Developing the Digital Long-Term Deployment

Plan in collaboration with the industry

Presented by:

Claire Beranek

Route Asset Manager (Signalling) NW&C,

Network Rail

Putting Passengers First

Digital Railway Conference26 June 2019

2

Request from Secretary of State to develop a Plan

• Plan requested by Secretary of State

• Delivered to DfT – February 2019

• Aligned train and infrastructure fitment plan

• At the lowest whole life cost

• Developed with the wider rail industry

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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

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Historic Forecast

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Problem : managing asset sustainability

Average remaining asset life of signalling assets on the network

Figure 2

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Approach supported by industry

1.Problem

statement

2.Conventional

signalling

baseline

3. Digital Railway

signalling

solution

4. Economic

appraisal

• Sustainability challenge with

the existing conventional

renewal approach.

• Affordability of conventional

and digital renewals

assessed.

• Benefits of digital signalling

against conventional

evaluated.

• Analysis of ‘do-minimum policy’ –

renewal of assets based on expiry

date.

• Renewal dates deferred to explore

deliverable options for conventional.

• Deliverability of conventional renewals

determined as not feasible.

• Digital signalling solution explored.

• Renewal dates deferred to identify

deliverable options.

• Iterative process involving multiple

industry stakeholders undertaken.

• Feasible option to deliver digital

signalling determined.

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Affordability and deliverability constraints

1. Budget constraint

• Planning assumption - CP6 budget indicative for future control periods

2. Unit cost to business

• ETCS Unit cost agreed with internal and external stakeholders

• ETCS unit cost to business estimated at £315k/SEU. Estimated in line with Sector Deal.

• This compares to a rate of £419k/SEU for conventional signalling

3. Work bank volumes

• Volumes for ETCS renewals identified across all Routes and integrated into a national ETCS work bank

• Deployments deliverability ceiling agreed with IP and RIA at 3,000 SEU for ETCS and 1,800 SEU for

conventional

4. Train retro-fitment volumes

• Train retro-fitment delivery schedule built on the assumption that one unit of one class per operator can

be fitted at one time

• Maximum number of trains scheduled to be retro-fitted in one year is 251 trains. Deliverability

supported by RIA, NJRP and RDG

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Iterative process to develop the digital signalling plan in collaboration with industry

Ste

pS

tak

eh

old

ers

Ou

tco

me

s

Route Asset Managers (NR)

Railway Industry Association

Infrastructure Projects (NR)

Safety, Technical and Engineering

(NR)

Rail Delivery Group (representing

TOCs and FOCs)

Route Asset Managers (NR)

System Operator (NR)

Rail Delivery Group (representing TOCs

and FOCs)

Customer Relationship Executives (NR)

Renewals & Enhancements (NR)

System Operator (NR)

Rail Delivery Group

TOCs

FOCs

DfT

Route Asset Managers (NR)

ORR

SF&S Board (DR)

Safety, Technical and

Engineering (NR)

National Joint Rolling Stock

Project

Working assumptions established

Work bank volumes for each

route confirmed

National unconstrained work

bank developed

Deliverability constraints for both

conventional and ETCS agreed

Train fitment ceiling confirmed

Endorsed principles

Deferrals agreed with the NR Routes

Train fitment schedule developed and

costed based on national work bank

Plan reviewed by industry

members

Feedback and requirements for

next steps documented

Develop plan

based on

renewals

needs

Agree

affordability and

deliverability

constraints

Refine plan

with deferrals

based on

constraints

Present plan to

industry and

define next

steps

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ETCS Compatible Life Extension Conventional External Work Volume Limit

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A digital signalling renewal plan meets infrastructure deliverability constraint ……

Digital signalling constrained volume profile

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Digital Infrastructure Train Fitment CP6 Budget

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… but not budget

Constrained digital signalling cost profile (incl. train fitment)

£ (millions)

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Likely first sites for ETCS roll out – 3 to be selected

Descriptive nameResponsible

Route

Financial

Year

*Dover Priory South East 2027

Ely to Peterborough Anglia 2027

*Peterborough (Pborocen 02) LNE 2026

Manchester East LNW N 2027

*Hull Paragon LNE 2027

*Sheffield RI LNE 2027

St Albans East Midlands 2026

Robin Hood East Midlands 2027

*Aston SSI - A (ASTONA) LNW S 2027

Warrington Area LNW N 2027

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Engagement with internal and external parties

Aug Sep Oct Nov

Initial

RAMs

meeting

DR Programme

Board

First Round of Route

engagement

RAMs

Second Round of

engagements

RAMs, RDG

ORR

engagementSuppliers

Engagement

LaunchRIA

LNW System

Review Panel

RAMs,

Professional Head,

CCS Chief

National Update

SAMG

RDG DR

Steering

Group

FSG

Engagement

DfT

Engagement

Industry wide

representation

Freight

IET and Kendal

Engineering SocietyLNW

RIRG

South East

RIRG

Engagement

w/ Suppliers

RIAAlignment w/

Sector Deal

National

DRAM

Meeting

Route

Investment

Review Group

Third Round of

engagements

TOCs / FOCs

Dec Jan

DR Programme

Board

Industry wide

representation

Strategic Freight

Network Steering

Group

Wessex DR

Board

LNW DR

Steering Board

Transport

Scotland

FSG

Engagement

Freight

LNE/EM

RSPG LNE/EM

RISB

Infrastructure

Workshop

RDG, IP

Signaling

RIA, RDG,

ROSCO

Train Fitment

WorkshopPeople

Workshop

RDG

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Key findings

• Evolution from current lineside signalling to next generation technology is required to sustain the network.

• Digital could be delivered at a sustainable volume. However, although more affordable than conventional signalling, costs still exceed CP6 budget levels for the first three control periods.

• Digital signalling will deliver higher performance and better safety.

• There is potential to reduce digital signalling costs towards CP6 budget levels through innovation.

• Digital signalling provides a better long-term cost solution.

• A digital signalling LTDP will promote the Rail Sector Deal and Innovation Strategies.

• Train fitment and infrastructure renewal plans have been aligned successfully.

• An integrated digital renewal plan acts as a baseline, further consideration will be necessary to understand enhancement opportunities.

• A robust change control mechanism will be essential to manage and coordinate the interests of train and infrastructure stakeholders.

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Considerations

• Retrofit of trains programme as identified in the plan.

• New trains / rolling stock come fitted with ETCS at the point of manufacture as a matter of policy.

• Long-term funding commitment to the freight fitment programme.

• Development of base plan into routes plans, and change control process to co-ordinate centrally as a service to the routes.

• Integration of the LTDP with enhancement planning to seek better value solutions and passenger outcomes.

• Technology roadmap to co-ordinate and channel R&D funding to improve ETCS technology and process efficiency.

• Preparation of industry and the supply chain for transition to digital signalling.

Thank you