derivatives report 9th december 2011

3
 Derivative Report India Research Dec 09, 2011 S E B I R egis trati on N o: INB 010 996 539 For Private Circulation Only 1  Comments  T he Ni fty futures’ open interes t decreas ed by 4 .89 % while Minifty futures’ open interest decreased by 7.34% as market closed at 4943.65 levels.  The Nifty Dec. future closed at a Premium of 12.95 point against a Premium of 23.50 points. The January Series closed at a Premium of 32.35 points.  The Implied Volatility of at the money options is increased from 24.65% to 27.16%.  The PCR-OI has decreased from 1.23 points to 1.14 points.  The total OI of the market is `1,20,982.20cr . and the stock futures OI are `27,147.36cr .  Stocks were cost of carry is positive are GITANJALI, COREEDUTEC, UNIONBANK, ROLTA and NHPC. Nifty Vs OI OI Gainers SCR IP OI OI CHANGE (% ) PRICE PR IC E CHANGE (% ) CESC 670000 20.29 241.80 -7.23 IBREALEST 10648000 18.52 52.65 -6.81 VIP IND 3401250 10.65 103.80 -9.34 LUPIN 1117500 10.64 443.95 -1.45 ASHOKL EY 22368000 9.39 25.70 -4.28 Put-Call Ratio S CRIP P CR-OI P CR-VOL NIFT Y 1.1 4 1. 01 S BIN 0.8 8 0. 87 B ANKNIF TY 0.8 3 0. 70 R E LIA NCE 0. 66 0. 75 ICICIB ANK 0.4 7 0.61 View  FII’s were net buyers in cash market segment, but the quantum of buying was quite minimal; they were net buyers of worth ` 26/ - cr. On Derivat ives front they were net sellers in index futures indicating some long unwinding by them, while in index options they were net buyers.  On Options front at-the-money and out-of-the money call options of 4900-5200 strike price have seen some buildup in open interest, while in put options most of the strike price have seen some unwinding but amongst them 5000-5100 put option have seen maximum unwinding in yesterday’s trading session.  There was a significant build of long position in TCS which resulted a good upside in recent past. We feel ` 1200 could act as the resistance for this stock and can expect some more long unwinding in this counter. Hence we recommend to go short with the target price of ` 1110 and stop loss at ` 1201. Historical Volatility SCRIP HV NATIONALUM 49.68 DHANBANK 69.80 GMRINFRA 64.29 LT 45.63 GSPL 38.87 OI L osers SCR IP OI OI CHANGE (% ) PRICE PRICE CHANGE (% ) BRFL 2844000 -14.36 234.10 3.33 RCOM 21618000 -13.95 75.70 -5.73 SR EIN FRA 5104000 -12.60 28.30 3.47 DABUR 2174000 -12.55 97.55 1.19 INDIANB 252000 -10.95 197.95 -1.79

Upload: angel-broking

Post on 06-Apr-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Derivatives Report 9th December 2011

8/3/2019 Derivatives Report 9th December 2011

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/derivatives-report-9th-december-2011 1/3

 

Derivative ReportIndia Research

Dec 09, 2011

SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only  1

 

Comments

  The Ni fty futures’ open interest decreased by 4.89% whileMinifty futures’ open interest decreased by 7.34% as

market closed at 4943.65 levels.

  The Nifty Dec. future closed at a Premium of 12.95 point

against a Premium of 23.50 points. The January Seriesclosed at a Premium of 32.35 points.

  The Implied Volatility of at the money options is

increased from 24.65% to 27.16%.

  The PCR-OI has decreased from 1.23 points to 1.14

points.

  The total OI of the market is `1,20,982.20cr. and the

stock futures OI are `27,147.36cr.   Stocks were cost of carry is positive are GITANJALI,

COREEDUTEC, UNIONBANK, ROLTA and NHPC.

Nifty Vs OI

OI Gainers

SCRIP OIOI

CHANGE(%)

PRICEPRICE

CHANGE(%)

CESC 670000 20.29 241.80 -7.23

IBREALEST 10648000 18.52 52.65 -6.81

VIPIND 3401250 10.65 103.80 -9.34

LUPIN 1117500 10.64 443.95 -1.45

ASHOKLEY 22368000 9.39 25.70 -4.28

Put-Call Ratio

SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL

NIFTY 1.14 1.01

SBIN 0.88 0.87

BANKNIFTY 0.83 0.70

RELIANCE 0.66 0.75

ICICIBANK 0.47 0.61

View 

  FII’s were net buyers in cash market segment, but thequantum of buying was quite minimal; they were netbuyers of worth ` 26/ - cr. On Derivatives front theywere net sellers in index futures indicating some longunwinding by them, while in index options they werenet buyers.

  On Options front at-the-money and out-of-themoney call options of 4900-5200 strike price haveseen some buildup in open interest, while in put

options most of the strike price have seen someunwinding but amongst them 5000-5100 put optionhave seen maximum unwinding in yesterday’strading session.

  There was a significant build of long position in TCSwhich resulted a good upside in recent past. We feel`1200 could act as the resistance for this stock andcan expect some more long unwinding in thiscounter. Hence we recommend to go short with thetarget price of `1110 and stop loss at ` 1201.

Historical Volatility

SCRIP HV

NATIONALUM 49.68

DHANBANK 69.80

GMRINFRA 64.29

LT 45.63

GSPL 38.87

OI Losers

SCRIP OIOI

CHANGE(%)

PRICEPRICE

CHANGE(%)

BRFL 2844000 -14.36 234.10 3.33

RCOM 21618000 -13.95 75.70 -5.73

SREINFRA 5104000 -12.60 28.30 3.47

DABUR 2174000 -12.55 97.55 1.19

INDIANB 252000 -10.95 197.95 -1.79

Page 2: Derivatives Report 9th December 2011

8/3/2019 Derivatives Report 9th December 2011

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/derivatives-report-9th-december-2011 2/3

 Derivative Report | India Research

For Private Circulation Only  SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2

 

FII Statistics for 08-Dec-2011

Detail Buy Sell Net

Open Interest

Contracts Value Change(Rs. in cr.) (%)

INDEXFUTURES

1687.71 2768.25 (1,080.55) 515868 12589.83 -6.35

INDEXOPTIONS

20221.05 20118.32 102.73 1887635 46656.92 1.94

STOCK

FUTURES1167.41 1480.81 (313.40) 1120596 25546.71 0.39

STOCK

OPTIONS455.95 456.62 (0.67) 30420 714.05 5.50

Total 23532.11 24824.00 (1,291.89) 3554519 85507.50 0.20

Turnover on 08-Dec-2011 

InstrumentNo. of

ContractsTurnover(Rs. in cr.)

Change(%)

Index Futures 749473 17197.46 25.27

Stock Futures 500546 11548.03 1.70

Index Options 3869283 97725.73 16.98

Stock Options 155423 3677.52 22.66

Total 5274725 130148.74 16.60

Nifty Spot = 4943.65 Lot Size = 50

Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads

Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP

Buy 5000 106.6040.35 59.65 5040.35

Buy 4900 106.2032.35 67.65 4867.65

Sell 5100 66.25 Sell 4800 73.85

Buy 5000 106.6068.65 131.35 5068.65

Buy 4900 106.2054.95 145.05 4845.05

Sell 5200 37.95 Sell 4700 51.25

Buy 5100 66.2528.30 71.70 5128.30

Buy 4800 73.8522.60 77.40 4777.40

Sell 5200 37.95 Sell 4700 51.25

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (Dec. Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation.

Nifty Put-Call Analysis

Page 3: Derivatives Report 9th December 2011

8/3/2019 Derivatives Report 9th December 2011

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/derivatives-report-9th-december-2011 3/3

 Derivative Report | India Research

For Private Circulation Only  SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3

 

Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status

28-11-2011 RELINFRA Long Call Did not triggered

05-12-2011 TATAMOTORS Long Put Open

DISCLAIMER 

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment

decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should

make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the

companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determinethe merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make

investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this

document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and

trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's

fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliablesources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as thisdocument is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affili ates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsiblefor any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report . Angel

Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, normake any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. WhileAngel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may beregulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.

This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,

redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or

other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or

in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or

in connection with the use of this information.

No te: Please refer to the im portant ` Stock Holdi ng Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).

Derivative Research Team

Email Id : - [email protected]