development of electricity technology roadmap (trm) in korea young eal lee policy research group...
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Development of Electricity Development of Electricity
Technology Roadmap (TRM) in KoreaTechnology Roadmap (TRM) in Korea
Young Eal LEEYoung Eal LEE
Policy Research GroupPolicy Research GroupKorea Electric Power Research InstituteKorea Electric Power Research Institute
Contents Contents
1.1. UnderstandingUnderstanding of TRM of TRM
2.2. Preliminary ActivitiesPreliminary Activities of of
Development of Electricity Development of Electricity
TRM in KoreaTRM in Korea
3.3. Major ActivitiesMajor Activities of of
Development of Electricity Development of Electricity
TRM in KoreaTRM in Korea
Understanding Understanding Technology Roadmap (TRM)Technology Roadmap (TRM)
Time dimension of
technological progress
Plans driven by the
projected needs of future
market
Approach to
“Selection &
Concentration”11
22
Short-term GoalShort-term Goal
Mid-term GoalMid-term Goal
Long-term GoalLong-term Goal
44
Final GoalFinal Goal
33
11
What is TRM ?What is TRM ?
Forecasts of what is possible or likely to happen as well as plans that articulate a course of action (example)
EPRI – Electricity TRM (1999)
Why is TRM important ?Why is TRM important ?
Now & FutureNow & Future
Market (Customer) Driven
Opportunity Based Strategy (TRM, Top Down Approach)
Needs Product Technology
Competitive Market, Mid/long term planning
YesterdayYesterday
Technology Driven
Resource Based Strategy(Technology Tree, Bottom Up Approach
Technology Product Needs
Non-competitive Market, Short / mid term planning
Strategic planning method of R&D or technology is being changed because time-to-market is shortening and reduced R&D budgets are making impossible to develop all the technologies to meet future market needs
“ Selection and Concentration”
What is differ from Others ?
Satisfaction with Satisfaction with Market NeedsMarket Needs
Development of Technology
Creation Creation of Productof Product
Other Planning Other Planning MethodsMethods
Technology Driven
Planning
Identification Identification of Market of Market
NeedsNeeds
Development Development of Technologyof Technology
Forecasting Forecasting MarketMarket
TRMTRM
Market Driven
Planning
Establish the purpose and the goals of TRM
Define the customer needs based on market projection
Specify the major areas to be explored
steering committee
vision & target
Ph
ase I
Action plan
Detailed roadmapPh
ase II
specify technology
How to produce TRMHow to produce TRM
Preliminary Activities of Preliminary Activities of Development of Electricity TRM Development of Electricity TRM
in Koreain Korea
• 2001. 12 – 2002. 7 (8
months)
• USD 60,000
Periods / Budget
Purposes
• Define the industry and
the needs of its
customers in the future
• Specify the major
areas of technology to
be explored
How and for WhatHow and for What
Guide for roadmapping
Where we are now
Suppliers
Where we want to be
Build-up of Competitive
Electricity Market
Build-up of Competitive
Electricity Market
Stabilization of Power Supply
Stabilization of Power Supply
Environmental Friendliness of
Technology
Environmental Friendliness of
Technology
Innovation of Technology
Innovation of Technology
Time
Key Issues
‘01.12.1 ‘02.2 ‘02.4 ‘02.7.30‘02.6
Consult about process of roadmapping
Consult about process of roadmapping
1st - Internal review1st - Internal review 2 nd - Experts interview
2 nd - Experts interview
3rd - Working group WS
3rd - Working group WS
4th - Senior group WS
4th - Senior group WS
Analysis on technology trends / Identify future demands / Define vision / Specify technology
Analysis on technology trends / Identify future demands / Define vision / Specify technology
Finalize the area of technology of TRM
Finalize the area of technology of TRM
Consult with economists about future industry
Consult with economists about future industry
Consult about electricity
industry
Consult about electricity
industry
Consult about roadmap guide
Consult about roadmap guide
Establish guide of roadmap report
Establish guide of roadmap report
Procedure of RoadmappingProcedure of Roadmapping
Part Area of Technology
Power System
Stabilization of Competitive Electricity Market Large Capacity Transmission
Energy Renewable Energy Fuel Cell Electric Device of Super Conductor
Power Generation
Coal Power Gen. for High Efficiency Gas Power Gen. for High Efficiency
Nuclear National Integrated DB of NPPs
Major Areas to be Developed Major Areas to be Developed
Major Activities of Major Activities of Development of Electricity TRM Development of Electricity TRM
in Koreain Korea
2002. 9 – 2004. 2 (18 2002. 9 – 2004. 2 (18 months) / USD 320,000 months) / USD 320,000
Roadmapping of electricity industry Roadmapping of electricity industry
(Electric Power System, Energy, Power Generation)(Electric Power System, Energy, Power Generation)
Establish strategic plans of technology developmentEstablish strategic plans of technology development
National guide for the selection of long-term R&D
project using Electricity Industry Infrastructure Fund
Periods / Budget
Purposes
How and for WhatHow and for What
Results will be used for
Steering Committee
Coordinating Committee
FrameworkCommittee
Technology Committee
PublicHearing
Project Group Experts Experts Industry
Exchanging information and work progresses
Supporting administrative work
Overall TRM Defining the
scope and boundary of TRM
Organizing the technology committee
Meeting every two month
Responsible for mapping
Defining a vision & target
Specifying the technology
Planning a course of action
Meeting once a month
Enhancing the validity of results
Making consensus of industry
Meeting every six month
Working GroupWorking Group
8 개분야 90 여명
Establish a roadmap procedure
Establish a steering committee
Notify a purpose and guide of roadmapping
Define the customer needsbased on the market projection
Specify the technology to be explored
Roadmapping and Report
Phase IPhase I
Selection Selection of Major Areaof Major Area
Phase IIPhase II
Detail Planning Detail Planning of Tech. of Tech.
Development Development
Identify the strategic plan of technology
Procedure of RoadmappingProcedure of Roadmapping
Mission/Vision
• Define the industry and what future customers are likely to demand
Mission/Vision
• Define the industry and what future customers are likely to demand
Goal
•Define the what industry must develop to attain its vision
Goal
•Define the what industry must develop to attain its vision
Objective
•Define the obstacles
•Analyze the SWOT
Objective
•Define the obstacles
•Analyze the SWOT
Strategy
•Identify tech. alternatives and their develop-ment timelines
Strategy
•Identify tech. alternatives and their develop-ment timelines
Perform-ance
Measure
•Specify the performa-nce targets to meet the customer demands
Perform-ance
Measure
•Specify the performa-nce targets to meet the customer demands
TRM ReportTRM Report
Roadmapping Roadmapping
Expected ResultsExpected Results
Statement of TRM ReportStatement of TRM Report
1. Vision & Goal in A Tech.
Area
2. Identify A Tech. Area
2.1 Status of technology &
market
2.2 Trend of tech.
development
2.3 Technology break-down
(A.1 , A.2 , )
2.4 Portfolio
1. Vision & Goal in A Tech.
Area
2. Identify A Tech. Area
2.1 Status of technology &
market
2.2 Trend of tech.
development
2.3 Technology break-down
(A.1 , A.2 , )
2.4 Portfolio
3. A.1 Technology
3.1 Current & future of
technology
3.2 Quantitative target
3.3 Strategic plan of tech.
development
3.4 Obstacles and
countermeasure
3.5 Technology break-down
(A.1.1 , A.1.2 , )
3. A.1 Technology
3.1 Current & future of
technology
3.2 Quantitative target
3.3 Strategic plan of tech.
development
3.4 Obstacles and
countermeasure
3.5 Technology break-down
(A.1.1 , A.1.2 , )
3. A.1.1 Technology
3.1 Current & future of technology
3.2 Quantitative target
3.3 Strategic plan of tech.
development
3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure
3.5 Technology break-down
(A.1.1.1 , A.1.1.2 , )
3. A.1.1 Technology
3.1 Current & future of technology
3.2 Quantitative target
3.3 Strategic plan of tech.
development
3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure
3.5 Technology break-down
(A.1.1.1 , A.1.1.2 , )
Expected ResultsExpected Results
RoadmappingRoadmapping
Expected ResultsExpected Results
•Pay attention to the role of electricity Pay attention to the role of electricity industryindustry
vision & goal according to the economic vision & goal according to the economic and scientific trend and scientific trend
Consist of uConsist of unbiased steering committeenbiased steering committee
economists & socialists as well as economists & socialists as well as
engineersengineers
•Adopt the proper procedure within budget & Adopt the proper procedure within budget & periodperiod
Keep in mind the reason of roadmapping and Keep in mind the reason of roadmapping and
the guide for technology selectionthe guide for technology selection
Suggest the validity and basis of technology Suggest the validity and basis of technology
selectionselection
Suggest the follow-up process & updateSuggest the follow-up process & update
Conclusion & ConsiderationConclusion & Consideration