Science In PlaceDesigning Spaces for Open, Networked Innovation

Dr. Anthony M. TownsendResearch Director

Institute for the Future

Address to Swedish Incubators and Science Parks (SiSP) Annual MeetingIdeon Science Park, Lund, Sweden

November 10, 2008

Science Parks: A Successful Model

Stanford Industrial Park under construction in 1960

Sophia Antipolis today

Research Triangle Park, North Carolina

Responding to Structural Change: Incubators

Source: World Bank infoDev program

The Next Decade and Beyond: Disruptive Forces

Open science

Ubiquitous computingThe rise of biology

Changing intellectual property regimes

Emerging economies moving up value chain

Transdisciplinarity

New financial instruments

Offshore R&D

FORECASTING AT THE INSTITUTE FOR THE FUTURE

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Institute for the Future

• Independent research organization, based in Silicon Valley • Founded in 1968 by:–Olaf Helmer, inventor of

Delphi method– Paul Baran, packet switching– Jacques Vallee, first

conferencing system on ARPANET

• Celebrating 40 years!

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Institute for the Future:Core Research Programs

10 Year Forecast Technology Horizons

Health Horizons

Methodology• Expert workshops• Ethnography/immersion• Artifacts from the future• Doing it

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Forecast Horizon: From 5-50 Years

Look Back Twice as FarAs You Look Forward

SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY PARKS:THE NEXT DECADE AND BEYOND

External Forces Shaping the Futurefor Science Parks and Incubators

1) The century of biology2) Lightweight innovation3) R&D goes global4) Science returns to the City

The Century of BiologyFrom the science of energy and matter to the science of life

LIGHTWEIGHT INNOVATIONFROM CLOSED LABS TO OPEN NETWORKS

Lightweight Innovation:New science communities

The Innovation Crisis

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LIGHTWEIGHT INNOVATION:From Closed to Networked R&D

From…

InternalCentralizedCorporate Labs

To…• Venture funds & start-ups• Knowledge spot markets• Contract labs• IP shops• Consumer co-creation• & more…

Open Innovation Leaders: P&G

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Lightweight Innovation:democratized and distributed

Democratized forms• Amateur

renaissance• DIY movement -

open source for hardware

Distributed tools• Cloud

supercomputing• Desktop

fabrication• Backyard biology

R&D GOES GLOBALFROM SCIENCE POWERS TO SCIENCE STARS

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R&D Goes Global

Rise of China and India

“A 2006 survey of 186 of the world's biggest corporations found that 77% of new R&D centers over the next three years will go up in one of these two emerging economic superpowers.”

BusinessWeek10 May 2006

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R&D Goes GlobalWhat Attracts Global Companies to China?

1. Localizing R&D (47%)– Close to emerging markets– Close to manufacturing

2. Lower costs (36%)3. Positioning for Future Innovation– From “brain drain” to “brain circulation”

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growth of new scientific powers

Valencia Science Center, Spain

Hong Kong Science Center

R&D Goes Global:Specialization at Snowpolis

SCIENCE RETURNS TO THE CITY

SCIENCE RETURNS TO THE CITY:Driving Forces

• Better access to “creative class” talent

• New real estate development models

• Mixing and adjacencies to for partnerships and innovation

• Biomedical is clinical

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SCIENCE RETURNS TO THE CITY:New places for R&D

Biopolis | JTC

University Park @ MIT | Forest City

Genentech Hall | UCSF

East River Science Park | Alexandria

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Science Returns to the City:Smart Environments for Social Collaboration

FROM INCUBATORS TO INCUBATION

Future Spaces: Betaworks

Future Signals: Kitchen Budapest

Future Spaces: La Cantine

Future Signals: Phase Z.Ro

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Future Spaces: MIT’s Stata Center

Lessons From Future Spaces

• Need for rapid prototyping• Places for experimentation• Blurring boundaries between business and

non-business functions– Mix uses not just on site, but in labs

• Temporary isn’t bad• Rethink universities and university

partnerships

SCIENCE IN PLACENew Research program of the institute for the future

NEW IFTF RESEARCH PROGRAM in 2009Science In Place: Designing Spaces for Networked Innovation

http://www.iftf.org/innovation

Future of Science Parks Maphttp://zuiprezi.com/prezi/740/view/

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What Does This Mean for Science Parks and Incubators in Sweden?

Some questions to consider:• How are you positioned relative to

long-term growth opportunities?• How do you provide a space for

online, virtual and temporary communities?

• What is unique about your local business environment or talent cluster that can’t be re-created elsewhere?

• How can you extend your model to the broader incubation process?