-OI P CR-VOL NIFT Y 1.0 7 0. 81 S BIN 0.5 7 0. 49 RELIA NCE 0. 69 0. 80 B ANKNIF T Y 1.9 8 0. 89 INF Y 0.27 0.5 2 View  Yesterday again there was a muted performance by FII’s; they were net sellers in cash market segment worth of ` 94/- cr. On Derivatives front they were net sellers in index futures, while in index options they were net buyers.  On Options front out-of-the money and deep-out-of the money put option of 4100, 4300 and 4400 strikes have seen some buildup in open interest, while in call option 4600 and 4900 strikes have seen maximum buildup in yesterday’s trade.  We have witnessed significant amount of short positions getting piled by in TATAMTRDVR in last series as counter corrected from ` 100 to CMP. This underlying has strong support in the range of ` 85- 88. We anticipate some kind of short covering to take place in it. Buy with target price of ` 97 and stop loss of ` 84. One can also think of initiating pair trade by shorting TATAMOTORS against long TATAMTRDVR. Historical Volatility SCRIP HV BAJAJ-AUTO 45.26 TVSMOT OR 68.43 DCHL 77.21 NATIONALUM 47.83 GLAXO 27.35 OI L osers SCR IP OI OI CHANGE (% ) PRICE PRICE CHANGE (% ) MCLEODRUS 6011000 -14.02 186.85 -0.90 CENTRA LB K 1668000 -7.33 64.90 -1.37 IDEA 11024000 -6.16 83.05 0.91 DCHL 5636000 -4.21 33.85 -7.13 IVRCLIN FR A 16592000 -3.85 29.05 2.83

Upload: angel-broking

Post on 06-Apr-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Derivatives Report 3rd January 2012

8/3/2019 Derivatives Report 3rd January 2012

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/derivatives-report-3rd-january-2012 1/3

 

Derivative ReportIndia Research

Jan 03, 2012

SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only  1

 

Comments

  The Nifty futures open interest increased by 1.82% whileMinifty futures open interest increased by 3.00% as

market closed at 4636.75 levels.

  The Nifty Jan. future closed at a Premium of 11.35 point

against a Premium of 10.10 points. The February Seriesclosed at a Premium of 30.65 points.

  The Implied Volatility of at the money options is

increased from 25.50% to 26.40%.

  The PCR-OI has being increased from 1.06 to 1.07

points.

  The total OI of the market is `87,576/-cr. and the stock

futures OI are `23,441/-cr.   Stocks were cost of carry is positive are RUCHISOYA,

CO REEDUTEC, 3IINFOTECH, GVKPIL and DENABANK.

Nifty Vs OI

OI Gainers

SCRIP OIOI

CHANGE(%)

PRICEPRICE

CHANGE(%)

SOUTHBANK 1690000 45.69 20.50 1.99

TVSMO TOR 3448000 39.71 48.30 -7.12

NATIONALUM 936000 23.81 53.30 4.72

GLAXO 9750 23.81 1981.85 1.89

HEROMOTOCO 1039875 21.52 1838.85 -3.48

Put-Call Ratio

SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL

NIFTY 1.07 0.81

SBIN 0.57 0.49

RELIANCE 0.69 0.80

BANKNIFTY 1.98 0.89

INFY 0.27 0.52

View 

  Yesterday again there was a muted performance byFII’s; they were net sellers in cash market segmentworth of `94/- cr. On Derivatives front they were netsellers in index futures, while in index options theywere net buyers.

  On Options front out-of-the money and deep-out-ofthe money put option of 4100, 4300 and 4400strikes have seen some buildup in open interest,while in call option 4600 and 4900 strikes have seen

maximum buildup in yesterday’s trade.  We have witnessed significant amount of short

positions getting piled by in TATAMTRDVR in lastseries as counter corrected from ` 100 to CMP. Thisunderlying has strong support in the range of ` 85-88. We anticipate some kind of short covering to takeplace in it. Buy with target price of ` 97 and stop lossof `84. One can also think of initiating pair trade byshorting TATAMOTORS against long TATAMTRDVR.

Historical Volatility

SCRIP HV

BAJAJ-AUTO 45.26

TVSMOTOR 68.43

DCHL 77.21

NATIONALUM 47.83

GLAXO 27.35

OI Losers

SCRIP OIOI

CHANGE(%)

PRICEPRICE

CHANGE(%)

MCLEODRUS 6011000 -14.02 186.85 -0.90

CENTRALBK 1668000 -7.33 64.90 -1.37

IDEA 11024000 -6.16 83.05 0.91

DCHL 5636000 -4.21 33.85 -7.13

IVRCLINFRA 16592000 -3.85 29.05 2.83

Page 2: Derivatives Report 3rd January 2012

8/3/2019 Derivatives Report 3rd January 2012

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/derivatives-report-3rd-january-2012 2/3

 Derivative Report | India Research

For Private Circulation Only  SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2

 

FII Statistics for 02-Jan-2012

Detail Buy Sell Net

Open Interest

Contracts Value Change(Rs. in cr.) (%)

INDEXFUTURES

471.87 891.02 (419.15) 406363 9267.00 1.49

INDEXOPTIONS

7830.84 7649.66 181.18 1022504 23669.09 4.26

STOCK

FUTURES703.08 616.70 86.37 980779 22424.95 0.84

STOCK

OPTIONS304.84 295.71 9.13 27306 654.04 20.48

Total 9310.62 9453.09 (142.47) 2436952 56015.08 2.55

Turnover on 02-Jan-2012 

InstrumentNo. of

ContractsTurnover(Rs. in cr.)

Change(%)

Index Futures 406993 8575.70 -3.48

Index Options 1915765 45348.80 -2.04

Stock Futures 366363 8125.44 8.13

Stock Options 103273 2359.20 1.58

Total 2792394 64409.14 -0.93

Nifty Spot = 4636.75 Lot Size = 50

Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads

Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP

Buy 4700 95.3038.90 61.10 4738.90

Buy 4600 103.0533.50 66.50 4566.50

Sell 4800 56.40 Sell 4500 69.55

Buy 4700 95.3064.40 135.60 4764.40

Buy 4600 103.0557.95 142.05 4542.05

Sell 4900 30.90 Sell 4400 45.10

Buy 4800 56.4025.50 74.50 4825.50

Buy 4500 69.5524.45 75.55 4475.55

Sell 4900 30.90 Sell 4400 45.10

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (Jan. Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation.

Nifty Put-Call Analysis

Page 3: Derivatives Report 3rd January 2012

8/3/2019 Derivatives Report 3rd January 2012

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/derivatives-report-3rd-january-2012 3/3

 Derivative Report | India Research

For Private Circulation Only  SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3

 

Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status

02-Jan-2012 TATASTEEL Ratio Bull Call Spread Open

DISCLAIMER 

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment

decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should

make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the

companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine

the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make

investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this

document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and

trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's

fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliablesources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as thisdocument is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affili ates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsiblefor any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report . AngelBroking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor

make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. WhileAngel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may beregulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.

This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,

redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or

other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or

in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or

in connection with the use of this information.

No te: Please refer to the im portant ` Stock Holdi ng Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).

Derivative Research Team

Email Id : - [email protected]