determining threat equivalency of navy aerial targets · determining threat equivalency of navy...

14
Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets Brian Battaglia [email protected] 240-228-9487 47 th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition Distribution Statement A Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited

Upload: lethu

Post on 29-Jul-2018

223 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy

Aerial Targets

Brian [email protected]

240-228-9487

47th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Distribution Statement A — Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited

Page 2: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

Threat Equivalency

Representative aerial targets are needed to show that ship combat systems meet their requirement to defeat specified missile threats.

To do this, a target must be similar enough to the threat so that performance of all aspects of the combat system are equivalent against the threat and the target. e.g. Sensor tracking, engagement timelines,

interceptor PK

47th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition2

Page 3: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

The Importance of Threat Identification

Previously, threat ID was nothing more than “subsonic” or “supersonic.”

Today, combat systems are relying more heavily on identifying the incoming threats in order to plan and carrying out engagements. Matching speed, signatures, RF emissions, etc. become

more important to differentiate between similar systems

Failure of a target to be identified as the threat it is emulating could result in unrepresentative engagements

47th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition3

Page 4: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

However…

A target does not need to match the performance parameters of the threat if the combat system responds the same way as it would to the threat.

447th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 5: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

However…

A target does not need to match the performance parameters of the threat if the combat system responds the same way as it would to the threat.

5

How close to each threat does the target need to be for it to be threat representative?

47th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 6: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

The Analysis

Through simulation, we determine the response of combat system elements to the threat and the notional targets for a range of target performance parameters. Speeds, altitudes, radar and IR

signatures, etc.

647th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 7: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

7

Representative Aegis Combat System

SPY-1D(V) RadarSM-2 Blk IIIB and ESSM Interceptors

WCS and C&D

SLQ-32

Page 8: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

8

Representative Ship Self Defense System

ESSM, RAM and CIWS Interceptor Systems

SPS-48E, SPS-49A, & SPQ-9B Radars

Adaptive Engagement Control (AEC)

SLQ-32Mk-9 T/I

Page 9: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

The Process

Compare output of simulations for each metric Target ID Probability of detection FirmTrack range Interceptor probability of kill

Make determination of threat equivalency boundaries

Identify target systems that satisfy these boundaries If none exist, use results to identify requirements for new

system

947th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 10: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

Performance Boundary Example

1047th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 11: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

Performance Boundary Example

1147th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 12: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

Performance Boundary Example

1247th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Target is equivalent to threat inside of envelope.

Page 13: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

The Studies

Studies can be done for each class of weapon system. e.g. Subsonic threats, supersonic sea-skimming threats,

high diving threats

APL has conducted a study for the Multi-Stage Supersonic Target, the Subsonic Aerial Target, and is currently conducting a high diving equivalency study.

1347th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition

Page 14: Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets · Determining Threat Equivalency of Navy Aerial Targets ... (V) Radar ESSM Interceptors WCS ... Interceptor Systems SPS-48E,

Conclusion

Combat system simulations can be used to assess how well aerial targets emulate missile threats and to identify target performance requirements.

These equivalency studies ensure that the Navy’s defense systems are tested against threat representative targets.

1447th Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations Symposium & Exhibition